April 18, 2025
In this episode, we discuss the Memorandum of Understanding between Ethiopia and Somaliland, exploring its key terms and strategic motivations. We assess how the deal reshapes the securit ...
RELATED CONTENT : Security & Defense
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April 11, 2025Syria’s post-conflict transition, marked by the fall of the Assad regime and the appointment of interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, will be a critical opportunity for renewal while confronting significant challenges. The country must navigate a complex landscape of political fragmentation, economic hardship, and security risks. This policy brief explores Syria’s prospects for reconstruction and long-term stability by assessing recent political reforms, economic recovery strategies, a ... -
April 8, 2025The Russia–Ukraine war, while primarily perceived as a European security crisis, has triggered deep structural shocks globally, disproportionately affecting the developing world—the “New South.” This essay explores how historical legacies, global economic dependencies, and shifting geoeconomic paradigms have converged through the war to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. It critically examines the war’s impact through four interc ... -
March 13, 2025L’extrémisme violent au Sahel trouve ses racines dans une combinaison de facteurs historique, politique et socio-économique, tels que l’instabilité étatique, la marginalisation de certaines communautés et l’influence d’idéologies transnationales. Ce Papier retrace l’émergence et l’expansion de groupes comme Al-Qaïda au Maghreb Islamique (AQMI) et l’État islamique au Grand Sahara (EIGS), ainsi que leur fragmentation, illustrée par la création de nouveaux groupes, comme le ... -
February 12, 2025تتناول هذه الورقة السياسية النزاعات العنيفة المستمرة في السودان، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على الحرب التي اندلعت في الـ15 من أبريل 2023، بين القوات المسلحة السودانية وقوات الدعم السريع. يسلط التحليل الضوء على خلفية هذا النزاع الذي نشب بفعل فشل الانتقال الديمقراطي، بعد الإطاحة بالرئيس عمر البشير سنة 2019. كانت البداية مليئة بالتفاؤل، حيث تم توقيع اتفاق لتقاسم السلطة بين الفصائل العسكرية والمدنية، ولكن هذا الاتفاق انهار سريعاً، وبلغ الانهيار ذروته بحدوث انقلاب عسكري في أكتوبر من سنة 2021. ه ... -
February 11, 2025يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصة من برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" بمناسبة اليوم العالمي للوقاية من التطرف العنيف، لمناقشة موضوع " التطرف العنيف في إفريقيا: بين تحديات الأمن ومسارات التنمية" في ديسمبر 2022، اعتمدت الأمم المتحدة "اليوم العالمي للوقاية من التطرف العنيف... -
December 26, 2024في ظل استمرار الحرب على غزة والقرارات الأممية غير الملزمة بوقف إطلاق النار، نتساءل عن مدى فعالية هذه القرارات على أرض الواقع. نناقش في هذه الحلقة إعادة الإعمار كعملية تتجاوز البناء المادي لتشمل إعادة بناء الثقة والمؤسسات، مع تسليط الضوء على التحديات في سوريا بعد سقوط نظام بشار الأسد وتأ...
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November 19, 2024Sudan, a nation long defined by civil strife, military coups, and an uneven trajectory towards democratic norms, now faces a devastating internal war. The eruption of conflict on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has escalated into a multidimensional crisis. This conflict, fueled by longstanding political rivalries and resource-based tensions, poses grave risks to the stability of Sudan and the broader Horn of Africa. Beyond ... -
October 15, 2024Dans le vaste domaine des études prospectives, la notion du temps se révèle être un pilier fondamental, orchestre d'une symphonie complexe et variée. Cette notion n'est pas seulement un cadre dans lequel s'inscrivent nos actions et nos pensées; elle est une boussole qui guide notre capacité à anticiper et à modeler le futur. Les études prospectives, en quête de comprendre et de préparer les futurs possibles, se basent sur cette conception du temps pour éclairer et influencer la pris ... -
October 15, 2024This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the role and impact of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), formed in April 2022, in navigating the complexities of Yemen's ongoing civil conflict. The PLC was created to unite various anti-Houthi factions under a single governance framework, with the support of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and to steer Yemen toward peace and stability. However, the PLC has faced numerous obstacles, including internal divisions, resistance from ... -
October 12, 2024This policy paper examines the ongoing violent conflicts in Sudan, focusing particularly on the war that erupted on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The analysis highlights the backdrop of this conflict, which stems from a failed transition to democracy following the ousting of President Omar al-Bashir in 2019. Initially marked by optimism, the power-sharing agreement between military and civilian factions quickly unraveled, ... -
September 30, 2024The African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) just concluded its 8th edition, serving as a crucial platform for discussing conflict prevention and management in Africa. APSACO has fostered a vibrant community that facilitates dialogue on Africa’s unique challenges and allows for the exchange of innovative ideas on conflict resolution. The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) is proud to be an active participant in this ecosystem, contributing to key initiatives such as ... -
September 13, 2024German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s ‘Zeitenwende’ in February 2022 marked a significant shift in German foreign and security policy in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This paper analyzes Germany’s new strategic direction, including increased defense spending, reduced energy dependence on Russia, and strengthened NATO and EU alliances. It examines the domestic political debates surrounding these changes and their implications for European security dynamics. The study also expl ... -
September 4, 2024History is unfolding before our eyes. These are days that could define the future of our world. The United Nations is calling for a “Summit for the Future,” promising “Multilateral Solutions for a Better Tomorrow.” This vision will take shape on September 23-24, 2024, in New York City. António Guterres, the Secretary-General of the UN since January 2017, has championed this summit as “a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reinvigorate global action, recommit to fundamental principle ... -
August 16, 2024Negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire in Sudan began in Geneva this week, marking a critical step toward ending the 16-month-long conflict that has ravaged the nation. Co-organized by the United States and Switzerland, the talks focus on addressing the severe humanitarian crisis and establishing a cessation of hostilities. However, significant challenges persist, particularly concerning the uncertain participation of the key warring parties. Understanding the Conflict Sudan h ... -
July 12, 2024This opinion was originally published in japanupclose.web-japan.org On December 16, 2022, the Japanese government approved three important defense documents. The first is the National Security Strategy, which defines the general lines of the country's defense policy for the next decade. The second is the National Defense Strategy, which sets defense objectives and defines the means to achieve them. The third is the Defense Construction Program, which determines total defense spe ... -
July 12, 2024La facilitation et la négociation en temps de guerre sont des outils cruciaux pour instaurer la paix et la stabilité dans les régions en conflit. Ces processus permettent aux parties bell ...
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June 24, 2024Dr. Norman Sempijja, an Associate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, explores the conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin region, which includes Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, and Chad. These countries experience some of Africa's most severe conflicts, significantly impacting the regi...
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June 13, 2024In the complex landscape of African conflicts, the role of mediators remains pivotal, holding the promise of peace amidst turbulent times. Mediators, whether they come from regional organizations, international bodies, or local communities, act as crucial agents of change. They navigate...
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June 11, 2024Moderator: Mohamed Brick, Program Officer, Policy Center for the New South Speakers: Imen Chaanbi, Deputy Secretary General, Geostrategic Observatory of Geneva Khalid Chegraoui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Abdou Cissé, Journalist, APA News Discussants: Enrico Cas...
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June 11, 2024The panel aims to gain a nuanced understanding of the challenges hindering mediation efforts in countries undergoing internal challenges and facing a transition period, such as Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso. It seeks to identify the conditions and options conducive to fostering peace an...
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June 10, 2024This panel will explore innovative strategies and specific mediation mechanisms for internal conflicts in Africa, seeking to understand and resolve complex challenges. Emphasis will be placed on solutions tailored to the African context and on promoting sustainable peace, drawing on the...
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June 3, 2024La dynamique qui anime aujourd’hui le conflit israélo-palestinien, notamment la guerre que mènent à Gaza les troupes du Tsahal et les combattants du Hamas, appuyés par le Jihad islamique et les autres factions armées palestiniennes, laisse espérer un accord entre les parties prenantes pour mettre fin à une guerre qui a généré des dizaines de milliers de morts et de blessés. Espoirs nourris par le dernier discours (31 mai) du président américain qui détaille, on ne peut plus clair, l ... -
May 3, 2024The African National Congress (ANC), which has dominated the political scene in South Africa since 1994, began a downward trend in terms of votes won during the 2009 elections. However, this decline has never cast doubt on the ANC’s dominant position in the South African political landscape. Even at the lowest point in its popularity, during the “State Capture” scandal of 2019, a corruption scandal involving former President Jacob Zuma, the ANC won 57.5% of the vote, which largely a ... -
April 26, 2024L’African National Congres (ANC), qui domine la vie politique en Afrique du Sud depuis 1994, a entamé, lors des élections de 2009, une pente descendante, en termes de voix remportées lors des élections générales. Cependant, ce recul n’a jamais mis en doute la prédominance de l’ANC dans le panorama politique sud-africain. Au plus bas de sa popularité en 2019, en raison de l’affaire de « Capture de l’État », un scandale de corruption dans lequel a été impliqué l’ancien pre ... -
April 24, 2024The Alliance of Sahel States (AES), created on September 16, 2023, brings together Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso under a mutual defense agreement. The signing of the charter relating to this alliance, which bears the name Liptako-Gourma, was followed by meetings and plans for initiatives that will push the new structure further towards statutes for the alliance, transforming it into a confederation. As an intermediate measure, the three states have already envisaged the creation of ... -
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March 29, 2024Interview with Sara Mokaddem, Manager of the Monitoring and Strategic Analysis Unit at the Policy Center for the New South, conducted by our columnist Helmut Sorge. Oil tankers, mega cruise ships, and giant container vessels that once moved through secure waterways—the lifelines of global trade—are now menaced by missile and drone attacks, carried out by Houthi forces in Yemen. Meanwhile, pirates are active off the shores of Somalia, and Singapore or Hong Kong flagged vessels, a ... -
March 27, 2024As it enters its third year, the conflict in Ukraine appears to have reached an impasse. Developments in the Middle East and Indo-Pacific regions, as well as the apparent stalemate on the military front and the parties' unwillingness to discuss a cessation of hostilities under the curre...
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March 22, 2024L’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES), créée le 16 septembre 2023, rassemble dans un accord de défense mutuelle le Mali, le Niger et le Burkina Faso. La signature de la charte afférente à cette alliance qui porte le nom du Liptako-Gourma a été suivie de rencontre et de projets d’initiatives qui poussent plus loin la nouvelle structure vers des statuts de l’alliance pour la transformer en confédération. Comme mesure intermédiaire, les trois États ont d’ores et déjà envisa ... -
March 15, 2024A Series of Disruptions The freighter, on its way from the United Arab Emirates to Bulgaria, loaded with 21000 metric tons of fertilizer, was hit by two Houthi missiles on February 18, 2024, at a point 93 miles east of Aden. The Houthi—not an army but rebels—are firing on ships in solidarity with the tortured people in Gaza, and their leaders, Hamas. Like Hamas, the Houthi are armed by Tehran. The European Union has started a mission to send frigates into the Red Sea, providing pr ... -
March 6, 2024Nusrat Farooq is an international security and policy expert whose research is at the intersection of emerging technology, international relations, and trust and safety. She is a 2022 alumna of the Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program. Learn more about her here. With the advent of social media more than a decade ago, and now with the emergence of generative artificial intelligence, international security has become increasingly complex in terms of its cross-sectoral and t ... -
February 19, 2024In this interview with Dr. Josh Martin, UNOCT Expert in Violent Extremism, USA,we examine the factors leading individuals to adopt violent beliefs and terrorist affiliations, we also explore current initiatives for monitoring susceptible individuals as we analyze the role of AI in count...
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February 19, 2024In this interview with Dr. Aynabat Atayeva, Chief, International Hub on Behavioral Insights to Counter Terrorism, UNOCT, Qatar. We explore the dynamics of terrorist recruitment as we examine how terrorist organizations exploit a sense of belonging to lure vulnerable individuals. Moreove...
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February 16, 2024The destruction of a vibrant and historic nation, sprinkled with color and culture, turned into a footnote of geopolitics. The more than 377,000 war victims disappeared from global headlines. The official fighting ended in Yemen on March 29, 2022. A ceasefire was declared by the Saudi Arabia-led coalition and the rebellious Houthis. China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, praised “the wave of reconciliation” that swept across the region. The main foreign supporter of Yemen’s Houthi—Iran— ... -
February 14, 2024In this interview with Dr. Jeffrey Kaplan, Senior Researcher, Danube Institute, Hungary, we explore the understanding of counterterrorism, focusing on terrorist recruitment processes and effective countermeasures. We examine the mechanisms of recruitment, strategies in counterterrorism ...
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February 13, 2024يفتقر التطرف العنيف إلى تعريف محدد، ولا يقتصر على منطقة أو جنسية أو نظام عقائدي معين، ولو أن بعض الجماعات الإرهابية قد شكلت، في السنوات الأخيرة، ملامح تصورنا للتطرف العنيف. فكيف تعرف الأدبيات الأكاديمية مفهوم "الإرهاب"؟ ما هي العناصر الأساسية التي تميز "التطرف العنيف" عن غيره من أشكال ا...
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January 30, 2024الحرب بطبيعتها ليست عملية حسابية. فمن حيث الاستراتيجية العسكرية، لا تعتبر عملية الجمع دائما إضافة، ولا عملية الطرح تنقيصا. فعملية الضرب لا ُتضخِّم كما أن القسمة لا ُتقلل. وإذا كانت الوسائل هي بالتأكيد ميزة في الحرب، فإن نتيجة الصراعات (النصر أو الهزيمة) لا تعتمد فقط على هذه الوسائل، ذلك ان الحرب تكشف عن صمود المجتمع وليس عن قوة الجيش فقط. فالحرب ُتظهر ارتباط القوة العسكرية بصلابة الجبهة الداخلية المرتبطة بدورها إلى حد كبير بالتماسك الاجتماعي. و ليس لهذا الأخير وحدة قياس، ف ... -
January 25, 2024Dans cet épisode, Niagalé Bagayoko nous propose une analyse approfondie de la quête d'émancipation de l'Afrique, en examinant en détail les dynamiques complexes qui façonnent les nouveaux partenariats internationaux en matière de sécurité en Afrique. ...
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January 23, 2024On November 13, 1974 (YouTube, Nov 14), Yassir Arafat appeared in front of the United Nations General Assembly. He reminded his audience and the world that, “today I have come bearing an olive branch and a freedom fighter’s gun. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand.” Almost half a century has passed since then, and Arafat as well, and there is still no olive branch for the Palestinians, only the gun. Before the current Israel-Gaza war, noted the respected Foreign Affairs ... -
January 5, 2024La guerre n’est, par sa nature, pas arithmétique. En matière de stratégie militaire, ni l’addition est toujours un ajout ni la soustraction une diminution. La multiplication n’amplifie pas comme la division ne réduit pas. Les moyens sont certes un avantage dans la guerre, mais l’issue des conflits (victoire ou défaite) n’en dépendent pas exclusivement. La guerre révèle la résilience d’une société et pas seulement la puissance d’une armée. Mieux, elle montre la dépendance de la puiss ... -
December 23, 2023In this interview, Barre Seguin, Director, George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies, discusses NATO challenges post the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Mr. Seguin elaborates on the reshaped NATO strategy and addresses concerns about the lack of modern and sufficient armament...
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December 21, 2023Le « Déluge d’Al-Aqsa » -nom de code de l’attaque surprise menée en Israël par le Hamas et les Brigades Izz Al-Din Al-Qassam, le 7 octobre 2023 -, et la riposte israélienne dévastatrice pour les populations civiles et les infrastructures de l’enclave de Gaza qui en a été la conséquence, ont ramené au premier plan la cause du peuple palestinien. Cause qui continue d’habiter les esprits, les coeurs et les consciences. Plus que jamais, un « nouveau Moyen- Orient » ne pourra émerger et ... -
December 20, 2023John Sawers, former Chief of the Secret Intelligence Service (MI6), shares his insights on how security threats have evolved with the rise of digital technologies and social media. In this interview, he offers a compelling exploration of the shift from traditional methods to contemporar...
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December 13, 2023In a world confronted with unprecedented challenges and growing geopolitical rifts, is it time for a reformed and more balanced international order? What are the new propositions by the "Global South"? Are they necessarily at odds with the ones of the 'West"? Guided by these questions, 2023 marked a milestone for the “Global South” as the BRICS group invited 6 other countries to join the club, and India presided over of the G20 just after Indonesia and before Brazil. Seeking to answ ... -
December 13, 2023The title of the Policy Brief seems alarming. ‘Israel-Palestine The Last Chance for a Just Solution’, an assessment by Abdelhak Bassou, Senior Fellow of the Policy Center for the New South, affiliated professor at Mohammed VI University in Rabat, and one of the leading security experts of Morocco. His paper, published in November 2023, could not have more timely, dramatic, urgent, and constructive. Scenes of the apocalypse for an estimated twelve million people in a region, consider ... -
December 05, 2023Delving into the nuances of this paradigm shift, the speakers shed light on how climate change is now perceived not only as an environmental challenge but also as a critical factor influe ...
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December 01, 2023Over the past decades, China has discreetly built up its innovation and patiently poured capital and focused on the development of its technology. China notably anticipated the technologi ...
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November 28, 2023In the space of one day in late July 2023, the fate of Mohamed Bazoum, 63, changed completely; the comfort of his palace was replaced by a small dark room. The occupant was reduced from president of the 27 million-strong nation of Niger to criminal, facing charges of high treason and undermining the security of the nation (Reuters, August 14, 2023). His accusers were a military junta, led by the commander of the Presidential Guard, General Abdourahamane Tchiani, now self-imposed Pre ... -
November 24, 2023في 6 أكتوبر 1973 تلقت السلطات الإسرائيلية تحذيرات عن احتمال اندلاع حرب على حدودها مع الدول العربية. هذا التحذير أكد المعلومات التي تم استلامها قبل بضعة أيام، ولكن أصحاب القرار السياسي والاستخبارات في اسرائيل لم يأخذوا الأمر على محمل الجد. حيث تعرضت إسرائيل لهجوم مفاجئ وعرف جيشها حالة من الهلع. وكانت الكارثة. خمسون عاما بعد ذلك، تقريبًا في نفس اليوم، فوجئت إسرائيل بهجوم جديد. في صباح 7 أكتوبر 2023، عبر مئات الرجال مسلحين الحاجز بين إسرائيل وقطاع غزة، انتشروا في أكثر من 20 مكانًا، قت ... -
November 17, 2023During this interview, Mr. Stefan Buijsman, Assistant Professor at the Technische Universiteit Delft provides an analysis on the multifaceted nature of Artificial Intelligence, raising cr ...
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November 17, 2023On October 6, 1973, the Israeli authorities were warned of the imminent outbreak of war on their borders with the Arab states. This warning confirmed information received a few days previously, which Israeli political decision-makers and iintelligence services had not taken seriously. Israel was taken by surprise and its army panicked. It was a debacle. Fifty years later, almost to the day, Israel was once again taken by surprise. On the morning of October 7, 2023, hundreds of armed ... -
November 14, 2023شنت حركة حماس في قطاع غزة، هجوما غير مسبوق على إسرائيل في 7 أكتوبر الماضي، حيث نفذ الجيش الإسرائيلي غارات جوية ومدفعية بعد الهجوم المفاجئ الذي أدى الى مقتل الاَف من المدنيين داخل القطاع الصراع الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي مستمر منذ عقود، لكن ما هي القضايا التي تديم جذوته مشتعلة حتى الان؟ كيف...
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November 10, 2023In this episode, we analyze the influence of the global tensions, featuring discussions on the far-reaching consequences of the ongoing wars and their ripple effects on the world economy ...
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November 9, 2023Le 6 octobre 1973, les autorités israéliennes ont été averties de l’éclatement imminent d’une guerre à leurs frontières avec les États arabes. Cet avertissement confirmait les informations reçues quelques jours auparavant, mais que les décideurs politiques et le Renseignement israéliens n’avaient pas pris au sérieux. Israël est pris par surprise et son armée est en panique. C’est la débâcle. Cinquante ans plus tard, quasiment jour pour jour, l’État hébreux est enco ... -
November 2, 2023Réflexions sur le leadership, la paix et la sécurité en Afrique Dans cette interview exclusive, nous avons eu l'honneur de discuter avec Son Excellence Madame Catherine Samba-Panza, l'ancienne présidente de la République centrafricaine et une figure emblématique de la politique africai...
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October 26, 2023Les Dialogues Stratégiques, une collaboration entre HEC Center for Geopolitics et Policy Center fort he New South, représentent une plateforme d'analyse et d'échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques, ainsi que el monde universitaire et les médias au service d'une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et sur une problématique d'intérêt régional, d'importance commune à al fois pour l'Europe et l'Afrique. Ce ... -
October 13, 2023La dernière série de coups d’État en Afrique subsaharienne cache-t-elle un spectaculaire retournement contre les processus politiques fondés sur le principe électoral qui avaient été engagés dans les années 1990 ? Pour sept pays concernés (Burkina Faso, Gabon, Guinée, Mali, Niger, Soudan, Tchad), la prise du pouvoir par les militaires signe la fin d’un cycle, celui de la tentative de démocratisation par l’élection, et l’entrée dans un nouveau cycle, à l’issue inconnue ... -
October 5, 2023This brief was originally published in gmfus.org The EU is increasing, at home and abroad, its use of state-of-the-art technologies in its border management. But guarantees of their consistently appropriate use are lacking. Migration increasingly involves digital tools. Internet, smartphones, and social media are of paramount importance for people on the move. Border management is also becoming more digitalized, with technological tools being used to accelerate legal internatio ... -
October 2, 2023La septième édition de la Conférence africaine sur la paix et la sécurité (APSACO) s’est déroulée sur deux journées enrichissantes, les 10 et 11 juillet 2023. La conférence, organisée par le Policy Center for the New South, a rassemblé une pléiade d’experts du monde entier, représentant divers secteurs d’activité, sur le thème “Reconstruction post-conflit en Afrique”. Elle s’articulait autour de 6 panels ainsi que d’une discussion autour du Rapport annuel sur la géop ... -
October 2, 2023The Policy Center for the New South organized the 7th African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) on July 10-11, 2023, under the theme ‘Post-Conflict Reconstruction in Africa’. This annual conference provides a platform for the analysis of Africa’s peace and security structures and institutions, focusing on the continent’s assets, history, and its ability to overcome current and emerging challenges and gain global competitive advantage. The debate on post-conflict reconst ... -
September 28, 2023Bientôt disponible en vente sur Livremoi. En présentant ces textes, publiés dans les plateformes du Policy Center for the New South, pour partie, et dans divers supports, pour l’autre, on découvre à leur lecture des sujets absents des sciences sociales nationales. Le premier défi que doit surmonter le chercheur marocain qui s’intéresse aux affaires militaires et de sécurité (AMS) est la sous-conceptualisation du domaine en raison du désintérêt des universités et du c ... -
September 21, 2023In this episode, we will unravel the complex factors behind the coup in Niger with Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, in which he dissects the political, social, and economic aspects that led to this crisis to provide a thorough understanding of the si...
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September 8, 2023Le Mozambique fait face depuis 2017 à une insurrection menée dans la province de Cabo Delgado, au nord-est du pays, par un groupe militant islamiste dénommé Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa (ASWJ) – qui aurait fait allégeance à l’État islamique (EI) et qui est aussi connu sous le nom de Al Shabab, sans lien avec le groupe éponyme en Somalie. Les problèmes sociaux et économiques de cette région – qui concentre la plus grande partie des 18 % de musulmans que compte le pays, à majorité chrétienne ... -
September 8, 2023Cette 6ème édition du rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique s’inscrit dans la même ligne éditoriale que ses précédentes. Elle se veut une plateforme où des auteurs et analystes africains racontent l’Afrique géopolitique de 2022 en débordant parfois sur les événements saillants du début de 2023. Ce moment, d’environ une année et demie, ne peut échapper à la guerre en Ukraine comme toile de fond du monde. Même lorsque les auteurs ne s’y réfèrent pas explicitement, cett ... -
September 5, 2023يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة موضوع الانقلاب في النيجر: أبرز التطورات، آفاق الحل والسيناريوهات المحتملة مع الأستاذ عبد الحق باسوا، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. في صبيحة يوم 26 يوليوز أعلنت رئاسة النيجر بداية الانق...
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September 01, 2023In this podcast, we are joined by Dr. Len Ishmael, editor and co-author of the book “Aftermath of War in Europe: The West VS. the Global South?”. Dr. Ishmael delves into the groundbreakin ...
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August 31, 2023Un peu plus d’un mois après le coup d’État qui a renversé le président nigérien, Ali Bongo Odimba (ABO) est, dans la matinée du 30 août, renversé par un groupe de militaires avant même qu’il n’ait eu le temps de fêter sa troisième élection à la tête de l’État gabonais. 1-Encore un coup d’État Les premières annonces du coup d’État au Gabon rappellent la tentative avortée, en janvier 2019, lorsque l’adjoint du patron de la Garde républicaine, Ondo Obiang Kelly, prend la tête d’u ... -
August 31, 2023Kim Ju-ae, supposed daughter of North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un, was introduced by her father for the first time to the world and 26.1 million citizens of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) on November 19, 2022. Her first public appearance was unusual: at the launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) costing up to $10 million (Los Angeles Times, November 4, 2022). Unlike a DPRK spy satellite launched on May 30, 2023, which broke up in midair before reach ... -
August 4, 2023Twenty-Four Hours June 23-24, 2023. Over those days, Russia, the sanctioned world power, was not destabilized by the nuclear enemy in Washington, but by one man, who made his wealth serving food to school children and soldiers. A caterer who attempted a revolution. A bald man, who apparently wore wigs during his days off, as the Russian secret police claimed to have discovered when they searched his home in St Petersburg. The photos of the wig-wearing Yevgeny Prigozhin were shown o ... -
July 30, 2023La réflexion sur le post-conflit a été stimulée ces dernières années par les efforts africains visant à offrir au continent un cadre politique propre à la période post-conflit ou post-crise (transition politique) dans la continuité de l'Architecture de paix et de sécurité de l'Union africaine (APSA) et dans le sillage de l'Architecture de gouvernance africaine (AGA). Ce souci pour une paix durable sur le continent est à l’origine de l’adoption à Banjul (Gambie) en 2006 ... -
July 21, 2023This podcast aims to assess the recent security developments in the Sahel and adopt a proactive approach towards the practical measures required to revitalize peace efforts in the region. ...
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July 20, 2023Artificial intelligence (AI) is playing an increasingly important role in our daily lives. Having experienced considerable growth in recent years, artificial intelligence corresponds to technologies capable of processing hybrid sources, particularly unstructured data. Complex tasks are thus delegated to increasingly autonomous technological processes, capable of driving economic and social development. In current African society, AI is becoming more popular and seeking to cover all ... -
July 18, 2023في ضوء المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا حول إعادة الإعمار بعد الصراع في أفريقيا عرفت السنوات الأخيرة اضطرابات جيوسياسية واقتصادية على المستوى العالمي. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيوسياسي واقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، ...
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July 11, 2023Chair: Mehdi Benomar, Head – Research in International Relations, Policy Center for the New SouthSpeakers: - Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Sâ Benjamin Traoré, Assistant Professor, ...
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APSACO 7ème édition - Discussion du rapport annuel sur la Géopolitique de l'Afrique / Mot de clôtureJuly 11, 2023Chair: Mehdi Benomar, Head – Research in International Relations, Policy Center for the New SouthSpeakers: - Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Sâ Benjamin Traoré, Assistant Professor, ...
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July 11, 2023Chair: Mehdi Benomar, Head – Research in International Relations, Policy Center for the New SouthSpeakers: - Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Sâ Benjamin Traoré, Assistant Professor, ...
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July 10, 2023Welcoming Remarks: Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South 1 Opening Conversation Chair : Mounia Boucetta, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Speaker: Her Excellency Catherine Samba-Panza, Former President, Central African Republic ...
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July 10, 2023Welcoming Remarks: Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Opening Conversation Chair : Mounia Boucetta, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Speaker: Her Excellency Catherine Samba-Panza, Former President, Central African Republic ...
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July 10, 2023Welcoming Remarks: Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Opening Conversation Chair : Mounia Boucetta, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Speakers: Her Excellency Catherine Samba-Panza, Former President, Central African Republic ...
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July 07, 2023Plus d’un an après le déclenchement de la guerre en Ukraine, l'Europe se retrouve plongée dans un conflit de haute intensité. Février 2022 sera considéré comme une année charnière, compar ...
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July 4, 2023تعد مجموعة فاغنر شركة عسكرية روسية خاصة تنشط في عدد من الدول الأفريقية منذ عام 2017، بما في ذلك جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى وليبيا ومالي، والسودان، وموزمبيق، ومدغشقر. وقد وُجِّهَت اتهامات للمجموعة بارتكاب العديد من انتهاكات حقوق الإنسان في جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى، مثل القتل والتعذيب والعنف...
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June 15, 2023If you search on “Google” for a pizzeria in Kyiv, you have many choices, such as “Mimosa Brooklyn Pizza”, “Mamamia”, or “Vesuveo”. If bombs or supersonic missiles do not scare you, more formal dining pleasures exist. “Feel like a star”, reads one of the ads for the “Matisse”, located on the 15th floor of the “Cityhotel” in the historic part of town - an eatery 52 meters up could be a tempting target for Russian missile attacks. Wladimir Klitschko, a former world heavyweight boxing- ... -
June 12, 2023The security landscape in the Sahel region has undergone significant changes in recent years. From the emergence of Russia as an actor in the region to the persistent issue of trafficking, and the challenges of political transitions in countries including Chad and Sudan, the Sahel faces complex and interconnected security challenges. This insight summarizes our biannual Strategic Dialogues, focusing on the new security landscape in the Sahel, its regional developments, and its impli ... -
June 8, 2023A tragedy of historic proportions The war is gruesome and may not end for months or years. Not ending with the white flag of surrender, but total depletion and exhaustion, men and missiles, tanks, and terror. The battlefield is hell, as it is in all wars. A nightmare and human folly. “We are learning in Ukraine how to fight”, admitted the former President of Lithuania, Dalia Grybauskalte, “and we are learning how to use our NATO equipment. It is a teaching battle”. Yes, this politi ... -
June 02, 2023In this podcast, we discuss how artificial intelligence and digital development contribute to more accurate predictions and scenario building during foresight studies. In fact, foresight ...
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April 18, 2023مرت تسعة وعشرون عاما منذ أن انطلقت رواندا في مسار تحقيق المصالحة الوطنية بعد أحداث الإبادة الجماعية التي ارتكبتها حكومة الهوتو الخاضعة لسيطرة المتطرفين، والتي استهدفت أقلية التوتسي خلال مئة يوم إلى حين دخول الجبهة الوطنية الرواندية البلاد. حيث اعتمدت على الآليات المحلية التي جمعت بين المقاربات الشمولية والمحلية القائمة على الثقافة، كما شملت استجابات قضائية وغير قضائية تفاعلية ووقائية، علاوة على إطلاق مجموعة من الإصلاحات الدستورية، المؤسساتية والقطاعية. غير أن هذا المسار، لم يخل من ... -
April 7, 2023Le Policy Center for the New South, la Faculté de Gouvernance, des Sciences Économiques et Sociales (FGSES), l’Association Démocratique des Femmes du Maroc et le Réseau Marocain des Femmes Médiatrices organisent conjointement une série d’activités pour commémorer la Journée internationa...
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March 24, 2023Dans ce nouvel épisode, Imane Lahrich accueille Abdelhak Bassou pour discuter des dessous de la présence militaire russe en Afrique. D’un côté, la Russie ambitionne de contrer les ambitio ...
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March 23, 2023Dans cet épisode, Gilles Yabi, directeur exécutif du West Africa Think Tank (WATHI), analyse dans le contexte actuel les rôles pour la société civile dans la résolution de conflits (Mali, ...
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March 16, 2023Dans cet épisode, Gilles Yabi, directeur exécutif du West Africa Think Tank (WATHI), analyse dans le contexte actuel les rôles pour la société civile dans la résolution de conflits (Mali, Burkina Faso). Il propose aussi des mécanismes d’engagement dans un contexte d’instabilité politiqu...
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March 6, 2023En partenariat avec le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), Africa Center est fier de présenter un rapport conjoint sur l’influence de la Russie en Afrique, une perspective sécuritaire, à l’occasion du premier anniversaire de la guerre en Ukraine. L’Afrique est apparue comme un acteur majeur de ce conflit lorsque le 3 mars 2022 , dix-sept Etats africains se sont abstenus lors du vote de la résolution de l’Assemblée générale des Nations Unies condamnant l’invasion russe en Ukrain ... -
March 4, 2023In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towardsthe War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questions regarding Energy, sec...
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March 1, 2023In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
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February 25, 2023Dans cette interview tournée au cours des Atlantic Dialogues, Monsieur Helmut Sorge interroge le Ministre Hubert Védrine sur ses impressions sur un monde aussi troublé qu’aujourd’hui suite à la guerre Russo-Ukrainienne. Monsieur Védrine nous fait part de son analyse ainsi que son étude ...
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February 24, 2023In a recent telephone conversation, Russian President Vladimir Putin officially invited Assimi Goïta, the military chief of the transition in Mali, to take part in the second Russia-Africa summit to be held in Saint Petersburg. This summit is scheduled for July 2023, according to Mikhail Bogdanov, the special representative of the president of Russia to the Middle East and Africa and deputy foreign minister. Russia is openly optimistic that several African leaders will attend the pl ... -
February 23, 2023In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Nusrat Farooq, Technology and Programs Associate, Global Internet Forum to Counterterrorism, Ms. Farooq tells us about how The Global Internet Forum is fighting violent extremism and terr...
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February 21, 2023طبقا لقرار من المجلس العام لمنظمة الأمم المتحدة يخصص يوم 12 فبراير للاحتفال بمكافحة التطرف العنيف. وبعد ان تصدر الموضوع قائمة جدول أعمال القوى العظمى بعد اعلان تنظيم الدولة بقيام خلافة اس ...
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February 20, 2023As FBI agent Charles McGonigal, 54, was used in handcuffs, these metal symbols of repression and the end of freedom. When the former Special agent in charge( SAC) of the Counter-intelligence Division of the FBIs field office in New York returned from a trip to the Middle East, he suddenly felt the cold iron around his wrists; some of the FBI agents arresting him he certainly knew well-from 1996 until his retirement in 2018 McGonigal specialized in Counterintelligence, organized cr ... -
February 15, 2023طبقا لقرار من المجلس العام لمنظمة الأمم المتحدة يخصص يوم 12 فبراير للاحتفال بمكافحة التطرف العنيف. وبعد ان تصدر الموضوع قائمة جدول أعمال القوى العظمى بعد اعلان تنظيم الدولة بقيام خلافة اسلامية سنة 2014 وحتى انهياره وانهزامه في الاراضي التي كان قد سيطر عليها على خلفية الهجوم الذي شنه على...
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February 13, 2023ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة ع ...
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February 10, 2023The war in Ukraine has been a major destabilizing factor for European security, and its future is now uncertain and complex. Initially, experts thought that the war would provide a geopol ...
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February 7, 2023ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة على الأجندة السياسية في منطقة الساحل التي تشهد ديناميات جديدة، تتعدي إلى دول شمال إفريقيا والاتحاد ال...
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February 03, 2023Les dirigeants de l’Union européenne et de l’Union africaine ont posé lors du 6ème sommet UE-Afrique qui avait eu lieu à Bruxelles en février 2022 les jalons d’une relation renouvelée, ba ...
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January 30, 2023In early January 2023, a man was detained near the Russian-Norwegian border at 1.58 a.m. local time. The night was frost-bite cold and the man, a Russian citizen, had run across the frozen Pasvik River, at a place where it was a few hundred meters wide. He’d jumped some barbed-wired fences, which demarcated the border. The Russian avoided official checkpoints because he was a fugitive, and dogs were following him through the polar night, barking, menacing. Their masters aimed at the ... -
January 20, 2023Within the realm of military conflicts, the Atlantic Basin can be considered a relatively peaceful area, especially in the northern part. However, the region has faced unprecedented chall ...
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January 17, 2023This publication provides an insight into the lens through which countries of the Global South view the current period of successive crises, brought about by an ongoing global pandemic and a war in Europe. It highlights how the combined weight of history, culture, and geography has shaped the Global South’s interests and is influencing its foreign policy stance during one of the most dangerous periods of Great-Power competition in recent times—one that could see the fracturing of th ... -
December 23, 2022La présence iranienne en Afrique est une question à la fois idéologique, économique et sécuritaire. La politique africaine de l’Iran a connu un nouvel élan avec la Révolution de 1979. Dans le cas de la politique africaine, on peut qualifier ce tiers-mondisme militant d’arrogant. Eneffet, dans l’imaginaire des élites politiques révolutionnaires khomeynistes, les relations avec les pays du Sud global sont à comprendre non seulement dans le cadre d’un anti-impérialisme de fa ... -
December 16, 2022In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towards the War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questions regarding Energy, se...
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December 16, 2022In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
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December 16, 2022In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Nusrat Farooq, Technology and Programs Associate, Global Internet Forum to Counterterrorism, Ms. Farooq tells us about how The Global Internet Forum is fighting violent extremism and terr...
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December 9, 2022The global wave of democratic retrenchment has not spared North Africa as seen in the cases of Tunisia and Sudan, where democratic transitions have stalled or regressed into autocracy. How do to explain Tunisia and Sudan’s troubled transitions from authoritarian rule? Both states are attempting to transition from single-party authoritarianism. In both cases, economic crises exacerbated by COVID, the Russian-Ukraine war, and involvement by external actors stymied the fragile transiti ... -
November 25, 2022Communities in northern Côte d’Ivoire report an ongoing pattern of questioning, ethnically- motivated arrests, and abuse, in contrast to the good relationships with local forces and poli ...
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November 17, 2022Aware of the importance that the United Nations grants to the Women, Peace and Security agenda as an action priority in the maintenance of international peace and security, Morocco has be ...
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November 17, 2022Africa is acutely affected by the ongoing global democratic recession. In 2020, a military coup took place in Mali. In 2021, four African countries – Chad, Mali, Guinea, and Sudan - experienced military takeovers. Thus far, in 2022, two coups have occurred in Burkina Faso and an attempted one in Guinea Bissau. Yet polling data and activism on the ground shows African youth believe in and are prepared to fight for democracy. ... -
November 16, 2022This publication was originally published in rsaiconnect.onlinelibrary.wiley.com The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine's economic structure, the damage to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruption are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of pro ... -
November 10, 2022Africafé est une émission du Policy Center for the New South qui décrypte l’actualité des organisations africaines et de l’Afrique. A travers de courtes interviews, l’émission tente de proposer d’aborder de manière pédagogique les enjeux des organisations africaines et l’actualité du co...
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November 1, 2022Dans cette nouvelle édition du Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique, et à l’instar des éditions précédentes, le maître-mot est la richesse dans la diversité. Une diversité dans les visions et les opinions que des auteurs africains, habitués de cette tribune où qui la découvrent, alimentent en exprimant leurs réflexions sur des questions clés qui intéressent leur continent : l’Afrique. Du cadre social, à celui militaire en passant par les contextes historiques, anthropolog ... -
October 28, 2022Adoptée en 2000 par le Conseil de sécurité des Nations Unies, la Résolution 1325 reconnaissait pour la première fois l’impact différencié des conflits sur les femmes et les filles ainsi q ...
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October 27, 2022Dans cette édition spéciale, le Général Mohamed Znagui Sid’Ahmed Ely décrypte les approches de contre terrorisme au niveau national et régional et appuie sur l'importance des approches collectives tel que le G5 Sahel pour l'endiguement de l'expansion de la menace terroriste. ...
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October 21, 2022The sixth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on July 20-21, 2022, under the theme 'African Security in Times of Uncertainties'. The two-day event was composed of five panels and one report discussion. • Panel 1: The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on Africa • Panel 2: Conflict Resolution and w in Africa • Panel 3: The Worsening of the Food-Security Challenge in Africa • Panel 4: Security Implications of Climate Change in Africa • Panel 5: African F ... -
October 19, 2022La place de l'intelligence artificielle (IA) dans notre vie quotidienne est de plus en plus importante. Ayant connu un essor considérable durant les dernières années, l’intelligence artificielle correspond aux technologies capables de traiter des sources hybrides et notamment des données non structurées. Ainsi, des tâches complexes sont déléguées à des procédés technologiques de plus en plus autonomes, en mesure d’impulser le développement économique et social du Maroc ... -
October 12, 2022A merchant ship passed Turkey’s Bosphorus Strait on its way from Syria to Russia late last month, observed “Bloomberg”( August 9, 2022), transporting military equipment, including trucks, documented by satellite imagery. The “Sparta II”, a cargo ship leased by Oboronlogistika to the Russian military, was on its way from Tartus to the Black Sea harbor Novorosslysk. No tanks were sighted, or Russian fighter jets, just these trucks, but the moderate value of the cargo, noted Bloom ... -
October 6, 2022“Within the realm of military conflicts, the Atlantic Basin can be considered a relatively peaceful area, especially in the northern part. However, the region has faced unprecedented challenges in terms of policy planning and strategizing with the emergence of the global pandemic, the stagnating economic growth, and the population’s growing discontent toward public institutions. The conjunction of sanitary, economic, and political crisis has questioned the historical stability of we ... -
October 4, 2022سبق وأطلق المغرب مخطط العمل الوطني حول النساء والسلم والأمن بهدف النهوض بالمساواة بين الجنسين، وإشراك المرأة في صنع القرار تطبيقا لقرار مجلس الأمن التابع للأمم المتحدة رقم 1325 الذي جرى اعتماده بالإجماع من قبل مجلس الأمن الدولي في 31 أكتوبر 2000، والذي يحث الأمم المتحدة وجميع الدول الأع...
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September 30, 2022Lorsque l’URSS (Union des Républiques socialistes soviétiques) est démantelée ; il s’installe en Occident un sentiment de victoire définitive qui porte au trône du monde la puissance occidentale, démocratique et libérale. La mondialisation, qui avait timidement pointé du nez durant les années 80, commence à s’ériger en occidentalisation du monde. L’Occident n’avait pourtant pas su gérer sa victoire. Au lieu d’intégrer le continuateur de l’URSS, il le marginalise et l’ ... -
September 30, 2022L’offre des matières premières agricoles, d’origine Russe et Ukrainienne, a été fortement perturbée par la guerre, mettant en péril la sécurité alimentaire des pays importateurs. L’offre ...
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September 26, 2022Information is among our planet's most coveted resources, calling upon us to examine how it is incorporated as an object of power and domination into national and international political processes. Tensions around this resource arise not only in territories directly controlled by States, but also in contested territories, including the intangible acceptance of these, as occurs in cyberspace. The Russia-Ukraine war epitomizes this. Having "disconnected" Russia and conversely maintain ... -
September 20, 2022أصدر مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد النسخة الخامسة للتقرير السنوي للجيوسياسة الإفريقية بنقاط قوتها ومعيقاتها، بمميزاتها وعيوبها، ما يجب تصحيحه وإعادة تنظيمه، وما يجب صيانته وتقويته وتوطيده. تدور الأسئلة التي تم تناولها من خلال التقرير حول جهات القارة الافريقية بين الأمن و السلم و...
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September 02, 2022L’invasion russe de l'Ukraine a incité l'Union Européenne, en coordination avec d’autres puissances mondiales, à monter en urgence une réponse coordonnée de sanctions sans précédent. La p ...
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September 1, 2022Dans cet épisode Lassina Diarra et Abdelhak Bassou échangent sur le caractère religieux des violences en Afrique de l'ouest. Ils y discutent des implications politiques et des fondements de ces violences ainsi que des causes de leurs résurgence. ...
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August 22, 2022L’information constitue l’une des ressources les plus convoitées sur la planète, et invite à examiner la manière dont elle s’intègre en tant qu’objet de pouvoir et de domination dans les processus politiques, nationaux et internationaux. Les tensions autour de cette ressource s’expriment non seulement à travers les territoires directement contrôlés par les États mais aussi ceux disputés ou de compétition, y compris dans leur acceptation intangible comme pour le cyberespace. La guerr ... -
August 12, 2022The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and mul ... -
August 12, 2022Maritime security in Africa is evolving rapidly and is therefore driving innovations in the maritime security architecture, offering itself to increased regional coordination. More than 9 ...
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August 11, 2022On these islands, writers and poets, and painters discovered unspoiled paradise, including promiscuous adolescent girls, which Paul Gauguin captured on canvass, his work admired by global art collectors until the French icon was accused of pedophilia- a century late, the beauties on the tableau seem to the self-appointed, global morality brigades to be children, or, who knows, young ladies suffering anorexia. The islands of the South Pacific, or Pacific in general, seemingly lost in ... -
August 11, 2022Le rôle de la Cedeao (Communauté économique des États de l’Afrique de l’Ouest) dans la gestion des conflits ayant eu lieu à la fin du 20ème siècle et au début du 21ème siècle revêt une importance capitale. Dès sa création, l’organisation régionale représentait le symbole de l’avancement démocratique dans ses pays membres mais elle doit aujourd’hui faire face à un recul en termes de gouvernance démocratique et d’influence. Elle s’est imposée comme étant la plus av ... -
August 9, 2022Communities in northern Côte d’Ivoire report an ongoing pattern of questioning, ethnically- motivated arrests, and abuse, in contrast to the good relationships with local forces and police they had until two years ago*. In one case, the national army arrested a number of men, beat them, and held them for up to two months**. In response to extremist attacks, Côte d’Ivoire has increased the military presence in the north, creating a special forces’ base and sending more military per ... -
August 5, 2022Le conflit russo-ukrainien fragilise la sécurité alimentaire d'un grand nombre de pays africains, la Russie et l'Ukraine étant deux acteurs majeurs du marché agricole mondial, particulièrement celui du blé. C'est pourquoi, l'approvisionnement en blé du continent est au premier rang concerné par ce conflit qui perdure, dont le premier enseignement concerne le risque de non approvisionnement, en blé russe et ukrainien, des pays qui en sont le plus dépendants. Cette étude montre qu'il ... -
August 3, 2022The timing was perfect for analyzing the “African Security in times of uncertainties”. The Rabat-based “Policy Center For The New South” programmed its 6th “African Peace d Security Annual Conference” (APSACO) on July 20/21 to focus on the historic challenge of our time-the world, Africa in particular, struggling to find stability while war s waged in Central Europe, and 25 million tons of wheat and fertilizers needed to feed the starving population, millions on the African contin ... -
July 22, 2022L'ancienne secrétaire d'État chargée des Affaires étrangères et des Droits de l'homme, Rama Yade, met le point sur la position de l’Europe face aux difficultés de l’Afrique en temps d’inc ...
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July 22, 2022“February 24, 2022,” noted Robert Pszczel in « Nato Review”(July 7, 2022),”is likely to engrave itself on the history template of the contemporary world.”Pszczel, a Senior fellow at the Polanski Foundation, Warsaw, and former Polish diplomat serving as director of the NATO information office in Moscow for half a decade, judged Russia’s unprovoked, unjustified invasion of Ukraine is not only a “manifestation of a huge security danger that has shattered peace in Europe”, but “has ... -
July 21, 20222021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
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July 21, 2022كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
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July 21, 2022L'année 2021 a été le théâtre de perturbations géopolitiques et de troubles géoéconomiques à l'échelle mondiale. À mesure que les événements s'accélèrent, nous entrons dans une période de transition géopolitique et géoéconomique ; la fin d'un cycle historique laissant présager les persp...
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July 20, 2022L'année 2021 a été le théâtre de perturbations géopolitiques et de troubles géoéconomiques à l'échelle mondiale. À mesure que les événements s'accélèrent, nous entrons dans une période de transition géopolitique et géoéconomique ; la fin d'un cycle historique laissant présager les persp...
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July 20, 20222021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
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July 20, 2022كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
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July 19, 2022يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة أهم التحديات التي تواجهها القارة الإفريقية مع عبد الحق باسو ، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. خلال هذه الحلقة ، يستعرض عبد الحق باسو التحديات الأمنية الرئيسية التي تواجه البلدان الأفريقي...
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July 19, 2022Les missions militaires de l’Union européenne (UE) en Afrique revêtent aujourd’hui, à l’heure de la réinvention du partenariat euro-africain, une importance considérable. Alors que Bruxelles entend plus que jamais s’imposer comme l’un des garants de la sécurité au niveau mondial, tout en se mesurant aux nouveaux rapports de force mondiaux, elle tient parallèlement à devenir un acteur incontournable en matière de paix, de surcroît motivé par la prolifération des risques ... -
July 12, 2022October 22, 1962. One of those days in history to be forever part of destiny- warships of the Soviet Union confronting the US Navy off Cuba, an ally of Moscow, which convinced Fidel Castro to participate in a secret conspiracy: the stationing of strategic nuclear missiles on the island, located just 90 miles off the continental United States. Once discovered, US President John F. Kennedy ordered a naval quarantine on Moscow's ships. History would be repeated another time on a differ ... -
June 30, 2022In this episode of Africafé, Rida Lyammouri will talk about the ongoing conflicts in the Sahel, evoking the instability in Mali and Burkina Faso and suggests ways forward for greater engagement from the international community in helping fragile states in the region. ...
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June 27, 2022Three questions to Jamal Machrouh This article was initially published on https://www.institutmontaigne.org/ Morocco was among the countries not taking part in the March 2 UN General Assembly vote following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This position raised questions in Europe as Morocco is Europe's largest partner in the Maghreb. Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, sheds light on Morocco's perceived neutrality in the Ukrainian conflict in o ... -
June 27, 2022Hardly any declaration of war against Russian culture Dostojevsky, Tolstoy, Pasternak, Pushkin, Nabokov, Turgenev, icons of Russian literature, breathing the soul of mother Russia, the depth of heavy historical burdens and despair, touched by nostalgia for Holy, Imperial Russia and cruelty of dictators like Stalin, the national conscience and pride wounded by invasions of Nazi Germany and Napoleon. Rachmaninov, Prokofiev, Shostakovich, Tchaikovsky, Mussorgsky, Rachmaninoff, revelat ... -
June 16, 2022Les Dialogues stratégiques, une collaboration entre le HEC Center for Geopolitics et le Policy Center for the New South représentent une plateforme d’analyse et d’échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques ainsi que le monde universitaire et les médias au service d’une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et les grandes questions d’importance commune pour l’Europe et l’Afrique. Cette publication est ... -
June 8, 2022The Moroccan Observatory on Extremism and Violence is organizing its second International Conference on Countering Violent Extremism in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South, the Islamic World Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, The General Delegation for P...
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May 27, 2022Estimates by UNESCO place 127 landmarks in Ukraine as damaged, including 11 museums, 54 religious buildings, and 15 monuments. The situation is alarming and the toll is considerably getti ...
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May 27, 2022How did an insurrection in Northern Mozambique escalate into a crisis that is drawing myriad external actors, and risks destabilizing the region? What are the colonial and Cold War origins of this conflict in Cabo Delgado? Why is Rwanda such a prominent intervener? How are tensions between Kigali, Maputo and Pretoria playing out in the peacekeeping operation now underway? ... -
May 20, 2022Traders have worried that the war involving Russia and Ukraine could stoke inflation, further disrupt supply chains and derail the global economic recovery. Scarcity of food has led to ri ...
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May 19, 2022Any enforcement of peace through violence is absurd Fear is not an adequate description of the feeling when bombs explode in your vicinity and you feel an invisible, destructive wave envelop your body, soul, and mind. Tears may flow, screams are to be absorbed by those whose legs or arms are ripped out of their bodies by the blast-they may be blind forever, never hear a sound again, but in your subconscious, the blasts will never desert you ever., Thunderstorms remind-soaked you ... -
May 17, 2022Ce thème, abordé au Centre HEC de Géopolitique à Jouy-en-Josas, lors de la 12e édition des Dialogues stratégiques avec le Policy Center for the New South, une rencontre semestrielle, a permis de revenir dans le détail sur cette zone qui relie la Méditerranée à l’océan Indien, à la jointure de trois continents : l’Asie, l’Afrique et l’Europe. Cette route maritime qui s’étend sur plus de 2 200 km, pour une largeur qui varie de 300 km à moins de 30 km entre Djibouti et le Yémen, représ ... -
May 13, 2022Depuis 2016, le Policy Center for the New South et le Centre HEC de Géopolitique organisent chaque année deux éditions des « Dialogues Stratégiques ». Cette plateforme d’analyse et d’échange réunit des experts, des chercheurs provenant de différents think-tanks et du monde académique, d...
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May 13, 2022Lorsque l'on pense aux conflits de guerres, on pense surtout aux batailles militaires et au bras de fer diplomatique, mais il y a aussi un élément qui joue un rôle crucial dans le dévelop ...
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May 12, 2022An HRW report details the massacre of at least 300 civilians in the central Malian town of Moura — the deadliest single atrocity in the country’s decade-long armed conflict. Most of the victims were from the Peuhl ethnic group. The widespread political and social exclusion of the Peuhl puts them at further risk of this type of violence and drives a cycle of grievances and fear that empowers violent extremist organizations (VEOs) and impedes peacebuilding. National governments and in ... -
May 10, 2022Les crises internationales de type de la guerre en Ukraine constituent des ruptures historiques qui induisent des changements profonds de paradigmes, mais aussi de systèmes d’alliances et de marges d’influence. Elles produisent, à terme, une nouvelle configuration des rapports de force, ce qui exige des acteurs des capacités d’anticipation et d’adaptation. Le continent Africain se trouve géopolitiquement, et en quelque sorte géographiquement, à la première loge de la guerre d ... -
May 6, 2022The war in Ukraine ignited fierce opposition on grounds of principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity. Populations weighed in the balance of power. Yet, for principles invoked against Russia to find universal resonance, the West should ensure it acts in accordance with these principles. Global solidarity implies treating all peoples equally. ... -
May 6, 2022La guerre d’Ukraine a suscité une vive réprobation au nom des principes de souveraineté et d’intégrité territoriale. Les populations ont pesé dans le rapport de force. Néanmoins, pour que les principes invoqués contre la Russie puissent nourrir un consensus universel, l’Occident devra lui-même agir en conformité avec eux. Une solidarité planétaire suppose de traiter tous les peuples de la même manière. ... -
April 29, 2022Following on the heels of the COVID-19 pandemic and severe drought in North Africa, the Russian invasion of Ukraine – large exporters of food and, in the case of Russia, energy— may inflict increased hunger on the food insecure in Morocco – despite mitigating measures by the government. Morocco is so far successfully shielding its large poor and vulnerable population by subsidizing essential commodities. With memories of the violent protests during the 2007/08 food and fuel crisis s ... -
April 27, 2022Le retrait des troupes américaines d’Afghanistan et la reconquête, rapide et sans résistance notable, du pouvoir par les Talibans, a ouvert un nouveau chapitre dans l’histoire particulièrement tumultueuse de ce pays. La mise en oeuvre de la décision américaine a suscité des remous sur le plan interne et des critiques sur le plan extérieur, particulièrement de la part des alliés et des partenaires de Washington. Les engagements pris par les Talibans en vertu de l’Accord signé le 29 f ... -
April 26, 2022يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة التحديات الأمنية بمنطقة وسط إفريقيا مع عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. تواجه منطقة وسط إفريقيا العديد من التحديات ذات الطابع الأمني. في مقابل ذلك، تكتسي المنطقة باعتبار ...
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April 21, 2022Rim Berahab évoque les raisons de la crise de l’énergie que nous vivons actuellement et parle de leur impact sur le continent africain. ...
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April 21, 2022On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a military action in Ukraine. This operation and subsequent events is having a global impact, with far-reaching political and economic implications. In the short term, the conflict will affect the global economy through three main channels: financia...
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April 15, 2022Although there have been efforts to regulate the privatization of security, the problem is not the lack of international regulation, but the lack of convergence between international and national law on one hand, and government regulation and industry self-regulation, on the other. The growing number of actors in the contemporary security environment has added a layer of complexity, as it made accountability more diffuse and difficult to track, since the responsibility lies with mul ... -
April 13, 2022La guerre russo-ukrainienne est engagée sur de nombreux théâtres, y compris celui de l'information et de la communication. A travers des dynamiques hybrides, anciens et nouveaux médias, sont mobilisés à la fois à des fins d'information, de persuasion et de propagande, avec en toile de fond une crise sous-jacente, celle des fake news. Chaque camp est soucieux de contrôler ses messages et de relayer son propre cadrage. D'un côté, la communication russe cherche à légitimer ... -
April 13, 2022يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة آثار الحرب في اوكرانيا على الاقتصاد العالمي مع فتح الله ولعلو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد بعد اندلاع الحرب الأوكرانية الروسية في أواخر شهر فبراير من هذا العام، كان الكل يتوجس من تدا...
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April 13, 2022The war between Russia and Ukraine unfolds on many theaters, including information and communication. Hybrid strategies and media old and new are utilized for information, persuasion and propaganda, with one underlying predicament, fake news, constantly lurking. Each side is keen on controlling its messages and relaying its narrative. On one hand, Russian communication seeks to legitimize its action and turn the opponent's camp from oppressed to provocateur. On the other, Ukrainian ... -
April 08, 2022L’Ukraine et la Russie comptent parmi les plus grands exportateurs de blé au monde et jouent un rôle capital dans la sécurité alimentaire dans le globe. Or, plusieurs pays d'Afrique se re ...
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March 29, 2022The heavy financial sanctions on Russia after the invasion of Ukraine sparked speculations that the weaponization of access to reserves in dollars, euros, pounds, and yen would spark a division in the international monetary order. China would tend to strengthen its own international payments system and accelerate the establishment of its currency – the Renminbi – as a rival reserve currency to reduce its vulnerability to moves of a similar nature against it. Countries facing geopoli ... -
March 29, 2022Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Black Sea granary, severely impacts global wheat markets, and especially hits the two warring parties' primary importing countries/clients. This study examines impacts of this war on Africa, where bread is a basic staple. This brings us to start with a review of broad market data, with Russia and Ukraine respectively ranking first and fifth among global wheat exporters, and the European Union (EU) gaining an edge as an alternative to the U.S./Canada ... -
March 29, 2022L'invasion, par la Russie, de l'Ukraine, grenier à blé de la mer Noire, impacte lourdement le marché mondial de cette denrée, en premier lieu les principaux pays/clients importateurs des deux belligérants. L'objet de cette étude est d'analyser les conséquences de cette guerre pour l’Afrique, continent où le pain est un aliment de base. Ce qui nous conduit, tout d'abord, à rappeler les données générales de ce marché, avec une Russie et une Ukraine respectivement au premier et cinquiè ... -
March 25, 2022The debate around the use of private military and security companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency i ...
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March 25, 2022Africafé est une émission du Policy Center for the New South qui décrypte l’actualité des organisations africaines et de l’Afrique. A travers de courtes interviews, l’émission tente de proposer d’aborder de manière pédagogique les enjeux des organisations africaines et l’actualité du co...
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March 22, 2022African states are in a vulnerable position. The invasion of Ukraine could affect food security and trigger a spike in oil prices, inflicting economic duress on African households. The Black Sea region is home to vast fertile farmlands, and war in the “breadbasket of the world” could threaten wheat and fertilizer supplies. Increased economic hardship and social discontent do not bode well for democratic governance in Africa, especially in light of the recent spate of military coups. ... -
March 17, 2022“Turkey’s turn to Africa is the result of several factors: the economic liberalization process undertaken in the 1990s, Ankara’s aim for greater voice in international institutions, and Turkey's rivalry with Egypt and the Gulf states. Scholars have observed that Turkey's public diplomacy, which some have dubbed the “Ankara consensus” is consciously designed as an alternative to the Washington consensus of neoliberal economic growth and the Beijing consensus of state-led growth, that ... -
March 16, 2022Of all the regions included in this report series, Tillabéri is the region that scores best when it comes to both general community resilience, as well as traditional and religious authorities’ functioning. The region is not as exposed to shocks as Est (Burkina Faso) and Ménaka (Mali), and its ability to recover from shocks is high compared to the other regions. Trust in traditional and religious authorities is comparatively high as is their equal treatment of different subgroups in ... -
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155:30 pm March 2022تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكانية الاصطدام المسلّح بين روسيا وحلف شمال الاطلسي، والحرب النووية. الّا أن انعكاسات الحرب لا تقتصر على اوروبا والغرب، بل تأثّر سلباً على الاقتصاد الدولي ودول الجنوب، وتهدّد الامن الغذائي في دول كثيرة، خاصة في المنطقة العربية وفي افريقيا ولفهم هذه الازمة بمختلف أبعادها ووضعها في سياقاتها النظرية والتاريخية والأمنية ومناقشة تأثيراتها الحاليّة أو المتوقَّعة في المدى القريب، ينظّم مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصّة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء ستركّز على الأحداث الجارية في اوكرانيا وستطرح فرضي ... -
March 15, 2022تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكا...
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March 15, 2022The war in Ukraine is bringing substantial financial, commodity price, and supply chain shocks to the global economy. Sanctions on Russia are already having a significant impact on its financial system and its economy. Price shocks will have a global impact. Energy and commodity prices—including wheat and other grains—have risen, intensifying inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions and the recovery from the pandemic. The push toward relative deglobalization received fro ... -
March 11, 2022L'opération militaire lancée le 24 février 2022 par les forces armées russes à l'intérieur du territoire de l’Ukraine a pour objectif déclaré d'empêcher l’Organisation du Traité de l’Atlantique Nord (OTAN) de se rapprocher de l”étranger proche” russe et de changer le régime à Kiev. Cette guerre, déclenchée par un membre permanent du Conseil de sécurité, a été menée en violation des principes cardinaux de la Charte des Nations unies. Elle a mis le monde au bord d’ ... -
March 11, 2022As of March 3, 2022, one week into the Russian invasion, over 1 million refugees (2.3% of the Ukrainian population) have fled Ukraine to neighboring European countries, notably Poland, as well as Hungary, Moldova, and Slovakia[1]. While the sheer flow of refugees is poised to generate the largest migration crisis in Europe since World War II, the response of European countries is substantially different from the one caused by the Syrian refugee crisis of 2015 - 1 million refugees i ... -
March 11, 2022Is Moscow really risking to be knocked to the floor, or can it land counterpunches? Will the removal of Russian banks from SWIFT, the international payment system, have the desired effect ...
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March 9, 2022The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 9th edition, the GTI provides a comprehensive summary of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism. It analyses a number of vital aspects of terrorism such as...
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March 7, 2022More than two years ago I wrote in a report: “The current downward security trends in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso should serve as a wake-up call for the states in the Gulf of Guinea, mainly Ivory Coast, Ghana, Togo, and Benin.” Recent attacks in the northern Ivory Coast and Benin show that signs of earlier years now have taken on unique characteristics. Signs of the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) to coastal states have been there since at least since 2015. The ... -
March 04, 20221 million de personnes ont déjà fui l’Ukraine et affluent vers les pays voisins notamment la Roumanie, la Hongrie, la Slovaquie et la Pologne. L’ONU estime que la crise pourrait déplacer ...
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March 4, 2022The economic sanctions against Russia announced last week by the United States and Europe following the military invasion of Ukraine are having a profound impact on the Russian economy while also having repercussions at home. As in a boxing match, the expectation is that blows to the opponent can knock them out, despite the exposure on the punching side. The United States has applied some sectoral and limited economic sanctions against Russia since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 ... -
March 3, 2022A l’issue de la première semaine de l’invasion russe, soit au 03 mars 2022, plus de 1 million de réfugiés (2,3% de la population ukrainienne) ont quitté l’Ukraine à destination de pays européens limitrophes, notamment la Pologne, mais aussi des autres pays comme la Hongrie, la Moldavie ou la Slovaquie[1]. Alors que le flux des réfugiés est sur le point de devenir la plus grande crise migratoire en Europe depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale, la réaction des pays européens est très diff ... -
March 2, 2022La situation sécuritaire dans le Sahel central est à ce point dégradée que la menace djihadiste déborde désormais sur la partie nord des pays côtiers d’Afrique de l’Ouest. Les régions de l’Est et des Cascades au Burkina Faso ou celles de Sikasso et de Kayes au Mali constituent des bases arrière permettant aux groupes djihadistes – et principalement à la Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM) pour l’instant – de s’étendre au Bénin, en Côte d’Ivoire, et dans une moindre mesure au T ... -
March 2, 2022The purpose of this second paper is to highlight the involvement of mercenaries in decolonization processes in Africa on one hand, and the emergence of Private Military and Security Companies since the 1990s on another hand. The main argument is that despite the change in the structure of private contractors operating in Africa, their essence remains the same: security in exchange of mining concessions. Hence, the paper analyses to what extent mining companies have contributed to th ... -
March 1, 2022Dag Hammarskjöld, ancien secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies (ONU) avait, mieux que quiconque, résumé le rôle et les limites de l’organisation onusienne en proclamant que « L'ONU n'a pas été créée pour emmener l'humanité au paradis, mais pour la sauver de l'enfer ». Cette vision minimaliste et, au demeurant, réaliste, de la capacité de l’ONU à réguler les rapports internationaux, cadre parfaitement avec la maturation inachevée du processus d’évolution du droit int ... -
March 1, 2022Dans un contexte de gouvernance complexe, où autorités traditionnelles et modernes se côtoient même si leur pouvoir décroît, le Mali connait depuis de nombreuses années une situation sécuritaire alarmante, notamment dans le centre du pays. La montée des tensions entre communautés agricoles et pastorales est aggravée par la présence de groupes extrémistes. La population du Cercle de Niono, dans la région de Ségou, a été victime de violences inouïes pendant plusieurs mois avant que de ... -
February 28, 2022This article was initially published on usip.org The presence of CBAGs raises issues that force a rethink of local implementation of peacebuilding processes. The RESOLVE Network’s multiyear research on Community-Based Armed Groups (CBAGs) has established critical findings for the international community on how to engage, manage and transform violent actors in conflict-affected states. While mitigation efforts tend to target anti-state extremist organizations, understanding the ... -
February 22, 2022“Once upon a time a classic first line in fairy tales, used by Charles Dickens, for example in his “A Christmas card” in 1843, or Charles Perrault, the French poet, writer of “Cinderella” and “Sleeping Beauty”, both published in 1697 in “histoires ou contes du temp passé” Once upon a time suggests a nostalgic touch, the good old, romantic days glamourized because negative memories are annihilated and deposed in the dustbin of the human mind. Once upon a time, Beirut, the capital ci ... -
February 22, 2022Le sommet afro-européen des 17 et 18 février 2022 à Bruxelles marque la sixième édition de la rencontre de haut niveau entre les deux continents. Ce sommet, organisé traditionnellement en alternance entre l’Afrique et l’Europe, intervient dans un contexte régional et international marqué par la perspective de sortie de la pandémie de la Covid-19, l’épreuve de force entre l’Occident et la Russie et les turbulences que connaissent certaines régions africaines. Face à une E ... -
February 18, 2022Presiding over the Council of the European Union, France has big ambitions but enormous challenges ahead. Migration remains a deeply divisive topic, and European sovereignty in the techno ...
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February 17, 2022Les coups d’état se sont enchainés dans l’actualité africaine, avec quatre pays suspendus par l’Union africaine en une année civile, la sécurité au Sahel avance à reculons. L’invité de ce ...
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February 14, 2022“Hiring outsiders to fight your battles is as old as war itself”. Peter W. Singer (2011) Mercenaries, private contractors, soldiers of fortune, dogs of war, guns for hire, war lords ... These are some of the names given to individuals working for private companies that provide military and security services. The debate around the use of these companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency in modern conf ... -
February 11, 2022Violence is increasingly endangering the lives of populations throughout the Sahel. Amid this problematic situation, coup d’etats are multiplying. On January 23, a military coup d’etat wa ...
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February 11, 2022Almost ten years after the beginning of the security crisis in the Sahel, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger face a graver predicament than ever before. In the throes of multiple insurgencies, they and their foreign patrons, including France, have shown the limits of military containment. While these three countries are the victims of terrorist aggression, their crises also have deep domestic roots, including long-standing patterns of state abuses of their populations, even in the more d ... -
February 8, 2022مع أكرم زاوي، باحث في العلاقات الدولية ، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد ...
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January 31, 2022It has been more than 100 years since Germany manifested colonial power, a dark period of history indeed. Political and military leaders, supported by its ruler, Wilhelm II, Emperor of Germany and King of Prussia, committed crimes against humanity on African land. The first genocide of the 20th Century, mass killings of 65 000 Herero in Africa, today known as Namibia. Between 1904 and 1908, Germany suffocated humanity in concentration camps like Shark Island, forcing them into dead ... -
December 31, 2021In 2021 we’ve had the opportunity to host more than 50 experts in 60 episodes. We discussed economic, international relations, commodities, energy, gender, and security issues affecting t ...
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December 15, 2021How do you treat a brutal dictator who had lost power after 42 years, hiding in a drainpipe, after his convoy was attacked by fighter jets from the air? It was a bloody mess and not a pretty scene. The dictator had a few seconds to beg for his life, “what did I do to you», he gasped reported the London Guardian on October 22, 2011, and then his turbulent life came to an end, shot with a pistol. Triumphantly his assassin raised Gaddafi’s golden revolver -- a few minutes of global fam ... -
December 13, 2021This political analyst, expert in security issues and international development, describes her personality as « down to earth, curious », and not taking herself « very seriously ». Born in Seattle, half German and half Korean-American, she was raised « between three cultures ». After a decade living and working abroad in Rwanda, China, Afghanistan, the UK, and Myanmar, she is now based in Berlin. She’s fond of cooking and is a « beer nerd » – her German side, definitely. This 36 ye ...
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December 13, 2021La loi n° 10-20, relative à l'industrie de la défense, et son décret d’application, marquent un tournant dans le processus de modernisation de la politique de défense nationale. À considérer dans le prolongement de ses efforts d’émergence industrielle, le nouveau dispositif juridique vise la mise en place des fondements solides pour une industrie de défense marocaine pérenne. En plus de sa cohérence et exhaustivité normatives, le nouveau dispositif juridique est conforme aux exigenc ... -
December 10, 2021The Cabo insurgency constitutes one of the most significant threats to peace and security in Southern Africa subregion. This podcast explores the various challenges the insurgency in this ...
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December 9, 2021A summit on the African vision of Sahel’s future with a focus on development around the 5 Sahelian Ministers of Economy and the report “Sahel: Moving Beyond Military Containment” ...
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December 8, 2021The Polish memory of oppression, occupation, the holocaust, Nazi occupation, and communist dictators is burned into the national soul and conscience. A Polish born Pope, Jean Paul II, supported the long national struggle for freedom, giving faith to Poland’s 38 million citizens, mainly Catholic. Freedom turned into a national treasure. Membership of the European Union, achieved in May 2004, promised a path towards social justice, wealth, and global acceptance of their abused homela ...
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December 6, 2021Thanks to the positive momentum in transatlantic relations brought about by the arrival of the Biden administration, significant progress is expected on a range of key digital issues. New rules are emerging that are designed to level the playing field for economic actors and ensure the respect of civil liberties, while significant new investments in technological innovation are taking place amid considerable industrial reorganizations. This paper proposes to shed light on seven part ... -
December 3, 2021Not all is quiet on the Chinese/Chinese front. Warships are sailing through the Taiwan Strait. One day, an American missile guided US destroyer, the next a Canadian Frigate, some Chinese submarines, or one of Beijing’s new aircraft carriers. Shadows of a new cold war, possibly turning into an unpredictable escalation. America’s National Public Radio (NPR) reporter Scott Neuman stated (October 6, 2021), “Taiwan says tensions with China are at their worst in 4 decades.” With the situ ...
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December 1, 2021This young and outspoken Ghanaian citizen, a peace and security expert with a focus on gender, describes herself as “engaging, accomodating and seeking”. Born and raised in Ghana, Joana has a deep knowledge of her country, as her father was transferred a lot throughout his career. Her family has also spent some time in Louisville, Kentucky. As a teenager, her dreams were definitely altruist, as she wanted to become a photojournalist or a human rights lawyer. Since 2017, she is the ...
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December 1, 2021Tanzania has been closely following the evolution of the security situation in the region of Cabo Delgado in Mozambique. Worsening living conditions and safety in this bordering region suggest the eruption of a multifaceted security and human threat of transnational magnitude. This paper looks at the different cultural, linguistic, and socio-economic ties that link Tanzania and Mozambique, while exploring how the security situation in Cabo Delgado might impact national security in T ... -
November 29, 2021The proliferation of community-based armed groups (CBAGs) in Mali’s Mopti and Ségou Regions has contributed to transforming Central Mali into a regional epicenter of conflict since 2016. Due to the lack of adequate presence of the state, certain vulnerable, conflict-affected communities resorted to embracing non-state armed groups as security umbrellas in the context of inter-communal violence. These local conflicts are the result of long-standing issues over increasing pressure on ... -
November 25, 2021Le présent Policy Brief suggère l’émergence d’une conscience géo-maritime au Maroc. Surtout, il expose un certain nombre de leviers qui pourraient être mobilisés par le pays (II) pour faire face aux enjeux que recèlent ses espaces maritimes et conforter son positionnement géopolitique global (I). ... -
November 12, 2021Près de trois ans après l’éviction d’el-Béchir du pouvoir et la formation d’un gouvernement de transition, composé de civils et de militaires, la situation politique et économique du Soudan est loin d’être stable. Bien que des progrès aient été enregistrés depuis décembre 2018, la transition démocratique a été interrompue brutalement suite à la prise du pouvoir par le général al-Burhan et sa décision de dissoudre le gouvernement civil. Malgré le climat d’instabilité et d’incertitude ...
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November 9, 2021Events in the Sahel, and Mali especially, are taking an uncertain and worrying turn. Mali witnessed two coups d’état in less than a year, while the West African Sahel went through its most violent year yet and there are no signs that the violence is slowing down. In the midst of this unprecedented instability, recent developments involving Mali’s transitional government and the international community, France in particular, provide no assurances that things are likely to improve any ... -
November 2, 2021In the Sahel, and Central Mali in particular, the proliferation of armed groups over the past decade has resulted in formal and informal non-state governance structures. This paper assesses the various definitions and typologies associated with rebel and jihadist governance in order to better understand the mechanisms of governance provision used by key non-state governance providers in Central Mali. ... -
October 29, 202114h00 – 15h00: Session II - L’Indo-Pacifique : contours et enjeux Panel 3 : Contours géoéconomiques et géopolitiques Modérateur: Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Intervenants: - L’AUKUS - Amiral Alain Oudot de Dainville, Ancien Chef d’État-Major de la Mar...
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October 29, 202109h00 – 09h15 Mots d’ouverture Karim El Aynaoui, Président Exécutif, Policy Center for the New South Pascal Chaigneau, Directeur du Centre HEC de Géopolitique 09h15 – 10h15 : Session I - L’impuissance de la puissance Panel 1 : L’Afghanistan, un sanctuaire pour les djihadistes ? Modéra...
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October 28, 2021Depuis l’accession au trône du Roi Mohammed VI, l’Afrique s’est transformée en priorité de la diplomatie marocaine. Sur le plan économique, l’Afrique est devenue le prolongement naturel du Maroc en termes d’investissements et d’implantations. Pascal Chaigneau s’attarde sur les relations affaiblies Europe-Afrique, l’ambitieuse relation Chine-Afrique ainsi que les relations entre la Russie, les Etats-Unis, la Turquie ou encore les pays du Golf et l’Afrique. Ce chapitre traite égalemen ... -
The Maghreb’s Outlook Towards the Sahel: An analysis of Morocco, Algeria, and Mauritania standpointsOctober 22, 2021Although the Sahel has become more prominent in policymaking circles because of its strategic importance and the urgent nature of the dangers that have become rife in the region, countrie ...
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October 21, 2021Le décès du président tchadien Idriss Deby, lors d’affrontements entre l’armée et les rebelles du FACT, a donné lieu à une prise de pouvoir par la junte militaire dirigée par Mahamat Deby, fils de l’ancien président. Le FACT, créé en 2016 dans le but de renverser le régime de Deby-père, à la tête du pays pendant près de trente ans, se trouve confronté au fils du président défunt. Ce Papier revient sur les origines du groupe rebelle, les affrontements fatals pour Idriss Deby, et sur ... -
October 18, 2021If any proof was needed that change was in the air and repression on the horizon, it was in the center of Kabul: a simple sign was changed, the Ministry of Women’s Affairs was turned into the Ministry for the Promotion of Virtues and Prevention of Vice. This was nothing less than the return of the Taliban’s moral police, well remembered by the older population, ready to enforce a harsh interpretation of the religious law, the Sharia, including stoning, amputation, lashing, and publi ...
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October 18, 2021In the last few months, the global order has been going through some fundamental changes which are affecting the competition between the great powers and have a direct impact on their relations with regional partners. Emerging challenges such as the climate change, cyberwarfare and artificial intelligence, hybrid warfare and non-state actors are shaping a new world that is profoundly different compared to the post-9/11 era, where the war on terrorism opened the gates to what have be ... -
October 15, 2021La bande sahélo-saharienne connaît, depuis quelques années, une instabilité liée à plusieurs facteurs: le terrorisme, les effets du changement climatique, les tensions ethniques et commun ...
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October 5, 2021Seconde nation la plus peuplée d’Afrique après le Nigeria, l’Éthiopie se distingue par un essor économique continu depuis trente ans. Des progrès notables sévèrement remis en question par le conflit avec la province du Tigré, qui dure depuis près d’un an. Pays phare de la Corne de l’Afrique, l’Éthiopie s’est distinguée par une croissance moyenne à deux chiffres (10 %) sur la période 2010-2019. Tombée à 6 % en 2020, celle-ci ne devrait pas dépasser 2 % en 2021 selon la Banque mondia ...
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September 24, 2021In July 2021, the United Nations issued a condemnation against the “dramatic rise” in attacks against “descent-based slaves” in Mali, calling the violence “unacceptable”[i]. The statement was in response to a tragic episode in the eastern region of Kayes, where landowners using machetes and rifles assaulted a group of indentured laborers to prevent them working on the landowners’ fields. Tomoya Okobata, the UN's Special Rapporteur on Contemporary Forms of Slavery, said these “assaul ...
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September 23, 2021The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) is organizing a public debate titled "Thriving on uncertainty: COVID-19 related opportunities for terrorist groups” on Thursday, September 23rd, 2021 at 3pm GMT+1. This webinar is the result of a Joint Policy Study, coordinated by our Senior Fe...
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September 20, 2021The COVID-19 pandemic has had a cataclysmic impact on all aspects of the functioning of our world. The relevance of the possibility of the spread of a global virus with the spread of terrorism is not immediately obvious as it is difficult for a direct causal link to be scientifically established. However, taking into consideration how state responses and pre-existing socioeconomic grievances can be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic can lead to innovative findings on how terrorist gr ... -
September 13, 2021The fifth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held from June 21-23, 2021, under the theme ‘Women, Peace, and Security in Africa’. The three- day event, hosted and organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of four panels and three workshops: • Panel 1: Bolstering Women’s Role in Conflict Prevention and Resolution • Panel 2: Integrating & Reinforcing The Gender Dimension in Security and Defense • Panel 3: Understanding to Act Bett ... -
August 24, 2021The Taliban movement took control of Afghanistan’s capital, Kabul, without confrontation or resistance, as soon as the president, Ashraf Ghani, fled the country. Afghan forces were not able to face the Taliban, despite of the fact that Taliban was technically outnumbered and outgunned by Afghan government forces. The New American administration first priority is to make US military mission in Afghanistan conclude by August 31st. Biden believes that the mission US army in Afghanistan ... -
August 11, 2021The ongoing war in the Tigray region of Ethiopia has resulted in the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in a decade. The escalating conflict has led to the death and displacement of thousands of civilians, raised ethnic tensions in Ethiopia, and caused a food crisis that could lead to widespread famine. Much can be said about this conflict—how it revolves around models of governance and conflicting visions of self-determination, and how its impact will be felt across the region. Here ... -
July 26, 2021La région nord-est du Mozambique, Cabo Delgado, est, depuis 2017, le théâtre d’une insurrection meurtrière, menée par un groupe, connu sous le nom de Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa et que la population locale dénomme « Al Shabab ». Considérée comme la plus pauvre du pays, cette région abrite une population à majorité musulmane et qui reste marginalisée dans les politiques publiques de développement du Gouvernement, malgré l’exploitation intensive des importantes ressources naturelles de son s ... -
July 09, 2021Dans ce podcast Abdelhak Bassou décrypte l’impact de la pandémie COVID-19 sur les activités terroristes en Afrique de l’ouest. En abordant les données géopolitiques antérieures à la pande ...
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July 02, 2021With the intensification of globalization dynamics, risks to the stability of the international system have grown to the extent that formerly localized threats are no longer locally conta ...
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June 25, 2021The German town of Dinslaken, roughly 70,000 residents, has not really made a mark on history, but the former coal mining community still managed to get onto the front pages of national newspapers. Dinslaken became a hotspot for German jihadis, ready to join the radical Islamic State. Between 2011 and 2013 an Islamic group, 25 members, rented space just next to the office of the local commissioner of integration. About half of the group followed the call to arms, to fight the infide ...
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June 23, 2021Les événements survenus ces sept dernières années en Irak et en Syrie constituent l'une des pages les plus sombres de l'histoire récente. Ce que l'on appelle l'État islamique (ÉI) a réussi à contrôler une zone de la taille de la Grande-Bretagne et à soumettre ses habitants d'une main de...
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June 23, 2021The events in Iraq and Syria over the last seven years constitute one of the darkest pages in recent history. The so-called Islamic State (IS) managed to control an area the size of Britain and dominated its residents with an iron fist. It subjugated, terrorized and confiscated property...
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June 23, 2021Cette édition du Rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique, la quatrième, s’inscrit dans la droite ligne de la philosophie et de l’esprit du Policy Center for the New South, qui milite pour une Afrique partie intégrante du Sud global et acteur, en devenir, dans les affaires mondiales. L’Afrique comme continent et comme espace est le théâtre où se déploient les actions des Africains pour réagir et interagir avec les conjonctures internationales, et l’Afrique comme populations et institutions ... -
June 22, 2021L'indice mondial de la paix (Global Peace Index), qui en est à sa quatorzième édition, est la publication phare de l'Institut pour l'économie et la paix (IEP- Institute for Economics & Peace). L'indice mondial de la paix (GPI) présente l'une des analyses basées sur des données les p...
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June 22, 2021PANEL 3 : COMPRENDRE POUR MIEUX AGIR : LES DIFFÉRENTS RÔLES DES FEMMES DANS L'EXTRÉMISME VIOLENT Président : Zineb BENALLA, PDG et fondatrice, Eirene Associates Int. Conférenciers : - Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South - Nayanka Paquete Perdigão, assoc...
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June 22, 2021The Global Peace Index is the flagship publication of the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) and is now on its fourteenth edition. The Global Peace Index (GPI) presents one of the most comprehensive data-driven analysis on trends in peace worldwide, the economic value of peace an...
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June 22, 2021PANEL 4 : RENFORCEMENT DE LA PRÉSENCE ET DE LA PARTICIPATION DES FEMMES DANS LES MISSIONS DE MAINTIEN DE LA PAIX Ce panel se propose de présenter les femmes soldats, les opérations de paix et l'amélioration de leur participation directe à différents niveaux des opérations de maintien de...
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June 22, 2021This panel aims to reveal servicewomen, peace operations, and improvement of their direct participation to different levels of peace operations. • Insights from peace operations missions in Africa. • Integration of gender perspectives in the peace operations. • Power of gender-crossing ...
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APSACO 2021 - PANEL 1: RENFORCER LE RÔLE DES FEMMES DANS LA PRÉVENTION ET LA RÉSOLUTION DES CONFLITSJune 21, 2021Ce panel s'intéressera au rôle et à la place des femmes dans la prévention et la résolution des conflits, tout en mettant en exergue les domaines qui méritent d'être renforcés : • Participation des femmes à la médiation et à la réconciliation nationale. • Leadership des femmes et proces...
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June 21, 2021OPENING REMARKS - Karim El Aynaoui, Executive President, Policy Center for the New South - Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South INTRODUCTORY CONVERSATION Chair: Mabingue Ngom, Regional Director, West & Central Africa, UNFPA Speakers: - Bineta Diop, Spe...
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June 21, 2021Panel 2 : Intégrer et promouvoir la dimension de genre dans les structures de sécurité et de défense Ce panel mettra en exergue la féminisation des systèmes de sécurité tout en s'intéressant aux expériences pratiques dans le cadre des : • Plans d'action « Femmes, Paix, Sécurité » en Afr...
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June 21, 2021This panel will examine the role and place of women in conflicts’ prevention and resolution while shedding the light on areas that should be enhanced: • Women participation in mediation and national reconciliation. • Women leadership and decision-making processes. • Raising awareness of...
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APSACO 2021 -PANEL2: INTEGRATING & REINFORCING THE GENDER DIMENSION IN SECURITY & DEFENSE STRUCTURESJune 21, 2021This panel will highlight feminization of Security Systems while exploring practical experiences as part of: • Action plans for « Women, Peace, Security » in Africa. • Reform proposals for the African security sector. • Countries emerging from conflicts or in transition. • Countries adv...
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June 21, 2021ALLOCUTIONS D'OUVERTURE - Karim El Aynaoui, président exécutif, Policy Center for the New South - Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South DISCUSSION INTRODUCTIVE Président : Mabingue Ngom, directeur régional du Fonds des Nations unies pour la population pour ...
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June 4, 2021Pour ce troisième épisode, Abdelhak Bassou évoque la menace terroriste au Sahel et les moyens de la combattre dans la région. En présentant le G5 Sahel et son rôle, notre spécialiste nous apporte une vision panoramique des enjeux sécuritaire dans la région. ...
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May 20, 2021The fourth edition of the African Peace & Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on September 23-25, 2020 under the theme ‘COVID-19 & Security in Africa.’ The three-day event, organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of two panels and two workshops: - Panel 1: The Security Sector in Africa During and After the COVID-19 Health Crisis - Panel 2: The Privatization of Violence in Africa: Non-State Armed Groups and Private Security - Workshop ... -
May 20, 2021In the face of repeated Europol-led crackdowns, and frequent flagging of content by the EU Internet Referral Unit (EU IRU), government agencies, anonymous users, and outfits specialising in countering terrorist propaganda—on the Telegram messaging application, as well as the frequent use of artificial intelligence to detect and remove terrorist propaganda on mainstream social media sites—terrorist organisations have adapted their propaganda output. Crackdowns and suspensions have fo ...
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May 4, 2021-Depuis 2016, le Policy Center for the New South et le Centre HEC de Géopolitique organisent chaque année deux éditions des « Dialogues Stratégiques ». Cette plateforme d’analyse et d’échange réunit des experts, des chercheurs provenant de différents think-tanks et du monde académique, ...
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May 4, 2021The Sahelian states of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso continue to face unprecedented violence arising from multidimensional conflicts. According to the Africa Center for Strategic Studies (2019), “the Sahel has experienced the most rapid increase in activity by militant groups of any region in Africa in recent years. Violent events involving extremist groups in the region have doubled every year since 2015”. In addition to the presence of multiple violent extremist organizations (VEO ...
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April 29, 2021Le Général Azem Bermandoa, porte-parole de l’armée tchadienne, a annoncé, le 20 avril 2021, à 11h00, sur les ondes de la télévision, le décès du président Idriss Déby. Le défunt, touché lors de combats dans le nord du pays, entre l’armée tchadienne et la rébellion du Front pour l’alternance et la concorde au Tchad (FACT), est décédé des suites de ses blessures. Selon certains observateurs, une réunion de négociations avec des membres du FACT se serait terminée par une fusillade qui ...
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April 20, 2021سيخصص برنامج حديث الثلاثاء حلقته لهذا الأسبوع إلى تحليل ومناقشة تمدد التنظيمات الإرهابية بإفريقيا وتداعياتها على الأمن القاري باستضافة عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. إن توالي الأزمات تؤثر على الأمن بالقارة الإفريقية بالإضافة إلى تنامي نشاط الجماعات الإرهاب...
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April 02, 2021In a world where conventional threats to public safety and international security are increasingly a back seat, the Covid-19 pandemic has opened a new chapter in the discussion on how to ...
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March 24, 2021Tillabéri region of Niger is witnessing unprecedented level of ethnic-based violence. The January 2 massacre caught the national and international actors’ attention, however; the event was preventable. Accessing communities through ethnically charged and other exploitative language has proved to be a game changer for the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) expansion since 2012. The failure of national and international actors to recognize the seriousness of the situa ... -
March 23, 2021Discussions around the special Issue of International Development Policy Panel 1 : Drug policies, Security & Peacebuilding The 12th volume of International Development Policy explores the relationship between international drug policy and development goals, both current and within a...
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March 18, 2021Depuis les années 1960s, la doctrine stratégique assiste à la montée en puissance progressive des armes dites « non-létales », d’abord comme concept, puis comme l’un des domaines des plus prometteurs de la prospective des technologies avancées. Dans cet article, les auteurs font une synthèse des armes « non- létales », accompagnée d’une réflexion pertinente sur l’hypothèse de la guerre propre. L’article apporte des éléments d’éclairage sur les caractéristiques techniques et juridiqu ... -
March 16, 2021يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقته الاسبوعية لحديث الثلاثاء لمناقشة الأزمة الليبية بين الفرص والتحديات، رفقة أكرم زاوي، باحث في العلاقات الدولية بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. تشكل الأزمة الليبية أحد أبرز الأزمات التي تشهدها منطقة شمال إفريقيا، ونظراً لتداعياتها المختلف...
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March 05, 2021يلاحظ اليوم أن عودة المقاتلين الأجانب إلى بلدانهم الأصلية يطرح العديد من التحديات والإشكالات أمام الحكومات. فعلى هذه الأخيرة تطوير مقاربات جديدة و متعددة الأوجه لمواجهة هذه الإشكالات التي ...
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February 18, 2021Session 5: Women and Violent Extremism The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la reinsertion (DGAPR), and...
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February 17, 2021The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la reinsertion (DGAPR), and the Rabita Mohammadia of Ulema, will o...
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February 17, 2021Session 3: Intellectual and Tactical Shifts in The Narratives of Extremism and hate speech The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administr...
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February 16, 2021Countering Violent Extremism: New Responses to New Challenges The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la r...
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February 16, 2021Faut-il se réjouir et/ou se féliciter de l’émergence, enfin, d’un accord annoncé autour du conflit libyen, dans un monde dont on nous dit que tout y est volatile, incertain, complexe et ambigu ? Ou, faut-il raison garder et attendre pour juger de la résilience des institutions nées des accords et du vote de Genève, face aux assauts de la Volatilité, de l’Incertitude, de la Complexité et de l’Ambiguïté ? Si on adopte la dernière attitude, il serait plus réaliste de saluer l’effort de ...
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February 16, 2021Countering Violent Extremism: New Responses to New Challenges The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la r...
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January 22, 2021Les ressources hydriques constituent un facteur stratégique qui engage la sécurité humaine des États. Cette situation est plus problématique pour les régions qui connaissent un stress hydrique. Aussi, les prévisions mondiales d’ici 2050 sonnent l’alarme des dangers de la raréfaction de l’eau dans toutes les régions du globe, même pour celles qui connaissent aujourd’hui une sorte d’abondance hydrique. Il est question, ici, d’aborder la problématique de l’eau et de son partage dans u ... -
January 15, 2021Ce Papier se focalise sur les formes locales de règlement des différends et de réconciliation, sous-étudiées dans les contextes conflictuels et post-conflictuels. L’accent y sera mis sur l’approche par le bas qui propose un nouveau récit de ces conflits et éclaire, à travers la dimension locale, de nouvelles pistes de reconstruction de la paix. Nous nous intéresserons au cas de la société civile syrienne, qui a connu un renouveau dans les pays voisins avec le soulèvement populaire e ... -
January 8, 2021The webinar will be part of a series to discuss the findings of the Global Terrorism Index 2020 and take a look at recent trends in the Sahel region. The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 8th edition, t...
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January 4, 2021Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso… L’insécurité fait tache d’huile au Sahel, menaçant de s’étendre aux pays du Golfe de Guinée. Le terrorisme a entraîné la formation de milices d’auto-défense communautaires, et ainsi créé des « friches » sécuritaires dans tout le Sahel, du Bassin du lac Tchad à la région du Liptako-Gourma. Les budgets consacrés à la défense augmentent, contrairement à ceux qui soutiennent le capital humain, santé et éducation. Dans un contexte de croissance démographique so ...
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December 22, 2020“When I got home late that night, the house was dark and Michelle was already asleep. After taking a shower and going through a stack of mail, I slipped under the covers and began drifting off. In that luminal space between wakefulness and sleep, I imagined myself stepping toward a portal of some sort, a bright and cold and airless place, uninhabited and severed from the world. And behind me, out of the darkness, I heard a voice, sharp and clear, as if someone were right next to me, ...
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December 16, 2020President Trump may not enact his threatened US drawdown of troops from the Sahel, but President Biden will still face pressure to end America’s “forever wars” and reduce the number of American lives and treasure lost to fighting terrorism in Africa. If the United States pulls back from...
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December 16, 2020Abdelhak Bassou, Senior Fellow au Policy Center for the New South, revient sur l’une des principales crises géopolitiques de ces dernières années, une crise qui se déroule à l’intersectio ...
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December 14, 2020Foreign powers are grappling for influence across the African continent, but competition has been particularly fierce in the Red Sea. With Ethiopia, long viewed as a bulwark against instability in the Horn of Africa, emerging from conflict, there is a new opportunity to cement the peace...
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December 11, 2020The Arab Spring led to the collapse of dictatorships that ruled the region for decades, creating a void that triggered increased rivalry between three axes seeking to expand influence and control in the region. Using the theoretical framework of ‘offensive realism’ developed by Mearsheimer, this paper analyzes the build-up and circumstances surrounding the intensification of the rivalry between Qatar/Turkey, Saudi Arabia/the UAE and Iran and how this rivalry has become a major drive ... -
December 10, 2020The Atlantic basin faces considerable challenges on multiple fronts. Financial and economic struggles, coupled with political shifts and social turmoil, are reshaping the region’s geopolitical landscape. Unemployment, poverty, violence, migration, extremism, climate change and other problems are on the rise and the need to tackle them effectively is pressing. To find adequate solutions to these challenges, it is crucial to create inclusive discussions between the North and the Sout ... -
December 10, 2020The purposeful dissemination of misleading or outright false information by news media and foreign state actors constitutes an increasingly important factor in both the growing erosion of trust in national institutions and political polarization in many countries around the world. The d...
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December 9, 2020The 2020 US elections have taken place amidst a highly polarized context, compounded by a devastating global health crisis, a far-reaching economic recession, and the mounting threat of populism worldwide, calling into question the limits of multilateral cooperation. The Presidential El...
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December 9, 2020Poker is a game for real men, cowboys, for example, ocean divers, stunt men, gambling away their meager pay. Poker is America, as oversized as its trucks, egos and steaks. Poker made its way from quaint southern New Orleans to the rough west, where gold diggers gambled away fortunes, and settlers risked their wagons and horses for a game of cards. Decades ago I met Johnny Moss, a descendent of this wild bunch in Las Vegas. He is the greatest poker player of our time, as his biograph ...
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November 27, 2020« Une terre promise » (Fayard), livre événement de Barack Obama, couvre sa campagne et les trois premières années de sa présidence. L’Egypte est le pays d’Afrique dont il parle le plus – et pas seulement à cause du Printemps arabe. L’Afrique occupe à peine 40 pages sur les 840 que comptent les mémoires de Barack Obama. La crise financière internationale, la loi Obama Care et le retrait des troupes d’Irak et Afghanistan ont retenu l’attention du président fraîchement élu. C’est l’Eg ...
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November 26, 2020The COVID-19 pandemic has shown, more than any other contemporary crisis, the need for concerted and coordinated actions between countries all over the world. However, the reluctance of many countries to work within traditional multilateral frameworks has pushed military organizations a...
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November 19, 2020The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated global vulnerabilities to diseases, thereby calling into question the extent to which health constitutes a pillar of homeland security. The increasing relevance of global health issues and their emergence as globalized security threats, have elevate...
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November 19, 2020Le mandat du président Trump qui, sauf miracle, s’achève en janvier 2021, avait soumis à rude épreuve les alliances des Etats-Unis d’Amérique avec plusieurs pays et entités européens et asiatiques. Plusieurs de ces alliés stratégiques des Etats-Unis avaient, alors, perdu confiance en l’esprit de solidarité qui a toujours empreint l’action étasunienne à leur égard, et amorcé des réflexions sur la construction de leurs propres systèmes de défense. L’arrivée à la Maison Blanche d’un no ... -
November 19, 2020In October 2014, Burkina Faso entered a new era when a social uprising resulted in the overthrow after 27 years of President Blaise Compaoré. The uprising was triggered by Compaoré’s attempt to amend the constitution so he could run for another term. In late 2015, Roch Marc Christian Kaboré was elected and sworn as a new president with high hopes for a new Burkina Faso. Corruption, democratic reforms, poverty, and economic development dominated President Kaboré’s inauguration speech ... -
November 10, 2020The COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by a shifting balance of power, with some analysts even predicting a new international order in the making. Emerging powers are contributing to the changing power dynamics by competing to increase the influence they have in political, economic, and security spheres. Africa is one of the key spaces where such strategic efforts have been taking place. In such a context, this paper assesses key drivers of emerging powers’ growing engagement ... -
October 27, 2020To commemorate the 75th anniversary of the United Nations, the Policy Center for the New South is pleased to organize a series of webinars to discuss key themes related to the role of the UN on the international scene. Moderator : Fethi Debbabi, Director, United Nations Information Cent...
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October 19, 2020To commemorate the 75th anniversary of the United Nations, the Policy Center for the New South is pleased to organize a series of webinars to discuss key themes related to the role of the UN on the international scene. Moderator: Mohammed Loulichki, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the ...
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October 16, 2020Dans ce huitième ouvrage, le Centre HEC de Géopolitique et le Policy Center for the New South présentent 13 papiers conjoints inspirés de la 8ème édition de la conférence annuelle des Dialogues Stratégiques, et enrichis par les auteurs. Lors de cette rencontre, qui a eu lieu le 17 octobre 2019, deux thèmes majeurs ont été discutés : Les défis de la navalisation et de la maritimisation du monde et l’insularité au sein de l’Union Africaine. Dans la première partie de l’ouvrage, les a ... -
October 13, 2020Following months of negotaitions, extremist group JNIM released three foreign and one Malian political leader hostages. Malian government led these talks while France and Italy played minor role, if any at all. JNIM received at least €10 million in addition to 204 of its members released from prison. One of the prisoners released is charged in the U.S. with the murder of a U.S. during Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso attack in 2016. Other members released would provide a major boost to JNI ... -
October 8, 2020The so-called QAnon conspiracy theory has inspired groups with millions of members on Facebook and is considered by some observers to be “a new American religion”. For the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation, however, the conspiracy theorists could pose a domestic terrorist threat. Q followers believe the baseless messages of their faceless leader(s) that a cabal of Satan-worshipping pedophiles is running a global child-trafficking ring and plotting against Donald Trump, who is bat ...
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October 5, 2020La pandémie de la Covid-19 a mis en exergue les limites de la « coopération internationale » et du multilatéralisme, cédant la place à une possible émergence de la coopération bilatérale, voire régionale, et à la mise en œuvre de Complexes régionaux de sécurité. La configuration actuelle du monde en fait un village global, où les Etats sont à l’image de leurs nations, plus connectés et interdépendants. Il est, certes, vrai que la mondialisation ne peut disparaître, mais peut, en rev ...
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September 25, 2020This workshop falls within UNECA’s contribution to “Silencing the Guns: Creating Conducive Conditions for Africa’s Development”. The overall objective of the workshop is to provide an overview of the principles that embody the human security approach and elaborate on the usage of human ...
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September 25, 2020Le Global Peace Index (GPI) est la publication phare de l'Institute for Economics & Peace (Institut pour l'économie et la paix - IEP) et en est actuellement à sa quatorzième édition. Il présente l'une des analyses de données les plus complètes sur les tendances de la paix dans le mo...
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September 25, 2020Cet atelier s'inscrit dans le cadre de la contribution de l'UNECA au thème « Faire taire les armes : créer des conditions propices au développement de l'Afrique ». L'objectif général de l'atelier est de donner un aperçu des principes qui incarnent l'approche de la sécurité humaine et de...
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September 25, 2020Le Global Peace Index (GPI) est la publication phare de l'Institute for Economics & Peace (Institut pour l'économie et la paix - IEP) et en est actuellement à sa quatorzième édition. Il présente l'une des analyses de données les plus complètes sur les tendances de la paix dans le mo...
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September 24, 2020With regards to human security in Africa, this panel will highlight the evolution of organized crimes in Africa while exploring the privatization of security under international Law: • Exploitation of the COVID-19 health crisis by extremist groups • Evolution of organized crime in Afric...
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September 24, 2020S'agissant de la sécurité humaine en Afrique, ce panel s'intéressera à l'évolution de la criminalité organisée en Afrique tout en se penchant sur la privatisation de la sécurité au regard du droit international : • Exploitation de la crise sanitaire due à la COVID-19 par des groupes ext...
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September 23, 2020This panel will examine the impact of the pandemic on security sector in Africa while shedding the light on areas that should be enhanced to counter conflicts and crimes under the rule of Law: • National strategies to counter borders threats • Securing the fight against COVID-19 and the...
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September 23, 2020Ce panel examinera l'impact de la pandémie sur le secteur de la sécurité en Afrique, tout en jetant la lumière sur les domaines qui devraient être renforcés pour contrer les conflits et les crimes dans le cadre de l'État de droit : • Stratégies nationales pour contrer les menaces aux fr...
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September 16, 2020Il semble pertinent, avant d’exposer un sujet aussi important qu’actuel, d’apporter deux remarques nécessaires. Elles auront la finalité, à la fois, de préciser les contours du sujet et de prendre en considération la réalité du droit international. La première remarque consiste à faire la distinction entre le droit international de l’eau et le droit international à l’eau. Ce dernier constitue un avatar du corpus du premier et une étape nouvelle dans sa « juridicisation » et son évol ... -
September 8, 2020The Middle East is currently witnessing a proliferation of nuclear programs that is the harbinger of headaches. A nuclear domino effect has occurred, and its implications are unpredictable but dangerous. Regional disarmament and non-proliferation initiatives are not in the cards and are becoming outdated concepts, especially since most Middle Eastern powers are systematically constructing nuclear facilities that could be used for military purposes. With shifting power dynamics shack ... -
September 8, 2020Les pays du Sahel font face à des changements politiques qui affectent négativement le continent africain dans son ensemble. Ce papier, tout en traitant la question des armées et de leurs implications dans des zones de conflits, notamment au Mali, pierre d’achoppement de la région, tente d’établir le lien essentiel entre sécurité et développement. La nécessaire importance à accorder au renforcement des institutions nationales est aussi en filigrane des arguments développés. This ch ... -
September 3, 2020Au moment où elle fêtait le passage à 2020, l’Afrique était loin de soupçonner que l’année à laquelle elle faisait ses adieux, aurait le funeste “privilège” de porter dans ses registres d’Etat-civil, la naissance d’un virus qui allait paralyser le monde, dans la première moitié de l’année suivante. C’est sur cette Afrique de l’année pré-Covid-19 que portent les différents papiers du présent Rapport. Les uns, reflétant les espoirs, les ambitions et les projets africains et, les autre ... -
August 31, 2020Les découvertes géantes de gaz au Mozambique, soit 160 trillions de pieds cubes (4 530 milliards de mètres cubes), vont permettre à ce pays très pauvre (6 e produit national brut [PNB] par habitant – le plus faible du continent africain) de devenir un des futurs grands producteurs de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) au monde d’ici deux décennies. La plupart des majors occidentales et asiatiques sont théoriquement prêtes à investir plus d’une centaine de milliards de dollars (Mds de $) dan ... -
August 18, 2020Fragile, poor, and conflict-affected Sahelian countries of Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso were expected to witness catastrophic health and security situations following the emergence of COVID-19. However, the number of cases and deaths remained relatively low in all three countries compared to other parts of the world. Violent extremist organizations (VEOs) attempted to exploit the pandemic in their narratives, while continuing to conduct attacks in the region. Violence and attacks b ... -
August 13, 2020Une pandémie est, par définition, un défi transnational impactant l’ensemble des organes acteurs des relations internationales. Néanmoins, c’est d’une meilleure gestion des interactions - de nature coopérative ou conflictuelle-, des entités régionales du système international, dont dépendra l’efficacité des Complexes régionaux de Sécurité (CRS). Ambitionnant la création de relations privilégiées entre plusieurs Etats géographiquement rapprochés, les CRS se positionnent comme un cadr ... -
August 10, 2020While many states are adopting strict measures including containment and even border closures, some countries have used surveillance technologies to control the spread of the virus, and others are considering similar solutions. The most widespread device is the geolocation of smartphone data, digital tracing, cybersurveillance and facial recognition, the aim of which is to detect the movements of potentially contaminated people, warn populations likely to have been exposed to the vi ... -
August 6, 2020Il y a, d’abord, les premières images. Celles d’une gigantesque déflagration. Même les dizaines de déflagrations, dont nous parviennent régulièrement les clichés ou les films, et qui ont embrasé, ces dernières années, le Moyen-Orient, ne nous ont pas habitués à des images de cette violence. Puis, dans tous les esprits, en écho, viennent les théories sur l’origine de l’incident. Nous sommes au Liban. Les hypothèses d’attentat, de nouveau règlement de comptes sanglant entre puissance ...
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July 29, 2020Ce Papier a pour objet de considérer le blocage que connait le processus de résolution des conflits, en prenant la Syrie comme cas d’étude. Il s’agira de mettre l’accent sur les changements instaurés par le nouvel ordre global dans les zones de conflit, avant d’approfondir la réflexion sur les retombées et les limites sur le plan pratique. Pour se faire, l’analyse se focalisera sur l’étude de la transformation des conflits et des nouveaux défis et dysfonctionnements initiés par le n ... -
July 29, 2020Parler de de l’Union africaine sans évoquer la place qu’y occupe le Maroc serait incomplet, car le Royaume a contribué activement à la construction africaine, s’en est séparé, en signe de protestation contre le non-respect de la légalité internationale par les organes de la défunte Organisation de l’Unité africaine pour, ensuite, y retourner, dans le cadre de l’Union africaine. Doit-on parler de retour ou d’admission ? Indépendamment de la réponse apportée à cette question, il convi ... -
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June 30, 2020Russia is trying to gain a foothold in Africa via subversion and disinformation tactics. Under the leadership of President Vladimir Putin, Russia increased its interference in Africa by sending mercenaries to show force as opposed to making direct security interventions. At the same time, Russia struck arms deals and plans to expand its military presence. Russia also used social and broadcast media to support national leaders and other actors involved in conflicts. Although Russia’s ... -
June 26, 2020Peace was near, most of the 5000 Taliban fighters were released—one condition for serious peace negotiations—and a city was selected for the negotiations between the Taliban and the Afghan government: Doha, Qatar. But an invisible enemy committed sabotage. COVID-19 brought down members of both sides. Worse: the Taliban’s supreme leader, Mullah Hibatullah Akhundzada was rumored to be on the threshold of death. NATO’s new senior civilian representative in Afghanistan, Stefano Pontecor ...
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June 23, 2020La sous-région d’Afrique australe fait face, à l’aune de la crise sanitaire et socio-économique provoquée par la pandémie de coronavirus, à une situation de forte incertitude. L’émergence ...
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June 19, 2020Alors que de nombreux Etats adoptent des mesures strictes appelant au confinement et allant jusqu’à la fermeture des frontières, certains pays ont eu recours aux technologies de surveillance afin de contrôler la propagation du virus, alors que d’autres se penchent sur des solutions similaires. Le dispositif le plus répandu est la géolocalisation des données smartphones, le traçage numérique, la cyber-surveillance et la reconnaissance faciale, dont l’objectif consiste à détecter les ... -
June 15, 2020La Covid-19, menace conjoncturelle en dépit des impacts néfastes attendus, ne doit pas nous détourner complètement de menaces en phase de devenir structurelles et menacer toute une région dans son existence. Le terrorisme au Sahel et dans la région du Lac Tchad s’est avéré résilient face aux efforts jusqu’à présent déployés. Non seulement il n’a pas été vaincu au Sahel mais il avance vers son objectif final : atteindre l’Atlantique à travers les pays côtiers de l’Afrique de l’Ouest. ...
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June 3, 2020China, which in 1984 signed a treaty to take over Hong Kong from Britain, agreeing to rule it until 2047 as an autonomous Hong Kong Special Administrative region, has suddenly turned impatient. It has announced to the world that the idea that the former colony could be managed, as the formal agreement stipulates, as “one nation, two systems” for another 27 years, was an illusion, and the city is endangered by chaotic demonstrations by a violent democracy movement, supported by fore ...
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June 3, 2020Plus de cinq mois se sont écoulés depuis l’apparition du premier cas du Virus Covid-19 dont le bilan mondial provisoire est estimé, aujourd’hui, à plus de six millions de personnes affectées et 400.000 victimes. Durant toute cette période, le Conseil de Sécurité des Nations unies n’a pas été en mesure d’adopter une position sous quelle forme que ce soit concernant la nouvelle pandémie. La raison majeure de cette défaillance est la lutte de puissance entre les Etats-Unis et la Chine, ...
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June 2, 2020Héros méconnus de la lutte contre le Covid-19, les professionnels du secteur de la santé publique ont assuré leurs charges avec des ressources qui se sont avérées insuffisantes : le déficit de personnels spécialisés, amplifié par des problèmes de logistique, ont fortement porté préjudice à l’efficacité de leurs actions. Face à cette situation contraignante, nombreux sont les Etats qui ont appelé leurs armées en renfort, eu égard à leur expertise en matière de gestion des risques, me ... -
May 27, 2020In discussing the potential role of peacekeeping missions in the context of the threat of the Coronavirus pandemic, two main issues arise. The first is of a legal nature, and the second is linked to the management of expenditures and budgets. Legally, the duties of peacekeeping missions are defined by the United Nations Security Council resolutions that mandate the creation of a mission. Financially, UN member states have become less willing to finance peacekeeping operations (PKO ... -
May 21, 2020The COVID-19 pandemic, while primarily a public health matter, has brought about a number of concerns related to its economic, social and political impact. The deadly virus is increasingly imposing itself as a threat to international peace and security, and the stability of countries, e...
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May 19, 2020المسير: عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد المتدخلون: خالد الشڭراوي، باحث بارز، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد أمال الوصيف، باحثة في العلاقات الدولية متخصصة في الهجرة، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد أكرم زاوي، باحث في العلاقات الدولية متخصصة في شمال إفر...
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May 6, 2020The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) believes in filling in the generational and perception gaps, and this can only be achieved when the younger generations of leaders and professionals are given a seat at the table, to challenge the established perspectives and forward the conversations. The PCNS supports youth as the leaders of today and has faith in their capacity to inflict change in the present. It also believes in: intergenerational dialogue and co-leadership; youth as a ... -
May 04, 2020Elie Tenenbaum passe ici en revue les principaux développements ayant trait à l’intervention française dans la région du Sahel. Après quelques rappels liminaires sur la géographie régiona ...
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April 29, 2020Kim Jong-un, the dictator of North Korea, disappeared from public view after an appearance at a Workers' Party politburo meeting on April 11. The unpredictable leader did not appear to celebrate the anniversary of his grandfather’s birthday four days later, an important holiday for the nation. Then Mr Kim missed Military Foundation Day, on which he usually honors the military, the foundation of his absolute power. Rumors began to spread. The dictator was gravely ill, possibly dying. ...
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April 24, 2020In face of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic, use of evidence may be key to timely and precise decision-making. This policy brief explores the use of simulations in policy decisionmaking in the Brazilian State of São Paulo in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. We draw briefly on the literature on evidence-based public policy to highlight the exacerbated need for timely decision-making and the role evidence plays in guiding high-level decisionmakers amidst a crisis. We present examples of ... -
April 23, 2020Que ne doit-on concéder de nos libertés pour être protégés du Coronavirus ? partout dans notre monde en détresse -même chez les plus libéraux- l’Etat est appelé à la rescousse, il est sollicité et, même, avec insistance. Il est le seul à pouvoir déployer les moyens nécessaires à nous sauver, et personne d’autre que lui n’est assez fort pour imposer la discipline salvatrice. Exit tous les autres acteurs, place à l’Etat. Silence et respect, le Régalien est de retour. Hobbes retrouve s ...
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April 22, 2020Imagine you are one of the crew members of the nuclear-powered fast-attack submarine USS Connecticut, 1000 meters under the floating ice of the Arctic Ocean. Your three-month secret mission is only in its third week. Suddenly, the sailor above your bunk starts coughing, the neighbor signals he has a fever, and the onboard medical officer alerts his commanding officer that 55 of the 116 crew are showing advanced symptoms of COVID-19. There is no nearby human settlement to go to, just ...
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April 14, 2020Parallèlement à l’apparition du Covid-19 au début de l’année en cours, les différents foyers de tensions et de guerres ont vu se développer, entre les belligérants, des escalades dangereuses qui menacent la paix et la sécurité dans le monde. Du Yémen au Sahel, en passant par la Syrie et la Libye, le monde voyait les chances de retrouver la sérénité et la quiétude s’évaporer avec les tirs de mortiers, les raids aériens, les attaques de drones et le renforcement des lignes de fronts e ... -
April 13, 2020La pandémie du Covid-19 est un nouveau signal d’alarme incitant les pays à accorder la priorité à la santé dans le développement et dans la sécurité internationale. Depuis la pandémie du VIH/Sida et la flambée épidémique d’Ébola, les crises sanitaires sont entrées dans la sphère des compétences du Conseil de Sécurité des Nations unies, en devenant des menaces non traditionnelles à la paix et la sécurité internationales. Ce rapprochement entre la santé et la sécurité était à la base ... -
April 9, 2020Our Senior Fellow, Len Ishmael has contributed to the Quarterly Journal by Beyond the Horizon ISSG (Volume 3 Issue 1), under the theme « Influencing and Promoting Global Peace and Security Horizon Insights », with a Policy Paper where she addresses China’s use of crises to « deepen and extend power and influence in Europe and the world ». Standing in solidarity with countries in Europe and elsewhere in the fight against COVID-19, China scores a diplomatic coup and extends its claim ... -
April 8, 2020In January 2020, French president Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency summit for the heads of state of Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Chad (the G5 Sahel group). The participants agreed to set up the Coalition for the Sahel to tackle the region’s ongoing security crisis. The conflicts in the border regions of Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso have left more than 10,000 people dead, and displaced over a million. The French president committed an additional 600 troops to join t ... -
April 8, 2020The coronavirus pandemic represents a turning point in security studies, shedding light on the importance of the health of populations for sustaining the political, economic, and social health of the nation-state. Playing a role akin to the 9/11 events in propelling terrorism at the forefront of the global security agenda, COVID-19 reshuffles national security priorities. As such, the securitization of health has allowed the implementation of drastic exceptional measures aimed at co ... -
April 3, 2020His delicate, almost floating touches created a hitherto unseen aesthetic perfection: the enigmatic face the Mona Lisa. The mysterious woman, captured on a panel of poplar wood, is the work of a genius, possibly one of the greatest minds in human history: Leonardo da Vinci. But Da Vinci also had another obsession: the art of war. In a letter to the court of Ludovico Sforza, then ruler of Milan, the celebrated maestro wrote, “I will make covered vehicles, safe and unassailable which ...
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March 27, 2020Le virus Corona a laissé l'humanité désarmée et impuissante à y faire face. Les Etats y ont réagi en rangs dispersés, sans aucune coordination, et les Organisations internationales se sont limitées à alerter les Etats et à les inciter à prendre les mesures nécessaires pour faire face à la pandémie. Si le Secrétaire général de l’ONU a été parmi les premiers à “déclarer la guerre” a ce virus, le Conseil de Sécurité a brillé par son absence, alors qu’auparavant, il avait adopté des rés ... -
March 11, 2020West Africa has always played an essential role in African geopolitics. Although less thought of than north, south and east Africa, because of their envied strategic openings into both the Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean, West African countries are transforming themselves into a major African hub. For Britain, the completion of Brexit heralds a new era in its contemporary history. In this framework, West Africa is a crucial region for the United Kingdom’s long-term strategic goal ...
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March 5, 2020This essay aims first to place post-structural feminism –as an intellectual current- within the theoretical debates of security studies, challenging mainstream approaches by including gender as a challenging concept. Analysis done by post-structuralism scholars has shown that language is ontologically significant, that the intelligible world is a social construct, and that there is no objective or true meaning of something. Post-structural feminism introduces the concept of gender t ... -
February 20, 2020Questions: 1/ Is the civil war in Libya threatening the neighbouring nations ? 2/ In the recent Berlin conference on Libya the participants agreed to attempt a ceasefire and stop arms deliveries to various milicias and fighting groups. Are these credible proposals ? 3/ How do you explai...
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February 20, 2020The initiation and conduct of any negotiation are not solely dependent on the positions of parties, their willingness to make concessions and, possibly, the mediator's talent. Similarly, they do not merely hinge on the settlement of procedural issues and the adoption of technical arrangements designed to circumvent the parties' prior objections, to accommodate their sensitivities and to secure their acceptance of a code of conduct suited to each phase of the negotiations. Such techn ... -
February 3, 2020In November 2019, as a veteran peace advocate, I had a rare opportunity to be invited to attend the 2nd Paris Peace Forum in France through the nomination of the Policy Center for the New South. This gathering was of high paramount for me considering my role as a peace advocate but also as a former member of the National Working Group in Prevention of Violent Extremism in Tanzania. As an invited guest I did not want to be part of every agenda of the forum so instead, I targeted spec ...
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January 24, 2020C’est l’image d’une femme qui s’élève au milieu de la foule et s’exprime pour demander la paix, pour appeler à la fin des violences et des conflits. C’est une image qui a fait le tour du monde, une image devenue virale, prise ici ou ailleurs, du Soudan au Liban. C’est la photographie de la nouvelle géopolitique mondiale où les femmes refusent d’être uniquement représentées en victimes mais, au contraire, s’affirment en leaders, dirigeantes, diplomates, assises à la table des négocia ...
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January 17, 2020Ce papier tente, aux vues de l’état actuel des relations entre les Etats-Unis et l’Iran et des conjonctures qui traversent la région et le monde d’aujourd’hui, de prospecter les pistes d’évolution de la tension ambiante. S’achemine-t-on vers une guerre ? Quels en seront les acteurs ? Quelle en seraient la nature et les limites et, surtout, quels en seraient les impacts, sur la région et sur le monde ? Les réactions sont jusqu’à présent mitigées et se limitent aux formules diplomati ... -
January 15, 2020La récente déclaration du Secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies 1 et les relais dans les différents médias qui avancent que la situation au Mali qui se détériore de plus en plus serait presque un euphémisme, tant l’Etat malien souffre depuis 2013 d’un manque de stabilité patent. La perspective d’organisation d’élections législatives en 2020 demeure très incertaine au vu des attaques répétées des groupes terroristes qui, en plus de menacer la vie des Maliens, remette ...
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January 15, 2020“The Nightmare we feared has arrived” Death was late because the departure time of the plane was delayed. But death arrived- six minutes after takeoff from Tehran’s “Imam Khomeini International Airport. It was still dark, 6.12 hours’ local time, when flight 752 of “Ukraine International Airlines” took course toward Kyiv, the Ukraine capital three hours and fourty two minutes away. The Boeing 737 800 NG had reached 2400 meters, when the American military’s “Space Based Infrared Syst ...
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January 3, 2020La Libye entame l’année 2020 dans une atmosphère d’escalade. Le conflit s’internationalise et menace la stabilité d’au moins trois régions imbriquées par le fait géographique, les intérêts géopolitiques et par la continuité historique: - Toute la région méditerranéenne est concernée par la conjoncture libyenne. Qu’il s’agisse de sa partie orientale (Egypte, Turquie, Liban, Syrie, Israël, Chypre et Grèce) ou de son flanc occidental (Maroc, Algérie, Tunisie, France, Italie et Espagne ...
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December 25, 2019It is reported in 2017 that the world’s most active armed conflict zones involved disputes related to selfdetermination, with an estimated civilian death-toll of over 20 million, and there were over 60 ongoing selfdetermination conflicts in the world. While Brexit, Barcelona and Crimea’s separation from Ukraine have received worldwide attention today in respect to separatism, “Africa is home to a number of separatist movements”. In fact, separatism in Africa has been discussed compr ... -
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December 14, 2019...
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December 11, 2019The Atlantic Current’s 6th edition provides overview, fresh insights, latest data, and broader analysis on the Atlantic space’s current challenges, as well as their implications for the South. Different chapters explore emerging trends and critical issues, such as the World Trade Organization reform, Brexit and the future of EU, the expansion of militancy in the Sahel and Coastal Africa, the role of cultural diplomacy and the deepening of Sino-African relations within a shifting an ... -
December 7, 2019La présence de la France au Sahel n’est pas un sujet facile à discuter, à commenter ou à traiter. D’une part, l’intervention française, en 2013, (Opération Serval), avait permis de prolonger l’existence de l’Etat malien qui, sans l’opération française, n’aurait pas pu résister aux menées terroristes qui visaient Bamako. D’autre part, la présence française semble ne rien pouvoir changer à l’avancée du terrorisme dans la région, le phénomène semble même gagner du terrain devant l’imp ...
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December 3, 2019Le prix du meilleur roman africain de science-fiction au titre de l’année 2017 avait été remporté par Tade Thompson pour son livre intitulé «Rosewater» qui aborde l’histoire d’un agent des services de sécurité luttant contre les cyber-fraudes au Nigéria en 2066. Cette référence à un roman de science-fiction pour introduire les enjeux cybernétiques en Afrique n’est pas fortuite dans la mesure où le mot «cyberespace», inspiré du mot «cybernétique», fut utilisé, pour la première fois, ... -
December 02, 2019Alain Antil, Chercheur et Directeur du Centre Afrique Subsaharienne de l’IFRI, analyse la dégradation de la sécurité au Sahel à travers une cartographie des zones touchées par le terroris ...
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November 26, 2019Beyond the verbal anarchy celebrated by President Donald Trump, or the annihilation of abandoned Kurdish allies of the United States, the never ending destruction of Yemen, the threatening warfare against Iran, a massacre by Iraqi forces to intimidate protesters against a failing government, more gas and ammunition fired in Hong Kong to oppress untamable activist fearing their loss of freedom, Britain crashing out of the European Union, abandoning common sense and democratic dignity ...
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November 20, 2019His name was Heller. Gerhard Heller. For his friends in Paris he was just « Gérard » and not an insulting Fritz, a fridolin, a boche, or a chleuh. Heller was a symbol of power. He was a « Sonderfuehrer » in the « Propagandastaffel », practically a low level lieutenant, but for his French contacts he was the ruler of them all. Heller was the censor for French literature, a kind of Napoleon in Nazi uniform. He decided whether Sartre’s books would be published, or Camus. It was up to h ...
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November 19, 2019In the context of the Policy Center for the New South Partnership with Jean Monnet Network on Atlantic Studies, a project coordinated by the Fundação Getúlio Vargasand funded by the European Commission, under the Horizon 2020 research program, our Senior Fellow Abdelhak Bassou and researcher in International Relations Amal El Ouassif drafted the second chapter entitled : Understanding Terrorism and Organized Crime in Light of Fragile States: Case Study on Niger, Mali and Chad. The ... -
November 8, 2019Questions: 1/ Apparently, a potentially new element of tension is entering the Middle East, nuclear arms of Ankara- What is happening? 2/ If Turkey and Iran are both nuclear armed, what will be the consequences? 3/ How likely will it be that Turkey really makes such a dramatic step? ...
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Interview with Ghita Mezzour, Associate Professor (Rabat International University), on CybersecurityNovember 8, 2019Questions: 1) To what extent can the social dimension help fight cybercrime? 2) What is the added value of cybersecurity for the military institutions? 3) What is your appreciation of the current state of cybersecurity in the world? ...
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November 5, 2019Since 2013, armed conflict has raged in the Central African Republic, between the largely Muslim Seleka rebels and the predominantly Christian militias (known as the anti-Balaka). Rebel groups are controlling broad swathes of the country, exploiting mineral wealth, and levying taxes on cattle migration. Non-state actors such as the Popular Front for the Governance of the Central African Republic (FPRC), which claims to “govern” the country’s northeast, have severely tested the autho ... -
November 1, 2019Dans la nuit du samedi 26, Donald Trump, comme à son habitude, lance un tweet quelque peu énigmatique : ‘’Quelque chose d’énorme vient de se passer’’. Le porte-parole de la Maison Blanche renforce la devinette, en déclarant que le président ‘’fera, le dimanche 27 octobre à 9h, une annonce très importante’’, sans donner d’indices. Le suspens ne dura cependant que quelques minutes. Bien avant le rendez-vous fixé par Washington, des médias et des journalistes avancent l’éventuelle éli ...
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October 29, 2019Questions : 1/ Qualifierez-vous le Sommet Russie/Afrique de Sotchi de retrouvailles ou de consolidation des relations russo-africaines ? 2/ Vladimir Poutine parviendra-t-il à remettre la Russie au centre de l’Afrique ? 3/ Moscou ne risque-t-elle pas de gêner les présences européenne, am...
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October 29, 2019L’ Afrique de l’Est a le potentiel de connaître un boom gazier et d’ exportation de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) ces prochaines années grâce à plusieurs projets qui viennent d’être débloqués. Le Mozambique a ainsi sanctionné deux projets totalisant plus de 15 millions de tonnes par an (Mt/an) de gaz liquéfié et un troisième devrait être lancé d’ici la fin 2019. Un premier Floating Liquefied Natual Gas plant (FLNG) d’ ENI arrivera sur le marché en 2021-2022 et quatre autres trains de l ... -
Interview avec l’Amiral Nicolas Vaujour (France), sur les souverainetés conquérantes et la piraterieOctober 25, 2019Questions : 1/ Vous estimez que nous sommes entrés dans une ère de souverainetés conquérantes . Quelles en sont les conséquences pour les relations internationales ? 2/ Qu’est-ce qui fait que la stratégie de seuil est jugée comme étant gagnante ? 3/ En quoi diffère la piraterie dans le ...
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October 24, 2019Due to the prevailing nationalism, the prospect of increase in voluntary donation for humanitarian assistance by States and citizens in charity is depressing, though humanitarian crises are increasing and becoming complicated. Thus, MINUSMA, MINUSCA and G5 Sahel Joint Force lack funds. For starting discussions on the donation by citizens not in charity, Japan’s experience of Furusato Nozei, or ‘Hometown Donation Program’, will be briefly referred. ... -
October 18, 2019The third edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on June 18-19th 2019 under the theme “Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World”. The two-day event, organized by Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was launched with the publication of the Annual Report on Africa’s Geopolitics, Followed by five panels : - Panel 1: Africa and the world or How to balance Mutual perceptions; - Panel 2: Africa and the production of strategic and normati ... -
October 18, 2019D’édition en édition, African Peace and Security annual Conference (APSACO), l’un des rendez-vous annuels phares du Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), confirme son envergure de plate-forme d’échange et de partage en vue de permettre à l’Afrique de s’adjuger une place dans le marché mondial des idées. Dans son intervention lors de la 3ème édition, organisée les 18 et 19 juin 2019, avec pour thème ‘’ Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World’’, Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior ...
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October 17, 2019Questions : 1/ Which will be the consequences of the Turkish military operation in Syria? 2/ Did Washington betray its Kurdish allies? 3/ Will Isis be strenghtened by the Turkish move? ...
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October 9, 2019This paper suggests that tribal dynamics of power structure are key in reestablishing peace and development in the region. The Sahel region’s security challenges are directly influenced by tribalism and ethnic dynamics. In recent decades mistreatment, favoritism, and corruption allowed criminality and multidimensional conflicts to flourish. This is evident in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, Libya, and Chad. Lightly governed and poorly secured regions in these countries became more strate ... -
October 7, 2019A few months ago, Indian Prime Minister Modi announced that his country had improved its space capabilities by shooting down from Earth a low orbit satellite that was 300 km away in space. Most commentators assume that the destroyed target was an Indian satellite, presumably outdated or no longer fully functioning. Modi further reassured the international community by stating that the technology will only be used for security, peace, and development purposes, and that the act did no ...
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October 2, 2019With India looking more towards Africa as a home for sustainable partners, it is also looking at diversifying the areas of collaboration with several African countries, especially with Morocco. As early as 1967, India’s then Vice-President Zakir Hussain visited Morocco and set the tone for engagement between both countries. The latter has established diplomatic relations based on mutual understanding, tolerance and respect. Since then, the two countries have enjoyed fruitful relatio ...
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Entretien avec Bineta Diop, envoyée spéciale pour la paix et la sécurité auprès de l’Union africaineSeptember 23, 2019Les questions : 1/ Vingt ans après l’adoption, par le Conseil de sécurité de l’ONU, de la Résolution 1325, quel bilan faites-vous du Programme Femmes, paix et sécurité ? 2/ Ces dernières années, les armées ont commencé à prévoir une représentation féminine dans la composition de leurs c...
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September 17, 2019The author is an alumnus of theAtlantic Dialogues Emeging Leaders Program 2018. In the strategic waters near the straights of Hormuz in many ways such it’s the 1980s all over again. Recent mine attacks on maritime traffic and the capture of multiple vessels by Iran harks back to the so-called “Tanker War.” A nested conflict within the larger Iran-Iraq War the “Tanker War” involved American warships escorting oil tanker traffic through the Straights of Hormuz despite Iranian interd ...
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September 12, 2019A l'occasion de la commémoration des attentats du 11 septembre, le Policy Center for the New South a demandé à Abdelhak Bassou, expert en sécurité et Senior Fellow : 1/ Dans quelle mesure les attaques du 11 Septembre 2001 étaient venues mettre fin au ‘’monde ancien’’ ? 2/ Quel état des ...
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September 9, 2019One of the first sovereign decisions of independent Morocco was to create the Royal Armed Forces (FAR) on 14 May 1956. Since then, the mission of the Moroccan army is consistent with the country's historical continuity shaped by strategic constants, it has however been subject to both conceptual and operational pressures since the late 1990s, as the lines between defense and security have blurred. This paper explores the central issue of adjusting the Royal Armed Forces (FAR) to a r ... -
August 5, 2019The moon and space exploration are tempting more nations than ever. Global powers are preparing for possible space war. The visions of science fiction writers are approaching reality… “THAT BRIGHT LOVELINESS IN THE ETERNAL COLD” The moon was mysterious, the man on the moon an extravagant imagination, unreachable except in our fanciful mental images, or the make believe of science fiction authors. One day in December anno 1968, three men orbited the moon, really did, 240 000 miles ...
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July 10, 2019A new age world of understanding that requires skills and fair access to information. Where open data is met with harsh punishment and laws set without clarity. Here is a look at African’s take on cybersecurity. This article is published on the eve of the Ifri-PCNS Roundtable taking place in Paris under the theme "Global Cybersecurity Challenges: Disentangling Risks and Opportunities in International Politics." The digital era has brought about new forms of communication as well ...
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July 1, 2019Few weeks ago, I gained the chance of reading the UN Security Council resolution 2468 of 30 April on MINURSO , and was surprised by the frequently repeated expression of “Morocco, the Frente Polisario, Algeria, and Mauritania”, instead of the previous “all parties and neighbours”. Besides, it was reported that the US representative twice referred to “Morocco, the Frente Polisario, Algeria, and Mauritania” in his short remark in the Security Council meeting1. Shortly after that, I co ... -
July 1, 2019One week ago, Bahrain has hosted the "Peace to Prosperity" workshop to discuss what the United States has described as the economic part of President Donald Trump's "deal of the century", his proposal for solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Palestinian leadership boycotted the meeting on June 25 and 26 in Manama, leading critics to question the credibility of the event. Below is an international press review of events preceding the workshop by Helmut Sorge, former Foreign ...
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June 21, 2019The New York Times reported this morning that after the shot down of an U.S. drone by Iranian forces, President Trump ordered military retaliation, but called it off in the early phase. Below is a facts' review through the international press perspectives. “You are pushing everyone towards a confrontation” Unusually, the satellite images were not presented to the media. Possibly, the photos were taken from a submarine, or there was fear that the enemy could figure out who and how ...
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June 14, 2019Enhancing the strategic thinking on issues related to stability and security at the African level requires challenging the predominant classical conception of security towards a more comprehensive, supportive and inclusive approach. While traditional strategies are often based on military responses and hard power, it is necessary to emphasize soft power in all its dimensions, placing the individual at the heart of all conflict prevention and management methods. Some authors argue f ... -
June 12, 2019The illusion ended in an agricultural hamlet, a forgotten place in Eastern Syria named Baghuz Al-Fawqan. A fantasy, the resurrection of Islamic greatness and rules of a caliphate, known thirteen hundred years ago, reduced to a junkyard, a sober, disturbing, memorial of betrayal and misapprehension. Publicly the self-appointed caliph of the Islamic State, Abu Bakr al Baghadi, did not order his fighters to resist to the end, accept the fate of martyrs, promised to ascent to paradis ...
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May 29, 2019Helmut Sorge - Columnist, Policy Center for the New South www.policycenter.ma ...
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May 24, 2019On the eve of Britain’s exit from the European Union, the country is redefining its international approach. The United Kingdom has already taken action by becoming involved in new economic commitments, new trade agreements in Commonwealth countries but also from a diplomatic point of view in West Africa. While development aid remains a focal point of its intervention in Africa, it risks being undermined by the Brexit and its economic consequences. However, the United Kingdom is now ... -
May 23, 2019Un enlèvement au Bénin Le 1er de ce mois de mai, alors qu’éclatent au Bénin des violences au sujet des résultats des élections, deux touristes français sont enlevés au parc de Pendjari, au Nord-ouest du pays, à proximité des frontières avec le Burkina Faso. Trois jours, plus tard, les autorités béninoises confirment l’enlèvement et soulignent la découverte, dans le cadre de l’enquête, du corps d’un homme qui s’avérera, par la suite, être celui du guide béninois des touristes enlev ...
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May 16, 2019The author is an alumnus of the 2018 Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program Last year Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed took a big step toward stabilizing the Horn of Africa when he agreed to sign a long-disputed peace agreement with Eritrea - one that previous Ethiopian governments had refused to sign beca of the border demarcation within the agreement would seem to leave Ethiopia to blame for sparking the conflict in 1998 that eventually caused as many as a quarter of a mi ...
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May 9, 2019« Anything in this very interesting world is possible, but I believe that Kim Jong –un fully realizes the great economic potential of North Korea &will do nothing to interfere or end it .He also knows that I am with him &does not want to break his promise to me. A deal will happen. » (Donald Trump, twitter, 3.42 pm, may 4, 2019) The hat was black and already fashionable during murderous days of Adolf Hitler, Nazi-Germany’s dictator. The bizarre leader of North Korea had to ...
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May 3, 2019La chancelière allemande, Angela Merkel, effectue une visite officielle au Burkina Faso en ces débuts du mois de mai, accompagnée d’une délégation d’hommes d’affaires et de responsables de l’économie. La visite est assortie d’une participation à un Sommet du G5 Sahel, dont le Burkina assure présentement la présidence. Si la question de la sécurité et de la lutte contre le terrorisme reste toujours de mise, l’intérêt allemand pour la région, et surtout la nature de la délégation all ...
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May 3, 2019France appears to be relying on force to patch up problems in Africa, and particularly in Libya. None of this is compatible with President Macron’s lofty foreign policy declarations. French President Emmanuel Macron has classified colonisation as a crime against humanity. He is also keen to redefine the relationship with former French colonies. But in practice, there has never been a more ‘let’s go to war’ or ‘va t-en guerre’ attitude, in terms of its hopes for involvement in inter ...
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May 3, 2019Climate Security in the Sahel and the Mediterranean: Local and Regional Responses -- Patricia Patricia, Analyst, Elcano Royal Institute -- www.policycenter.ma ...
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May 2, 20192019 Addressing the new landscape of Terrorism -- Dr. Brigitte Nacos (Columbia University, USA) - www.policycenter.ma ...
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May 2, 20192019 Addressing the new landscape of Terrorism -- Dr. Houda Abadi (The Carter Centre, Morocco) - www.policycenter.ma ...
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May 2, 20192019 Addressing the new landscape of Terrorism -- Sammy Rangel (Life after Hate, USA) - www.policycenter.ma ...
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May 2, 20192019 Addressing the new landscape of Terrorism -- Hadelin Fremont, Responsable Prévention de l’extrémisme violent-Bruxelles-Belgique - www.policycenter.ma ...
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April 02, 2019Ce podcast est présenté par M. Julien Nocetti. L’intelligence artificielle est un sujet à la fois à la mode et difficile à traiter d’une perspective de politique internationale. L’intelli ...
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March 26, 2019The opening of the border between Ethiopia and Eritrea symbolized an important phase in the newfound relations between the two. Since their rapprochement in June 2018, events have occurred at a frenzied pace, yet much was still in the political arena and removed from demonstrating tangible benefits to average citizens. By opening the border, the leaders of Ethiopia and Eritrea changed that. Yet the border opening also reveals an insight into a previously isolated and largely closed ... -
February 27, 2019Comment peut-on définir la présence d’’’Al Quaïda’’, de l’organisation ‘’Etat islamique’’ ou de ‘’Boko Haram’’ sur la scène internationale ? Quelles sont leurs idées, leurs actions, leurs stratégies, leurs modes de communication nationaux et transnationaux ? Ces organisations prolongent-elles un projet politico-religieux dont il faudrait chercher les racines au début des années vingt, avec la fondation des Frères musulmans en Egypte ou, bien, s’agit-il de phénomènes politiques nouve ...
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February 21, 2019They just seemed like dragonflies, oversized species, menacing and reassuring at the same time. The rotor blades of the helicopters were reflecting the rays of the sun, unusually hot at these early morning hours. Graham Martin, the grey-haired US ambassador, was hurrying by foot to his residence a couple hundred yards away. He needed to get his black poodle, Nitnoy, and his suitcase. Washington had ordered the total evacuation of Saigon; the “Operation Frequent Wind” would try to sa ...
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January 4, 2019If you haven't read Part 1 of Cyberwarfare, click here. “THIS WEAPON WILL NOT BE PUT BACK IN THE BOX” In March 2018, the US Department of Homeland Security warned critical infrastructure operators of Russian cyberspace attacks targeting industrial control systems. Particularly endangered would be nuclear facilities, energy and water. Just recently, the Marriott /Starwood hotel chain revealed that hackers plundered 327 million guest files, including passport numbers and credit ca ...
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December 21, 2018Often described as an “ungoverned area”, the Niger-Libya border is nevertheless at the centre of major economic, political and security challenges. Both the Libyan authorities and the Nigerien state are struggling to establish tight control over this, particularly isolated area. However, local actors who live there are making their own modes of governance, based on individual and so far, barely institutionalised relationships. These local forms of regulation provide states in the su ... -
November 25, 2018Lors du Forum Russie-Afrique, tenu récemment à Moscou, le ministre russe des Affaires étrangères, Sergey Lavrov, a souligné que les relations entre son pays et ses partenaires africains ne seront pas “impactées par des facteurs extérieurs”. Venant du chef de la diplomatie russe depuis 2004, la formule peut paraître courte mais, à demi-mot, elle est porteuse de la détermination de Moscou de renforcer sa présence en Afrique, surtout que le forum de Moscou s’est tenu en préparation d ...
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November 12, 2018C’est l’opération de maintien de la paix la plus meurtrière de l’histoire. Installée en juin 2013, la Mission multidimensionnelle intégrée des Nations unies pour la stabilisation au Mali (Minusma) a déjà perdu près de 200 personnes. L’application des dispositions de l’accord de paix signé en 2015 entre le gouvernement malien et les groupes rebelles du Nord marque un grand retard. Pendant ce temps, l’insécurité, longtemps contenue à la seule partie septentrionale du pays, se répand a ...
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October 31, 2018There has been a flurry of activity in the Horn of Africa recently, where decades-old political disputes have suddenly been put to rest. The resulting changes have shattered the status quo in the region, putting the Horn on a new path where state-to-state relations are no longer marked by regional competition and frozen borders. While this has undoubtedly been a positive development for the region, one big piece of the puzzle has been the role of external actors in the process, and ...
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October 28, 2018Depuis l’annonce, par le Président Muhammad Buhari, de sa candidature à l’élection présidentielle de février 2019, le Nigéria vit une fièvre de campagne électorale prématurée. Du côté de la majorité, le temps est à assurer un deuxième mandat au Président en exercice et, dans les rangs de l’opposition, l’effort est consacré à la quête de la personne qui portera son fanion et au choix de la manière de contrer le All Progressive Congress (APC), aux affaires. Si la bataille pour l’acqui ... -
October 15, 2018Usually the gray colored drones take off from Dirkou in Northeastern Niger between ten at night and four in the morning. There are no signs of blinking lights, neither on the runway nor on the flying machines, signaling their presence. Niger’s interior minister Mohamed Bazoum pretends not to know about secret operations on a small commercial airport in his country’s desert region -“all I know is that they are American” (Penney et al, 2018). To be precise, we're talking about drones ...
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October 3, 2018TEARS OF JOY CHANGED INTO THOSE OF PAIN January 28, 1986. It was just another day in the whirlpool of news and speculations of a new Foreign Correspondent to be assigned to the White House. Shivering on his way to the most important political center of the Western World, resisting arctic cold and snow on the way to work, hardly ever seeing the President himself. Instead, he found himself on this fateful day in a rendez-vous with Tom Foley, majority leader in the House of Representa ...
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September 28, 2018“ARE THEY PLAYING US? I DO NOT KNOW” There they were, the North Koreans, covered by red flags, and more red flags — a Hollywood production indeed. Were the soldiers singing? There was nothing to sing about since they're marching for endless hours, being scrutinized by cameras and bothered by aching pains of hunger, unable to speak and stimulate their voice. The colonel in charge of the marchers may discover some rusty spot on a belt buckle or a truck on parade may run out of fuel - ...
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September 24, 2018La conférence « A Brave New World, Adapting to a changing security landscape », organisée par Friends of Europe, le 20 septembre 2018 à Bruxelles, a consisté en des tables rondes auxquelles ont participé Bouchra Rahmouni Benhida, Senior Research Fellow d'OCP Policy Center et Amal El Ouassif, Research Assistant, notamment sur les plus grands défis de la politique extérieure européenne. « C’était très gratifiant de voir distribuées, aujourd’hui, les conclusions sur la migration d’un b ...
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September 14, 2018A VACUUM ON THE SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA “L’Etat c’est moi, ” proclaimed Louis XIV on April 13, 1655. He was the state for 72 years and 110 days, the absolute monarch of France, who was "l’état lui meme" since he was four years old when his reign began. Louis made his nation the leading power in Europe, defining its foreign policy mainly through warfare. The monarch turned into a myth, surrounded by extravagance and luxurious exaggerations, the roi soleil dominating forever ...
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September 14, 2018Après dix-huit mois d’observation, les milices armées de Tripoli ont repris leurs luttes de pouvoir faisant, une quarantaine de morts, selon un bilan datant du 3 septembre 2018, et provoquant l’évasion de quelque quatre cent détenus de la prison d’Ain Zara. Après la rencontre de Paris, et la conquête du croissant pétrolifère libyen par le Maréchal Haftar, les milices armées semblent dos au mur se résolvant dans un ultime effort à faire partie, tambour battant, de la nouvelle phase d ...
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September 13, 2018In order to analyze – and act upon – this great civilizational revolution, we need new conceptual tools. The present political and social sciences are wanting. They were developed in close symbiosis with industrial era mechanical “hard” sciences. This paper tries to contribute to the effort of building new foundations for the “digital” 21st century political and social sciences by tapping into cognitive sciences and Artificial Intelligence insights – particularly “neural networks” r ... -
September 7, 2018This year marks 10 years since the first India-Africa Forum Summit took place, and represents an important moment to take an in-depth look at the India-Africa relationship. Going forward from the Delhi Declaration and the India-Africa Framework for Strategic Cooperation, Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi, and OCP Policy Center, Rabat, are bringing out a joint publication on bolstering India-Africa engagement to secure a common future in the 21st century. This publication take ... -
September 7, 2018Alors que le dialogue était totalement rompu entre l’Ethiopie et l’Erythrée, le nouveau premier ministre Ethiopien a pris le pays et la région complètement au dépourvu en annonçant, dès sa prise de fonction en avril 2018, son intention de tourner la page aux « années d'incompréhension » et de renouer le dialogue en mettant en œuvre les termes de l’Accord d’Alger signé en 2000, suite à une guerre fratricide (1998-2000) qui avait fait plus de 80000 morts. Le réchauffement entre les ...
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September 6, 2018Le partenariat Europe-Afrique-Méditerrannée Comment renforcer la relation historique entre l’Europe et l’Afrique, et faire en sorte que le développement des deux continents se fasse en osmose ? C’est la question qu’a posée Gilles Pargneaux, euro-député français issu du mouvement « En marche », dans sa présentation d’une conférence organisée en partenariat avec OCP Policy Center, au Parlement européen, à Bruxelles, le 4 septembre 2018. Président-fondateur de la Fondation EuroMedA ...
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September 3, 2018Bedrohung durch Iran “NEVER EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN” The President should have known better and reflected longer before firing verbal ballistic missiles towards the White House. No, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani got lost in some delusions other authoritarian leaders suffer from as well. “Iran’s power is deterrence,” the President of Iran insisted. “We have no fight or war with anyone but the enemies must understand well that war with Iran is the mother of all wars ...
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August 31, 2018En avril 2018, le président Donald Trump recevait, à la Maison-Blanche, le président nigérian, Muhammadu Buhari, qui venait d’annoncer sa candidature pour briguer un second mandat à la tête du Nigéria. La visite avait une valeur de première car, en effet, c’était la première visite officielle d'un dirigeant africain depuis l'investiture de Donald Trump. Les deux hommes tenaient à la réussite d’une telle visite : --Trump voulait, d’une part, consolider les relations avec un pays qui ...
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August 28, 2018A NATION CRAVING TO RETURN TO GREATNESS It was yet another turbulent episode reflecting the dark sides of politics and secret service conspiracies. Murder is the message. “Do not mess with us.” The killers wore turbans and spoke Arabic. What else is new? It was dark, not a good time to drive on a hellhole of a road in the Central African Republic, one of the poorest nations of the world. So poor that death has no price. Not many streets are paved and streetlights are as frequent as ...
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August 26, 2018Au cours des deux premières décennies du troisième millénaire, l’Organisation des Nations-Unies (ONU) a lancé un processus de réforme du maintien de la paix par le biais, notamment, de rapports, de doctrines, d’initiatives et de réformes institutionnelles. Dans la foulée, le Secrétaire général, M. António Guterres, s’est engagé devant le Conseil de sécurité, le 7 avril 2017, à améliorer les opérations de paix des Nations-Unies (OMPs), en confirmant que l’action onusienne dans ce dom ... -
August 26, 2018After a successful first edition, the second edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) took place in Rabat on June 18-19, 2018. This year’s edition focused on the prospects and opportunities of the peace and security spectrum, ranging from prevention to stabilization, while exploring ways to effectively protect the most vulnerable. Researchers, diplomats, military personnel, and representatives of think tanks, civil society and the private sector from s ... -
August 15, 2018“I DO NOT BELIEVE IN ISIS. I JUST WANT TO GO HOME” It was a cage. A size large enough to transport six sheep to the market. The cage was made out of wood, possibly the local carpenter was praised for his work by the President of the court. Wood is difficult to find these days, wood to resist the fury of a human being, forced to stand in the cage and listen to the verdict for his or her crime -- death by hanging, or life in prison. The woman standing in the cage on one of these hot ...
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August 8, 2018The African Union goes to Mauritania Under the theme “Winning the Fight Against Corruption”, the 31st Summit of the African Union was held in early July in the desert capital Nouakchott. In a bitter prelude in late June, the AU’s commitment to this central theme was dealt a blow with the sudden – and public – resignation of Ghana’s Daniel Batidam from the AU Advisory Board on Corruption. Off to a rocky start, the summit had an even rougher road ahead of it. A month before the lau ...
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July 27, 2018Arrivé au pouvoir le 2 avril 2018, le premier ministre Ethiopien Abiy Ahmed Ali, issu de la majorité oromo, a été imposé à une minorité tigréenne ayant cadenassé les postes à la tête de l'Etat, depuis la domination politique de la coalition de l'Ethiopian Peoples' Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) en 1991. Chef de l'Oromia Urban Development and Housing Bureau en charge des programmes de construction dans sa région, ainsi que vice-président de cette région peuplée de plus de 30 ...
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July 20, 2018Lors d’un séminaire, organisé par l’OCP Policy Center, le 20 juin 2018, à Rabat, des experts du jihad dans le Sahel se sont posé la question de l’extension ou du recul de ces groupes armés. La première partie du compte-rendu des discussions a été publiée ici. Selon Lemine Ould Salem, journaliste mauritanien et auteur de plusieurs livres sur le terrorisme dans le Sahel, « il n’existe pas historiquement de jihad sahélien, même si des épisodes historiques du jihad se sont déroulés sur ...
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July 19, 2018Recep Tayyip Erdogan was humming and he had reason to feel joyful. His people had entrusted him with reforming their constitution, which would give him more power, incredible power. Possibly, he could realize his dream after all, the revival of the Ottoman Empire. Such Turkish power last seen in the era of Osman I at the end of the 13th century in northern Anatolia. A neo-Ottoman, is it a vision of a megalomaniac? Would Saudi Arabia ever be willing to be ruled by a Turk? A Turk who ...
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July 5, 2018Cinq ans et demi après l’intervention militaire internationale conduite par la France pour chasser les jihadistes du nord du Mali, l’ancien Soudan français s’apprête à organiser une élection présidentielle censée accélérer le processus de paix issu des accords inter-maliens négociés à Alger et signés à Bamako en juin 2015. « Un scrutin décisif”, soutient en marge de l’African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organisé les 18 et 19 juin 2018 à Rabat au Maroc par l’OCP P ...
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June 29, 2018Not far from highway 95, near a town named Lathrop Wells, only one establishment, besides the petrol station, was known to the rough cowboys and joyless soldiers of the nearby nuclear testing site, and that was “Mabel’s whore house”, advertised as such without shame and ready to accept credit cards. Luigi Raugi, a legal immigrant (from Sicily), as it is wise to insist these repressing days of American immigrant bashing, was running the local drugstore and really excited, as were t ...
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June 28, 2018Qui sont les groupes jihadistes actifs dans le Sahel, vaste région de 3 millions de kilomètres carrés ? Quels sont leurs objectifs, leurs moyens d'action et comment évoluent-ils ? Quelles sont les solutions en cours pour faire face à ces groupes ? Les experts réunis lors du séminaire sur le Jihad au Sahel, organisé le 20 juin à Rabat par l’OCP Policy Center, ont tenté de répondre à ces questions. Recul ou extension ? La thèse du recul a été posée par une source française. Entre ...
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June 27, 2018Mahamat Saleh Annadif, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Chad, Special Representative for Mali and Head of MINUSMA www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 27, 2018Sara Rendtorff-Smith, Formerly, Protection of Civilians Officer, DPKO, Interim POC Advisor, MINUSCA www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 27, 2018Brigadier General Irvine Nii-Ayitey Aryeetey, Deputy Commandant, Kofi Annan International Peacekeeping Training Centre (KAIPTC) www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018Zhou Yuyuan, Senior Fellow, Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (SIIS) www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018Général Dominique Trinquand, Former Head, French Military Mission to the UN and NATO www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018Ewan Lawson, Senior Research Fellow for Military Influence, RUSI www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018General Jasbir Singh Lidder, Former UN Force Commander and Deputy Special Representative of the UN Secretary General in Sudan www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018Samuel Gahigi, Team Leader for West Africa and the Sahel, UN Department of Peacekeeping Operations www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018Colonel Raul Rivas, Chief of Plans and Strategy Division, US Africa Command www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 22, 2018Ambassador Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President, NATO Defense College Foundation www.ocppc.ma ...
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June 21, 2018Les panels programmés durant la deuxième journée de la conférence APSACO (le 19 juin) ont été consacrés aux principales priorités à traiter pour assurer la réussite des Opérations de Maintien de la Paix (OMP), notamment la protection des populations civiles et le renforcement des capacités des soldats de la paix. La protection des civils : approche modulaire pour une meilleure adaptation aux menaces Les intervenants ont été unanimes sur ce sujet : il doit être prioritaire dans le ...
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June 20, 2018Dans ce Podcast, nous avons fait réagir le Professeur Corentin Brustlein, chercheur à l’Institut Français des Relations Internationales (IFRI), sur le retrait des Etats-Unis d’Amérique de ...
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June 19, 2018The second edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organized in Rabat by OCP Policy Center, has started on June 18th with a broad debate on the political and strategic aspects of peacekeeping operations in Africa. Their financial cost was discussed right from the start of the Conference, as well as the ongoing reform processes engaged by the United Nations in addition to the African Union. “This cost is somewhat exaggerated,” said Rachid El Houdaigui, ...
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June 19, 2018Speakers: - General Birame Diop, Chief of Staff, Senegal Air Force - Colonel Raul Rivas, Chief of Plans and Strategy Division, US Africa Command - General Dominique Trinquand, Former Head, French Military Mission to the UN and NATO Chair: Kristin De Peyron, Head of Division, Pan-African...
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June 13, 2018On 29 May 2018, at the Summit organized by French President Emmanuel Macron at the Palais de l'Elysée in Paris, the four main players in the Libyan crisis approved a "Political Declaration on Libya" calling for the organization of both legislative and presidential elections on 10 December next. This "historic" text, as described by the French Head of State, is nevertheless in jeopardy given the complexity of the current situation in Libya. There have been countless initiatives to b ...
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June 13, 2018خلال القمة التي عقدها الرئيس الفرنسي إيمانويل ماكرون في قصر الإليزيه بباريس في 29 مايو 2018، صادق الفاعلون الرئيسيون الأربعة في الأزمة الليبية على "الإعلان السياسي بشأن ليبيا" الذي ينص على إجراء انتخابات برلمانية ورئاسية في 10 ديسمبر القادم. هذه الوثيقة "التاريخية"، كما جاء على لسان الرئيس الفرنسي، تظل مهددة بالتعقيدات التي تطبع الأوضاع على أرض الواقع في ليبيا. كثيرة هي المبادرات التي هدفت إلى إخراج ليبيا من الفوضى التي تتخبط فيها منذ انهيار نظام العقيد معمر القذافي في 2011. لكن حت ...
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June 11, 2018Donald Trump, a golf addict with a self-declared handicap of 3, is not noted for any chess enthusiasm, although the game is a simulation of a battle, and filled with military terminology such as double attack, demolition, breakthrough, decoying, interception, blockade, and x-ray attack among others. The historic game is intellectual, structured, and logic. The object is to maneuver the antagonist’s king into a position from which escape is impossible. The two contenders - at times - ...
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June 6, 2018Les quatre acteurs majeurs de la crise libyenne ont approuvé, le 29 mai 2018, lors du Sommet organisé par le Président français Emmanuel Macron au Palais de l’Elysée à Paris, une “Déclaration politique sur la Libye” qui prévoit l’organisation le 10 décembre prochain d’un double scrutin, législatif et présidentiel. Ce texte “historique”, selon le Chef de l’Etat français, reste cependant menacé par la complexité de la réalité sur le terrain libyen. On ne compte plus les initiatives v ...
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May 31, 2018He wore sunglasses. A traditional red and white checkered headscarf, a Bedouin Arab keffiyeh, covered his balding head. His combat uniform was khaki colored. When my host sat down he clamped his Kalachnikov with two hands, tucking the weapon to his chubby body, 5 feet and 4 inches in all. He was unshaven, with his famous three days beard. The tent was surrounded by armed guards, since we were meeting (in secret) in the Jordan Valley, near the Israeli-Jordanian border. Caution was ad ...
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May 30, 2018In a more chaotic and critical Mediterranean security environment that is facing a huge geopolitical change, the NATO alliance has found itself challenged by rival states across the spectrum of conflict. Russia, which represents an instance of this change, has acquired for the first time in its modern history a proper permanent base in the Mediterranean. Also, other geopolitical changes such as proliferation of ballistic missiles among both state and non-state actors around the Medi ...
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May 25, 2018Is it possible to reasonably reflect and analyze the Sahara conflict without taking into account, on the one hand, the relevance of both legal and extra-legal factors, and on the other hand, the interplay between the different stakeholders involved ? This intensely complex topic requires taking into consideration not only regulations of international law, but also the geopolitical, anthropological, and security aspects intertwined in the matter ... -
May 11, 2018Hugo Sada - Special Advisor, Dakar International Forum on Peace and Security in Africa. ...
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May 3, 2018This policy brief endeavors to instigate a re-evaluation of the role of the media in counter-terrorism practice. The mass media coverage of terrorist acts has created a situation where a symbiotic relationship is established between the media and terrorism. Both parties rely on each other to further strengthen their presence, which is disadvantageous towards counter-terrorism efforts, but simultaneously beneficial for both terrorist and media organisations. The media has become a pl ... -
May 3, 2018“Russia vows to shoot down any and all missiles fired at Syria. Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and smart” (Donald Trump on Twitter). A menace in 223 characters - an imaginary video game moving slowly towards the reality of Hiroshima. History on collision course with our future. No thought about victims, no word of destruction, just “you should not be partner with a gas killing animal, who kills his people and enjoys it.” The Commander in Chief of the Un ...
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April 27, 2018In this podcast, our senior fellow Marcus Vinicius de Freitas discusses the Iranian nuclear deal, transatlantic relations - namely the relations between Brazil and African countries - and ...
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April 23, 2018The 132nd day in the Gregorian calendar, anno 2018, will be part of history, a day future generations will most likely not forget, the 12th of May. Only history buffs will remember that on the 12th day of May, Napoleon conquered Venice, once known as the “Most Serene Republic”. On May 12th and the following days in the year of 1940, the Nazis crossed the Meuse and defeated France in a Blitzkrieg. England’s King George VI celebrated his coronation in 1937, on this same fateful day, w ...
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April 19, 2018L’Afrique centrale a fait l’objet du focus sous-régional de la deuxième partie des cinquièmes Dialogues stratégiques, une rencontre biannuelle organisée le 11 avril dernier à Paris par l’OCP Policy Center et HEC. Renouveler le partenariat Europe-Afrique Le débat s’est d’abord inscrit dans une réflexion générale sur « l’Afrique et le monde». Dans ce cadre, le partenariat traditionnel entre l’Afrique et l’Europe semble avoir besoin de se renouveler, dans la mesure où la politique e ...
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April 13, 2018L’avenir de l’Inde a fait débat le 11 avril en présence de 110 personnes, lors des 5èmes Dialogues stratégiques, une rencontre biannuelle organisée à Paris par l’OCP Policy Center et le Centre HEC de géopolitique. En 2050, l’Inde comptera 17 % de la population globale et aura le troisième PIB mondial. « Le ralentissement de la croissance en Chine n’occultera peut-être plus l’essor de cette grande démocratie », a noté Jacques Gravereau, président du HEC Eurasia Institute. Soulignan ...
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April 9, 2018Fidèle à sa tradition de diffuser la connaissance et de promouvoir le débat d’idées, l’OCP Policy Center a reçu, le 5 avril 2018, le journaliste mauritanien Lemine Ould Salem, pour la présentation de son tout dernier livre intitulé « L’histoire secrète du Djihad. D’al-Qaïda à l’Etat islamique», paru en janvier dernier aux éditions Flammarion. Dans cet ouvrage, l’auteur rapporte ses entrevues avec l’une des principales figures d’Al-Qaïda, Abou Hafs en l’occurrence, « conseiller spiri ...
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April 9, 2018Le Jihad contemporain, trajectoires croisées : Mokhtar BelMokhtar et Abu Hafs el mauritani www.ocppc.ma ...
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April 6, 2018The young women sitting in the Olympic ice hockey stadium of Kwandong, South Korea, were dressed like a group of gorgeous stewardesses on an outing after graduating from flight school, or as if they were celebrating the survival of an emergency landing. They applauded in a very methodical fashion, a well-studied rhythm that their eternal Supreme leader Kim Jong-Un certainly did not learn at his Swiss boarding school “Liebefeld Steinhoelzi” near Bern, Switzerland. Who dares to confir ...
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April 5, 2018Are we witnessing a third generation of jihadism rearing its head in the Sahel? In the wake of the globalised movement of jihad in the 1990s, spearheaded by Afghan jihadists and propelled forward by Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda, another trend has emerged in recent years with the advent of Daesh (also known as ISIS and ISIL) – a trend that is characterised by the territorialisation of the struggle and the revival of the Caliphate dream. These two movements have engaged in fierce conf ... -
April 5, 2018هل نشهد اليوم نشأة جيل ثالث من العنف في الساحل؟ بعد الظاهرة العالمية لتسعينيات القرن الماضي التي نشأت بدافع من المجاهدين الأفغان وقادها أسامة بن لادن وتنظيم القاعدة، برز مع ظهور تنظيم داعش خلال السنوات الأخيرة تيار جديد يتسم بأقلمة النضال وحُلم الخلافة. وخاضت هاتان الحركتان معركة صعبة على أرض الساحل المجزأة إلى العديد من الهياكل المؤلفة في البداية من قيادات تنحدر من المغرب العربي والشرق الأوسط. لكن، القطيعة المذهبية مع تنظيم القاعدة – الذي يدعو إلى مهاجمة الساكنة المدنية – وتراجع دا ... -
April 5, 2018Sommes-nous en train d’assister à l’émergence d’une troisième génération de jihadisme au Sahel ? Après le phénomène mondialisé des années 90 né sous l’impulsion des jihadistes afghans et porté par Oussama Ben Laden et Al Qaeda, un autre courant a vu le jour ces dernières années avec l’arrivée de Daech, caractérisé par une territorialisation de la lutte et le rêve d’un califat. Ces deux mouvements se sont livrés une rude bataille en terrain sahélien, fragmenté en plusieurs structures ... -
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March 30, 2018L’OCP Policy Center a eu la primeur de la présentation, par l’historien Jean Pierre Filiu, de son dernier livre « Généraux, gangsters et jihadistes. Histoire de la contre-révolution arabe », la toute première hors de son pays, la France. Une première dont il se réjouira au début du débat-échange autour de son ouvrage, tenue le 28 mars 2018, en partenariat avec l’Institut Français du Maroc. Habitué à faire appel à plusieurs disciplines scientifiques à la fois, telles que la science ...
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March 29, 2018The Soviet crew faced death in the depth of the Caribbean. Their submarine of the diesel powered “Foxtrott” class, registered as “B -52”, had been transformed into a gigantic metal coffin. It was in October 1962, the month when the world stopped breathing. The end, nuclear war, seemed near. Human civilization has never faced such an APOCALYPSE in history. The unthinkable was likely to happen. Washington and Moscow, here the leaders of the free capitalistic world, and there the repre ...
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March 13, 2018S’adressant à l’Occident en 1989, Alexandre Arbatov, conseiller diplomatique de Mikhaïl Gorbatchev avait dit : "nous allons vous rendre le pire des services, nous allons vous priver d'ennemi ". Ce que le russe n’avait pas prévu à ce moment, c’est que la disparition de l’Union Soviétique allait priver l’occident de bien plus que d’un ennemi : elle allait le priver de son identité. Durant la guerre froide, il existait un camp de l’Est et un camp de l’Ouest. Cet antagonisme donnait à ...
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January 23, 2018Dans ce briefing, Céline Pajon, chercheur au centre Asie de l’Institut Français des Relations Internationales (IFRI), expose la politique de sécurité du Japon en Afrique, qui connaît une ...
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December 22, 2017Depuis une vingtaine d’années, la réforme du secteur de sécurité (RSS) s’est imposée comme un outil indispensable de sortie de crise et de reconstruction des pays faibles et faillis, au cœur du continuum sécurité-développement. Il est temps de faire le bilan des leçons apprises sur la RSS et de proposer une analyse des bonnes pratiques et des leçons à tirer de ces expériences. Si les « bonnes RSS » sont assez rares, l’expérience acquise permet de dégager quelques principes d’action. ... -
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December 20, 2017La troisième et dernière journée de la conférence de haut niveau Atlantique Dialogues, organisée du 13 au 15 décembre à Marrakech par l’OCP Policy Center, a porté pour l’essentiel sur des questions de géopolitique africaine, ainsi que sur la “croissance sans emploi”, “les partenariats Sud-Sud” et les témoignages apportés par trois anciens présidents d’Argentine et du Costa-Rica sur les trajectoires de développement latino-américaines. “Sécurité dans le Sahel et implications transat ...
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December 15, 201714:00 – 15:15 Plenary IX: Lessons from Foreign Military Interventions in Africa Location: Ballroom Moderator: Zeinab Badawi, Director, 2 - Michel Duclos, French Diplomat and Senior Fellow, Institut Montaigne - Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President, Nato Defense College Foundation - Michell...
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December 15, 201714:00 – 15:15 Plenary IX: Lessons from Foreign Military Interventions in Africa Location: Ballroom Moderator: Zeinab Badawi, Director, Kush Communications - Michel Duclos, French Diplomat and Senior Fellow, Institut Montaigne - Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President, Nato Defense College Fo...
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December 12, 2017Countries in the Sahel are facing political changes that affect the rest of the continent and the world. The Sahel region has had a long history of vulnerability owing to dry land conditions, climate change as well as movements of people. These factors have resulted in porous frontiers ...
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December 12, 2017Africa has a history of foreign military interventions, dating back to the colonial era. The 21st century has seen an intensification of foreign and intra-African military intervention. The reasons include competition and the desire to maintain spheres of influence, the war on terrorism...
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December 7, 2017The CNN report broadcasted on November 14th on a sale of African migrants as slaves in Lybia has caused a wave of shock and protest. More than ever, the African migration, often perceived as a scourge, is on the agenda. The Atlantic Dialogues will discuss it in another way. Why ? Because the cold analysis of facts and figures shows that the African clandestine migration to Europe, far from an invasion, may well be an opportunity... « African Migration : A Cause for Panic ? » With ...
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November 20, 20171. Zuma vole au secours de Mugabe mais échoue : S’étant, de manière précipitée, porté au secours de son ami Robert Mugabe, Président du Zimbabwe, Jacob Zuma, président de l’Afrique du Sud s’est mis dans une position d’enlisement qui compromet l’avenir politique de son clan au sein de l’African National Congress. En effet, les événements se déroulent à quelques semaines du congrès du parti qui doit désigner son nouveau président. Avant d’analyser les conséquences sur Jacob Zuma de ...
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November 17, 2017The OCP Policy Center took part in The High Level Policy Dialogue on Conflict and Development in the Horn of Africa, jointly organized by the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Peace and Security Division on November 13th-15th, 2017 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Serving as a platform for discussion between policy-makers and experts, this dialogue provided relevant case studies and figures to understand the comp ...
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October 12, 2017Les théoriciens du Sud –mais aussi du Nord– participent de plus en plus aux débats mettant au centre les expériences du « Sud global » ainsi que le rôle de l’Afrique dans la nouvelle géo-économie mondiale. Le continent Africain subi encore des réflexions et théories qui ne prennent pas en considération les spécificités du développement et de l’émergence des sociétés africaines dans un contexte mondialisé contemporain. Dans cette optique, le colloque organisé par l’OCP Policy Center ...
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October 6, 2017Le message essentiel de ce Policy Brief porte sur les profondeurs dans la crise du Sahel. Certains aspects de la crise tels que la violence extrémiste, les migrations, le crime transnational ou encore la précarité ne sont que les symptômes d’une maladie qui ne fera qu’empirer si les causes réelles et profondes ne sont pas traitées. En prenant le cas du G5 Sahel, comme cadre pour des commodités de l’étude et de l’analyse, nous n’insinuons en aucun cas que la crise est limitée aux cin ... -
October 6, 2017This Policy Brief highlights the depths of the Sahel crisis. Some aspects of the crisis, such as extremist violence, migration, transnational crime and precariousness, are in fact symptoms of a disease that will only get worse if the real and deep causes are not addressed. Exploring the case of the G5 Sahel as a framework for the convenience of study and analysis does not imply that the crisis is limited to the five countries that are part of the G5 Sahel. Indeed, while specificitie ... -
August 25, 2017The current economic, political and geo-strategic dynamics, centered on the major regional groups, announce a reconfiguration of the international order in which Africa is called to play an important role through its main continental institution which is the Union African Union (AU). The AU is increasingly emerging as the continent's platform with foreign partners, and continues to face problems of dependence, governance and leadership. Therefore, in a critical and forward-looking a ... -
August 22, 2017This paper reports on the vital relationship between government and defence industries, and how the core features necessary for defence and security capabilities can be delivered in the national interest. The paper will examine how a defence acquisition process can be set up so as to enable defence businesses to thrive within and beyond national borders, and to ensure that they support the forward plans of government, the military and security services. Taking a seven stage approac ... -
August 4, 2017La Conférence Annuelle Africaine Sur la Paix et la Sécurité (APSACO), organisée par l’OCP Policy Center, s’est tenue les 10 et 11 juillet à Rabat. Cette première édition portant sur l’autonomie stratégique de l’Union Africaine (UA) avait pour but principal de mener une réflexion sérieuse et constructive sur les différentes options probables et réalistes de la montée en puissance de cette organisation internationale comme acteur autonome, mais interdépendant avec le monde. La Confére ... -
July 31, 2017The African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organized by the OCP Policy Center, was held from July 10 – 11, 2017 in Rabat. This first edition, focusing on the African Union’s (AU) strategic autonomy, aimed to facilitate a serious and constructive consideration of the various probable and realistic options for the rise of this international organization as an autonomous entity that is globally interdependent. The conference also aimed at launching a deep African debate ... -
July 7, 2017Ce Policy Brief traite de l’articulation entre le développement et la sécurité dans le bassin méditerranéen, ainsi que de l’implication des pays des deux rives, nord et sud, dans un partenariat assurant la sécurité nécessaire à un développement socio-économique conjoint. Les pays du Sahel prennent également part à l’analyse et conditionnent le succès des stratégies sécuritaires au Maghreb et au sein de l’Union Européenne. Le papier revient sur des exemples de pays riches mais frappé ... -
June 20, 2017The United States and Europe share a common interest in addressing the growing terrorist threats from North Africa. The emergence of ISIL as a force in the region — notably in Libya, but also in Egypt and to a lesser degree in Tunisia, Algeria, and Mali — is cause for genuine concern. The ISIL challenge is compounded by the persistence of older terrorist organizations, both local ones such as the region’s various Ansar al Sharias as well as al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), al ... -
June 14, 2017Le débat sur la défense est plus que jamais d’actualité dans un contexte mondial évolutif animé par la reconfiguration continue des équilibres géostratégiques et par le poids des conséquences de la crise économique et financière sur le budget des Etats : les politiques de défense seront-elles adaptées à leurs taches de demain ? Les stratèges des Etatsmajors auront-ils les moyens suffisants pour négocier efficacement le processus d’adaptation ? Outre la modernisation des systèmes d’a ... -
June 14, 2017The debate on defense is more relevant than ever in an evolving global context that is driven by the constant reconfiguration of geostrategic equilibriums and by the importance of the impacts of the economic and financial crisis on States’ budgets leading to pertinent questions such as: will defense policies be adapted to their future tasks? Will the military leaders’ strategists have sufficient means to effectively negotiate the adaptation process? In addition to the modernization ... -
May 05, 2017This podcast is performere by Mr. Eamiliano Alessandri. While possible, prospects for repairing existing fractures through multilateral dialogue and compromise have become elusive as cris ...
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April 13, 2017Cette publication conjointe entre HEC Center for Geopolitics et OCP Policy Center, compile douze Policy Papers qui ont été présentés, discutés et enrichis lors de la deuxième édition des Dialogues Stratégiques, une plateforme d’analyse et de débat stratégique autour des principaux enjeux géopolitiques et sécuritaires internationaux, mais également régionaux revêtant une importance capitale pour les continents européen et africain. Ce deuxième volume des Dialogues Stratégiques est co ... -
April 7, 2017While possible, prospects for repairing existing fractures through multilateral dialogue and compromise have become elusive as crises in the region persist. There are quite a few unfavorable conditions hindering the emergence of some form of multilateral security process: areas of hot conflict have widened in recent years making violence almost endemic in the region, in countries like Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Libya. The Middle East peace process is in a stalemate and already thin trus ... -
March 6, 2017The big question for Africans on safeguarding peace and security is whether the Pan-African organization, which aspires to lead the continent towards peace and prosperity and to which the continent’s predisposed human and material resource potential, is able to ensure the fulfillment of these ambitions through its own institutions? In other words, can the African Union manage African crises with independent African means? This fundamental question calls for other more intermediate ... -
February 15, 2017During the last quarter of 2016, terrorism specialists were still busy with the issues of counter-radicalization, indoctrination, and the dangers of young recruits departing to tension hotbeds, when the question arose about the return to their countries of origin by those who have experienced war and acquired significant combat capabilities. For nearly the past decade, they have been flocking to Syria and Iraq from around the world. ... -
February 15, 2017Au dernier trimestre de l’année 2016, les spécialistes du terrorisme étaient encore occupés par la contreradicalisation, l’endoctrinement et les dangers des départs des jeunes recrues vers les foyers de tension, alors que la question du retour chez eux commençait déjà à se poser, dans leurs pays d’origine, de ceux qui ont expérimenté la guerre et acquis d’importantes capacités de combat. Ils avaient dès les débuts de la deuxième décennie afflué en Syrie et en Irak de partout dans le ... -
January 23, 2017Alors que la menaces, que la criminalité transnationale organisée présentait dans les années 70 était considérée comme étant secondaire, le changement de sa nature, l’augmentation de ses risques et sa stigmatisation de plus en plus soutenue comme étant responsable des instabilités politiques et de certains conflits internes, a poussé la communauté internationale à s’inscrire dans une logique de confrontation avec ses aspects les plus menaçants à la sécurité internationale. Or curieu ... -
January 12, 2017La défaite des organisations terroristes au Moyen-Orient est attendue même s’elle prendra encore quelques temps, tellement Daech et Jabhat Fath Al Sham montrent de la résistance. La première du fait de ses équipements et de ses tactiques de guérillas, la seconde du fait que depuis qu’elle n’est plus une filiale d’Al-Qaeda a pu rallier d’autres groupes syriens. Les deux organisations résistent également parce qu’elles sont renforcées par des milliers de Combattants Terroristes Etrang ... -
January 5, 2017Multiple players that destabilize the countries in the region characterize the terrorist landscape in the Sahel. Despite the fact that each terrorist group has particular areas of action and zones of influence, nevertheless two main ideological tendencies confront each other in the Sahel: on one hand, Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, and on the other, the Islamic State (IS) organization (also known as Daesh). However, some groups continue to act independently of the allegiances they ... -
October 17, 2016Cette publication conjointe entre HEC Center for Geopolitics et OCP Policy Center, compile douze Policy Papers qui ont été présentés, discutés et enrichis lors de la première édition des Dialogues Stratégiques, une plateforme d’analyse et de débat stratégique autour des principaux enjeux géopolitiques et sécuritaires internationaux, mais également régionaux revêtant une importance capitale pour les continents européen et africain. Ce premier volume des Dialogues Stratégiques est co ... -
October 10, 2016Les personnes sont certes libres de choisir les lieux de leurs séjours dans le pays où ils résident, ce mouvement interne n’est pourtant pas sans impacts sur les politiques de l’Etat et sur ses stratégies. Les différences de peuplement sont à l’origine des disparités interrégionales qui à leur tour agissent sur la mobilité. Le dépeuplement de certaines régions peut les transformer en zones grises et incontrôlées, créant par là même des soucis sécuritaires et de défense. Si l’Etat n ... -
October 7, 2016La réunion des chefs d’État et de gouvernement des pays de l’OTAN à Varsovie constitue une étape importante de la transformation structurelle et fonctionnelle de l’Alliance atlantique et de l’OTAN. Le Communiqué final et les trois déclarations confirment le retour progressif à l’endiguement, à travers le renforcement de la dissuasion et la défense de l’Alliance, et la mise à distance de la menace asymétrique et hybride. Cette dynamique contribue à la centralité de la défense collect ... -
September 19, 2016This policy brief reviews the recently published EU Global Strategy, highlighting its main strengths and weaknesses as well as innovations, starting with the concept of resilience. It argues that the document has many strengths for being a compromise text written at a time of deep uncertainty about the EU's own future. The brief also comments on the future of EU-Morocco relations in the new framework. It notes that the strategy perhaps missed an opportunity to reaffirm European-Moro ... -
June 13, 2016In 1980, the establishment of the Mujahideen contingent in Afghanistan to fight against the Soviet occupation opened the door to the globalization of jihadism, which until then had been confined to local and national dimensions. This globalization gave rise to the first international terrorist group, Al Qaeda. With the United States’ invasion of Iraq, international terrorism took another dimension that culminated in 2014 with the birth of the "Islamic State", also known as Daech. Ch ... -
June 13, 2016La constitution en 1980 du contingent des Moudjahidin en Afghanistan, pour lutter contre l'occupation soviétique, avait ouvert la porte devant l'internationalisation du Djihadisme, qui jusqu'à cette date était confiné dans des dimensions locales et nationales. Cette internationalisation avait donné naissance à la première internationale terroriste qu'est Al Qaeda. Le terrorisme international avait pris, avec l'invasion des Etats-Unis en Irak, une autre dimension qui a abouti en 2014 ... -
June 02, 2016This podcast is performed by Tim Ridout. Cybersecurity threats continue to increase as more electronic devices and systems connect to the Internet. Aside from hackers directly penetrating ...
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May 13, 2016Ce podcast est délivré par Aline Leboeuf. Si la situation sécuritaire en Côte d’Ivoire s’est grandement améliorée depuis 2011, des incidents ont toujours lieu ponctuellement et conservent ...
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April 26, 2016Après l’intervention russe en Syrie, l’intensification des frappes aériennes de la coalition arabo- occidentale sur les positions de Daech et la libération d’une partie des provinces occupées par l’organisation en Irak, les voix commencent à s’élever dans plusieurs cercles officiels pour annoncer la fin prochaine de « l’organisation Etat islamique ». Daech a subi sur le terrain de sérieux revers. De Ramadi à Palmyre en passant par Kobané et Tikrit, Russes, américains, armée irakien ... -
April 07, 2016This podcast is performed by Daniel Twining. U.S. Security Policy in the East Asian Context For the United States, some of the main challenges facing the U.S. security policies in East As ...
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April 6, 2016Lors du Sommet de Lisbonne des 19 et 20 novembre 2010, l’Alliance atlantique a adopté son troisième concept stratégique post-bipolaire qui consacre le processus de transformation structurelle et fonctionnelle. La projection de puissance et la stabilisation des théâtres extérieurs sont les nouvelles missions qui viennent s’ajouter à la mission classique de la défense mutuelle. Dès lors, l’OTAN passe du rôle d’alliance défensive régionale à celui d’acteur international de sécurité et ... -
March 31, 2016In the context of the strategic partnership between OCP Policy Center and the German Marshall Fund of the United States, the Policy Center is a key partner for the Brussels Forum organized by GMF. - The Hon. Youssef Amrani, Head of Mission, Royal Cabinet, Kingdom of Morocco - General ...
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March 16, 2016L'expansion du phénomène terroriste en Afrique met la Chine devant un dilemme : rester fidèle à sa politique de noningérence dans les affaires intérieures des autres États, même si les citoyens et les intérêts chinois sont menacés ou; adopter une politique plus interventionniste pour sauvegarder ses investissements en Afrique même au prix de certaines corrections à apporter aux principes qui ont, jusqu'à aujourd'hui, sous-tendu sa politique extérieure. ... -
March 16, 2016The expansion of the terrorist phenomenon in Africa puts China in a dilemma: to remain true to its non-interference policy in the internal affairs of other States, even if Chinese citizens and interests are threatened or; adopt a more interventionist policy to protect its investments in Africa even at the cost of making certain corrections to the principles that have, until now, underpinned its foreign policy. ... -
February 23, 2016Two of the largest oil producers in Africa, Nigeria on the Atlantic and Libya on the Mediterranean are facing the two most violent terrorist groups on the continent. The Libyan version of Daesh and Boko Haram seem to be gaining ground to join in an area formed by three states that are vulnerable to the spread of terrorism. In Cameroon, the chaos is a concern post-Biya. Battle fatigue may reach the Chadian state that has been involved in an all-out battle. Niger, which is limited by ... -
February 23, 2016Deux des plus grands producteurs d'hydrocarbures en Afrique, le Nigeria sur l'Atlantique et la Libye sur la Méditerranée font face aux deux groupes terroristes les plus violents sur le continent. Daech version libyenne et Boko Haram semblent avancer pour se rejoindre dans un espace constitué par trois Etats qui présentent des vulnérabilités favorables à l'extension du terrorisme. Au Cameroun, le chao est à craindre dans l'après Biya. La battle fatigue peut atteindre l'Etat tchadien ... -
February 18, 2016Although the United States is less active in Africa than France, their security policies on the continent often have shared objectives and are sometimes pursued jointly. While the urgency of humanitarian crises has been at the centre of foreign interventions for a long time, now it tends to give way to the terrorist threat. The emergence and expansion of terrorist groups with a complex character, which are sometimes rivals of each other and claiming to follow radical Islam, has incr ... -
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December 7, 2015The Euro-Mediterranean Partnership was initiated with the aim to build a space of shared prosperity and security among all the countries in the region. The achievement of this objective, however, continues to be challenged by several geopolitical, economic and social factors. In such a context, there is now a greater urgency to adapt the approach and the instruments, thus allowing Euro-Mediterranean partners to seize opportunities towards an effective area of shared stability and pr ... -
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May 22, 2015Le Maroc dispose d’un espace maritime stratégique grâce auquel il peut renforcer ses attributs de puissance. Cet atout géopolitique et économique doit être porté par une véritable ambition nationale maritime. Quels sont les défis sécuritaires à surmonter et quelles sont les opportunités qui s’offrent aux Maroc sur le plan géopolitique? Autant de questions qui interpellent pouvoirs publics et think thanks nationaux. A ce titre, OCP Policy Center organise un Colloque sur la façade at ...
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November 29, 2012This paper examines the challenges posed by human activity on the Atlantic Ocean itself, and around its coasts, looking at it not so much as a vast expanse separating the Americas from Africa and Europe but rather as a shared resource and an important connector. All littoral states face a common challenge in maintaining its value as a foundation for sustained “blue growth” in the years to come. In Chapter 1, Armando Marques Guedes traces the evolution of the economic activities that ... -
July 1, 2011This paper explores the recent evolution of security cooperation between the United States and Algeria, which have forged a strong partnership on counterterrorism despite lingering mutual distrust. The United States has strengthened its defense outreach to Algeria over the past decade, largely based on concerns over transnational terrorism, and Algeria has sought to benefit from this outreach as it positions itself as a vital player on regional issues following years of civil confli ... -
February 20, 2010On November 5th 2009, a cocaine-loaded Boeing 727 aircraft arriving from Venezuela was discovered torched and emptied on a makeshift airstrip in the Malian desert (Gao region). The sahel-saharan area is clearly a contact zone between very distant worlds. ... -
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094:00 pm March 2022The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 9th edition, the GTI provides a comprehensive summary of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism. It analyses a number of vital aspects of terrorism such as the socio-economic conditions under which it occurs, how terrorism changes over time, the geopolitical drivers and ideological aims of terrorist groups and the strategies used by terrorists. In the previous edition, the GTI 2020 reported a decrease in deaths from terrorism for a fifth consecutive year. The drop of deaths by 15.5% was due to a reduction on the impact of terrorism in 103 countries. The decrease in deaths from terrorism was perceived in the MENA region, Russia, Eurasia, South Ame ... -
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165:30 pm February 2022Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South, will be speaking at the webinar “security and governence in africa: sahel and libya” organized by frica Study Group in partnership with The Middle East Institute. The security dynamics of the Maghreb and the Sahel are intertwined and the consequences of the Libyan conflict on the Sahel have been serious. Since its beginning in 2011, this conflict has triggered global concern about the economic, security, and geostrategic impacts on the Sahel. Current threats are posed by the illicit transfer, destabilizing accumulation, and misuse of arms, as well as the flow of armed groups and mercenaries. Despite considerable international efforts, especially by African countries, the Sahel is still experiencing one of the ...
