RELATED CONTENT : Commodities & Energy

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    22
    5:30 pm March 2022

    حديث الثلاثاء: كيف يتأثر القطاع الفلاحي بالمغرب بالتغير المناخي وما تأثيره على النسيج الاجتماعي والاقتصادي؟

    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة تأثر القطاع الفلاحي بالمغرب بالتغير المناخي ومدى تأثيره على النسيج الاجتماعي والاقتصادي، مع عفاف زرقيق، باحثة في الاقتصاد والطاقة، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. شكَّل تغير المناخ على الدوام، إحدى الإكراهات الأساسية أمام تنمية القطاع الفلاحي بالمغرب. فسيناريوهات التغيرات المناخية تشير إلى أن مناخ المملكة سيصبح أكثر قحولة وذلك بسبب قلة التساقطات المطرية وارتفاع درجات الحرارة، إضافة الى الظواهر الطبيعية الأخرى الحادة والمتكررة. ما من شأنه أن يؤثر سلباً على الموارد المائية والتنوع البيولوجي وكذا المشهد الفلاحي. بعد أربعة عقود من اعتماده سياسة تشييد السدود لضمان الأمن المائي، بدأ المغرب خلال الأعوام الأخيرة في تنويع برامجه للحد من أزمة ندرة المياه، وإصدار قوانين تضمن الحق في الماء لجميع ال ...

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    21
    9:00 am March 2022

    Renewables and the Future of Geopolitics - Closed workshop

    The Policy Center for the New South and the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center are pleased to organize a close workshop under theme “Renewables and the Future of Geopolitics” on Monday, March 21, 2022, starting 09:00 am GMT+1. This workshop will address an increasingly salient topic that sits at the intersection between energy transition, interstate relations and global trade: how the penetration of renewable energy affects geopolitics. As the recently published article by Hatipoglu, Al Muhanna and Efird (2020) demonstrate, this topic relates to various issues of immediate interest to energy markets. For instance, electricity creates a new form of interdependency between states, where such trade also locks in carbon trade. Energy transition also rests on glob ...

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    09
    1:30 pm March 2022

    L’agriculture africaine face au défi hydrique

    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub, Economiste Senior, participera à une table ronde virtuelle sous le thème « L’agriculture africaine Face au défi hydrique ». Organisé par i-conférences, ce webinaire ouvrira le débat sur les problématiques de l’eau en Afrique et l’utilisation des ressources hydriques dans le domaine agricole, ainsi permettra de mieux comprendre les enjeux liés à la stratégie de rationalisation de la gestion des ressources et le rôle de l’innovation pour des nouvelles techniques d'irrigation. Axes d’intervention : - Décryptage des politiques de l’eau suivies en Afrique et débat sur l’utilisation des ressources hydriques dans le domaine agricole - Quelles différences à relever entre les régions tropicales, arides et semi-arides en Afrique ? - Quels sont les principes f ...

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    24
    3:00 pm February 2022

    Report Launch: Commodity Markets Outlook, Urbanization and Commodity Demand In partnership with the World Bank

    Rising commodities prices are a common concern whether at the consumer level, or large industrials and fortune 500s. While the evolution of consumer prices was close to 2% in the USA and stuck below 1.5% in Europe pre-COVID, with oil prices and the direction of industrial metals and agricultural raw materials prices in decline, the current situation is just the opposite. Since economies bottomed out in June 2020, energy prices and non-energy commodities including agriculture and metals have soared even begging the question of whether we are entering a commodity super-cycle. Originally, this movement was initiated by constraints on the supply side: ramifications of weather events on crops, reduced supplies as a result of sanitary measures, tight oil production quotas etc. Logi ...
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    Promoting Development in Rural Africa through Water Management and Security
    Authors
    Rabi Mohtar
    July 2, 2024
    The agricultural sector is responsible for 72% of global water withdrawals, and is the biggest employer of the world’s most vulnerable and poor populations. Still, close to 84% of smallholder farms in low- and middle-income economies are located in water-scarce regions, with less than one third of them having access to irrigation (UN, 2024). These small-scale farmers also bear the heavy weight of land degradation and climate crisis. It is estimated that food production will need to ...
  • Zones humides : pour un avenir durable en Afrique
    Fadila Filali, Fatimata Ba
    June 28, 2024
    Les zones humides en Afrique sont des écosystèmes uniques et vitaux qui offrent une multitude de services écologiques, économiques et sociaux. Elles abritent une biodiversité contribuant ...
  • Politics and Climate Change
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    June 27, 2024
    The earth’s average surface temperature in May 2024 was higher than any other May on record, marking the twelfth consecutive such record-breaking month. According to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service, May’s temperature was 1.52 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average, while temperatures over the past twelve months have averaged 1.63°C above (Figure 1). Global sea surface temperatures have also set records over the past fourteen months.   Consider the e ...
  • Après la COP28, quelles stratégies pour les acteurs pétrogaziers
    June 26, 2024
    La COP28, qui s'est tenue à Dubaï en décembre 2023, a réaffirmé la nécessité d'une action urgente pour lutter contre le changement climatique et limiter le réchauffement climatique à 1,5 degré Celsius. L'accord de la COP28, appelant à une suppression progressive des énergies fossiles, p...
  • Cuivre : les exigeantes promesses du sommet
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    June 24, 2024
    Le constat est désormais parfaitement connu : une quantité croissante de ressources minérales sera nécessaire au cours des années et décennies à venir si nous voulons réussir notre transition énergétique et, délaissant les énergies fossiles, ainsi parvenir à la neutralité carbone. Plus de lithium, de manganèse ou de sulfate de nickel pour les batteries Li-ion des véhicules électriques légers, plus de silicium pour les panneaux photovoltaïques, de terres rares ou de zinc pour les éol ...
  • Comprendre la crise du nickel en Nouvelle-Calédonie
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    June 19, 2024
    Interview publié sur philonomist.com   Si la récente crise qui a secoué la Nouvelle-Calédonie part d’un conflit politique, elle s’inscrit dans un contexte économique difficile. L’industrie du nickel, qui représente 90 % des exportations de l’archipel et emploie près d’un Calédonien sur quatre, est au point mort. Le « pacte nickel » proposé par le gouvernement pour relancer la filière tarde à être adopté. Comment comprendre cette situation, alors que la Nouvelle-Calédonie possède u ...
  • Potential or Peril: Carbon Trading in Africa
    Authors
    Mannat Jaspal
    June 11, 2024
    Carbon trading have long been touted as a silver bullet to channelise climate finance to African countries lacking the capital to support climate mitigation and adaptation efforts. The erstwhile ‘Kyoto Protocol’ and its successor ‘The Paris Agreement’, though much more comprehensive and wider in scope, both recognize the importance of carbon trading (a form of carbon pricing) in combatting climate change, and in the Paris Agreement the same is enshrined under Article 6 and its sub-c ...
  • Africafé: l’Afrique dans la scène énergétique mondiale
    May 30, 2024
    L'Afrique, bien que jouant un rôle de plus en plus important, reste encore en marge sur la scène énergétique mondiale. Ce continent est riche en ressources énergétiques, qu'il s'agisse de pétrole, de gaz naturel, de charbon ou d'énergies renouvelables comme l'hydroélectricité, le solair...
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    Financializing Commodity Markets: Consequences, Advantages and African Case Study
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Sabrine Emran
    Badr Mandri
    May 24, 2024
    Africa has a wealth of natural resources, including minerals, agriculture, and energy commodities, which provides an opportunity for the financialization of these commodities on the continent, a concept that has gained global attention and sparked debate on the potential benefits and drawbacks. Although the financialization of commodities has been studied in various contexts, including in African countries, challenges such as liquidity constraints and market readiness have emerged a ...
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    Vers une transition énergétique juste pour l’Afrique
    Authors
    Mounia Boucetta
    May 23, 2024
    Au cours de la prochaine décennie, la transition énergétique transformera le paysage économique mondial en termes de régulations, d’investissements industriels et énergétiques et de solutions technologiques développées. Le continent africain est appelé à jouer un rôle important dans cette transition, tout en répondant à ses propres besoins de développement durable. Pour tirer pleinement profit de cette dynamique naissante, les pays africains devraient s'engager sur de ...
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    From Theory to Practice: Making Carbon Pricing Work
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    May 20, 2024
    Carbon pricing mechanisms are central to mitigating climate change. These mechanisms work by internalizing the costs associated with greenhouse gas emissions, thus encouraging emissions reductions and promoting technological progress in favor of sustainable alternatives. However, the implementation of carbon pricing mechanisms faces numerous complexities and challenges, especially in developing countries, given the potentially regressive impact of carbon pricing on low-income groups ...
  • From Humanizing Energy to Modernizing Energy: It Takes More than One Actor and One Solution
    Authors
    Sabrine Emran
    May 9, 2024
    It all began in 1924, when the World Energy Council (WEC) was established in order to harness the collective expertise of the global energy community and translate vision into tangible outcomes. In April 2024, the city of Rotterdam hosted the 26th Congress of the World Energy Council, whose theme was “Redesigning Energy for Better Lives and a Healthy Planet”.  It is not about a single energy transition, but rather many energy transitions. The concept of energy transition is not ...
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    Voluntary Carbon Markets in Africa: A Deep Dive Into Opportunities and Challenges
    Authors
    Sabrina Camélia Pagop
    Luc Savard
    April 29, 2024
    This study conducts an in-depth exploration of the increasing interest in voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) in Africa, shedding light on the potential opportunities and challenges associated with African participation in these markets. VCMs have gained prominence as promising means to address climate change, driven by substantial financial incentives and market expansion. Nonetheless, persistent debates revolve around the legitimacy of carbon credits and their tangible contributions t ...
  • The aftermath of the energy crisis in North Africa
    Afaf Zarkik, Hamza Mjahed and Rim Berahab
    April 19, 2024
    The global energy crisis caused by COVID-19 and the Ukraine conflict has exposed the economic and geopolitical vulnerabilities of North Africa, which relies heavily on fossil fuels. Howev ...
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    Opportunities and Challenges for Food Security Innovations in the Arab World
    Authors
    Rabi Mohtar
    April 5, 2024
    National and regional visions for the future of water and food security have been at the forefront of sustainability talks. Nevertheless, the role of soil in water and food security and carbon management needs to be highlighted and integrated into these discussions and visions. The dynamic characterization of soil as a medium that accounts for the long-term impact of the agro-environmental conditions is of utmost importance to sustainability of these resources and to sustainable dev ...
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    Navigating the Transition in Times of Uncertainty: From a paradigm of energy security to electricity security in North Africa
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Hamza Mjahed
    Camellia Mahjoubi
    April 2, 2024
    The current decade is critical for global decarbonization. The ongoing energy transition will bring about changes in technology, commodities, infrastructure, supply chains, as well as geopolitical factors, which could give rise to new energy security challenges. It is therefore important to undertake a thorough re-evaluation of energy security dynamics, with a view to enhancing the resilience of power systems. In this paper, we examine North Africa’s energy transition trajectory th ...
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    Optimizing Value for Public Investment Instruments in Low-carbon Hydrogen Industries
    Authors
    Miguel Vazquez
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 26, 2024
    Low-carbon hydrogen is a potential contributor to the goals defined in the Paris Agreement, i.e. limiting the increase in the global average temperature to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The transformation of hydrogen production is a part of this effort, as current production methods in the hydrogen industry are carbon-intensive. To achieve net-zero scenarios, hydrogen production and consumption will need to change. Creating a pipeline of projects plays a central role in drivin ...
  • Au fil de l’eau : l'innovation hydrique au Maroc
    Authors
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    March 22, 2024
    Le Maroc traverse l'une de ses pires périodes de sécheresse. Au cours des 43 dernières années, le Royaume a traversé 7 périodes de sécheresse, présentant des niveaux de sévérité variables. La plus faible pluviométrie a été enregistrée, en 2017, avec seulement 103 mm de précipitations annuelles. Ce qui caractérise la présente sécheresse, c'est sa durée exceptionnelle de six années consécutives, marquant ainsi la période de sécheresse la plus longue de l'histoire du pays. En effet, su ...
  • Water for Peace: Fostering Cooperation for a Secure Future
    March 22, 2024
    Water stands as a pivotal factor in either fostering peace or sparking conflict, with scarcity, pollution, and unequal access to this vital resource capable of escalating tensions within and between communities and nations. As we approach World Water Day, it is crucial to recognize that...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: ندرة المياه في المغرب: الأسباب، التحديات والافاق المستقبلية
    March 19, 2024
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة ندرة المياه في المغرب: الأسباب، التحديات والافاق المستقبلية. شهد المغرب في السنوات الاخيرة ندرة مياه من المفترض حسب التوقعات أن تتفاقم في السنوات القادمة. تعزى مشكلة ندرة المياه الى خلل في معادلة الطل...
  • De l’environnement
    Authors
    Abdallah Saaf
    March 19, 2024
    Par rapport aux intérêts des générations des années cinquante, soixante et soixante-dix (dont je fais partie), la question de l’environnement n’est venue se greffer dans les préoccupations des acteurs, leurs réflexions et programmes d’action, que tardivement. Il faudra encore quelque temps pour mûrir les éléments de cette problématique relativement nouvelle. Toutefois, dès le départ on est partagé entre deux visions : d’une part, une approche qui considère la protection de l’envir ...
  • Value Chains Under stress
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    March 15, 2024
    A Series of Disruptions The freighter, on its way from the United Arab Emirates to Bulgaria, loaded with 21000 metric tons of fertilizer, was hit by two Houthi missiles on February 18, 2024, at a point 93 miles east of Aden. The Houthi—not an army but rebels—are firing on ships in solidarity with the tortured people in Gaza, and their leaders, Hamas. Like Hamas, the Houthi are armed by Tehran. The European Union has started a mission to send frigates into the Red Sea, providing pr ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : ندرة المياه في المغرب
    February 27, 2024
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء " لمناقشة موضوع ندرة المياه في المغرب وما تحمله من آثار على مختلف القطاعات الاقتصادية. فوفقًا لبيانات أصدرتها وزارة التجهيز والماء، لم تتعد إمدادات المياه 5 مليارات متر مكعب سنويًا في سنوات الجفاف الأخيرة ويُتر...
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    « Quand les éléphants se battent », l'Afrique transforme : nouvelle géopolitique des chaînes d'approvisionnement en minerais critiques et émergence de chaînes de valeur locales
    Authors
    Sabrine Emran
    Oussama Tayebi
    February 20, 2024
    Le contexte de tensions géopolitiques accrues et rémanentes que connaît le monde depuis quelques années, marqué par la dégradation des relations entre les États-Unis et la Chine, l'escalade des tensions à Taïwan, et le conflit entre la Russie et l'Ukraine, a engendré des répercussions majeures sur les politiques d'approvisionnement en minerais stratégiques et critiques de plusieurs États. Les récentes crises, notamment la pandémie de COVID-19 et le conflit en Ukraine, ...
  • WEF 2024: How Can AI Drive a More-Effective Energy Transition?
    Authors
    Carolina Novac
    February 15, 2024
    The author of this piece, Carolina Novac, is a 2023 alumna of the Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program. Learn more about her here.   This year, I had the honor to participate for the first time in the World Economic Forum (WEF), as a member of the delegation of Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean. WEF has always been a melting pot of innovative ideas, and a place where world leaders, business giants, and thought leaders can bring suitable, joint solutions to the main chall ...
  • Morocco’s Energy Transition: Prioritizing Natural Gas, Embracing Green Hydrogen, and Global Collaboration at COP28
    Authors
    Sabrine Emran
    February 13, 2024
    As a net energy importer seeking to improve its energy security, Morocco has stepped up initiatives to achieve a level of domestic energy sovereignty. This includes following guidelines for transitioning to cleaner energy sources, with an emphasis on diversification. This diversification extends to natural gas, solar and wind power, and innovative solutions such as green hydrogen. Morocco recognizes cooperation as a crucial element for the success of its strategies, as underlined by ...
  • Africafé: Powering Up Africa: Advancing Energy Integration
    February 8, 2024
    In this episode, we examine the state of energy integration in Africa, a continent striving for both sustainable development and industrialization. We delve into the current challenges, the tension between renewable energy and fossil fuels. Ultimately, the episode sheds light on the int...
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    Beyond the Energy Crossroads: Deciphering Key Trends and Charting the Path in 2024
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    February 7, 2024
    The energy landscape in 2024 is at a crossroads. Fossil fuels continue to dominate, with prices that are volatile due to geopolitical tensions and shifting demand patterns. However, renewable energy is on the rise thanks to cost declines, policy support, and growing consumer adoption. This Policy Brief examines five significant trends that will shape the energy landscape in 2024. Navigating the complex energy landscape requires careful risk monitoring and prudent policy responses. K ...
  • Réseau électrique : le talon d'Achille de l’électricité verte ?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    February 1, 2024
    Le paysage énergétique mondial est actuellement en mutation, marqué par des progrès importants en termes de transition vers des sources d'énergie renouvelables et d’accélération de l'électrification. Cette évolution est cruciale pour faire face au changement climatique et assurer un avenir énergétique durable. Elle coexiste, néanmoins, avec l'utilisation persistante des énergies fossiles dans certains secteurs. Bien que les technologies renouvelables soient dorénavant compétitives e ...
  • China's Grip on Africa's Resources
    January 22, 2024
    Mr. Amit Jain, Director, NTU-SBF Centre for African Studies, Singapore, discusses a recent shift in Africa's economic landscape. Traditionally considered economically disadvantaged, certain nations like Zimbabwe and Namibia have unearthed substantial lithium and heavy earth oxide deposi...
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    Systems Approach to Sustainable Development: Lessons from the Water Sector
    Authors
    Rabi Mohtar
    January 12, 2024
    A 2023 United Nations progress report (UN, 2023) showed that, of the 169 targets that make up the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), only 15% are on track, and progress on many has either stalled or regressed. The Water-Energy-Food nexus approach has highlighted the utmost importance of understanding the interconnections between systems in order to accelerate the achievement of the SDGs. In this policy brief, we use the lessons learned from the water sector through a case study f ...
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    COP28 et énergies fossiles : le bal des hypocrites
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    December 29, 2023
    À la fin de la COP28, qui s’est tenue à Doubaï (Emirats arabes unis) du 30 novembre au 13 décembre 2023, les Etats qui ont signé et ratifié la Convention-cadre des Nations Unies sur les changements climatiques (CCNUCC) ont adopté par consensus le ‘‘Global Stocktake’’ qui prévoit notamment que le monde doit engager une transition qui l’éloignera des énergies fossiles (‘‘transitioning away from fossil fuels’’) de façon ‘‘juste, ordonnée et équitable’’ (‘‘in a just, ordered and equitab ...
  • Climate Change and Security in the Sahel
    Javier Cantero, Fatima Aliyu Magaji, Maiga Attaher
    December 05, 2023
    Delving into the nuances of this paradigm shift, the speakers shed light on how climate change is now perceived not only as an environmental challenge but also as a critical factor influe ...
  • La COP28 : Le chemin vers une agriculture à la hauteur du défi climatique.
    November 30, 2023
    La COP28 place l'agriculture au cœur des discussions climatiques mondiales, reconnaissant son rôle crucial dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il s’agit d’un rendez-vous déterminant pour l’avenir de l’agriculture, où la communauté internationale se réunie pour développer des ...
  • Africafé: Catalyzing Climate Finance in Africa
    November 30, 2023
    In this episode, we dive into the pressing necessity for climate initiatives in Africa. Despite its minimal global emissions, Africa grapples with severe climate challenges and a substantial funding shortfall. Yet, as obstacles persist, including the disconnect between investor expectat...
  • Rising Food Prices: Understanding the Impact on Developing Economies
    November 29, 2023
    To emphasize the importance of addressing this issue and discuss the potential actions that need to be taken to ensure food security and sustainable development in these nations, the Policy Center for the New South is organizing a webinar titled “Rising Food Prices: Understanding the Im...
  • Forced Displacement : the human face of climate change
    November 28, 2023
    Policy Center for the New South will be present in COP28 along strategic partners: FNF-Madrid Office and Union for the Mediterranean to uncover the harsh realities faced by communities as they grapple with environmental shifts, through presenting the paper: Climate change and migration ...
  • COP28 : Les Enjeux Cruciaux du Financement Climatique
    November 28, 2023
    À l'approche de la COP 28 à Dubaï, la problématique du financement climatique pour les pays en développement persiste. Jusqu'à 2022, les pays développés n'ont pas honoré leur engagement de mobiliser 100 milliards de dollars par an d'ici à 2020 pour ces nations en développement. Ces dern...
  • COP28: Upholding Commitments and Setting New Goals
    November 28, 2023
    COP27 in Sharm El Sheikh marked a significant milestone with the establishment of a historic Loss and Damage (L&D) fund, signaling progress in global climate justice. Collaboration between developed and developing economies played a pivotal role in this achievement. The conference a...
  • Cooperation for a just energy transition in Africa on the eve of the COP28
    November 28, 2023
    To achieve a fair Energy Transition in Africa, it is imperative to consider the diversity of African nations, their unique resources, and how each solution should be tailored to the needs and means of the country. The world must address these challenges while confronting issues such as ...
  • La COP28 : Le chemin vers une agriculture à la hauteur du défi climatique.
    November 28, 2023
    La COP28 place l'agriculture au cœur des discussions climatiques mondiales, reconnaissant son rôle crucial dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il s’agit d’un rendez-vous déterminant pour l’avenir de l’agriculture, où la communauté internationale se réunie pour développer des ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: التأثيرات المناخية ومستقبل الجنوب العالمي: رؤى وحلول من مؤتمر الأطراف
    November 28, 2023
    في حلقة هذا الأسبوع من حديث الثلاثاء، سنحاول تقييم أهم نتائج المؤتمر العالمي لتغير المناخ للسنة الماضية وتأثيرها على دول الجنوب العالمي نظرا لاحتياجاتها من التمويل للتخفيف وقدرتها على التكيف مع هذه التغيرات، خاصة وأن أن هذه الدول فقدت  ما لا يقل عن 525 مليار دولار أمريكي بسبب تأثيرات ال...
  • Securing Energy, Reshaping Decarbonisation: Reconciling Mediterranean Energy Transitions with Energy Security and Regional Stability
    Authors
    Veronika Ertl
    Yassine Zegzouti
    November 20, 2023
    The Mediterranean region is one of the major climate-change hotspots. Advancing the region’s transition to a low-carbon and renewable energy production system will be crucial to counter global warming and achieve the objectives outlined in the Paris Agreement. However, fossil fuels continue to dominate the region's energy mix, while renewable energy sources meet only a marginal share of the overall demand. The green-energy transition in Mediterranean countries, moreover, represents ...
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    A Tale of Two Technology Wars: Semiconductors and Clean Energy
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    November 2, 2023
    The global economic environment has changed as the U.S.—and to a less confrontational degree, the European Union—have clearly established a context of technological rivalry with China. Hindering China’s progress in the sophistication of semiconductor production has become a centerpiece of current U.S. foreign policy. While the U.S. is clearly winning the semiconductor war, the picture is different when it comes to clean-energy technology. Both technology wars overlap with access to ...
  • Hydrogène Vert : Le Défi de la Décarbonisation - Hamdi Hached
    November 2, 2023
    Dans cet entretien, Hamdi Hached, expert en politique liée au changement climatique au sein de la Fondation Friedrich Naumann pour la Liberté en Tunisie et en Libye, aborde l'importance de l'hydrogène vert et des énergies renouvelables dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il e...
  • L'Union européenne enclenche la phase transitoire du Mécanisme d'Ajustement Carbone aux Frontières : quelles conséquences pour l'Afrique ?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    November 2, 2023
    Le 1er octobre 2023 a marqué le début de la phase transitoire du Mécanisme d'Ajustement Carbone aux Frontières (CBAM en anglais) de l'Union européenne (UE). L'objectif de cette initiative est d'instaurer une tarification du carbone sur les biens importés qui soit équivalente à celle appliquée aux biens produits au sein de l'UE, visant ainsi à réguler les émissions de carbone. Cette démarche implique la mise en place d'un ensemble d'obligations de déclaration et de conformité pour le ...
  • The Power of Innovation for Sustainable Development
    Afaf Zarkik, Jean-Louis Arcand
    September 27, 2023
    In this episode, we delve into the critical issues of climate change, energy transition, and food security in Africa. Our discussion highlights the multifaceted impact of climate change o ...
  • PCNS-COMEXI: Energy Dialogue
    September 18, 2023
    Mexico's federal government and Morocco’s central government have traditionally played an important role in the domestic market via their management of economic policies and their extensive reach in some sectors of the economy. Recent administrations had followed prudent and credible ec...
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    Gas Crisis in Europe: A Harbinger of Sustainable Cooperation with North Africa
    Authors
    Afaf Zarkik
    September 15, 2023
    This paper was originally published on iai.it Europe’s natural gas system experienced unprecedented stress following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Since the outbreak of the war, the European Union has strived to secure alternative supplies, fill its gas storage facilities and reduce consumption. Success on these fronts was enabled by fundamental market changes that the bloc unlocked during a long period of low gas prices over the past two decades, in addition to emergency and diplo ...
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    Moving Europe and Africa towards more common ground on climate and energy
    Authors
    Alfonso Medinilla
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Afaf Zarkik
    September 5, 2023
    This paper was originally published on ecdpm.org   COP27 reached a breakthrough agreement on a new loss and damage fund for vulnerable countries and opened the door for a review of the international financial architecture. Ahead of COP28 at the end of 2023, the AU-EU partnership can help drive global climate change and energy transition agendas forward. A fruitful collaboration between the two continents starts with the following: • Africa and Europe must find common ground to ma ...
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    L’Afrique n’entend pas renoncer aux hydrocarbures
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    September 4, 2023
    À  l’approche du Sommet africain du climat (Africa Climate Summit), qui se tiendra à Nairobi du 4 au 6 septembre 2023, de très nombreuses organisations non gouvernementales (ONG) ont écrit au président du Kenya, William Ruto, pour lui faire part de leurs inquiétudes concernant l’ordre du jour de ce sommet. Selon ces ONG, les intérêts des entreprises et des pays occidentaux pourraient prendre le pas sur ceux de l’Afrique. Les vraies priorités sont notamment d’éliminer progressivement ...
  • African Women and youths in STEM and Sustainable Energy
    Authors
    Deborah Braide
    August 15, 2023
    Deborah Braide is a 2022 alumna of Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program. Learn more about her here. Although equitable participation in STEM careers has historically been low, through advocacy, policy changes and recent initiatives, African women and youths are now rising to the forefront of STEM and sustainable energy. Maintaining momentum and addressing barriers to entry requires a holistic transformation of educational systems, financing, and socio-cultural norms. The Af ...
  • Energy Demand and the Shadow of Recession
    Saloi El Yamani & Sabrine Emran
    August 11, 2023
     In a constantly evolving global landscape, characterized by a series of impactful shockwaves reverberating across various sectors, the energy sector stands out as one that has been signi ...
  • Energy Transition in the Mediterranean: What Challenges and Potentials ?
    August 4, 2023
    The energy crisis has heavily impacted energy transition plans and roadmaps of many Mediterranean countries and has highlighted the question of how to move ahead with the decarbonisation of Mediterranean energy while securing economic development and the uninterrupted availability of po...
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    Navigating the CBAM Transitional Period: Understanding the Latest Developments, and Enhancing Preparedness
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    July 21, 2023
    The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) has emerged as an important policy tool in the European Union's (EU) efforts to combat climate change and prevent carbon leakage. By putting a price on carbon emissions embedded in certain goods imported into the EU, the CBAM has the potential to impact economies worldwide, including Morocco. This policy brief examines recent CBAM developments and assesses their implications for Morocco's economy and climate change efforts. It analyzes t ...
  • A Common ESG Language to Unlock Funding for Sustainable Infrastructure Projects in Developing Economies
    Authors
    Marianna Albuquerque
    Rim Berahab
    Sabrine Emran
    Rogerio Studart
    Afaf Zarkik
    July 5, 2023
    This policy brief was originally published on t20ind.org   Despite the perception of abundant financial resources and technology worldwide, building quality project pipelines of sustainable infrastructure and securing funding for them remains a challenge for most developing countries. One potential solution to these obstacles is international cooperation among governments through enhancing cooperation among their national, regional, and multilateral development banks, which alread ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: المعادن الاستراتيجية والحرجة في المغرب
    عبد الله متقي, إيمان لهريش
    June 27, 2023
    نسلط الضوء في حلقة هذا الأسبوع من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء على الدور المحوري الذي يمكن أن تضطلع به المعادن الاستراتيجية والحرجة في تمكين المغرب من تعزيز سيادته الصناعية وتحقيق أهدافه في مجال ...
  • Digest: La pénurie d’eau dans la région MENA exige des solutions institutionnelles
    Authors
    Ahmed Ouhnini
    June 27, 2023
    Dans la région MENA (l'Afrique du Nord et le Moyen-Orient), le secteur de l’eau est marqué par une tendance accélérée à l’amenuisement des ressources hydriques avec des périodes de sécheresse de plus en plus fréquentes et des besoins en croissance soutenue. « D’ici la fin de cette décennie, la quantité d’eau disponible tombera sous le seuil absolu de pénurie, fixé à 500 mètres cubes par personne et par an », apprend-on dans le nouveau rapport de la Banque mondiale (BM) intitulé « As ...
  • Climate change and migration Understanding factors, developing opportunities in the Sahel Zone, West Africa and the Maghreb
    Authors
    Xavier Aragall
    Amal El Ouassif
    Anna Ferro
    Matías Ibáñez
    June 26, 2023
    This report was originally published on iemed.org In the last decade, it has become very clear that climate change is not a problem of the future. This threat multiplier is causing severe natural disasters, rising sea levels, desertification, and rising temperatures in every continent, reminding us that it is not only the global South that is experiencing and will be experiencing its direct effects. It is true, however, that some of the most severe impacts of climate change are ind ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : المعادن الاستراتيجية والحرجة في المغرب
    June 20, 2023
    نسلط الضوء في حلقة هذا الأسبوع من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء على الدور المحوري الذي يمكن أن تضطلع به المعادن الاستراتيجية والحرجة في تمكين المغرب من تعزيز سيادته الصناعية وتحقيق أهدافه في مجال الانتقال الطاقي والاستثمار، مع الحرص على احترام المتطلبات الاجتماعية والبيئية لهذا القطاع. يختزن الم...
  • External Debt Management in Africa: A Proposal for a ‘Debt Relief for Climate Initiative’
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Hinh T. Dinh
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Hafez Ghanem
    Badr Mandri
    June 20, 2023
    This policy brief was originally published on T20 India website   A decade of poor growth, increased poverty, and political instability followed the serious debt difficulties that emerged worldwide in the 1980s. There are concerns that the looming debt crisis could create similar challenges and result in even more severe consequences. However, the current economic climate differs in many ways from that of the 1980s, when international banks and Paris Club creditors held most of th ...
  • Earth, Wind, and Fire: The Transatlantic Partners Must Confront Climate Insecurity to Reinforce Global Stability
    Authors
    Javier Cantero
    June 16, 2023
     This brief was originally published on gmfus.org as part of a partnership between the Policy Center for the New South and the German Marshall Fund of the United States.   Air and ocean temperatures are increasing at record levels despite international efforts to mitigate carbon emissions. The consequences of this failure go beyond its harmful effects on climate patterns to endangering global political, economic, and social stability. Human security is on the line and faces even ...
  • Commerce et environnement : sont-ils inconciliables ?
    June 15, 2023
    Dr. Zaki Chahir, professeur en économie, a récemment publié un article intitulé "What Type of Trade is Promoted by Environmental Regulations" (Quel type de commerce est favorisé par les réglementations environnementales ?), dans lequel il examine l'impact de la rigueur environnementale ...
  • The case of green hydrogen in Morocco
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Afaf Zarkik
    May 19, 2023
    This Policy Paper was originally published on freiheit.org This study explores how Morocco can successfully develop a green hydrogen market and at the same time contribute to the global energy transition. Authors Rim Berahab and Afaf Zarkik show how Morocco’s bold strategies and investments in renewables can shape a promising future for green hydrogen. They chart a path to decipher the potential of this energy vector, while outlining the elements necessary for the emergence of a g ...
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    Driving The Dream: Morocco's Rise In The Global Automotive Industry
    Authors
    Abdelmonim AMACHRAA
    May 17, 2023
    Nothing better illustrates the positive contribution of the integration of national economies into global value chains than the fact that in the 1990s, the automotive sector barely existed in Morocco. Now, it is the leading export sector, with a production and assembly capacity of 700,000 vehicles, making it an attractive and competitive hub linking Africa and Europe in the automotive value chain. However, the automotive industry is on the cusp of change, with advances in electric a ...
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    Energy Demand and the Shadow of Recession
    Authors
    Sabrine Emran
    May 15, 2023
    In the face of oil production cuts by Saudi Arabia and some OPEC members, the energy supply is shrinking again. This is in response to fears of an impending recession, higher inventories in some key countries, and an attempt to keep prices at a certain level. Turning to renewables is now essential to reduce dependence and increase resilience to energy insecurity, while non-renewable energy sources continue to show signs of unpredictability and harmful dependence. Economic outlooks v ...
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    Shaping a Renewed Atlantic Vision of Energy Security: Old Trends, New Paradigms
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    May 8, 2023
    The energy sector faces many challenges that undermine economic growth, energy security and access, and environmental sustainability. To address these challenges, Atlantic Basin countries need to improve access to reliable energy, diversify their energy mix with low-carbon alternatives and improve energy efficiency in the long term. However, the transition to clean energy will also create new risks and challenges that differ from one Atlantic country to another, requiring additional ...
  • The Energy Map of the Atlantic
    Rim Berahab & Ana Ayuso Pozo
    May 05, 2023
    This podcast examines current trends in energy production and consumption in the Atlantic region. It discusses the challenges facing the energy sector due to the outbreak of Covid-19 and ...
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    How Can Moroccan Regions and Sectors Help to Achieve the ‘New Development Model’ Goals?
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    May 5, 2023
    This paper presents a synthetic view of the socioeconomic and environmental impacts of the economic sectors and regions that make up the Moroccan economy, taking into account the current economic structure and production technologies. Therefore, the potential effects must be understood as signals to think about interventions aimed at redirecting the desired trajectories of sustainable development. The application of the tools developed to give scientific support to this analysis rev ...
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    Short of Water and Under Increasing Pressure to Deliver Food Security: Key Policy Considerations - The Case of the Kingdom of Morocco
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    May 3, 2023
    For over six decades, Morocco has largely equated the achievement of food self-sufficiency (FSS) in ‘strategic’ food commodities to achieving food security. Successive governments have succeeded in guaranteeing the availability of and access to these commodities for the poor and vulnerable. In so doing, they have maintained social stability by fulfilling a basic social contract with the people. This is a major achievement, but the financial, economic, and environmental costs of this ...
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    Unpacking the Relationship between Crude Oil Financialization and Volatility: The Tale of Speculative Positions
    Authors
    Sabrine Emran
    Otaviano Canuto
    April 28, 2023
    This paper explores the impact of commodities financialization on crude oil prices and their volatility. While some commodities have been market movers for centuries, introducing others, such as oil, to the financial markets is more recent. The increase in investors' appetite for commodity investing has led to commodities’ financialization, which is often considered an amplifier of commodity price volatility. This paper focuses on the relationship between crude oil prices and the fi ...
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    Financing Climate Action: Equity Challenges and Practical Solutions
    Authors
    Rabi Mohtar
    April 26, 2023
    It is estimated that $1 trillion to $6 trillion per year (up to 2050) needs to be invested globally if the world is to stay below the 2°C global warming ceiling of the Paris Agreement and to meet its adaptation goals. Currently, investments stand at about $630 billion per year, way below the original target. And although great efforts have been made in the climate-finance area, more than 70% of the funds deployed have gone to one sector, renewable energy, followed by the transportat ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: أي تدبير للموارد المائية في المغرب: بين السياسات القطاعية وجودة الحكامة
    محمد بازة, عبد الحفيظ دباغ
    April 18, 2023
    استمرت الموارد المائية في المغرب في التقلص على مدى عدة عقود بسبب انخفاض الإمدادات والاستغلال المفرط للموارد غير المتجددة ونقص التناسق بين البرامج التنموية القطاعية فيما يتعلق بالموارد الم ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: أي تدبير للموارد المائية في المغرب: بين السياسات القطاعية وجودة الحكامة
    April 12, 2023
    استمرت الموارد المائية في المغرب في التقلص على مدى عدة عقود بسبب انخفاض الإمدادات والاستغلال المفرط للموارد غير المتجددة ونقص التناسق بين البرامج التنموية القطاعية فيما يتعلق بالموارد المائية المتاحة وعجز كبير في حكامة الموارد المائية. ولازالت المنظومة المائية تواجه العديد من التحديات ا...
  • Overcoming Obstacles to Regional Integration in the Southern Mediterranean: The Case of Energy
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    April 10, 2023
    The contemporary global energy landscape is experiencing noteworthy changes in demand, supply, technology, markets, and investment. These developments transcend conventional oil and gas security considerations. Renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, have become increasingly cost-effective compared to fossil fuels, and the minerals required to produce them are gaining importance. Nevertheless, recent events such as the Covid-19 pandemic and the conflict in Ukraine ha ...
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    Les investissements chinois en afrique : des investissements pluriels
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    March 31, 2023
    L’Afrique est plurielle, comme le sont les investissements chinois sur son continent. Cette étude montre que, contrairement à ce que l’on mettait en avant durant la décennie 2010, ces investissements ne se limitent pas à l’exploitation du sous-sol africain. Les opérateurs chinois, privilégiant le long terme, se montrent le plus souvent patients et discrets, ne ciblant pas les seuls investissements miniers. Concernant les secteurs principalement bénéficiaires de ces investissements, ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: الهيدروجين الاخضر: طاقة المستقبل؟
    Akram Zaoui & Mounia Boucetta
    March 07, 2023
    انطلقت دول وتكتّلات جهوية كثيرة في تطوير قطاع الهيدروجين الأخضر، معتبرة إياه مورد أساسي لتلبية الطلب الدولي للطاقة في المستقبل، حيث يفرض تغير المناخ البحث عن بدائل للنفط والغاز الطبيعي وا ...
  • The Amazon Needs the Rule of Law, Not the Rule of Chainsaw
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 7, 2023
    In April 2007, on my first day as vice president at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) in Washington D.C., I received an informal visit from Thomas E. Lovejoy, a celebrated American environmental scientist who died last year. He spoke to me of a “turning point” in deforestation in the Amazon, beyond which the consequences would be irreversible. He was interested in knowing how the IDB could help in the fight against deforestation. Thomas and the Brazilian environmental scien ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: الهيدروجين الاخضر: طاقة المستقبل؟
    February 28, 2023
    انطلقت دول وتكتّلات جهوية كثيرة في تطوير قطاع الهيدروجين الأخضر، معتبرة إياه مورد أساسي لتلبية الطلب الدولي للطاقة في المستقبل، حيث يفرض تغير المناخ البحث عن بدائل للنفط والغاز الطبيعي والفحم المهيمنين حاليا ومنذ بداية العصر الصناعي على الاستهلاك العالمي للطاقة. فتم الاعلان عن استراتيجي...
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    Energy Trends and Outlook Through 2023: Surviving the Energy Crisis While Building a Greener Future
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    February 13, 2023
    The volatility in energy markets since the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2019/2020 has continued, with unprecedented uncertainty about global energy supply developing over the course of 2022 in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, against a backdrop of weakening macroeconomic conditions and high inflation. While some perceived this as a potential setback for the energy transition, others saw it as an opportunity to move away from fossil fuels and accelerate the developme ...
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    Systems approach to water management
    Authors
    Rabi Mohtar
    February 13, 2023
    The fundamental role that water resources play in human development has been highlighted in multiple ways; the United Nations SDGs underline 17 different goals and over a hundred targets to be achieved by 2030. Out of 169 SDG targets, 59 were found to have direct links and synergies with the water goal SDG6 (UN Water, 2016). Careful policy making and interventions need to be implemented to avoid conflict among sectors and tradeoffs must be well established. The Integrated Water Reso ...
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    Le pastoralisme en péril en Afrique
    Authors
    Pierre Jacquemot
    February 10, 2023
    La plupart des écosystèmes arides et semi-arides d’Afrique sont dédiés à différents types d’élevage extensif. Ces systèmes sont des acteurs majeurs dans la valorisation des espaces, et des ressources naturelles. En plus de nourrir les humains et les animaux, l’élevage pastoral fournit un revenu de subsistance à des populations qui ne pourraient survivre autrement dans ces régions. Ce pastoralisme est menacé depuis plusieurs années. Dans la quasi-totalité des zones agro ...
  • The parrot says that commodity prices will rise
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    February 3, 2023
    As the introductory textbook to economics by Nobel Prize Paul Samuelson, who served several generations of students, including mine, said: “It is easy to teach economics to a parrot. Two words are enough: supply and demand”. These two factors suggest 2023 will be a year of upward trend for most commodity prices. Last year was marked by shocks and volatility in commodity prices, with two distinct moments. After the sharp rise in the first half, due to the invasion of Ukraine by Russ ...
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    The Geopolitics of Seawater Desalination
    Authors
    Marc-Antoine Eyl-Mazzega
    Élise Cassignol
    January 27, 2023
    A rapidly-expanding market Water desalination is gradually emerging as the leading solution to cope with increasing water stress: i.e., the imbalance between water demand and quantities available. The United Nations estimates that by 2025, two-thirds of the world’s population will be affected by such challenges. The causes of water scarcity are multiple, including climate change, intensive agriculture, and population growth. This requires states to rethink their water policies, whi ...
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    Bilan 2022 et perspective 2023 : vers une stabilisation des cours
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    January 26, 2023
    Si l’année 2021 fut marquée, dans une situation de rattrapage économique post-Covid, par la progression des cours de la quasi-totalité des matières premières agricoles, minérales ou énergétiques, tel ne fut pas le cas pour 2022, caractérisée, au contraire, par une grande hétérogénéité de trajectoires. Le déclenchement de la guerre en Ukraine a certes conduit à une élévation forte de nombreux produits de base en raison du poids de la Russie, de l’Ukraine voire du ...
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    2022 review and 2023 outlook: towards price stabilization
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    January 26, 2023
    While 2021 brought higher prices for almost all agricultural, mineral and energy commodities as the economy caught up after Covid, this was not the case for 2022, with, on the contrary, prices diverging substantially. The onset of war in Ukraine certainly drove up the price of many commodities given the significance of Russia, Ukraine and even Belarus in world production. However, it was the imposition, or not, of trade and financial sanctions against Russian exporting companies and ...
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    Tendances et perspectives énergétiques à l’horizon 2023 : survivre à la crise énergétique tout en construisant un avenir plus vert
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    January 23, 2023
    Les fluctuations que connaissent les marchés de l'énergie depuis le début de la pandémie de la Covid-19 en 2019/2020 se sont prolongées, avec une incertitude sans précédent, sur l'approvisionnement énergétique mondial, qui s'est développée au cours de 2022 à la suite de l'invasion de l'Ukraine par la Russie, dans un contexte d'affaiblissement de la macroéconomie et d'inflation élevée. Alors que certains voyaient en ce contexte un risque de ralentissement de la transition énergétique ...
  • Private Capital and Climate Challenges with Rakan Aboneaaj – ADEL 2023
    January 18, 2023
    In recent years, and in light of the mounting challenges associated with the effects of climate change on communities worldwide, discussions have ramped up on the necessity to crowd in private money to meet the sustainable development goals (SDGs) and mitigate environmental challenges t...
  • Private Capital and Climate Challenges with Rakan Aboneaaj – ADEL 2023
    January 16, 2023
    In recent years, and in light of the mounting challenges associated with the effects of climate change on communities worldwide, discussions have ramped up on the necessity to crowd in private money to meet the sustainable development goals (SDGs) and mitigate environmental challenges t...
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    The Green Hydrogen Market: The Industrial Equation of the Energy Transition
    Authors
    Mounia Boucetta
    January 6, 2023
    The green hydrogen market1 is poised for major upheaval in the years to come as new players in the energy transition emerge. This market, however, still depends on the development of demand, the reduction of production, transport and storage costs, the development of truly competitive supply chains and the establishment of and appropriate legal and regulatory framework. Despite the many challenges facing this sector, a number of countries have begun to position themselves as impor ...
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    Le marché de l’hydrogène vert : l’équation industrielle de la transition énergétique
    Authors
    Mounia Boucetta
    January 6, 2023
    Le marché de l’hydrogène vert est appelé à connaitre de grands bouleversements dans les années à venir avec l’émergence de nouveaux acteurs de la transition énergétique. Néanmoins, ce marché est encore tributaire du développement de la demande, de la baisse des coûts de production, de transport et de stockage, du développement d’une chaîne logistique très compétitive et de la mise en place de cadre juridique et règlementaire approprié. Malgré les différents dé ...
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    Short of Water and Under Increasing Pressure to Deliver Food Security: Key Policy Considerations The Case of the Arab Republic of Egypt
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    January 2, 2023
    Climate change threatens to reduce the water flow in the Nile and increase the frequency and severity of droughts and floods in Egypt, which already suffers from water scarcity. This threat is a looming crisis as it seriously undermines the Government of Egypt’s long standing food self-sufficiency approach to food security, an approach which is wasteful of increasingly precious arable land and water resources, while achieving neither more food self-sufficiency nor meaningful food se ...
  • Perspectives de la crise des matières premières en Europe
    Sabrine Emran & Philippe Chalmin
    December 02, 2022
    Depuis février 2022, l’approvisionnement des matières premières en Europe constitue une des problématiques majeures auquel le continent est affronté. Si les matières premières agricoles s ...
  • Mediterranean Value Chains: between leveraging on the intra-regional growth opportunities and promoting the development
    Authors
    Saloi El Yamani
    Sabrine Emran
    November 25, 2022
    In a global context shaped by a three-dimensional crisis: the Covid-19 crisis, the climate change crisis, and the Russia-Ukraine war, the issues of connectivity, value chains, and the green transition are at the heart of the current policy debates all over the globe. In this regard, the Policy Center for the New South has organized, jointly with the Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI), a conference on November 2nd, 2022, under the theme “Connectivity, Value Chains, and the Green Tr ...
  • La situation du climat et de la biodiversité au Maghreb
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    November 4, 2022
    La COP27 se déroulera du 7 au 18 novembre 2022 à Charm el-Cheikh, en Égypte, afin d’évaluer l’impact des mesures prises par les parties et les progrès accomplis dans la réalisation des objectifs de la Convention-cadre, à savoir stabiliser les concentrations de gaz à effet de serre à un niveau qui empêche toute perturbation anthropique dangereuse induite par l’homme du système climatique. Alors que la concentration de dioxyde de carbone dans l’atmosphère est plus forte que jamais, la ...
  • Bridging green infrastructure and finance
    Authors
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Otaviano Canuto
    November 3, 2022
    This chapter was originally published in CEPR's eBook "Scaling Up Sustainable Finance and Investment in the Global South" The world faces a huge shortage of infrastructure investment relative to its needs. With few exceptions, such as China, this shortage is even greater in non-advanced countries. The G20 Infrastructure Investors Dialogue estimated the volume of global infrastructure investment needed by 2040 to be $81 trillion, $53 trillion of which is needed in non- advanced cou ...
  • How to Finance Green Infrastructure
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Karim El Aynaoui
    November 2, 2022
    This publication was originally published in Project Syndicate    Mobilizing excess savings in advanced economies for much-needed investment in green infrastructure in emerging-market and developing economies will not be easy. But it is possible, if both the public and private sectors do their parts. WASHINGTON, DC – To spur development and fight climate change, emerging-market and developing economies (EMDEs) will need huge amounts of investment in green infrastructure over the ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: شمال افريقيا وأزمة الغاز الأوروبية
    October 25, 2022
    واجه الاتحاد الأوروبي خلال السنتين الماضيتين أزمة غير مسبقة في قطاع الطاقة بدأت منذ سنة 2021 واشتدت مع الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية. فارتفعت أسعار الطاقة عمومًا والغاز على وجه الخصوص ممّا تسبّب في ضغطات مرتفعة على الفاعلين الاقتصاديين مستهلكين كانوا ام شركات. فحاول المفوضية والمجلس الأوروب...
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    Europe's strategic interest in completing the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    October 21, 2022
    This Policy Brief addresses the question of Europe's interest in the Nigeria-Morocco Gas Pipeline project. The paper advances six arguments to support this interest and its relevance. 1) The project effectively diversifies European gas resources and provide greater scope for action. 2) Building the pipeline helps create a new generation of measures to curb the asymmetric risks Europe faces. 3) The project mitigates the risk of replacing European dependence on Russian gas with anothe ...
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    La gouvernance des ressources naturelles en Afrique : le modèle botswanais
    Authors
    Oumnia Boutaleb
    October 21, 2022
    Avec près d’une vingtaine de pays dotés de minerais de tout genre, l’Afrique renferme les plus grandes réserves en ressources naturelles dans le monde. Paradoxalement, le continent reste l’une des régions les moins développées et comptant des populations parmi les plus pauvres. Inégalité dans la distribution des richesses, convoitise des ressources du continent par des entreprises étrangères ainsi qu’un manque de transparence de la part des dirigeants africains, sont autan ...
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    Pourquoi l’Europe a-t-elle un intérêt stratégique dans la réalisation du Gazoduc Nigeria-Maroc ?
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    October 5, 2022
    Le présent Policy Brief tente d’apporter une réponse à la question de l’intérêt de l’Europe dans la réalisation du projet de Gazoduc Nigeria-Maroc. Six arguments sont avancés pour fonder l’existence et la pertinence d’un tel intérêt. 1) Le projet participerait efficacement à la diversification des ressources gazières des pays européens et leur donnerait plus de marge de manoeuvre. 2) La mise en place du gazoduc participerait à l’édification d’une nouvelle génération de mesures qui a ...
  • Rapport annuel sur l’économie de l’Afrique
    Authors
    Sous la direction de Larabi Jaïdi
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    Muhammad Ba
    Rim Berahab
    Oumayma Bourhriba
    Marouane Ikira
    Pierre Jacquemot
    Brian Kelly Nyaga
    Leo Kemboi
    Moubarack Lo
    Mouhamadou Ly
    Badr Mandri
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    Solomon Muqay
    Dennis Njau
    Meriem Oudmane
    Ahmed Ouhnini
    Kwame Owino
    Faith Pittet
    Hamza Saoudi
    Amaye Sy
    Akram Zaoui
    September 29, 2022
    La succession des chocs pandémique, climatique et géopolitique a éprouvé les économies africaines. Les liens commerciaux et financiers avec le monde ne sont plus seulement considérés comme des moteurs de performance, mais aussi comme des sources potentielles de vulnérabilité. La défiance à l’égard de la mondialisation s’est accrue. Parce qu’elle est venue souligner la dépendance du continent, le dérèglement de ses rapports à la nature et sa vulnérabilité face aux tensions géopolitiq ...
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    Nouveau paradigme de l’électrification en Afrique subsaharienne. Comment les systèmes hybrides décentralisés changent-ils la donne ?
    Authors
    Hugo Le Picard
    September 26, 2022
    Après plusieurs décennies de réformes, la situation des secteurs électriques centralisés a peu évolué. Le secteur de l’électricité subsaharien reste peu développé et les secteurs électriques font face à d’importantes difficultés financières qui ont été encore accrues par les conséquences de la pandémie puis de la guerre en Ukraine. Les pertes d’exploitation de l’ensemble des secteurs électriques africains auraient dépassé les 150 milliards de dollars en 2020. F ...
  • Perspectives gazières du Maroc : où en est le projet ‘’Anchois’’ ?
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    September 9, 2022
    Au cours des dernières années, les découvertes d’hydrocarbures au Maroc ont été plutôt gazières que pétrolières. De plus, ces découvertes sont en général de petite taille. La plus intéressante de ces découvertes à ce jour est Anchois, qui est située sur le permis marin de Lixus Offshore au large de la ville de Larache. Ce permis est détenu depuis 2019 par Chariot Limited (75 %), une entreprise basée à Guernesey, et par l’Office National des Hydrocarbures et des Mines (Onhym – 25 %), ...
  • Africa to the rescue of Europe?
    Hamza Mjahed, Soukaina El Majidi
    September 09, 2022
    Key Challenges and Opportunities of African natural gas supplies to Europe. Since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, the African natural gas has emerged as an alternative to Russian na ...
  • Afrique : un très faible poids sur la scène énergétique mondiale
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    August 29, 2022
    L’Afrique représente environ 3 % du produit intérieur brut mondial. Il n’est donc pas surprenant que le poids du continent dans le secteur de l’énergie soit très faible, compte tenu des liens très étroits entre économie et énergie. Selon la dernière édition de la BP Statistical Review of World Energy, publiée en juin 2022 et portant sur l’année 2021, la part de l’Afrique dans la consommation mondiale d’énergie primaire était de 3,4 % l’an dernier (a) (b). Le continent, qui représent ...
  • African Hopes and European Needs : Key Challenges for African Gas Supplies to Europe
    Authors
    Hamza Mjahed
    August 17, 2022
    In May 2021, the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) report Net Zero by 2050 stated that there is no need for new investments in oil and gas fields in their net zero pathway[1]. The message was clear: place your next investments in clean energy sources and energy efficiency. However, the IEA’s Africa Energy Outlook 2022 stated that Africa’s industrialisation relies in expanding the use of natural gas[2]. Even the IEA executive director Fatih Birol said, “if we make a list of the top ...
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    Guerre en Ukraine et sanctions contre la Russie : quel avenir pour le pétrole ?
    Authors
    Afaf Zarkik
    August 2, 2022
    L’invasion russe de l'Ukraine a incité l'Union Européenne, en coordination avec d’autres puissances mondiales, à monter en urgence une réponse coordonnée de sanctions sans précédent. La plus emblématique d'entre elles est l'embargo partiel contre le pétrole et autres produits raffinés russes, qui signifie en essence la transition du commerce pétrolier d’une logique économique vers une logique géopolitique. D'où la montée en flèche des cours du pétrole et d'autres matières premières. ...
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    Covid-19 et crise en Ukraine : quels impacts sur la marche de l’Afrique vers l’émergence économique et sociale durable ?
    Authors
    Moubarack Lo
    Amaye SY
    August 1, 2022
    Avant la pandémie Covid-19, le continent abritait les économies à la croissance la plus rapide du monde et plusieurs pays africains montraient les premiers signes de transformation structurelle et de progrès vers l’émergence économique. Plus de deux ans après la pandémie et les ondes de choc qui en ont résulté, deux questions cruciales se posent : dans quelle mesure le choc sanitaire Covid-19, exacerbé par la crise ukrainienne, a-t-il constitué un tournant dans le processus général ...
  • Food Export Bans Will Make the Food Crisis Worse
    Authors
    Joseph Hammond
    July 18, 2022
    The world is facing its worst food crisis in 70 years as a perfect storm of geopolitical events contributes to a spike in prices. Wheat alone has jumped 53% since the start of the year. Alarmingly, a number of governments have responded to the crisis with export bans. Governments and organizations worldwide must act decisively to avoid knee-jerk neo-mercantilism, which would add to the volatility in the global economy. Globalization is at a fragile moment, and mercantilism still lur ...
  • Tarification Carbone et Développement économique
    July 6, 2022
    Le Policy Center for the New South et Enel Green Power Maroc co-organisent un webinaire sur "la tarification du carbone et le développement économique". Cette rencontre permettra de débattre des défis, des avantages et des limites des mécanismes de tarification du carbone et de leur imp...
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    Implications of Food Systems for Food Security: The case of the Federal Republic of Nigeria
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    June 21, 2022
    Oil dominates Nigeria’s economy- “Africa’s Giant”. Oil revenues are both a blessing and a curse: a blessing because they are the single most important contributor to government revenues; a curse because, through the Dutch Disease, they undermine the productivity and competitiveness of other non-oil sectors, primarily agriculture and agri-processing; and manufacturing, two major sources of non-oil employment and incomes. Since Nigerian governments did not try to counter the Dutch Dis ...
  • Africafé : Les enjeux de la sécurité alimentaire en Afrique
    June 16, 2022
    Africafé est une émission du Policy Center for the New South qui décrypte l’actualité des organisations africaines et de l’Afrique. A travers de courtes interviews, l’émission tente de proposer d’aborder de manière pédagogique les enjeux des organisations africaines et l’actualité du co...
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    Le marché du gaz en Afrique suite à l'invasion de l'Ukraine par la Russie
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    June 10, 2022
    Avec 38 % des réserves gazières mondiales, la Russie est un acteur majeur du marché mondial du gaz. Aussi, son invasion de l’Ukraine et les sanctions qui l'accompagnent vont désorganiser ce marché. L'objet de cette étude est d'analyser les conséquences de cette désorganisation pour l'Afrique, en distinguant le marché mondial du gaz naturel (I) de celui du marché du gaz africain (II), et ce avant la crise ukrainienne. Ce qui nous conduira à tirer les conséquences et les enseignements ...
  • The Global Food Price Shock
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    May 18, 2022
    The world food price index collected for the last 60 years by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) hit its highest record in March, declining gently in April. Pandemic, war and death in Ukraine, and droughts in the last 2 years… Such a combination looks apocalyptical. Now it is adding global hunger risks, because of the food price crisis. The rise in global food prices started in mid-2020 because supply chain disruptions triggered food stockpiling. Mobility r ...
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    The Energy Transition Amidst Global Uncertainties: A Focus on Critical Minerals
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    May 18, 2022
    Pursuing efforts to decarbonize economies and increase energy systems’ resilience is crucial to stay within global warming limits and fight the consequences of climate change, which are becoming increasingly acute. The transition to a net-zero economy will be commodityintensive and require significant quantities of critical minerals, defined as metals and nonmetals essential to high-tech sectors. As the shift to cleaner technologies progresses, supply of critical minerals for the en ...
  • Présentation des ouvrages phares du Policy Center for the New South
    May 11, 2022
    Cet atelier a servi de plateforme pour présenter les ouvrages suivants :  - L'édition 2022 du Rapport Annuel sur la Géopolitique de l'Afrique : Ce rapport est publié annuellement par le PCNS et a pour objet de relater, étudier et analyser les faits géopolitiques majeurs qui ont jalonné...
  • Atlantic Currents : Rim Berahab and the Threat of Climate Change
    May 10, 2022
    This is an exclusive interview with Rim Berahab, Senior Economist at the Policy Center for the New South, who engages with Helmut Sorge, Columnist at the Policy Center for the New South, in a conversation about the great threat of the climate crisis. Rim Berahab is the author of Chapter...
  • Biggest Commodity Price Shock in Fifty Years
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    May 6, 2022
    In addition to the deaths and destruction in Ukraine, the Russian invasion has caused several significant shocks to the global economy. In addition to the geopolitical consequences of the war, reinforcing the downward trend in trade globalization and financial integration, new rounds of disruptions to supply chains and higher commodity prices have already led to downward revisions in economic growth projections, accompanied by higher inflation. The commodity price shock, intensify ...
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    The Russia-Ukraine War and Food Security in Morocco
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Uri Dadush
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    Isabelle Tsakok
    April 29, 2022
    Following on the heels of the COVID-19 pandemic and severe drought in North Africa, the Russian invasion of Ukraine – large exporters of food and, in the case of Russia, energy— may inflict increased hunger on the food insecure in Morocco – despite mitigating measures by the government. Morocco is so far successfully shielding its large poor and vulnerable population by subsidizing essential commodities. With memories of the violent protests during the 2007/08 food and fuel crisis s ...
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    Emerging economies, global inflation, and growth deceleration
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    April 22, 2022
    Emerging market and developing economies (EMDE) face a common set of external shocks: rising energy and food prices; tightening in global financial conditions caused by the prospect of sharper interest rate hikes and anticipation of "quantitative tightening"; and return of restrictions on mobility in China, on account of the Covid zero policy, leading to slumping in growth and weakening one of the primary growth drivers for the other EMDE. However, the impacts of those common shocks ...
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    Les conséquences de l’invasion de l’Ukraine, par la Russie, pour l’approvisionnement de l’Afrique en blé
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    March 29, 2022
    L'invasion, par la Russie, de l'Ukraine, grenier à blé de la mer Noire, impacte lourdement le marché mondial de cette denrée, en premier lieu les principaux pays/clients importateurs des deux belligérants. L'objet de cette étude est d'analyser les conséquences de cette guerre pour l’Afrique, continent où le pain est un aliment de base. Ce qui nous conduit, tout d'abord, à rappeler les données générales de ce marché, avec une Russie et une Ukraine respectivement au premier et cinquiè ...
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    Implications of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on wheat supplies to Africa
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    March 29, 2022
    Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Black Sea granary, severely impacts global wheat markets, and especially hits the two warring parties' primary importing countries/clients. This study examines impacts of this war on Africa, where bread is a basic staple. This brings us to start with a review of broad market data, with Russia and Ukraine respectively ranking first and fifth among global wheat exporters, and the European Union (EU) gaining an edge as an alternative to the U.S./Canada ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: كيف يتأثر القطاع الفلاحي بالمغرب بالتغير المناخي وما تأثيره على النسيج الاجتماعي والاقتصادي؟
    March 22, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة تأثر القطاع الفلاحي بالمغرب بالتغير المناخي ومدى تأثيره على النسيج الاجتماعي والاقتصادي، مع عفاف زرقيق، باحثة في الاقتصاد والطاقة، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. شكَّل تغير المناخ على الدوام، إحد...
  • قراءة ما بعد القمة للأجندة الطاقية للشراكة الأوروبية الإفريقية
    Rim Riouch & Afaf Zarkik
    March 18, 2022
    تم تقديم إطلاق مبادرة جماعية لتطوير شراكات جديدة من أجل انتقال عادل للطاقة في إفريقيا خلال القمة بين الاتحاد الأوروبي والاتحاد الإفريقي. فما هي المبادرات المبرمجة بين الاتحاد الأوروبي و إ ...
  • The Neglected Side of the Water Management Equation: Demand Management
    Authors
    Ahmed Rachid El-Khattabi
    March 17, 2022
    The start of 2022 has been marked by drought, with countries around the world experiencing abnormally low levels of precipitation and dryness over the last few months. On the African continent, the intensity and duration of the droughts is wreaking havoc on economies already struggling because of the pandemic. In the eastern part of the continent, drought threatened to put countries in the Horn of Africa “on the brink of catastrophe” as late as February. In the north, Morocco is exp ...
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    A Look at the New Germany: The First 100 Days of the Three-Party Coalition
    Authors
    Hamza Mjahed
    March 16, 2022
    The 2021 German federal election brought about a historic reshuffle of the political parties’ hierarchy in Europe’s biggest economy. The Social Democratic Party are back in control of the Chancellery for the first time since 2005, as part of a three-party coalition at the federal level with the Greens and the Liberals, a first in Germany’s post-war history. Now, the federal government has turned its gaze towards its founding mission: more progress. The first 100 days of the three-pa ...
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    War in Ukraine and Risks of Stagflation
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 15, 2022
    The war in Ukraine is bringing substantial financial, commodity price, and supply chain shocks to the global economy. Sanctions on Russia are already having a significant impact on its financial system and its economy. Price shocks will have a global impact. Energy and commodity prices—including wheat and other grains—have risen, intensifying inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions and the recovery from the pandemic. The push toward relative deglobalization received fro ...
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    The experience of the Oriental Republic of Uruguay: Market integration within MERCOSUR and with other global partners Insights for AfCFTA countries?
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    March 11, 2022
    The pros and the cons of regional market integration are well exemplified by the experience of Uruguay, a small, open economy in MERCOSUR, which is a highly protectionist trade bloc, dominated by Argentina and Brazil. With access to such large markets, Uruguay did raise its growth rate during the first decade of MERCOSUR, the 1990s. However, market integration as implemented in MERCOSUR was also problematic in that Uruguay suffered from the high protectionism of Argentina in the for ...
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    Vers une « décommoditisation » des marchés de matières premières ?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    March 9, 2022
    S’il est commun de catégoriser les matières premières en fonction de leur réalité physique et de distinguer, en cela, produits agricoles, énergie et métaux, on se saurait oublier que ce sont les caractéristiques économiques qu’elles partagent qui justifient le regroupement de ces produits de base sous le terme commun de « commodities ». Une analyse en profondeur révèle toutefois la mise en œuvre, par les producteurs, de stratégies de différenciation par la qualité visa ...
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    The experience of the Argentine Republic: Market integration within MERCOSUR and with other global partners Insights for AfCFTA countries?
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    March 8, 2022
    The contrast between Argentina’s rich natural resource endowment and its poor economic performance has been the focus of much socio-political and economic analysis. When it created MERCOSUR with its immediate neighbors, Brazil, Uruguay, and Paraguay in 1991, it had access to a trading bloc with a combined GDP of US$ 419 trillion (2019), making it the 5th largest economy in the world. Joining the MERCOSUR was a break from its protectionist past. But it did not last. Argentina greatl ...
  • Integrated Transition Toward Sustainability: The Case of the Water-Energy-Food Nexus in Morocco
    Authors
    Afaf Zarkik
    Ahmed Ouhnini
    March 1, 2022
    Known for being a climate change hotspot, Morocco is at the forefront of a climate disaster. Consequences are already being felt, whether in the form of increasing temperature or a downward trend in precipitations, which directly threaten the water security and, by extension, the social-ecological systems of the country. The systems by which food, energy, and water are produced, distributed, and consumed heavily depend on one another. Their implicit feedbacks and links are not linea ...
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    The Economic Implications of the War in Ukraine for Africa and Morocco
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Fahd Azaroual
    Oumayma Bourhriba
    Uri Dadush
    February 28, 2022
    The Russian-Ukrainian war will have major economic and political repercussions. In this note, we focus on the war’s economic short and long term implications on the African economy. This conflict comes at very arduous context, where Africa is still struggling to set its economy on the recovery path, amid global inflationary pressures and highly uncertain context. While natural resources countries, especially energy exporters, are sensing opportunities from the crisis, other countrie ...
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    Les répercussions économiques de la guerre en Ukraine pour l'Afrique et le Maroc
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Fahd Azaroual
    Oumayma Bourhriba
    Uri Dadush
    February 28, 2022
    La guerre russo-ukrainienne aura des répercussions économiques et politiques dans les années à venir. Dans cette note, nous nous intéressons aux implications économiques de la guerre sur l’économie africaine à court et à long terme. Le conflit survient alors que l’Afrique s’efforce de mettre son économie sur la voie de la reprise, dans un contexte de pressions inflationnistes mondiales et de volatilité des marchés financiers et des matières premières. Alors que les exportateurs d’én ...
  • The One Ocean Summit : What Did It Bring to the Table ?
    Rim Riouch & Afaf Zarkik
    February 25, 2022
    The One Planet Summit for the Ocean was held in Brest during which President Emmanuel Macron brought together heads of state and government, heads of multilateral institutions, business l ...
  • Guerre en Ukraine : quelles incidences sur les prix de l’énergie ?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    February 25, 2022
    Phénomène inédit depuis 2014, le prix du baril de Brent a dépassé le 24 février 2022 le seuil de 100 USD/bbl, à la suite de la déclaration par la Russie de la guerre contre l’Ukraine. Il atteignait même 105 USD/bbl en séance, avant de se replier légèrement. Nul ne pouvait en être surpris, et ce pour deux raisons principales. En premier lieu, le pétrole est, à l’instar de l’or, l’un des baromètres des tensions géopolitiques mondiales et il ne fallait guère être devin pour savoir que ...
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    Le nickel : quels enjeux économiques et géopolitiques à l’horizon 2030
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    February 24, 2022
    Cela n’est plus à démontrer : la transition environnementale se traduit par une demande accrue pour un certain nombre de minerais et de métaux nécessaires au développement de l’électromobilité et à la génération électrique décarbonée permettant de l’alimenter. Le nickel compte parmi ceux-ci. L’essor des batteries lithium-ion crée, en effet, une forte demande pour le sulfate de nickel, alors que l’offre demeure contrainte, pour des raisons d’ordres technologique et éco ...
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    Le Sommet UE-UA 2022 : pour une interdépendance équilibrée
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Rim Berahab
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    Hinh T. Dinh
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Aomar Ibourk
    Len Ishmael
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Rida Lyammouri
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    Afaf Zarkik
    February 22, 2022
    Le sommet afro-européen des 17 et 18 février 2022 à Bruxelles marque la sixième édition de la rencontre de haut niveau entre les deux continents. Ce sommet, organisé traditionnellement en alternance entre l’Afrique et l’Europe, intervient dans un contexte régional et international marqué par la perspective de sortie de la pandémie de la Covid-19, l’épreuve de force entre l’Occident et la Russie et les turbulences que connaissent certaines régions africaines. Face à une E ...
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    The Links between Elite Conflict, Education Policies and Economic Complexity: Analysis of the (Similar, yet Different) Developmental Trajectories of Mauritius & Singapore
    Authors
    Nassim Hajouji
    February 15, 2022
    Using education and elite configurations as the main variables of analysis, this Policy Paper aims to show how higher levels of popular sector incorporation during elite conflicts, namely in the process of formulating and implementing policies related to education reforms, can negatively affect the economic complexity of developing countries. To do so, it analyzes the experiences of Mauritius and Singapore and links foundational political economy theories, particularly developmental ...
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    Transition environnementale, matières premières et industrialisation : quelles synergies engager ?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    February 14, 2022
    Si les liens existant entre l’exportation de matières premières et l’industrialisation sont étudiés depuis longtemps, l’entrée résolue de l’économie mondiale dans l’ère de la transition environnementale et numérique leur offre une dimension toute particulière. L’évidence de la lutte contre le réchauffement climatique par la décarbonation de notre monde ne saurait, en effet, faire oublier toute la complexité de la stratégie à adopter pour y parvenir. Il s’agit, pour l ...
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    The Energy Crisis of 2021 and its Implications for Africa
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    February 9, 2022
    Energy markets have experienced significant disruptions since the outbreak of COVID-19. In late 2021, soaring natural gas prices triggered a new crisis, leading to risks of energy supply shortages worldwide and propelling the issue of energy security to the forefront. Africa will not be spared the repercussions of this crisis, which could further increase energy inequality, which is in turn linked to other forms of inequality. Indeed, in a context of persistent inflation, the lack o ...
  • How Can Data Collection Help Inclusive Green Finance?
    Authors
    Morten Seja*
    Charlie Knight
    Hadley Hilgenhurst
    Amlan Banerjee
    Omair Azam
    January 31, 2022
    Setting the Scene for the Current State of Inclusive Green Finance Climate change is one of, if not the biggest, challenges facing the world. The challenge extends to banking regulators, who, in addition to other responsibilities, are now tasked with ensuring financial inclusion and climate change mitigation. However, central banks realizing how important inclusion and climate change are is only the first step. As part of this process, they need to understand how to define Inclusiv ...
  • Green Finance Taxonomies: Measuring which Economic Activities Deserve to be Called Green
    Authors
    Morten Seja
    Hadley Hilgenhurst
    Charlie Knight
    January 25, 2022
    Why Green Finance Taxonomies? The increasing effort to mitigate climate change has caused more and more individuals, governments, and companies to shift away from traditional financial investments and activities, and towards more environmentally-friendly alternatives. However, until recently, there has been a lack of consensus on what green finance and its environmental impact is. Thus, green finance taxonomies are needed to provide classification systems that identify how environm ...
  • ما الذي يعنيه اكتشاف الغاز الطبيعي في المغرب مطلع 2022؟
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    January 24, 2022
    في يناير/كانون الثاني 2022، أعلنت شركتا التنقيب عن النفط والغاز، شاريوت ليمتد وبريداتور أويل آند غاز هولدينغ، المستقرتان معا في المملكة المغربية، أخبارا سارة حول رخصتين من رخصهما في البلاد. وقد أفاضت اكتشافات الغاز الطبيعي المذكورة الكثير من المداد. غير أن هذا الأمر ليس بالمفاجئ عموما، وذلك لعدة أسباب. حيث يعتبر اكتشاف الهيدروكاربونات (النفط أو الغاز الطبيعي) حدثا مهما في حد ذاته بالنظر إلى مكانة الهيدروكاربونات على الساحة الطاقية (يمثل النفط والغاز الطبيعي مجتمعين أقل من 60 في الما ...
  • Découvertes de gaz naturel au Maroc au début 2022 : que faut-il en penser ?
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    January 24, 2022
    En janvier 2022, deux sociétés pétrolières, Chariot Limited et Predator Oil & Gas Holdings PLC, toutes les deux basées au Royaume-Uni, ont annoncé de bonnes nouvelles sur deux permis au Maroc. Ces découvertes de gaz naturel ont fait couler beaucoup d’encre. De façon générale, ce n’est d’ailleurs pas très étonnant, et ce pour plusieurs raisons : une découverte d’hydrocarbures (pétrole et gaz naturel) est un événement important en soi au regard de la place des hydrocarbures sur la ...
  • Morocco's Natural Gas discoveries of early 2022: What to make of it?
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    January 24, 2022
    In January 2022, two UK-based oil companies, Chariot Limited and Predator Oil & Gas Holdings PLC, made positive announcements on two gas fields in Morocco. These natural gas discoveries generated considerable attention. This is often not surprising for a number of reasons: a hydrocarbon discovery (oil and natural gas) is an important event in itself given the prominence of hydrocarbons in global energy (oil and natural gas together account for around 60% of global energy consump ...
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    Bilan 2021 et perspective 2022 : une persistance des tensions sur les marchés mondiaux de matières premières ?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    January 21, 2022
    La forte progression des cours des matières premières en 2021 ne peut occulter qu’elle s’est inscrite dans un contexte sanitaire, mais également économique et géopolitique, particulièrement instable. Si des évolutions structurelles fortes sont bien à l’œuvre – transition environnementale et numérique, essor démographique et mutation des habitudes alimentaires, mais aussi affirmation de la Chine sur les chaînes de valeur internationales, renforcement de la transformation locale dans ...
  • Is the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism a Threat for Developing Countries?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    January 13, 2022
    “This opinion was prepared within the framework of the Jean Monnet Atlantic Network 2.0. The European Commission's support for the production of this publication does not constitute an endorsement of the contents, which reflect the views only of the authors, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein.”   As part of the lengthy fight against climate change, the European Union (EU) has introduced a Border Carbon A ...
  • Le Mozambique devrait devenir un exportateur de GNL dans moins d’un an
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    January 4, 2022
    A la fin avril 2021, Total (aujourd’hui TotalEnergies) annonçait le retrait de son personnel du site d’Afungi, dans le nord-est du Mozambique, et déclarait la force majeure pour le projet gazier Mozambique LNG. Ce projet, qui devrait normalement être opérationnel en 2024, porte sur la production et l’exportation de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) à partir de très importantes ressources de gaz naturel découvertes dans le bassin de Rovuma (Zone offshore 1) en mer. Ce retrait temporaire du ...
  • Best of Podcasts 2021
    Rim Riouch and Nihal El Mquirmi
    December 31, 2021
    In 2021 we’ve had the opportunity to host more than 50 experts in 60 episodes. We discussed economic, international relations, commodities, energy, gender, and security issues affecting t ...
  • Afrique : trois grands projets pétroliers progressent en vue d’une mise en production dans les prochaines années
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    December 24, 2021
    En dépit de toutes les critiques contre les énergies fossiles au niveau international, plusieurs projets pétroliers et gaziers continuent à être lancés et à progresser en vue de prochaines mises en production. L’Afrique ne fait pas exception à la règle, bien au contraire. Des projets pétroliers importants sont ainsi en cours de développement dans plusieurs pays du continent et, pour au moins trois d’entre eux, le compte à rebours est bien engagé. Nous évoquerons dans cette Opinion l ...
  • The folly of humanity
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 21, 2021
    Simon Kofe, the Foreign Minister in charge of Communication and Justice of Tuvalu, a 25.9 square miles’ nation located in the South Pacific, was standing at the podium in suit and tie. But when he rolled up his trouser, he was barefoot, feeling white sand under his feet, the warm, sparkling clear water up to his knees. A PR stunt filmed at the far end of Fongafate, the primary islet of the capital Funafuti. Tuvalu’s population is about 11 000 inhabitants, and it is one of the world ...
  • Weathering the Changing Needs to Regulate Financial Inclusion
    Authors
    Morten Seja
    December 20, 2021
    A Case for Regulators to Green Financial Inclusion Financial Inclusion is an Excellent Tool for Combating Poverty It is well known that supporting financial inclusion is a relevant tool in lifting people out of poverty. There is plenty of empirical evidence showing that financial inclusion significantly reduces poverty and income inequality in developing countries. Concerted efforts to support financial inclusion globally have existed since the United Nations Capital Development ...
  • أي دمج للاستدامة ومخاطر المناخ في سياسات التنمية العامة في المغرب؟
    December 14, 2021
    التنمية العامة في المغرب مع حسن أكوزول، خبير في أهداف التنمية المستدامة وآليات تمويل المناخ. وفقًا لتقرير النموذج التنموي، يعاني المجتمع المغربي من انقسامات عميقة من ناحية بين مكونات الطبقات الاجتماعية، ومن ناحية أخرى بين المندمج والمهمش، وبين المستفيدين من عالم أكثر انفتاحًا وعكسهم وكذ...
  • Le cours de l’étain atteint des records historiques !
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    December 13, 2021
    Dans le vaste univers des matières premières, il est commun de parler des « métaux de base » pour qualifier les « grands » métaux non ferreux que sont l’aluminium, le cuivre, l’étain, le nickel, le plomb et le zinc. L’homogénéité de ce groupe est, bien évidemment, toute relative et la dynamique des cours qu’ils ont suivi, chacun, depuis le printemps 2021 ne peut manquer de le rappeler. En effet, alors qu’ils avaient tous lourdement chuté au premier trimestre 2020, après le déclenche ...
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    Decarbonization and “Greenflation”
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    December 10, 2021
     Accelerating the transition toward low or net-zero carbon emissions is necessary to keep global warming at theoretically safe levels. That will likely bring price shocks associated with rising metal prices, energy costs, and carbon taxes – what has been called “greenflation”. Greening the economy will also require public spending and redistributive policies. ...
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    Food for Trade or Food for National Food Security: A Dilemma for Drylands
    Authors
    Rabi Mohtar
    December 10, 2021
    Addressing the increasing demands for water, energy, and food requires a coherent methodology to ensure that  societies have access to them and that conflict over them is avoided. For example, agriculture and food production  require water and energy; energy production also requires water and, in some instances, agricultural products.  Water distribution and treatment can be very energy intensive. Therefore, the benefits of approaching the Water- Energy-Food (WEF) nexus in an integr ...
  • ADEL Portrait : Juan Diego Mujica Filippi
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    December 7, 2021
    This impact-driven young Peruvian legal scholar studies and advocates for the redesign of Corporate Law internationally through innovation for sustainable development. What does that mean exactly? After graduating from Harvard Law School (LL.M.’19), Juan Diego Mujica Filippi has been working as academic coordinator of an international research project on purpose-driven companies and the regulation of the fourth sector sponsored by the Ibero-American General Secretariat (SEGIB, based ...
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    L’émergence du Sud dans les relations internationales : la place du Maroc dans les narratifs africains
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    December 7, 2021
    Ce Policy Brief se propose d’apporter un éclairage sur la nouvelle place du Sud dans les relations internationales et le rôle que peut jouer le Maroc dans cet essor. Il existe, en effet, des opportunités pour le Royaume du Maroc de représenter et d’accompagner son continent d’appartenance, l’Afrique, pour la promotion des narratifs alternatifs, notamment sur les questions du changement climatique et de la migration. ...
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    De la transition environnementale à la crise énergétique : le gaz naturel a-t-il un avenir ?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    December 3, 2021
    Si le recours aux énergies renouvelables ne peut que croître, doit-on symétriquement considérer que le gaz naturel est, à l’instar du pétrole et du charbon, une énergie du passé ? Cette question simple en apparence, appelant une réponse tranchée et nécessairement positive au regard de l’impératif climatique, de la nécessité de décarboner nos économies, mais également des engagements politiques pris dans ce sens par de nombreuses nations. Le bien-fondé environnemental de ce raisonnem ...
  • AD 2021: Great Threats to Humanity: Sustainable Energies and Climate Change
    November 19, 2021
    Climate change is the defining issue of our time. The last decade was the hottest in human history and has seen an increase in natural disasters. These shocks not only damage the environment on which humans depend, but they weaken political, economic, and social systems as well. Tacklin...
  • Assessing Morocco’s progress in the context of COP26
    Uri Dadush and Rim Berahab
    November 19, 2021
    This Podcast is based on a Policy Brief by Rim Berahab and Uri Dadush. It examines how Morocco progresses on the mitigation component of its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) targe ...
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    Entre deux mondes : un marché international de l’aluminium en pleine mutation
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    November 10, 2021
    Après avoir connu plusieurs années difficiles marquées par une abondance de stocks et des surcapacités, l’aluminium a vu ses cours flamber sur les dix premiers mois de 2021, et ce malgré une inflexion récente. Au-delà de la reprise de la demande mondiale dans un contexte post-Covid-19, c’est la contraction de l’offre de la Chine, premier producteur mondial, qui expliquait cette dynamique haussière, alors que nombre de métaux de base tendaient à voir leurs prix fléchir depuis l’été. ...
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    Le Maroc à la COP 26
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Uri Dadush
    November 9, 2021
     Lors de la COP 26, il est probable que l'on accorde plus d'attention aux grands émetteurs comme la Chine et les États-Unis qu'à la situation des petits pays en développement, pourtant plus exposés aux conséquences du changement climatique. Le Maroc fait partie de cette catégorie. Ce Policy Brief examine les objectifs d'atténuation du Maroc dans le cadre de ses CDN et ses performances à ce jour avant de s'intéresser aux mesures nécessaires pour atteindre l'objectif à moyen terme de ...
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    Morocco at COP 26
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Uri Dadush
    November 9, 2021
     As COP 26 unfolds, more attention is likely to be paid to big emitters such as China and the United States than to the situation of small developing countries, even though they are more exposed to the consequences of climate change. Morocco falls into this category. This Policy Brief examines Morocco's mitigation objectives under its NDCs and its performance to date before exploring the needed measures to achieve the 2030 mid- term goal. Although Morocco has made significant progre ...
  • Hugs are Allowed and Planes are Flying
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 5, 2021
    The modern offices are flooded with light; some figures in face masks face the empty space, which is embraced by total silence. The air conditioning system is producing fresh air, indicating that the Policy Center for the New South continued to work in the shadow of the pandemic. Some researchers and analysts worked from home, others left large spaces between their desks, lost in thought and reflection, not even tempted to look out of the windows for orange trees, which spread thei ...
  • Le plaidoyer de l’Afrique pour le gaz naturel
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    November 2, 2021
    Quelques jours avant le début de la COP 26 à Glasgow, en Ecosse, la Commission africaine de l’énergie (AFREC) (a) a voulu souligner que le gaz naturel pouvait jouer un rôle important dans le paysage énergétique africain. Le 25 octobre, l’AFREC a publié un communiqué de presse pour mettre en valeur une ‘’note d’orientation politique sur l’énergie’’ qui avait été achevée en juillet 2021. Le changement climatique est largement causé par la production et la consommation massive des éne ...
  • Decarbonizing the economy: a view from the South
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    November 2, 2021
    This article was initially published on globaldev.blog in English, French and Spanish. How can the world achieve higher levels of decarbonization without compromising economic development? This column explores the case of Morocco, a developing country committed to contributing to the global effort against climate change. Assessment of possible decarbonization pathways suggests that particular attention should be paid to expanded penetration of renewable energy to meet future electri ...
  • Largely inadequate to manage the challenges we face
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 2, 2021
    How close are we to the apocalypse, human culture, democracy, wisdom, thrown back in time and reduced to the mind of Neanderthals? Remember them, 40 000 years ago? Or back to the days of the dinosaurs, 233 million years gone by, yet unforgotten, thanks to Hollywood. Gone are the mammoths, the cave men, the pest and cholera and wars, which lasted 30 years. Compared with the devastation of the “black death”, a bubonic plague pandemic (1347 to 1353), which caused the death of up to 20 ...
  • The World is on Fire
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 27, 2021
    Catastrophic Consequences Increasing wildfires, a sign of climate change, are reducing forests to ashes. This year alone, 43 billion metric tons of CO2 will be emitted into the atmosphere from forest fires. The world lost about 10 million hectares of forests per year between 2015 and 2020, according to the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP), in its 2021 report Ecosystem Restoration for people, nature and climate. Each year an average of 122 million hectares of forests are af ...
  • The Alarm Bells are Deafening
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 26, 2021
    Minus 50 degrees Celsius is a challenge for human beings who were not raised in the Arctic, becoming familiar with polar bears and dog sleds. Plus 50 degrees Celsius is part of a nomadic reality, of survival in the desert, short of water and shadow, but rich in stars above and vicious vipers in the sand. Eskimos, known as Inuit and Yupik, and Bedouins and Tuaregs, indigenous people, survive by trusting instinct and their embrace of nature, strengthened throughout childhood by cod li ...
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    ARCADIA: L’Afrique et les marchés mondiaux de matières premières
    Authors
    Sous la direction de : Philippe Chalmin
    Yves Jégourel
    October 25, 2021
    Fruit d’une collaboration étroite entre CyclOpe et le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), le rapport Arcadia – pour Annual Report on Commodity Analytics and Dynamics In Africa – se fonde sur une réalité bien connue : les matières premières fa- çonnent et façonneront une large part de la physionomie des économies africaines et doivent, en raison de cette dimension stratégique, faire l’objet d’analyses dédiées. À cet égard, ce rapport est probablement unique. Il offre en effet un ...
  • Pétrole et gaz au Sénégal : cap sur 2023
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    October 18, 2021
    Dans une Opinion publiée par le Policy Center for the New South le 27 septembre à propos d’une récente découverte d’hydrocarbures en Côte d’Ivoire, nous indiquions que l’Afrique avait un important potentiel pétrolier et gazier et que ce potentiel était largement sous-exploité. Dans la même région, un autre pays de la Communauté économique des Etats de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (CEDEAO), le Sénégal, est sur le point de devenir un pays producteur et exportateur d’hydrocarbures (pétrole et ...
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    What will be the effect of the EU’s Carbon Border Tax on Morocco, and how should Morocco react?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Uri Dadush
    October 15, 2021
    The European Commission recently presented several legislative proposals as part of its “Fit for 55” initiative, designed to accelerate the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. A Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) has been proposed as part of this initiative. The CBAM would be complementary to the EU’s Emission Trading Scheme (ETS), involving CBAM certificates issued to importers based on the integrated emissions intensity of the produc ...
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    Tensions conjoncturelles ou aube d’un nouveau super- cycle : la dynamique du prix des matières premières en question
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    October 7, 2021
    Face à la très forte augmentation du prix des matières premières observée depuis le printemps 2020, l’idée qu’un nouveau super-cycle soit en gestation s’est progressivement diffusée. Si les tensions qui s’observent à court terme sur les métaux de la transition environnementale (cuivre, nickel, étain, palladium) devraient, il est vrai, perdurer à moyen et long termes, l’affirmation selon laquelle leurs prix sont amenés à croître structurellement doit probablement être nuancée. Les ef ...
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    Climate Change and Ecological Pan-Africanism
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    October 1, 2021
    Africa is often overlooked in international policy conversations about climate change, but the continent has not been spared extreme weather events. On the eve of COP26, in Glasgow, United Kingdom, in October 2021, and as the African Union formulates a climate strategy for the continent, it is worth recalling how global warming is affecting different parts of Africa and how the continent fits into policy conversations on climate change. ...
  • How to Decarbonize the Moroccan Economy
    Hamza M'jahed & Rim Berahab
    October 01, 2021
    The climate crisis is a latent threat that has been brewing for several years. Its repercussions affect both individuals and economies. Since the Paris Agreement, progress has stalled in ...
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    Risk Mitigation Tools to Crowd in Private Investment in Green Technologies
    Authors
    Mahmoud Arbouch
    Raffaele Della Croce
    Otaviano Canuto
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Youssef El Jai
    Miguel Vazquez
    September 29, 2021
    In order to close the financing gap in green technologies, finding new mechanisms to enhance the participation of the private sector, combined with that of the public sector, in financing sustainable and climate-resilient infrastructure is a must. In this context, some unlisted instruments are going to be needed to enhance financing of green infrastructure. Besides, the development of properly structured projects, with risks and returns in line with the preferences of the different ...
  • Découverte de pétrole en Côte d’Ivoire : cinq points clés
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    Francis Perrin
    September 27, 2021
    L’Afrique a un important potentiel pétrolier et gazier, lequel est largement sous-exploité. On ne sera donc pas étonné par le fait que plusieurs pays africains sont sur le point de devenir de nouveaux pays producteurs et exportateurs de pétrole et/ou de gaz naturel et que d’autres, qui sont déjà producteurs, soient prochainement en mesure d’accroître cette production. Pensons notamment au Sénégal pour le pétrole et le gaz naturel ; à la Mauritanie pour le gaz ; à l’Ouganda pour le p ...
  • The Road to Decarbonization
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Otaviano Canuto
    September 8, 2021
    The report of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), released at the beginning of August, left no room for doubt. According to its estimates, it will be necessary to accelerate the pace of global containment of carbon emissions if the expected increases in global average temperatures are to be kept below 2 or 1.5 degrees Celsius, with correspondingly less-dramatic climatic consequences. Even if emissions of greenhouse gases are reduced over the next few ...
  • Le mécanisme européen d’ajustement carbone aux frontières risque de faire plus de mal que de bien
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    Uri Dadush
    September 6, 2021
    L’Union européenne (UE) a annoncé le 14 juillet une proposition de taxe carbone à ses frontières, qui devrait renchérir les importations de produits fortement émetteurs (acier, aluminium, ciment, électricité et engrais). Cette même taxe est déjà appliquée au sein de l’UE, qui veut désormais l’imposer aux fabricants étrangers. En soi, le projet part d’une bonne intention. Il n’est pas motivé par le protectionnisme, mais par des préoccupations climatiques on ne peut plus justiíées. S ...
  • L’Afrique ne représentait que 3-4% de la consommation mondiale d’énergie en 2020
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    Francis Perrin
    August 27, 2021
    Il est bien connu que le poids de l’Afrique sur la scène énergétique mondiale est faible, ce qui est le reflet de son poids économique. En 2020, en termes de consommation, la part de l’Afrique dans le total mondial ne dépassait pas 3% à 4%. De plus, cette part n’a que très peu augmenté au cours des dix dernières années. L’an dernier, l’Afrique ne représentait que 3,3% de la consommation mondiale d’énergie primaire (pétrole, gaz naturel, charbon, énergie nucléaire, hydroélectricité ...
  • Après la chute de Kaboul, quel avenir pour le projet de gazoduc TAPI ?
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    Francis Perrin
    August 24, 2021
    La victoire éclair des Talibans en Afghanistan remet sur le devant de la scène un projet énergétique dont il est question depuis plus de 20 ans. Il s’agit d’un gazoduc qui relierait le Turkménistan au Pakistan et à l’Inde, en passant par l’Afghanistan. Le nom de ce projet est TAPI pour Turkménistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan et Inde. La logique derrière ce projet est très simple. Le Turkménistan a beaucoup de gaz naturel, puisque ce pays occupe le quatrième rang parmi les détenteurs de ...
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    Morocco’s Decarbonization Pathway - Part IV: Policy Recommendations
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 29, 2021
    As decarbonization is a long-term process and requires significant investments, specific financial and non- financial measures will need to be implemented, both in the short and long term, to facilitate this transition. In Part II of Morocco’s decarbonization pathway Policy Brief series, an update of the decarbonization scenarios was presented. It revealed that the Increased Ambition and Green Development scenarios achieve higher decarbonization targets than current policy. It showe ...
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    La trajectoire de décarbonisation du Maroc – 4ème partie : recommandations politiques
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 23, 2021
    La décarbonisation est un processus à long terme qui nécessite des investissements importants. Ainsi, des mesures financières et non financières spécifiques devront être mises en œuvre, à la fois à court et à long termes, pour faciliter cette transition. Dans la deuxième partie de la série de Policy Briefs sur la trajectoire de décarbonisation du Maroc, une mise à jour des scénarios de décarbonisation a été présentée. Elle révèle que les scénarios « Ambition accélérée » et « Dévelop ...
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    Morocco’s Decarbonization Pathway - Part III: The Costs and Benefits of the Energy Transition
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 19, 2021
    Morocco's significant renewable energy resources offer an unprecedented opportunity to anchor the country’s economic and political choices in the energy transition, and to turn the transition into an essential lever for economic development. This is all the more relevant as the costs of renewable energies have dropped over the past 10 years2, and now offer strong potential, not only for creating green jobs but for ensuring a dynamic and resilient economic growth as well. In 2020, ne ...
  • AFTER THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: HOW DOES THE WORLD CHANGE?
    Authors
    Len Ishmael
    July 16, 2021
    The BDA Currents: Where Diplomacy Meets Business, is the Brussels Diplomatic Academy’s annual report covering the wider geopolitical and other factors influencing and affecting the world of diplomacy, international relations and global business. The journal focuses on issues of topical interest around the centers of global power, influence and importance, including the continents of Europe and Africa, the Middle East, China, India & Asia, Russia and the Commonwealth of Independe ...
  • Les Mardis du PCNS 13/07/2021: المغرب في مجال الطاقة: بين المؤهلات والتحديات
    July 13, 2021
    يلتزم المغرب منذ سنة 2009 بتسريع تطوير الطاقات المتجددة، وتعزيز الكفاءة في استخدام الطاقة وكذلك التكامل الإقليمي من خلال اعتماد استراتيجية وطنية طموحة للطاقة. بعد أكثر من 10 سنوات، تم تحقيق العديد من الإنجازات. لكن مع انتشار وباء كوفيد 19 والازمة الصحية التي نتجت عنه، تم فرض العديد من ا...
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    Zambie : panorama politique, défis et opportunités
    Authors
    July 12, 2021
    Frappée de plein fouet par la crise sanitaire de la Covid-19, la République de Zambie, déjà fragilisée, fait face à de nombreux défis sur les plans politique, économique, social et climatique. Outre sa position géographique de pays enclavé, le croissant de l’Afrique australe se positionne comme l’une des premières victimes du réchauffement climatique sur le continent rendant vulnérable une partie de sa population souffrant d’insécurité alimentaire accrue. Par ailleurs, et à l’approc ...
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    La trajectoire de décarbonisation du Maroc - 2ème partie : scénarios de décarbonisation actualisés
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 9, 2021
    Les conséquences du changement climatique sont de plus en plus visibles au Maroc. Le schéma changeant des précipitations et de la sécheresse, l'augmentation des températures moyennes et des canicules, les inondations et l'augmentation du niveau de la mer affectent de plus en plus de nombreuses régions. Et pourtant, le taux d'émission de gaz à effet de serre (GES) du Maroc est relativement faible, comparé à celui d'autres pays. En 20162, les émissions totales de GES du Maroc ont atte ...
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    Morocco’s Decarbonization Pathway Part II: Updated Decarbonization Scenarios
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 9, 2021
    The consequences of climate change are becoming progressively more visible in Morocco. Changes in rainfall patterns and drought, increases in average temperatures and heatwaves, flooding, and rising sea levels are increasingly affecting several regions. Yet, Morocco has a relatively low greenhouse gas (GHG) emission rate, compared to other countries. In 20162, Morocco’s total GHG emissions reached 86127.7 gigagram of carbon dioxide equivalent (Gg CO2-eq), totaling around 0.2% of glo ...
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    La trajectoire de décarbonisation du Maroc - 3ème partie : Coûts et avantages de la transition énergétique
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 9, 2021
    Les importantes ressources en énergies renouvelables du Maroc offrent une opportunité sans précédent d’ancrer les choix économiques et politiques du pays dans la transition énergétique, et de faire de cette transition un levier essentiel du développement économique. Ceci est d’autant plus important que le coût des énergies renouvelables a baissé au cours des 10 dernières années2 et présente désormais un fort potentiel, non seulement de création d’emplois verts mais aussi de croissan ...
  • Bridging Private Finance and Green Infrastructure
    July 7, 2021
    Otaviano Canuto, Policy Center for the New South The contrast between the scarcity of investments in infrastructure – particularly in non-advanced economies – and the excess of savings invested in liquid and low-return assets in the global economy deserves to be confronted. Greening inf...
  • Prix des matières premières : vers un nouveau super cycle ?
    July 7, 2021
    Durant les années précédant la crise sanitaire, l’inflation n’était pas un sujet de préoccupation pour les économies surtout occidentales, habituées depuis plusieurs décennies à une certaine stabilité. Vers fin 2019, l’évolution des prix à la consommation était contenue en dessous de 1,...
  • Matchmaking Private Finance and Green Infrastructure
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Otaviano Canuto
    July 7, 2021
    The world faces a huge shortfall of infrastructure investment relative to its needs. With a few exceptions, such as China, this shortfall is greatest in emerging and developing countries. The G20 Infrastructure Investors Dialogue estimated the volume of global infrastructure investment needed by 2040 to be $81 trillion, $53 trillion of which will be needed in non-advanced countries. The Dialogue projected a gap—in other words, a shortfall in relation to the investment needs foresee ...
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    The EU’s Carbon Border Tax is Likely to do More Harm than Good
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    June 30, 2021
    The EU's proposed carbon border tax is well intentioned. It is motivated by climate concerns, not by protectionism. However, the tax is based on the false premise of carbon leakage, and its implementation is rife with practical difficulties. Moreover, the tax, as proposed, departs from the Paris agreement principle of differentiated responsibilities, and will be challenged by developing countries. The United States is not ready to adopt carbon taxes, either. The WTO, already in a fr ...
  • Lost in Transition: Developing Countries in the Global Economy
    June 30, 2021
    Otaviano Canuto, Policy Center for the New South The growth and productivity performance of emerging market and developing economies since the 2008 global financial crisis failed to repeat the achievements of the previous decade. Besides frustrating expectations that they might become t...
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    La trajectoire de décarbonisation du Maroc - Première partie : Introduction à l'étude conjointe
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    June 28, 2021
    Lors de la Conférence des Parties à la Convention-cadre des Nations unies sur les changements climatiques (CCNUCC) qui s'est tenue à Paris en 2015, les gouvernements se sont engagés à limiter l'augmentation de la température mondiale à un niveau bien inférieur à 2°C par rapport aux niveaux préindustriels. Ils se sont également engagés à atteindre, dès que possible, un pic de leurs émissions et à parvenir à la neutralité carbone au cours de la seconde moitié du siècle. Pour autant, m ...
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    Morocco’s Decarbonization Pathway Part I: Introduction to a Joint Study
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    Afaf Zarkik
    with the technical support of AFRY
    June 28, 2021
    During the 2015 Paris Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), governments pledged to limit the global temperature increase to well below 2°C above pre- industrial levels, to peak emissions as soon as possible, and to achieve carbon neutrality in the second half of the century. Yet, even assuming full implementation of the commitments made by governments in Paris, the global concentration of greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions will ...
  • Climate change in Brazil: dealing with uncertainty in agricultural productivity models and the implications for economy-wide impacts
    Authors
    Bruno Souza
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    June 18, 2021
    This paper estimates the economic impacts of climate change over the Brazilian regions until the end of the century. We estimate the direct and indirect impact of the projected changes in climate on the yield of the country’s main crops. The results point to a broad spatial heterogeneity of impacts across the country. Using the extreme scenarios created by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (RCP 2.6 and 8.5), our predictions indicate that the average annual losses ...
  • Investment in Green Infrastructure: Paving the Way to the Private Sector
    June 16, 2021
    It is now an established fact that investment in infrastructure is considered as a driver for economic growth. It acts through different channels. In the short run, the construction phase of any projects often implies the direct creation of new jobs and an indirect creation of on periph...
  • The Role of Eco-Industrial Parks in Environmentally-Responsible Economic Growth
    Authors
    Nadia Makara
    June 3, 2021
    In an effort to spur economic growth, industrial parks were created to combine industrial activities with infrastructure, service, and commercial activities. These parks involve a collection of businesses, utilizing a combination of heavy and light manufacturing, that are located in a dedicated zone for industrial use to boost efficiency, minimize operational costs, and maximize output. Though industrial parks can contribute to economic growth and social development in a region, the ...
  • Otaviano Canuto on Natural Wealth and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
    June 2, 2021
    Otaviano Canuto, Policy Center for the New South The conceptual framework of natural wealth that we approached in the previous video may be illustrated with cases drawn from Sub-Saharan Africa. With at least 250 million inhabitants in resource-rich African countries, natural assets are ...
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    Is China a Developing Country?
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    May 31, 2021
    China is the world's largest exporter of goods. It is also, by any plausible criterion, a developing country. China's dual status needs to be better reflected in Chinese policies - recognizing its global responsibilities -- and in those of the Western powers - recognizing China's limitations. Across three important agendas - macroeconomics, development assistance, and climate - important differences between China and the West remain, yet none of these issues appears intractable. ...
  • Are We on the Verge of a New Commodity Super-Cycle?
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Otaviano Canuto
    May 24, 2021
    Commodity prices have recovered their 2020 losses and, in most cases, are now above pre-pandemic levels (Figure 1). The pace of Chinese growth since 2020 and the economic recovery that has accompanied vaccine rollouts in advanced companies are seen as driving demand upward, while supply restrictions for some items—oil, copper, and some food products—have favored their upward adjustment. Some analysts have started to speak of the possibility of a new commodity price ‘super-cycle’ aft ...
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    Africa’s Mining Potential: Trends, Opportunities, Challenges and Strategies
    Authors
    Landry Signé
    In collaboration with Chelsea Johnson
    May 19, 2021
    Africa is endowed with abundant mineral resources, including gold, silver, copper, uranium, cobalt, and many other metals which are key inputs to manufacturing processes around the world. The mining and extractive sector has contributed and continues to contribute a significant share of Africa’s exports, revenue and GDP annually. In 2019, minerals and fossil fuels accounted for over a third of exports from at least 60% of African countries. Additionally, 42 out of 54 African countri ...
  • Otaviano Canuto on Commodity Price Cycles
    May 12, 2021
    Otaviano Canuto, Policy Center for the New South Commodity prices go through extended periods during which prices are well above or below their long-term price trend. The upswing phase in super cycles results from a lag between unexpected, persistent, and upward trends in commodity dema...
  • L'affrontement des puissances en Méditerranée orientale
    Akram Zaoui & Dorothée Schmid (IFRI)
    April 30, 2021
    La Méditerranée orientale a figuré en bonne place de l’actualité de ces derniers mois. Vieil espace de civilisation, objet de disputes et d’ambitions contradictoires entre puissances régi ...
  • Otaviano Canuto on Central Banks and Climate Change
    April 28, 2021
    There are three major reasons for central banks to engage on climate change issues. The first is the set of – physical and transition - risks to financial stability potentially brought about by natural disasters and trends derived from climate change. Second, the potential impact of cli...
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    The Nigerian Energy Crisis: What Prospects for Green Recovery and Transatlantic Integration?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    April 27, 2021
    With a population of approximately 200 million, Nigeria accounts for about half of West Africa's population and has one of the largest concentrations of young people in the world. Endowed with abundant natural resources, Nigeria is one of Africa's largest oil exporters, with an estimated 37 billion barrels of proven crude oil reserves, the majority of which are found in the Niger River Delta and offshore in the Bight of Benin, the Gulf of Guinea and the Bight of Bonny. Nigeria also ...
  • Water scarcity: Same challenge, different answers
    April 12, 2021
    Water resources have become increasingly scarce in several regions of the world, particularly in arid and semi-arid zones. Countries located in these regions are constrained by water scarcity due to their hydro-climatic characteristics and intra- and interannual rainfall fluctuations. I...
  • Un chemin semé d'embûches pour éliminer les subventions des carburants au Nigeria
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Rim Berahab
    March 31, 2021
    Depuis la découverte des ressources pétrolières du Nigeria en 1956, le secteur pétrolier a progressivement revêtu une importance considérable, jusqu'à devenir le principal moteur de l'économie du pays : le pétrole brut est le premier poste d'exportations (figure 1) ainsi que le principal pourvoyeur en réserves de devises et de recettes fiscales pour le gouvernement fédéral nigérian (figure 2). Cependant, malgré son importance, le secteur pétrolier n'a pas élargi la base productive d ...
  • Covid-19 et énergie: quels impacts ?
    Francis Perrin, Afaf Zarkik
    March 26, 2021
    Il y a un peu moins d'un an, durant la nuit du 20 au 21 avril 2020, le prix du WTI s’est effondré, atteignant les moins 37 dollars. Le 16 février 2021, le WTI franchit le seuil des 60 $, ...
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    Forces et faiblesses de la CEDEAO en 2021
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    March 17, 2021
    Cette étude concerne la Communauté économique des Etats d'Afrique de l'Ouest (CEDEAO), rappelant, tout d'abord, leur diversité géographique, démographique et économique. Montrant ce que ces Etats ont en commun mais, aussi, ce qui les différencie. La CEDEAO, qui réunit quinze pays parmi les plus pauvres de la planète, si on se réfère à leur PIB par habitant, en dollar courant ou en parité de pouvoir d'achat/PPA/. Ce qui explique une démographie explosive, sans que l'on puisse dire si ...
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    « Risques globalisés » et sécurité hydrique au Moyen-Orient Cas de la vallée du Jourdain
    Authors
    Noureddine Jallal
    Khalid Chegraoui
    January 22, 2021
    Les ressources hydriques constituent un facteur stratégique qui engage la sécurité humaine des États. Cette situation est plus problématique pour les régions qui connaissent un stress hydrique. Aussi, les prévisions mondiales d’ici 2050 sonnent l’alarme des dangers de la raréfaction de l’eau dans toutes les régions du globe, même pour celles qui connaissent aujourd’hui une sorte d’abondance hydrique. Il est question, ici, d’aborder la problématique de l’eau et de son partage dans u ...
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    Les engagements de Joe Biden sur le climat : quel impact en attendre ?
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    January 4, 2021
    Le Président américain élu, Joe Biden, a fait du climat une priorité de sa campagne électorale. Prenant le contrepied de son prédécesseur, il a notamment annoncé le retour dans l’Accord de Paris, un vaste programme d’infrastructures en faveur des énergies renouvelables et de la transition climatique ainsi qu’un objectif national de Zéro émission pour 2050 (2035 pour la production d’électricité). Avec son élection, la donne change dans le débat climatique. Certes, aucun autre pays n ...
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    Joe Biden’s climate commitments? What impact can we expect?
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    January 4, 2021
    US President-elect Joe Biden made climate change a priority in his election campaign. Contrary to his predecessor, he announced, among other things, the return to the Paris Accord, a vast infrastructure program for renewable energy and climate transition, and a national target of Zero emissions by 2050 (2035 for power production). With his election, the climate debate is changing. It is true that no other country had followed the United States in withdrawing from the Paris Accord. ...
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    Atlantic vision 2025: building an Atlantic community - 2nd edition
    Authors
    Hanae Bezad
    Maximo Plo Seco
    Roger Hilton
    December 10, 2020
    The Atlantic basin faces considerable challenges on multiple fronts. Financial and economic struggles, coupled with political shifts and social turmoil, are reshaping the region’s geopolitical landscape. Unemployment, poverty, violence, migration, extremism, climate change and other problems are on the rise and the need to tackle them effectively is pressing. To find adequate solutions to these challenges, it is crucial to create inclusive discussions between the North and the Sout ...
  • The Pandemic Will Reshape Globalization
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    December 7, 2020
    The pandemic is accelerating history, in the sense that it is leading to the speeding up of some recent trends. In the case of globalization, the pandemic will not reverse it, but it will reshape it. Here we take a bird’s eye view of global trade during the pandemic, relate it to previous trends, and guess how global value chain managers and government trade policymakers are likely to react. A Bird’s Eye View of Global Trade during the Pandemic World trade took a deep dive during ...
  • A Bad Year? Climate Variability and the Wine Industry in Chile
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Patricio Aroca
    Pilar Jano
    Ademir Rocha
    Bruno Pimenta
    November 23, 2020
    Short-term climate conditions may affect crop yields and vintage quality and, as a consequence, wine prices and vineyards’ earnings. In this paper, we use a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model for Chile, which incorporates very detailed information about the value chain of the wine sector in the country. Using information for the 2015-2016 harvest, we calibrate climate variability shocks associated with a “bad year” for the wine industry in Chile, when premature rains occurre ...
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    A Water-Energy-Food Nexus approach for conducting trade-off analysis: Morocco's phosphate industry in the Khouribga region
    Authors
    Sang-Hyun Lee
    Amjad T. Assi
    Bassel Daher
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    Rabi Mohtar
    October 5, 2020
    Our Senior Fellow Rabi Mohtar has co-authored with our economist, Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub along other researchers a research paper entitled « A Water-Energy-Food Nexus approach for conducting trade-off analysis: Morocco’s phosphate industry in the Khouribga region » in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Journal (Volume 24, Issue 10). The study objective was to develop and use the Water-Energy-Food Nexus Phosphate (WEF-P) Tool to evaluate the impact of Morocco’s phosphate industry ...
  • La transition énergétique à l’épreuve de la Covid-19
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Afaf Zarkik
    September 24, 2020
    Profondément préoccupée par les niveaux alarmants de propagation et de sévérité du Coronavirus, l’Organisation mondiale de la Santé (OMS) annonce, le 11 mars 2020, que la Covid-19 a atteint le niveau de pandémie. Pour contenir la propagation du virus, la vie sociale et économique est pratiquement paralysée : Selon l’Agence internationale de l’Energie (AIE), environ un tiers de la population mondiale a fait l'objet de confinement complet ou partiel entre février et la mi-mai, et quas ...
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    L'or : l'actif refuge des temps difficiles
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    September 18, 2020
    On assiste, ces derniers mois, à un rebond des cours de l'or, le portant vers de nouveaux sommets. L'analyse des cours de ce précieux métal depuis deux siècles montre une grande stabilité jusqu'en 1971, date de l'abandon de la convertibilité or /dollar par les Etats-Unis, mais aussi de son mouvement erratique depuis cette date. Soumise aux lois du marché, cette matière première voit son cours dépendre essentiellement de la demande. Evolution qui confirme cet actif comme valeur refug ...
  • Global trends in the energy sector and their implication on energy security in NATO’s southern neighbourhood
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    September 8, 2020
    The energy sector has undergone major transitions from the use of wood as a dominant fuel to the adoption of coal and, more recently, oil. In the 21st century gas has grown faster than any other fossil fuel and today renewable energy is growing even faster. The changes, combined with volatile energy prices and occasional shocks, create complex scenarios for the future of the energy sector. This has numerous implications, not only for the socio-economic development of NATO’s southern ...
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    Mozambique Les défis sécuritaires, politiques et géopolitiques du boom gazier
    Authors
    Benjamin Augé
    August 31, 2020
    Les découvertes géantes de gaz au Mozambique, soit 160 trillions de pieds cubes (4 530 milliards de mètres cubes), vont permettre à ce pays très pauvre (6 e produit national brut [PNB] par habitant – le plus faible du continent africain) de devenir un des futurs grands producteurs de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) au monde d’ici deux décennies. La plupart des majors occidentales et asiatiques sont théoriquement prêtes à investir plus d’une centaine de milliards de dollars (Mds de $) dan ...
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    Accelerating the energy transition The Role of Green Finance and its Challenges for Europe
    Authors
    Pauline DESCHRYVER
    August 24, 2020
    Green finance has been a burgeoning sector since the Paris Agreement and is at the crossroads of financial, socio-economic and environmental challenges. It is hybrid in nature: it uses financial instruments and focuses on environmental issues, while coming under the wider field of so-called “sustainable” finance that assumes a broader approach with the inclusion of socio-economic and governance challenges. It is a catalyst as it facilitates and accelerates the transition to a low-ca ...
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    ACCÉLÉRER LA TRANSITION ÉNERGÉTIQUE : Le rôle de la finance verte et ses enjeux pour l’Europe
    Authors
    Pauline DESCHRYVER
    August 24, 2020
    La finance verte est un champ en plein développement depuis l’accord de Paris, qui se situe à la croisée d’enjeux financiers, socioéconomiques et environnementaux. Elle est de nature hybride : opérant avec des outils financiers, elle se concentre sur les questions environnementales, tout en appartenant au champ plus large de la finance dite « durable », qui adopte une approche élargie avec l’inclusion d’enjeux socioéconomiques et de gouvernance. Elle possède une capacité catalytique ...
  • Les Mardis du PCNS 07/07/2020 : آثار أزمة كورونا على دينامية محاربة التغيرات المناخية
    July 7, 2020
    بعد تفشي فيروس كورونا المستجد في جل مناطق العالم، اختلفت طرق التصدي له من دولة إلى أخرى. حيث اعتمدت الدول قرارات متفاوتة من حيث الصرامة في ظل الحد من تفشي هذا الوباء. وفي نفس الصدد، اتُخذت عدة قرارات لدعم المواطنين لكي يتاح لهم المرور من هذه الأزمة بأقل الأضرار الممكنة في مختلف القطاعات...
  • For Ambition Equal to our Moment of Multi-crisis Emergency: “Six Months” to Build a Global Investment Drive in Modern and Affordable Energy Systems
    Authors
    Iskander Erzini Vernoit
    July 7, 2020
    The sobering historical moment we are living through presents a chance to reflect and to renew our resolve to take action to save lives, improve livelihoods, and build resilience. The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has caused the loss of half a million lives and counting, according to the United Nations, and adversely affected the livelihoods of hundreds of millions more, resulting in the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, according to the International Monetary Fun ...
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    The Climate Change-Security Nexus: Case study of the Lake Chad Basin
    Authors
    Maha Skah
    Rida Lyammouri
    June 26, 2020
    The securitization of climate change has important implications in terms of how the issue is framed and addressed, at national and international policy levels. It has become clear that climate change poses multiple and overlapping security challenges, including in terms of livelihood insecurity, disruption to agriculture and energy infrastructure, can fuel social tensions, conflict, and displacement. But consensus is growing around a more moderate view that climate change is exacerb ...
  • COVID-19: a Catalyst for Decarbonization and Integration of the Mediterranean Energy Market
    Authors
    Silvia Pariente-David
    June 9, 2020
    “NEVER LET A SERIOUS CRISIS GO TO WASTE” President Obama’s chief of staff Rahm Emanuel (2008) after Sir Winston Churchill (mid-1940s) COVID-19 is a serious crisis but it presents several opportunities. The COVID epidemic is having a dramatic impact on the global economy (triggering the worst recessions since the Second World War), the health of the world population and the well-being and freedom of individuals. It is also sparking changes that may have beneficial economic, social a ...
  • Energy Market post Covid-19, Bahattin Buyuksahin
    June 1, 2020
    Bahattin Buyuksahin currently provides in-depth expert consulting and advisory services as well as executive teaching in commodities in general, and energy-related topics in particular. He has over fifteen years of experience in energy markets covering the spectrum of physical and finan...
  • Covid-19 and the Implementation of The SDGs in Africa
    Authors
    Kwamboka Kiangoi
    May 22, 2020
    For Africa, this new decade began full of promise to achieve the 2030 deadline for the Sustainable Development Goals and on its way to realising the goals and priorities of Agenda 2063. With the entry of the intra-African trade from the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Agreement, which comes into effect on July 1st 2020, an estimated combined gross domestic product (GDP) of more than US$3.4 trillion expected to trickle in the Continent. This revenue estimation is good ne ...
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    Coronavirus: a new disaster to be expected for the oil-producing countries of the Gulf of Guinea
    Authors
    Benjamin Augé
    May 17, 2020
    The coronavirus epidemic is weakening even further the economies of the Gulf of Guinea, which have already been particularly undermined by an oil sector that has been in crisis for several years. The rapid fall in oil prices will once again put a strain on systems that fail to reinvent and diversify themselves in order to protect themselves from the shortcomings often seen in windfall economies. In addition to the economic impact, it is likely to see the potential security and polit ...
  • Les marchés du pétrole et du gaz post Covid-19 avec Francis Perrin (3/5)
    May 13, 2020
    Retrouvez les analyses de nos expert-e-s au sujet de l'impact de la crise Covid 19 en une série de 5 entretiens sur: Les marchés des matières premières Les marchés des minerais et des métaux L'agriculture et la sécurité l’alimentaire Les marchés du pétrole et du gaz La finance des matiè...
  • Prix du pétrole : pour les producteurs, le plus dur est-il passé ?
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    May 12, 2020
    Les 20 et 21 avril 2020, sur le New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), les prix du West Texas Intermediate (WTI) pour le contrat de mai 2020 sont tombés largement en dessous de zéro. Ces prix négatifs – un concept quelque peu difficile à appréhender – ont montré, de façon spectaculaire, à quel point la pandémie du Covid-19 a un impact considérable sur le marché pétrolier mondial. Il convient, cependant, de relativiser ces prix négatifs qui portaient sur une qualité de pétrole (le WT ...
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    How Are Innovative Financing Approaches Contributing to Wider Electricity Access in Kenya?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    May 8, 2020
    Digital technological innovation, combined with new financing approaches, can make a significant contribution in the field of access to energy. This is the case in Kenya, where payas- you-go solutions, combined with solar home systems and an extensive mobile network, have enabled thousands of Kenyans to access clean and affordable off-grid electricity. This policy paper identifies the drivers of the development of pay-as-you-go solutions in off-grid systems in Kenya, assesses their ...
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    Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders 2019 : Program Report
    Authors
    Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders
    May 6, 2020
    The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) believes in filling in the generational and perception gaps, and this can only be achieved when the younger generations of leaders and professionals are given a seat at the table, to challenge the established perspectives and forward the conversations. The PCNS supports youth as the leaders of today and has faith in their capacity to inflict change in the present. It also believes in: intergenerational dialogue and co-leadership; youth as a ...
  • Coronavirus Spreads Climate Hope : Lessons from Washington state
    Authors
    Jordan Kronen
    April 27, 2020
    We are embroiled in a global emergency that we, as a species, have not previously experienced. This menace is responsible for massive numbers of premature deaths and, if left untreated, could forever threaten our global security. Misinformation about the cause and how best to address it, has been pervasive. If you thought I was referring to COVID-19, you would be wrong. Rather, I am speaking about something far more destructive: climate change. The World Health Organization (WHO) h ...
  • Coronavirus et climat : tirer les leçons du cas français
    Authors
    Oumayma Bourhriba
    Uri Dadush
    April 27, 2020
    Nous abordons la question de l’impact du climat sur la propagation de Covid-19 avec une certaine hésitation, car nous sommes des économistes, et non des virologues. Pourtant, le fait que les épicentres du Covid-19, de Wuhan à Téhéran, Bergame, Mulhouse, Madrid et New York, se trouvent en zone tempérée est d’une grande importance, puisque ces régions risquent de subir le plus grand nombre de décès et les plus grands dommages économiques. Les épidémies de grippe passées, dont beaucou ...
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    Les Pays Pétroliers Africains sous la Menace du Covid-19 : Enjeux Economiques et Pistes pour Sortir de L'impasse
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    April 27, 2020
    Les pays africains riches en pétrole sont confrontés, à la fois au choc de la pandémie de Covid-19 et à l’effondrement des prix du pétrole, ce qui les expose à de nombreuses vulnérabilités. La situation est d’autant plus alarmante, vu que la plupart de ces pays ne se sont pas encore remis du choc pétrolier de 2014. Cette nouvelle crise aggrave, donc, une situation économique déjà difficile. Les termes de l’échange de ces pays risquent, ainsi, de se détériorer, entraînant une réducti ...
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    Coronavirus and climate: learning from France
    Authors
    Oumayma Bourhriba
    Uri Dadush
    April 24, 2020
    Policymakers across the world face a dilemma: to lockdown the economy, and see output and employment collapse, or to open and face a surge of COVID-19 infections and deaths that could overwhelm the medical system? The choice is especially stark in poor countries, where many depend on what they earn day to day, and where the medical system is entirely unequipped to deal with the virus. In this brief we assess the likely path and geographic spread of the epidemic. We do so by examinin ...
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    Coronavirus et climat : Tirer les leçons du cas français
    Authors
    Oumayma Bourhriba
    Uri Dadush
    April 24, 2020
    Les décideurs politiques du monde entier sont confrontés à un dilemme : confiner l’économie et voir la production et l’emploi s’effondrer, ou ouvrir et faire face à une recrudescence des infections et des décès dus au COVID 19 qui submergent le système médical ? Le choix est particulièrement difficile dans les pays pauvres, où beaucoup dépendent de ce qu’ils gagnent au jour le jour et où le système médical n’est pas du tout équipé pour faire face au virus. Dans ce brief, nous souhai ...
  • Water content in trade: a regional analysis for Morocco
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    Vinicius A. Vale
    April 24, 2020
    This paper aims at evaluating the virtual water content in trade in an intra-country perspective and discussing potential tradeoffs between the use of natural resources and value added creation. We develop a trade-based index that reveals the relative water use intensities associated with specific interregional and international trade flows. The index is calculated considering the measures of water and value added embedded in trade flows associated with each regional origin-destinat ...
  • The Impact of Coronavirus on the Environment
    Authors
    Dr. Horst Melcher
    April 20, 2020
    Environmentally sustainable development was the leading theme at the World Economic Forum in Davos in late January 2020. Just two months later, places including Wuhan in China, California’s Bay Area, and New York City experienced unusually blue skies and clean air as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic. What has happened is unprecedented and has replaced, for now, the long-term climate change agenda with a short-term public health pandemic agenda as the foremost global urgency. H ...
  • Energy Markets Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic: What Do We Know So Far?
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    April 6, 2020
    The COVID-19 pandemic is evolving into an unprecedented international crisis, with serious consequences for human health and economic activity. While it is still too early to accurately determine the magnitude and persistence of the economic impact of the pandemic, a short-term assessment can be made. This short opinion focuses on the implications for energy markets. The rapid decline in crude oil prices has raised concerns on both the demand and supply sides, making the outlook for ...
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    Coronavirus and Temperature
    Authors
    Mahmoud Arbouch
    Uri Dadush
    March 31, 2020
    The COVID-19 disease, caused by the novel coronavirus, is the most serious health crisis since the Spanish flu of 1918, which is estimated to have killed between 50 million and 100 million people worldwide. By the latest count (March 29), the disease had spread to over 177 countries, with more than 630,000 cases reported and 30,000 recorded deaths. These numbers are increasing exponentially at present and the cases and deaths reported are both believed to be undercounted. Deaths are ...
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    Coronavirus : un nouveau désastre à prévoir pour les pays pétroliers du golfe de Guinée
    Authors
    Benjamin Augé
    March 20, 2020
    L'épidémie de coronavirus vient encore davantage affaiblir les économies du golfe de Guinée déjà particulièrement fragilisées par un secteur pétrolier localement en crise depuis plusieurs années. La rapide baisse des cours va mettre à nouveau à rude épreuve des systèmes qui ne parviennent pas à se réinventer et à se diversifier afin de se prémunir des travers souvent constatés au sein des Etats rentiers. Outre l'impact économique, ce sont également les potentielles difficultés d'ord ...
  • Three Reasons the United Kingdom is increasing its presence in West Africa
    Authors
    Hamza M'Jahed
    March 11, 2020
    West Africa has always played an essential role in African geopolitics. Although less thought of than north, south and east Africa, because of their envied strategic openings into both the Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean, West African countries are transforming themselves into a major African hub. For Britain, the completion of Brexit heralds a new era in its contemporary history. In this framework, West Africa is a crucial region for the United Kingdom’s long-term strategic goal ...
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    Revisiting international climate negotiations from an African perspective
    Authors
    Maha Skah
    March 2, 2020
    2020 is an important year for the international climate agenda despite a general loss of momentum and resurgence of the divide between traditional polluters, emerging polluters, and the most vulnerable countries. While African countries only contribute to 4% of global GHG emissions, their capacity to adapt to climate change’s devastating impact on societies, livelihoods, economies, and ecosystems is limited. This paper provides a synthesis of the existing literature and recent devel ...
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    Les énergies renouvelables au Maroc : un chantier de Règne
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    February 27, 2020
    Le Royaume du Maroc, dépourvu de pétrole et de gaz, s'est tourné, dès 1960, vers les énergies renouvelables, privilégiant alors l'hydroélectricité et la construction de barrages. Pour autant, l'essentiel des centrales électriques du pays était et demeure alimenté en gazole ou en gaz, impactant lourdement sa balance des paiements. Depuis, la demande d'électricité n'a cessé de croitre, d'une part, du fait du développement du pays et, d'autre part, suite au recours à des désalinisateur ...
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    Renewable Energy in Morocco: a reign-long project
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    February 27, 2020
    The Kingdom of Morocco, which has no oil and gas, has shifted to renewable energy as early as 1960, giving priority to hydroelectricity and the construction of dams. However, most of the country’s power plants were and remain powered by diesel or gas, which has a heavy impact on its balance payments. Since then, the demand for electricity has continued to grow due to the country’s development on the one hand and, as a result of the use of desalination facilities on the other hand, w ...
  • iCAD - Mbuih Zukane Retruyap, Cameroon (ADEL 2015)
    February 21, 2020
    To strengthen the role of youth as agents of community development, the Policy Center for the New South launched a year ago a call for projects grounded in new and innovative approaches to existing local problems. The iCAD is an environmental friendly business whose goal is to recycle h...
  • RE-NEW IT - Teocah Dove, Trinidad & Tobago (ADEL 2015)
    February 21, 2020
    To strengthen the role of youth as agents of community development, the Policy Center for the New South launched a year ago a call for projects grounded in new and innovative approaches to existing local problems. RENEWIT’s aim is to help with the socio-economic situation in Guyana thro...
  • Oasis Agrytech Hackathon (OAH) - Touria Benlafqih, Morocco (ADEL 2017)
    February 21, 2020
    To strengthen the role of youth as agents of community development, the Policy Center for the New South launched a year ago a call for projects grounded in new and innovative approaches to existing local problems. The Oasis Agrytech Hackathon project is aiming to preserve the Draa Tafil...
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    Should we be concerned for our environment, ecology and biodiversity?
    Authors
    Hynd Bouhia
    February 18, 2020
    The future of our environment, ecology and biodiversity raises a number of questions. Vigilance is critical to preseving both Morocco and the planet for future generations. This Paper highlights the importance of ongoing government, private sector and civil society initiatives to ensure adaptation to, and mitigation of, climate change. Morocco is at the forefront of this momentum, as illustrated by the organization of the COP22 in Marrakech in 2016, the implementation of a National ...
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    Avons-nous peur pour notre environnement, notre écologie et notre biodiversité ?
    Authors
    Hynd Bouhia
    February 18, 2020
    On se pose plusieurs questions sur le futur de notre environnement, notre écologie et notre biodiversité. On doit tirer la sonnette d’alarme pour protéger le Maroc et la planète pour les générations futures. L’objectif de ce Papier est de mettre en avant l’importance des initiatives qui ont été déjà lancées par le gouvernement, le secteur privé et la société civile, en vue d’assurer l’adaptation et la mitigation aux changements climatiques. Le Maroc est précurseur dans cette lancée, ...
  • Climate Change: Three Reasons for Central Banks to Engage
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    February 17, 2020
    - There are three possible justifications for central banks to engage with climate change issues: financial risks, macroeconomic impacts, and mitigation/adaptation policies. - Regardless of the extent to which individual central banks take action in each of the three areas, they can no longer ignore climate change. Last year, extreme weather events associated with climate change – floods, violent storms, droughts, and forest fires –occurred on all inhabited continents. In at least ...
  • The Evidence is Indisputable: An Opinion on Internet’s Energy Footprint
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 5, 2020
    I am pleading guilty. The evidence is indisputable, and denial a waste of time. I am using a weapon of mass destruction and threatening the future of our planet. I am killing life, a premeditated act. I   just have one excuse and four billion accomplices. I am an addict - a   polluter.  I use the internet. Our world is facing nuclear wars and climate change, the destruction of nature, the end of our civilization. Venice may sink, the rain forest of the Amazon turning into desert, t ...
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    La “révolution énergétique” américaine : les Etats-Unis vont devenir un exportateur net de pétrole en 2020
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    January 23, 2020
    Selon les projections officielles de l’U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), les Etats-Unis deviendraient en 2020 un pays exportateur net de pétrole et de produits raffinés, ce qui serait une première depuis les années 1950. Les exportations pétrolières nettes du pays seraient de 570 000 barils par jour, en 2020, alors qu’en 2018 il était importateur net à hauteur de 2,34 millions de b/j. En 2005, les importations pétrolières nettes représentaient 60% de la consommation pétr ...
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    L’énergie solaire en Inde : priorité au photovoltaïque
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    December 17, 2019
    L’Inde est confrontée, aujourd’hui, à plusieurs défis énergétiques : - Assurer la sécurité énergétique du pays, en généralisant l’accès pour tous à l’électricité. Ce qui n’est pas le cas en 2019. - Le faire en réduisant sa dépendance aux énergies fossiles, afin de mieux répondre aux orientations des Conférences des parties, COP 21 et COP 22. Pour cela, les autorités gouvernementales vont mener, dès 1981, une réflexion sur les énergies renouvelables, les conduisant à privilégier l ...
  • ( EN ) Plenary III: Energy and Climate
    December 13, 2019
    Moderator Uduak Amimo, Uduak Amimo Coaching and Consulting Speakers André Caillé, Senior Strategic Advisor, Junex R. Andreas Kraemer, Founder and Director Emeritus, Ecologic Institute Thione Niang, Co-Founder and Co-CEO, Akon Lighting Africa Francis Perrin, Senior Fellow, Policy Center ...
  • Plenary III: Energy and Climate
    December 13, 2019
    Moderator Uduak Amimo, Uduak Amimo Coaching and Consulting Speakers André Caillé, Senior Strategic Advisor, Junex R. Andreas Kraemer, Founder and Director Emeritus, Ecologic Institute Thione Niang, Co-Founder and Co-CEO, Akon Lighting Africa Francis Perrin, Senior Fellow, Policy Center ...
  • La COP, sauvera-t-elle le climat ?
    Carole Mathieu 
    December 10, 2019
    Carole Mathieu, chercheure au Centre Énergie de l’Ifri, analyse les enjeux de la COP25 et les contraintes des approches adoptées dans les mobilisations internationales en faveur du climat ...
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    Thinking outside the Grid: The role of decentralized power systems in electrifying Sub Saharan Africa
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    November 15, 2019
    Meeting the energy needs of the developing world remains a critical development priority. Access to energy has been identified as correlating with economic growth as well as having positive impacts on education and health1. In sub-Saharan Africa, access to electricity has increased significantly since the 2000s, driven by the considerable efforts of countries such as Côte d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya and Tanzania. But, despite this positive turnaround, nearly 600 million people ...
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    Le développement des hydrocarbures en Afrique de l’Est, Défis politiques et sécuritaires
    Authors
    Benjamin Augé
    October 29, 2019
    L’ Afrique de l’Est a le potentiel de connaître un boom gazier et d’ exportation de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) ces prochaines années grâce à plusieurs projets qui viennent d’être débloqués. Le Mozambique a ainsi sanctionné deux projets totalisant plus de 15 millions de tonnes par an (Mt/an) de gaz liquéfié et un troisième devrait être lancé d’ici la fin 2019. Un premier Floating Liquefied Natual Gas plant (FLNG) d’ ENI arrivera sur le marché en 2021-2022 et quatre autres trains de l ...
  • China’s Belt and Road Initiative: How has China’s energy security changed over the past decade?
    Authors
    Mehmet Öğütçü
    October 21, 2019
    Decades of rapid economic growth have dramatically expanded China’s energy needs. The magnitudes are impressive. China is now the world’s largest consumer of energy, the largest producer and consumer of coal, and the largest emitter of carbon dioxide. It is increasingly looking toward securing its future energy needs with sustainable alternatives. China has also become the world’s largest producer, exporter and installer of solar panels, wind turbines, batteries, electric vehicles, ...
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    From Asian Green Revolution 1.0 to Sustainable Green Revolution 2.0
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    Tharcisse Guedegbe
    September 27, 2019
    This paper is about the basic principles which should guide fertilizer policy for smallholder agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa It is not about detailed country-specific prescriptions on the “how” of policy. This important task should constitute the substance of detailed country studies. The overarching goal here is to use fertilizer to spearhead and sustain an African Green Revolution (GR). In this paper, fertilizer use is not considered as an end in itself, but as a necessary mean ...
  • Le modèle marocain de l’énergie solaire pourrait profiter à d’autres pays africains
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    Rim Berahab
    September 26, 2019
    Interviewée par Helmut Sorge, chroniqueur au PCNS, Rim Berahab, économiste spécialiste de l’énergie décortique dans son papier, les liens existant entre les énergies renouvelables en Afrique et les opportunités de croissance économique. “ Le modèle marocain de l’énergie solaire pourrait profiter à d’autres pays africains” Dans votre Policy Paper intitulé « Energies renouvelables en Afrique : Enjeux, défis et opportunités » vous expliquez l'importance de ces énergies et vous précis ...
  • Fire is legend
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    September 11, 2019
    The power of fire is a legend, a myth. Reality. The Combustion Triangle-heat, fuel, oxidizing agent. Its importance to   civilization debated by philosophers in ancient Athens, tempting Prometheus to steal fire from the Gods to protect the otherwise helpless humans. Fire is part of life, as is the sun, fire consumed cities in war and San Francisco after an earthquake or just burned to glorify the spirits, provoking fear, the devil, ghosts, and the desperate in poverty, burn baby, bu ...
  • The Thirsty Planet, and No End in Sight (II)
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 23, 2019
    “O! WRETCHED MORTALS, OPEN YOUR EYES” Leonardo da Vinci, creator of the ever beautiful and impenetrable Mona Lisa, noted 500 years ago that he realized the importance of water, which is, the artist jotted in his notebooks , “the driving force of all nature”, the vetturale di natura, the vehicle of nature. Da Vinci was not only acclaimed by kings and wealthy nobility like the Florentine Medici’s for his paintings , but the genius, possibly one of the greatest minds and creative pow ...
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    Natural Wealth and Economic Growth: The Case of Sub-Saharan Africa
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Christos Daoulas
    August 22, 2019
    This note approaches the relationship between natural wealth and economic growth, using the case of Sub-Sahara African economies as an illustration. Delving into recent World Bank reports, it highlights how a sustained positive correlation between natural capital and GDP growth happens through the transformation of the former into other forms of assets: produced capital, human capital and other intangible assets. Governance features and the quality of macroeconomic policies are of t ...
  • The Thirsty Planet, and No End in Sight (I)
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 16, 2019
    Earlier this month, the World Resources Institute based in Washington D.C. revealed that 17 countries, home to one-quarter of the world's population, are facing extremely high water stress. Below is an international press review of the global water crisis by Helmut Sorge, former Foreign editor, and Middle East expert for Germany's leading newsmagazine "Der Spiegel", and columnist at the Policy Center for the New South.    “A QUARTER OF THE WORLD IS FACING A LOOMING WATER CRISIS” “ ...
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    Solar smart grid as a path to economic inclusion and adaptation to climate change in the Brazilian Semiarid Northeast
    Authors
    Paulo Nobre
    Enio Bueno Pereira
    Francinete Francis Lacerda
    Marcel Bursztyn
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Debora Ley
    August 12, 2019
    Purpose This study aims to exploit the abundance of solar energy resources for socioeconomic development in the semi -arid Northeastern Brazil as a potent adaptation tool to global climate change. It points out a set of conjuncture factors that allow us to foresee a new paradigm of sustainable development for the region by transforming the sun’s radiant energy into electricity through distributed photovoltaic generation. The new paradigm, as presented in this essay, has the transfo ...
  • Explaining the role of commodity traders: A theoretical approach
    Authors
    Raphaël Chiappini
    Yves Jégourel
    June 22, 2019
    Empirical models of international commodity trade ows tend to show that exchange rate volatility has either no or negative impact on export volumes. This analysis has a number of limitations. In particular, it underestimates the role of physical traders and, consequently, the importance of future markets. In this context, this article aims to provide the theoretical underpinnings to demonstrate that these traders play a very particular role and that they have an influence on the rea ...
  • Towards a worldwide integrated market? New evidence on the dynamics of U.S., European and Asian natural gas price
    Authors
    Raphaël Chiappini
    Yves Jégourel
    Paul Raymond
    June 12, 2019
    Has the integration of European, North American and Asian natural gas markets been fostered over the last few years by growing LNG export capacities and an increasing market share of spot transactions? This is the key question that this article sets out to answer. For this purpose, we develop bivariate error correction models with structural breaks and asymmetric responses among gas references prices, oil prices, and coal prices. We use daily prices of all reference prices spanning ...
  • Cinq grandes tendances dans une Afrique en mutation
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    May 17, 2019
    Sur quelles contraintes faut-il anticiper lorsqu’on évoque la croissance de l’Afrique? Comment guider les décideurs politiques dans les priorités à définir pour piloter l’économie et arriver à bon port dans le monde qui vient? Le séminaire organisé le 11 avril à Paris par le PCNS et le Centre de développement de l’OCDE a apporté des éléments de réponse. La discussion s’est ouverte en prenant appui sur le rapport de référence publié en 2018 par l’Union africaine et l’OCDE sur les “D ...
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    Energies renouvelables en Afrique : Enjeux, défis et opportunités
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    May 14, 2019
    Les pays du continent africain ont connu une croissance sans précédent au cours des deux dernières décennies. L’énergie, pilier fondamental du développement économique, politique et social, demeure toutefois un des principaux défis auxquels ils sont confrontés. En effet, la majorité des pays d’Afrique se heurte à un manque important d’accès à l’énergie. Alors que les combustibles fossiles continuent de dominer leurs mix énergétiques, ces pays sont dotés d’abondantes ressources en én ...
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    A Nexus Approach for the MENA Region—From Concept to Knowledge to Action
    Authors
    Holger Hoff
    Sajed Aqel Alrahaife
    Rana El Hajj
    Kerstin Lohr
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    Nadim Farajalla
    Kerstin Fritzsche
    Guy Jobbins
    Gül Özerol
    Robert Schultz
    Anne Ulrich
    May 13, 2019
    Adopting an integrated approach to the management and governance of natural resources including land, water and energy is seen as an effective way to improve the sphere of production while respecting the environment. Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub, economist at the Policy Center for the New South, was invited by Stockholm Environment Institute, alongside other prestigious research centers with expertise in environmental studies, to co-author this research paper and share her analysis of th ...
  • Les points saillants du rapport Arcadia sur les matières premières africaines
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    April 16, 2019
    Le rapport Arcadia a été présenté le 9 avril à Paris par le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) et le Cercle CyclOpe. Ce document de référence fait chaque année le point sur la conjoncture des matières premières africaines. “Elles restent essentielles, avec une forte dépendance pour nombre de pays et une gestion de la rente relativement problématique”, a affirmé en introduction Philippe Chalmin, président du Cercle CyclOpe. Fortement exposées aux chocs extérieurs, les économies ...
  • Empowering Africa. Access to Power in the African Continent
    Authors
    Lorenzo Colantoni
    Giuseppe Montesano
    Nicolò Sartori
    April 12, 2019
    Access to electricity is a key factor for the future of the African continent. Energy poverty and lack of universal access to electricity services are, in fact, remarkably hurting human progress in Africa. Today, sub-Saharan Africa hosts 14 percent of the world’s population but 60 percent of the world’s people without access to electricity: of the more than 1 billion people globally who had no access to electricity, around 600 million lived in the region. In these conditions, many A ...
  • ARCADIA 2019: Africa and the Global Commodities Markets
    Authors
    Under the direction of
    Philippe Chalmin
    Yves Jégourel
    April 9, 2019
    Commodity prices were once again marked by significant volatility in 2017 and 2018. While there are many economic factors to explain this, politics were also present—trade tensions between China and the United States and, more generally, a rise in uncertainties—weighing upon the global macroeconomic outlook and the ‘dynamism of the markets’. Africa, which has countries with strong growth rates, has, however, been able to show solid economic performance, and this trajectory is not li ...
  • What Happens When the Lights Go Out? South Africa’s Eskom Challenge
    Authors
    Nchimunya Hamukoma
    April 9, 2019
    The author is an alumnus of the 2018 Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program On a Saturday evening in March at an upscale gallery in Johannesburg’s CBD, the lights went out.  A child in the crowd yelped in shock, but most of the adults let out a gentle sigh of resignation. An attendant came by soon after to assure that it wasn’t load shedding and that the power would be reconnected shortly, but we had become inured to the darkness and the idea that electricity wasn’t something ...
  • ARCADIA 2019 : l’Afrique et les marchés mondiaux de matières premières
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Philippe Chalmin
    Yves Jégourel
    April 9, 2019
    Les cours des matières premières ont, une fois encore, été marqués par une importante volatilité en 2017 et 2018. Si de nombreux facteurs économiques permettent de l’expliquer, la raison politique fut également bien présente. Les Annual Report tensions commerciales entre la Chine et les États-Unis on Commodity et, plus globalement, la montée des incertitudes ont pesé Analytics and sur les perspectives macroéconomiques mondiales et sur Dynamics « le dynamisme des marchés ». Comptant ...
  • Managing Water Demand through Prices: Challenges and Opportunities
    Authors
    Ahmed Rachid El-Khattabi
    March 22, 2019
    The author of this blog, Ahmed Rachid El Khattabi, is an alumnus of the 2018 Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program Rapid urbanization and climate change are two of the biggest challenges for cities. As much of the world is urbanizing, cities are growing thirstier, constantly seeking out new water supplies to keep up with demand. These challenges are especially significant for many growing cities that, due to historical reasons, are not located near water resources. Climate ch ...
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    CyclOpe - Bilan 2018 et Prévisions 2019
    Authors
    Philippe Chalmin
    February 27, 2019
    Rarement, autant qu’en 2018, les marchés mondiaux de matières premières et de commodités auront été lle jouet non pas des tendances des « fondamentaux » (offre/demande et leur évolution), mais bien des convulsions d’une situation géopolitique mondiale qui, sous la houlette quelque peu déréglée des États-Unis de Donald Trump, a été particulièrement imprévisible. En effet, si 2018 restera dans les annales des marchés, c’est bien parce que les matières premières se sont retrouvées au p ...
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    Africa and the New Rentier Effect: Oil, Aid, Regime-Type
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    February 11, 2019
    Rentier state theory grew out of an attempt to understand political development in the oil-rich states of the Middle East. The framework has since been applied to understand the politics of resource-rich countries in Latin America, Asia and Africa, with proponents arguing that rentier states tend to suffer from poor governance because state officials use “unearned income” to avoid institution-building and to suppress calls for democracy. This Policy Brief will discuss whether a fram ...
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    La Chine et les terres rares
    Authors
    John Seaman
    January 1, 2019
    La domination de la Chine dans la production de terres rares illustre la compétition qui se joue autour des ressources minérales dans un monde toujours plus axé sur le numérique et le bas-carbone. Au cours des deux dernières décennies, la Chine a été à l’origine de 80 à 95 % de la production mondiale de terres rares, un groupe de 17 métaux devenus des éléments-clés de progrès technologiques révolutionnaires dans les domaines de l’énergie, des TIC, des dispositifs médicaux ou encore ...
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    Rare Earths and China
    Authors
    John Seaman
    January 1, 2019
    China’s dominance in the production of rare earth elements symbolizes the competition for once obscure sets of mineral resources in our increasingly digital, low carbon world. For the last two decades China has produced between 80 and 95 percent of the world’s rare earths – a group of 17 metals that have become key components of revolutionary technological progress in fields ranging from energy, to ICT, to medical devices, to defense. Despite their name, rare earths are not rare, an ...
  • Quels sont les résultats de la COP24 ?
    Carole Mathieu
    December 19, 2018
    La COP24 s’est achevée le 15 décembre sur un bilan mitigé. Les négociateurs sont parvenus à adopter un ensemble de règles opérationnelles venant décliner les grands principes de l’Accord ...
  • (FR) PLENARY VIII: CLIMATE FINANCE IN THE SOUTH
    December 15, 2018
    Moderator UDUAK AMIMO, CONSULTANT, UDUAK AMIMO CONSULTING (KENYA) Speakers André Caillé, Board Member, Junex R. Andreas Kraemer, Founder & Chairman, Ecologic Institute Josefa Sacko, Commissioner, Rural Economy and Agriculture, African Union Commission Teburoro Tito, Extraordinary an...
  • (EN) PLENARY VIII: CLIMATE FINANCE IN THE SOUTH
    December 15, 2018
    Moderator UDUAK AMIMO, CONSULTANT, UDUAK AMIMO CONSULTING (KENYA) Speakers André Caillé, Board Member, Junex R. Andreas Kraemer, Founder & Chairman, Ecologic Institute Josefa Sacko, Commissioner, Rural Economy and Agriculture, African Union Commission Teburoro Tito, Extraordinary an...
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    De l’assombrissement des perspectives mondiales aux stratégies spéculatives : comment comprendre le repli des cours des métaux ?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    November 26, 2018
    Les cours de la quasi-totalité des métaux industriels et précieux se sont inscrits, depuis plusieurs mois, dans une dynamique baissière. Si le resserrement de la politique monétaire américaine et l’appréciation consécutive du dollar expliquent en partie cette trajectoire, c’est avant tout l’amoncellement des nuages dans le ciel macroéconomique mondial qui a pesé sur les marchés. L’escalade des tensions commerciales entre les États-Unis et, parmi d’autres pays, la Chine, ne peut être ...