RELATED CONTENT : Armed conflicts

  • Authors
    April 11, 2025
    Syria’s post-conflict transition, marked by the fall of the Assad regime and the appointment of interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, will be a critical opportunity for renewal while confronting significant challenges. The country must navigate a complex landscape of political fragmentation, economic hardship, and security risks. This policy brief explores Syria’s prospects for reconstruction and long-term stability by assessing recent political reforms, economic recovery strategies, a ...
  • Authors
    April 8, 2025
    The Russia–Ukraine war, while primarily perceived as a European security crisis, has triggered deep structural shocks globally, disproportionately affecting the developing world—the “New South.” This essay explores how historical legacies, global economic dependencies, and shifting geoeconomic paradigms have converged through the war to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. It critically examines the war’s impact through four interc ...
  • Authors
    February 12, 2025
    يستكشف هذا العرض الحاجة الملحة إلى إحداث تحول في النموذج المعتمد حاليّا في عملية تقديم المساعدات الإنسانية، في سياق حالات النزاع وما بعد النزاع، في منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا. ويدعو هذا العرض إلى تبني مقاربة ذات "بعد تنموي للمساعدات الإنسانية"، تجمع بين الإغاثة الفورية والأهداف التنموية على المدى الطويل. كما يدعو هذا المقال، من خلال تركيزه على محدودية المساعدات الإنسانية التقليدية، لا سيما في سياق الأزمات الطويلة، مثل: العراق، اليمن، لبنان وغزة، لضرورة تبني آليات تمويل مبتكرة، ...
  • Authors
    February 12, 2025
    تتناول هذه الورقة السياسية النزاعات العنيفة المستمرة في السودان، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على الحرب التي اندلعت في الـ15 من أبريل 2023، بين القوات المسلحة السودانية وقوات الدعم السريع. يسلط التحليل الضوء على خلفية هذا النزاع الذي نشب بفعل فشل الانتقال الديمقراطي، بعد الإطاحة بالرئيس عمر البشير سنة 2019. كانت البداية مليئة بالتفاؤل، حيث تم توقيع اتفاق لتقاسم السلطة بين الفصائل العسكرية والمدنية، ولكن هذا الاتفاق انهار سريعاً، وبلغ الانهيار ذروته بحدوث انقلاب عسكري في أكتوبر من سنة 2021. ه ...
  • January 20, 2025
      في هذه الحلقة، تم مناقشة تأثير النزاعات المسلحة على النمو الاقتصادي والتنمية المستدامة في الدول العربية، والسياسات التي يمكن تبنيها لتخفيف الأثر الاقتصادي للنزاعات في المنطقة. كما تم استعراض كيفية دعم المجتمع الدولي للدول العربية المتضررة من النزاعات لاستعادة استقرارها الاقتصادي. است...
  • December 26, 2024
    في ظل استمرار الحرب على غزة والقرارات الأممية غير الملزمة بوقف إطلاق النار، نتساءل عن مدى فعالية هذه القرارات على أرض الواقع. نناقش في هذه الحلقة إعادة الإعمار كعملية تتجاوز البناء المادي لتشمل إعادة بناء الثقة والمؤسسات، مع تسليط الضوء على التحديات في سوريا بعد سقوط نظام بشار الأسد وتأ...
  • Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    November 19, 2024
    Sudan, a nation long defined by civil strife, military coups, and an uneven trajectory towards democratic norms, now faces a devastating internal war. The eruption of conflict on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has escalated into a multidimensional crisis. This conflict, fueled by longstanding political rivalries and resource-based tensions, poses grave risks to the stability of Sudan and the broader Horn of Africa. Beyond ...
  • Authors
    October 22, 2024
    This paper explores the urgent need for a paradigm shift in humanitarian aid within conflict and post-conflict settings in the MENA region, advocating for a ‘developmental humanitarianism’ approach that integrates immediate relief with long-term development goals. Focusing on the limitations of traditional aid, particularly in protracted crises such as in Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon, and Gaza, the paper argues for innovative financing mechanisms and a realist perspective that aligns humani ...
  • Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    October 15, 2024
    This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the role and impact of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), formed in April 2022, in navigating the complexities of Yemen's ongoing civil conflict. The PLC was created to unite various anti-Houthi factions under a single governance framework, with the support of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and to steer Yemen toward peace and stability. However, the PLC has faced numerous obstacles, including internal divisions, resistance from ...
  • Authors
    October 12, 2024
    This policy paper examines the ongoing violent conflicts in Sudan, focusing particularly on the war that erupted on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The analysis highlights the backdrop of this conflict, which stems from a failed transition to democracy following the ousting of President Omar al-Bashir in 2019. Initially marked by optimism, the power-sharing agreement between military and civilian factions quickly unraveled, ...
  • Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    August 16, 2024
    Negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire in Sudan began in Geneva this week, marking a critical step toward ending the 16-month-long conflict that has ravaged the nation. Co-organized by the United States and Switzerland, the talks focus on addressing the severe humanitarian crisis and establishing a cessation of hostilities. However, significant challenges persist, particularly concerning the uncertain participation of the key warring parties. Understanding the Conflict Sudan h ...
  • Authors
    April 24, 2024
    A diplomatic approach is not alien to the church in Rome, used to keeping secrets. This reputation has made the Pope and his cardinals trusted mediators in world affairs. It was a surprise, then, when Pope Francis lost his sense of neutrality and suggested to war-torn Ukraine that it should raise the white flag in its conflict with Russia. In an interview with TV channel Radio Television Suisse, the Pope insisted that he believes “that those who have the courage to raise the white f ...
  • Authors
    February 16, 2024
    The destruction of a vibrant and historic nation, sprinkled with color and culture, turned into a footnote of geopolitics. The more than 377,000 war victims disappeared from global headlines. The official fighting ended in Yemen on March 29, 2022. A ceasefire was declared by the Saudi Arabia-led coalition and the rebellious Houthis. China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, praised “the wave of reconciliation” that swept across the region. The main foreign supporter of Yemen’s Houthi—Iran— ...
  • Authors
    January 30, 2024
    الحرب بطبيعتها ليست عملية حسابية. فمن حيث الاستراتيجية العسكرية، لا تعتبر عملية الجمع دائما إضافة، ولا عملية الطرح تنقيصا. فعملية الضرب لا ُتضخِّم كما أن القسمة لا ُتقلل. وإذا كانت الوسائل هي بالتأكيد ميزة في الحرب، فإن نتيجة الصراعات (النصر أو الهزيمة) لا تعتمد فقط على هذه الوسائل، ذلك ان الحرب تكشف عن صمود المجتمع وليس عن قوة الجيش فقط. فالحرب ُتظهر ارتباط القوة العسكرية بصلابة الجبهة الداخلية المرتبطة بدورها إلى حد كبير بالتماسك الاجتماعي. و ليس لهذا الأخير وحدة قياس، ف ...
  • January 18, 2024
    أعاد "طوفان الأقصى"، الاسم الرمزي للهجوم المفاجئ على إسرائيل الذي شنَّته حماس وكتائب عز الدين القسَّام، في السابع من أكتوبر 2023، والردُّ الإسرائيلي المُدمِّر للأهالي المدنيين والبنى التحتية في غزة نتيجة لذلك، قضية الشعب الفلسطيني إلى الواجهة. قضيةٌ لا زالت تسكن العقول والقلوب والضمائر. أكثر من أي وقت مضى. هكذا لا يمكن أن يبرز «شرق أوسط جديد» ويكون قابلاً للاستمرار بدون حل عادل ودائم لهذا الصراع الذي استمر 75 عاماً. ...
  • Authors
    January 5, 2024
    La guerre n’est, par sa nature, pas arithmétique. En matière de stratégie militaire, ni l’addition est toujours un ajout ni la soustraction une diminution. La multiplication n’amplifie pas comme la division ne réduit pas. Les moyens sont certes un avantage dans la guerre, mais l’issue des conflits (victoire ou défaite) n’en dépendent pas exclusivement. La guerre révèle la résilience d’une société et pas seulement la puissance d’une armée. Mieux, elle montre la dépendance de la puiss ...
  • December 21, 2023
    Le « Déluge d’Al-Aqsa » -nom de code de l’attaque surprise menée en Israël par le Hamas et les Brigades Izz Al-Din Al-Qassam, le 7 octobre 2023 -, et la riposte israélienne dévastatrice pour les populations civiles et les infrastructures de l’enclave de Gaza qui en a été la conséquence, ont ramené au premier plan la cause du peuple palestinien. Cause qui continue d’habiter les esprits, les coeurs et les consciences. Plus que jamais, un « nouveau Moyen- Orient » ne pourra émerger et ...
  • Authors
    December 13, 2023
    The title of the Policy Brief seems alarming. ‘Israel-Palestine The Last Chance for a Just Solution’, an assessment by Abdelhak Bassou, Senior Fellow of the Policy Center for the New South, affiliated professor at Mohammed VI University in Rabat, and one of the leading security experts of Morocco. His paper, published in November 2023, could not have more timely, dramatic, urgent, and constructive. Scenes of the apocalypse for an estimated twelve million people in a region, consider ...
  • Authors
    November 24, 2023
    في 6 أكتوبر 1973 تلقت السلطات الإسرائيلية تحذيرات عن احتمال اندلاع حرب على حدودها مع الدول العربية. هذا التحذير أكد المعلومات التي تم استلامها قبل بضعة أيام، ولكن أصحاب القرار السياسي والاستخبارات في اسرائيل لم يأخذوا الأمر على محمل الجد. حيث تعرضت إسرائيل لهجوم مفاجئ وعرف جيشها حالة من الهلع. وكانت الكارثة. خمسون عاما بعد ذلك، تقريبًا في نفس اليوم، فوجئت إسرائيل بهجوم جديد. في صباح 7 أكتوبر 2023، عبر مئات الرجال مسلحين الحاجز بين إسرائيل وقطاع غزة، انتشروا في أكثر من 20 مكانًا، قت ...
  • Authors
    November 17, 2023
    On October 6, 1973, the Israeli authorities were warned of the imminent outbreak of war on their borders with the Arab states. This warning confirmed information received a few days previously, which Israeli political decision-makers and iintelligence services had not taken seriously. Israel was taken by surprise and its army panicked. It was a debacle. Fifty years later, almost to the day, Israel was once again taken by surprise. On the morning of October 7, 2023, hundreds of armed ...
  • November 14, 2023
    شنت حركة حماس في قطاع غزة، هجوما غير مسبوق على إسرائيل في 7 أكتوبر الماضي، حيث نفذ الجيش الإسرائيلي غارات جوية ومدفعية بعد الهجوم المفاجئ الذي أدى الى مقتل الاَف من المدنيين داخل القطاع   الصراع الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي مستمر منذ عقود، لكن ما هي القضايا التي تديم جذوته مشتعلة حتى الان؟ كيف...
  • Authors
    November 9, 2023
    Le 6 octobre 1973, les autorités israéliennes ont été averties de l’éclatement imminent d’une guerre à leurs frontières avec les États arabes. Cet avertissement confirmait les informations reçues quelques jours auparavant, mais que les décideurs politiques et le Renseignement israéliens n’avaient pas pris au sérieux. Israël est pris par surprise et son armée est en panique. C’est la débâcle. Cinquante ans plus tard, quasiment jour pour jour, l’État hébreux est enco ...
  • Authors
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Nihal Aïcha El Mquirmi
    Jacques Gravereau
    Sonia Le Gouriellec
    Philippe Migaux
    Agnès Mikita
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Olivier Tramond
    Sâ Benjamin Traoré
    October 26, 2023
    Les Dialogues Stratégiques, une collaboration entre HEC Center for Geopolitics et Policy Center fort he New South, représentent une plateforme d'analyse et d'échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques, ainsi que el monde universitaire et les médias au service d'une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et sur une problématique d'intérêt régional, d'importance commune à al fois pour l'Europe et l'Afrique. Ce ...
  • Authors
    General Rapporteur
    October 2, 2023
    The Policy Center for the New South organized the 7th African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) on July 10-11, 2023, under the theme ‘Post-Conflict Reconstruction in Africa’. This annual conference provides a platform for the analysis of Africa’s peace and security structures and institutions, focusing on the continent’s assets, history, and its ability to overcome current and emerging challenges and gain global competitive advantage. The debate on post-conflict reconst ...
  • Authors
    General Rapporteur
    October 2, 2023
    La septième édition de la Conférence africaine sur la paix et la sécurité (APSACO) s’est déroulée sur deux journées enrichissantes, les 10 et 11 juillet 2023. La conférence, organisée par le Policy Center for the New South, a rassemblé une pléiade d’experts du monde entier, représentant divers secteurs d’activité, sur le thème “Reconstruction post-conflit en Afrique”. Elle s’articulait autour de 6 panels ainsi que d’une discussion autour du Rapport annuel sur la géop ...
  • Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abu Bakarr Bah
    Alioune Ndiaye
    Babacar Ndiaye
    Benjamin Traoré
    Bodo Andrianarisoa
    Dorcy Rugamba
    Gilles Yabi
    Hamza Mjahed
    Hind Zaamoun
    Mathieu Bere
    Mahamadou Simpara
    Mohamed Ahmed Gain
    Norman Sempijja
    Patrice Kouraogo
    Rania Barrak
    Silindile Mlilo
    Hala Boumaiz
    Soazic Elise Wang Sonne
    Tarek Cherkaoui
    Youssef Errami
    Yousra Hamdaoui
    September 8, 2023
    Cette 6ème édition du rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique s’inscrit dans la même ligne éditoriale que ses précédentes. Elle se veut une plateforme où des auteurs et analystes africains racontent l’Afrique géopolitique de 2022 en débordant parfois sur les événements saillants du début de 2023. Ce moment, d’environ une année et demie, ne peut échapper à la guerre en Ukraine comme toile de fond du monde. Même lorsque les auteurs ne s’y réfèrent pas explicitement, cett ...
  • September 8, 2023
    Le Mozambique fait face depuis 2017 à une insurrection menée dans la province de Cabo Delgado, au nord-est du pays, par un groupe militant islamiste dénommé Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa (ASWJ) – qui aurait fait allégeance à l’État islamique (EI) et qui est aussi connu sous le nom de Al Shabab, sans lien avec le groupe éponyme en Somalie. Les problèmes sociaux et économiques de cette région – qui concentre la plus grande partie des 18 % de musulmans que compte le pays, à majorité chrétienne ...
  • September 01, 2023
    In this podcast, we are joined by Dr. Len Ishmael, editor and co-author of the book “Aftermath of War in Europe: The West VS. the Global South?”. Dr. Ishmael delves into the groundbreakin ...
  • July 30, 2023
    La réflexion sur le post-conflit a été stimulée ces dernières années par les efforts africains visant à offrir au continent un cadre politique propre à la période post-conflit ou post-crise (transition politique) dans la continuité de l'Architecture de paix et de sécurité de l'Union africaine (APSA) et dans le sillage de l'Architecture de gouvernance africaine (AGA). Ce souci pour une paix durable sur le continent est à l’origine de l’adoption à Banjul (Gambie) en 2006 ...
  • July 21, 2023
    This podcast aims to assess the recent security developments in the Sahel and adopt a proactive approach towards the practical measures required to revitalize peace efforts in the region. ...
  • July 18, 2023
    في ضوء المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا حول إعادة الإعمار بعد الصراع في أفريقيا عرفت السنوات الأخيرة اضطرابات جيوسياسية واقتصادية على المستوى العالمي. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيوسياسي واقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، ...
  • July 4, 2023
      تعد مجموعة فاغنر شركة عسكرية روسية خاصة تنشط في عدد من الدول الأفريقية منذ عام 2017، بما في ذلك جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى وليبيا ومالي، والسودان، وموزمبيق، ومدغشقر. وقد وُجِّهَت اتهامات للمجموعة بارتكاب العديد من انتهاكات حقوق الإنسان في جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى، مثل القتل والتعذيب والعنف...
  • Authors
    June 15, 2023
    If you search on “Google” for a pizzeria in Kyiv, you have many choices, such as “Mimosa Brooklyn Pizza”, “Mamamia”, or “Vesuveo”.  If bombs or supersonic missiles do not scare you, more formal dining pleasures exist. “Feel like a star”, reads one of the ads for the “Matisse”, located on the 15th floor of the “Cityhotel” in the historic part of town - an eatery 52 meters up could be a tempting target for Russian missile attacks. Wladimir Klitschko, a former world heavyweight boxing- ...
  • Authors
    June 8, 2023
    A tragedy of historic proportions The war is gruesome and may not end for months or years. Not ending with the white flag of surrender, but total depletion and exhaustion, men and missiles, tanks, and terror. The battlefield is hell, as it is in all wars. A nightmare and human folly. “We are learning in Ukraine how to fight”, admitted the former President of Lithuania, Dalia Grybauskalte, “and we are learning how to use our NATO equipment. It is a teaching battle”. Yes, this politi ...
  • Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    April 18, 2023
    مرت تسعة وعشرون عاما منذ أن انطلقت رواندا في مسار تحقيق المصالحة الوطنية بعد أحداث الإبادة الجماعية التي ارتكبتها حكومة الهوتو الخاضعة لسيطرة المتطرفين، والتي استهدفت أقلية التوتسي خلال مئة يوم إلى حين دخول الجبهة الوطنية الرواندية البلاد. حيث اعتمدت على الآليات المحلية التي جمعت بين المقاربات الشمولية والمحلية القائمة على الثقافة، كما شملت استجابات قضائية وغير قضائية تفاعلية ووقائية، علاوة على إطلاق مجموعة من الإصلاحات الدستورية، المؤسساتية والقطاعية. غير أن هذا المسار، لم يخل من ...
  • Authors
    March 6, 2023
    En partenariat avec le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), Africa Center est fier de présenter un rapport conjoint sur l’influence de la Russie en Afrique, une perspective sécuritaire, à l’occasion du premier anniversaire de la guerre en Ukraine. L’Afrique est apparue comme un acteur majeur de ce conflit lorsque le 3 mars 2022 , dix-sept Etats africains se sont abstenus lors du vote de la résolution de l’Assemblée générale des Nations Unies condamnant l’invasion russe en Ukrain ...
  • March 4, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towardsthe War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questions regarding Energy, sec...
  • Authors
    March 3, 2023
    In recent years, personalist rule has spread around the world. As personalist rule gets upgraded and adopted across regions and regime-type, including in democracies, Africa and the Middle East are looking less exceptional, and mainstream academic theories are being challenged. The 2011 uprisings and their aftermath have destabilized social science thinking about Africa and the Middle East, creating an opportunity for fruitful cross-regional dialogue around concepts like personal ru ...
  • March 1, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
  • February 25, 2023
    Dans cette interview tournée au cours des Atlantic Dialogues, Monsieur Helmut Sorge interroge le Ministre Hubert Védrine sur ses impressions sur un monde aussi troublé qu’aujourd’hui suite à la guerre Russo-Ukrainienne. Monsieur Védrine nous fait part de son analyse ainsi que son étude ...
  • Authors
    February 24, 2023
    In a recent telephone conversation, Russian President Vladimir Putin officially invited Assimi Goïta, the military chief of the transition in Mali, to take part in the second Russia-Africa summit to be held in Saint Petersburg. This summit is scheduled for July 2023, according to Mikhail Bogdanov, the special representative of the president of Russia to the Middle East and Africa and deputy foreign minister. Russia is openly optimistic that several African leaders will attend the pl ...
  • Authors
    February 20, 2023
    As FBI agent  Charles McGonigal, 54, was used in handcuffs, these metal symbols of repression and the end of freedom. When the former  Special agent in charge( SAC) of the Counter-intelligence Division of the FBIs field office in New York returned from a trip to the Middle East, he suddenly felt the cold iron around his wrists; some of the FBI agents arresting him he certainly knew well-from 1996 until his retirement in 2018 McGonigal specialized in Counterintelligence, organized cr ...
  • February 13, 2023
    ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة ع ...
  • February 10, 2023
    The war in Ukraine has been a major destabilizing factor for European security, and its future is now uncertain and complex. Initially, experts thought that the war would provide a geopol ...
  • Authors
    February 10, 2023
    Considering the current situation in Burkina Faso, the international media is speaking of institutional weakness and state failure in Africa and the role of international institutions and local non-state actors in providing security and public goods in the Sahel. The discourse of state failure and counter-state sovereignty has a decades-old genealogy, but recent work by African scholars has sought to contest top-down Western labels and categories. African attempts to decolonize soci ...
  • February 7, 2023
    ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة على الأجندة السياسية في منطقة الساحل التي تشهد ديناميات جديدة، تتعدي إلى دول شمال إفريقيا والاتحاد ال...
  • February 03, 2023
    Les dirigeants de l’Union européenne et de l’Union africaine ont posé lors du 6ème sommet UE-Afrique qui avait eu lieu à Bruxelles en février 2022 les jalons d’une relation renouvelée, ba ...
  • Authors
    January 30, 2023
    In early January 2023, a man was detained near the Russian-Norwegian border at 1.58 a.m. local time. The night was frost-bite cold and the man, a Russian citizen, had run across the frozen Pasvik River, at a place where it was a few hundred meters wide. He’d jumped some barbed-wired fences, which demarcated the border. The Russian avoided official checkpoints because he was a fugitive, and dogs were following him through the polar night, barking, menacing. Their masters aimed at the ...
  • Authors
    Christian Bachheimer
    Serhat S. Çubukçuoğlu
    Amine Ghoulidi
    Rahul Sharma
    Kevin Verbelen
    January 17, 2023
    This publication provides an insight into the lens through which countries of the Global South view the current period of successive crises, brought about by an ongoing global pandemic and a war in Europe. It highlights how the combined weight of history, culture, and geography has shaped the Global South’s interests and is influencing its foreign policy stance during one of the most dangerous periods of Great-Power competition in recent times—one that could see the fracturing of th ...
  • December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towards the War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questions regarding Energy, se...
  • December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
  • Authors
    November 17, 2022
    Africa is acutely affected by the ongoing global democratic recession. In 2020, a military coup took place in Mali. In 2021, four African countries – Chad, Mali, Guinea, and Sudan - experienced military takeovers. Thus far, in 2022, two coups have occurred in Burkina Faso and an attempted one in Guinea Bissau. Yet polling data and activism on the ground shows African youth believe in and are prepared to fight for democracy. ...
  • Authors
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina Simone Sass
    November 16, 2022
    This publication was originally published in rsaiconnect.onlinelibrary.wiley.com   The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine's economic structure, the damage to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruption are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of pro ...
  • October 21, 2022
    The sixth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on July 20-21, 2022, under the theme 'African Security in Times of Uncertainties'. The two-day event was composed of five panels and one report discussion.  • Panel 1: The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on Africa • Panel 2: Conflict Resolution and w in Africa • Panel 3: The Worsening of the Food-Security Challenge in Africa • Panel 4: Security Implications of Climate Change in Africa • Panel 5: African F ...
  • Authors
    October 12, 2022
    A merchant ship passed Turkey’s Bosphorus  Strait on its way from Syria to Russia late last month, observed “Bloomberg”( August 9, 2022), transporting military equipment, including trucks, documented by satellite imagery. The “Sparta II”, a cargo ship leased by Oboronlogistika to the Russian military, was on its way from Tartus to the Black Sea harbor Novorosslysk. No tanks were sighted, or Russian fighter jets, just these trucks, but   the moderate value of the cargo, noted Bloom ...
  • Authors
    September 30, 2022
    Lorsque l’URSS (Union des Républiques socialistes soviétiques) est démantelée ; il s’installe en Occident un sentiment de victoire définitive qui porte au trône du monde la puissance occidentale, démocratique et libérale. La mondialisation, qui avait timidement pointé du nez durant les années 80, commence à s’ériger en occidentalisation du monde. L’Occident n’avait pourtant pas su gérer sa victoire. Au lieu d’intégrer le continuateur de l’URSS, il le marginalise et l’ ...
  • September 1, 2022
    Dans cet épisode Lassina Diarra et Abdelhak Bassou échangent sur le caractère religieux des violences en Afrique de l'ouest. Ils y discutent des implications politiques et des fondements de ces violences ainsi que des causes de leurs résurgence. ...
  • Authors
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina Sass
    August 12, 2022
    The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and mul ...
  • Authors
    Laura Sanders
    Jordan Moss
    August 9, 2022
    Communities in northern Côte d’Ivoire report an ongoing pattern of questioning, ethnically- motivated arrests, and abuse, in contrast to the good relationships with local forces and police they had until two years ago*. In one case, the national army arrested a number of men, beat them, and held them for up to two months**. In response to extremist attacks, Côte d’Ivoire has increased the military presence in the north, creating a special forces’ base and sending more military per ...
  • August 5, 2022
    Le conflit russo-ukrainien fragilise la sécurité alimentaire d'un grand nombre de pays africains, la Russie et l'Ukraine étant deux acteurs majeurs du marché agricole mondial, particulièrement celui du blé. C'est pourquoi, l'approvisionnement en blé du continent est au premier rang concerné par ce conflit qui perdure, dont le premier enseignement concerne le risque de non approvisionnement, en blé russe et ukrainien, des pays qui en sont le plus dépendants. Cette étude montre qu'il ...
  • Authors
    August 3, 2022
    The timing was perfect for analyzing the “African Security in times of uncertainties”. The Rabat-based “Policy Center For The New South” programmed its  6th “African Peace d Security Annual Conference” (APSACO) on July 20/21 to focus on the historic challenge of our time-the world,  Africa in particular, struggling to find stability while war s waged in Central Europe, and 25 million tons of wheat and fertilizers needed to feed the starving population, millions on the African contin ...
  • July 22, 2022
    L'ancienne secrétaire d'État chargée des Affaires étrangères et des Droits de l'homme, Rama Yade, met le point sur la position de l’Europe face aux difficultés de l’Afrique en temps d’inc ...
  • Authors
    July 22, 2022
    “February 24, 2022,” noted Robert Pszczel in « Nato Review”(July 7, 2022),”is likely to engrave itself on the history template of the contemporary world.”Pszczel, a Senior fellow  at the Polanski Foundation, Warsaw, and former Polish diplomat serving as director  of the NATO information office  in Moscow for half a decade, judged Russia’s unprovoked, unjustified invasion of Ukraine is  not only a “manifestation of a huge  security danger that has shattered peace in Europe”, but “has ...
  • July 21, 2022
    كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
  • July 21, 2022
    2021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
  • July 20, 2022
    2021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
  • July 20, 2022
    كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
  • July 19, 2022
    Les missions militaires de l’Union européenne (UE) en Afrique revêtent aujourd’hui, à l’heure de la réinvention du partenariat euro-africain, une importance considérable. Alors que Bruxelles entend plus que jamais s’imposer comme l’un des garants de la sécurité au niveau mondial, tout en se mesurant aux nouveaux rapports de force mondiaux, elle tient parallèlement à devenir un acteur incontournable en matière de paix, de surcroît motivé par la prolifération des risques ...
  • July 19, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة أهم التحديات التي تواجهها القارة الإفريقية مع عبد الحق باسو ، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. خلال هذه الحلقة ، يستعرض عبد الحق باسو التحديات الأمنية الرئيسية التي تواجه البلدان الأفريقي...
  • Authors
    Joseph Hammond
    July 18, 2022
    The world is facing its worst food crisis in 70 years as a perfect storm of geopolitical events contributes to a spike in prices. Wheat alone has jumped 53% since the start of the year. Alarmingly, a number of governments have responded to the crisis with export bans. Governments and organizations worldwide must act decisively to avoid knee-jerk neo-mercantilism, which would add to the volatility in the global economy. Globalization is at a fragile moment, and mercantilism still lur ...
  • Authors
    July 12, 2022
    October 22, 1962. One of those days in history to be forever part of destiny- warships of the Soviet Union confronting the US Navy off Cuba, an ally of Moscow, which convinced Fidel Castro to participate in a secret conspiracy: the stationing of strategic nuclear missiles on the island, located just 90 miles off the continental United States. Once discovered, US President John F. Kennedy ordered a naval quarantine on Moscow's ships. History would be repeated another time on a differ ...
  • June 30, 2022
    In this episode of Africafé, Rida Lyammouri will talk about the ongoing conflicts in the Sahel, evoking the instability in Mali and Burkina Faso and suggests ways forward for greater engagement from the international community in helping fragile states in the region. ...
  • Authors
    June 27, 2022
    Three questions to Jamal Machrouh   This article was initially published on https://www.institutmontaigne.org/   Morocco was among the countries not taking part in the March 2 UN General Assembly vote following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This position raised questions in Europe as Morocco is Europe's largest partner in the Maghreb. Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, sheds light on Morocco's perceived neutrality in the Ukrainian conflict in o ...
  • Authors
    June 27, 2022
    Hardly any declaration of war against Russian culture Dostojevsky, Tolstoy, Pasternak, Pushkin, Nabokov, Turgenev, icons of Russian literature, breathing the soul of mother Russia, the depth of heavy historical burdens and despair, touched by nostalgia for Holy, Imperial Russia and cruelty of dictators like Stalin, the national conscience and pride wounded by invasions of Nazi Germany and Napoleon. Rachmaninov, Prokofiev, Shostakovich, Tchaikovsky, Mussorgsky, Rachmaninoff, revelat ...
  • Authors
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Florent Parmentier
    Olivier Tramond
    June 16, 2022
    Les Dialogues stratégiques, une collaboration entre le HEC Center for Geopolitics et le Policy Center for the New South représentent une plateforme d’analyse et d’échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques ainsi que le monde universitaire et les médias au service d’une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et les grandes questions d’importance commune pour l’Europe et l’Afrique. Cette publication est ...
  • May 20, 2022
    Traders have worried that the war involving Russia and Ukraine could stoke inflation, further disrupt supply chains and derail the global economic recovery. Scarcity of food has led to ri ...
  • Authors
    May 19, 2022
    Any enforcement of peace through violence is absurd Fear is not an adequate description of the feeling when bombs explode in your vicinity and you feel an invisible, destructive wave envelop your body, soul, and mind.  Tears may flow, screams are to be absorbed by those whose legs or arms are ripped out of their bodies by the blast-they may be blind forever, never hear a sound again, but in your subconscious, the blasts will never desert you ever., Thunderstorms remind-soaked you ...
  • Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    May 17, 2022
    Ce thème, abordé au Centre HEC de Géopolitique à Jouy-en-Josas, lors de la 12e édition des Dialogues stratégiques avec le Policy Center for the New South, une rencontre semestrielle, a permis de revenir dans le détail sur cette zone qui relie la Méditerranée à l’océan Indien, à la jointure de trois continents : l’Asie, l’Afrique et l’Europe. Cette route maritime qui s’étend sur plus de 2 200 km, pour une largeur qui varie de 300 km à moins de 30 km entre Djibouti et le Yémen, représ ...
  • May 13, 2022
    Depuis 2016, le Policy Center for the New South et le Centre HEC de Géopolitique organisent chaque année deux éditions des « Dialogues Stratégiques ». Cette plateforme d’analyse et d’échange réunit des experts, des chercheurs provenant de différents think-tanks et du monde académique, d...
  • Authors
    Laura Sanders
    May 12, 2022
    An HRW report details the massacre of at least 300 civilians in the central Malian town of Moura — the deadliest single atrocity in the country’s decade-long armed conflict. Most of the victims were from the Peuhl ethnic group. The widespread political and social exclusion of the Peuhl puts them at further risk of this type of violence and drives a cycle of grievances and fear that empowers violent extremist organizations (VEOs) and impedes peacebuilding. National governments and in ...
  • Authors
    May 10, 2022
    Les crises internationales de type de la guerre en Ukraine constituent des ruptures historiques qui induisent des changements profonds de paradigmes, mais aussi de systèmes d’alliances et de marges d’influence. Elles produisent, à terme, une nouvelle configuration des rapports de force, ce qui exige des acteurs des capacités d’anticipation et d’adaptation. Le continent Africain se trouve géopolitiquement, et en quelque sorte géographiquement, à la première loge de la guerre d ...
  • May 6, 2022
    The war in Ukraine ignited fierce opposition on grounds of principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity. Populations weighed in the balance of power. Yet, for principles invoked against Russia to find universal resonance, the West should ensure it acts in accordance with these principles. Global solidarity implies treating all peoples equally. ...
  • May 6, 2022
    La guerre d’Ukraine a suscité une vive réprobation au nom des principes de souveraineté et d’intégrité territoriale. Les populations ont pesé dans le rapport de force. Néanmoins, pour que les principes invoqués contre la Russie puissent nourrir un consensus universel, l’Occident devra lui-même agir en conformité avec eux. Une solidarité planétaire suppose de traiter tous les peuples de la même manière. ...
  • April 29, 2022
    Following on the heels of the COVID-19 pandemic and severe drought in North Africa, the Russian invasion of Ukraine – large exporters of food and, in the case of Russia, energy— may inflict increased hunger on the food insecure in Morocco – despite mitigating measures by the government. Morocco is so far successfully shielding its large poor and vulnerable population by subsidizing essential commodities. With memories of the violent protests during the 2007/08 food and fuel crisis s ...
  • April 26, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة التحديات الأمنية بمنطقة وسط إفريقيا مع عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. تواجه منطقة وسط إفريقيا العديد من التحديات ذات الطابع الأمني. في مقابل ذلك، تكتسي المنطقة باعتبار ...
  • April 21, 2022
    On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a military action in Ukraine. This operation and subsequent events is having a global impact, with far-reaching political and economic implications. In the short term, the conflict will affect the global economy through three main channels: financia...
  • April 15, 2022
    Although there have been efforts to regulate the privatization of security, the problem is not the lack of international regulation, but the lack of convergence between international and national law on one hand, and government regulation and industry self-regulation, on the other. The growing number of actors in the contemporary security environment has added a layer of complexity, as it made accountability more diffuse and difficult to track, since the responsibility lies with mul ...
  • April 13, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة آثار الحرب في اوكرانيا على الاقتصاد العالمي مع فتح الله ولعلو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد بعد اندلاع الحرب الأوكرانية الروسية في أواخر شهر فبراير من هذا العام، كان الكل يتوجس من تدا...
  • Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    April 13, 2022
    The war between Russia and Ukraine unfolds on many theaters, including information and communication. Hybrid strategies and media old and new are utilized for information, persuasion and propaganda, with one underlying predicament, fake news, constantly lurking. Each side is keen on controlling its messages and relaying its narrative. On one hand, Russian communication seeks to legitimize its action and turn the opponent's camp from oppressed to provocateur. On the other, Ukrainian ...
  • Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    April 13, 2022
    La guerre russo-ukrainienne est engagée sur de nombreux théâtres, y compris celui de l'information et de la communication. A travers des dynamiques hybrides, anciens et nouveaux médias, sont mobilisés à la fois à des fins d'information, de persuasion et de propagande, avec en toile de fond une crise sous-jacente, celle des fake news. Chaque camp est soucieux de contrôler ses messages et de relayer son propre cadrage. D'un côté, la communication russe cherche à légitimer ...
  • March 29, 2022
    Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Black Sea granary, severely impacts global wheat markets, and especially hits the two warring parties' primary importing countries/clients. This study examines impacts of this war on Africa, where bread is a basic staple. This brings us to start with a review of broad market data, with Russia and Ukraine respectively ranking first and fifth among global wheat exporters, and the European Union (EU) gaining an edge as an alternative to the U.S./Canada ...
  • March 29, 2022
    L'invasion, par la Russie, de l'Ukraine, grenier à blé de la mer Noire, impacte lourdement le marché mondial de cette denrée, en premier lieu les principaux pays/clients importateurs des deux belligérants. L'objet de cette étude est d'analyser les conséquences de cette guerre pour l’Afrique, continent où le pain est un aliment de base. Ce qui nous conduit, tout d'abord, à rappeler les données générales de ce marché, avec une Russie et une Ukraine respectivement au premier et cinquiè ...
  • Authors
    March 29, 2022
    The heavy financial sanctions on Russia after the invasion of Ukraine sparked speculations that the weaponization of access to reserves in dollars, euros, pounds, and yen would spark a division in the international monetary order. China would tend to strengthen its own international payments system and accelerate the establishment of its currency – the Renminbi – as a rival reserve currency to reduce its vulnerability to moves of a similar nature against it. Countries facing geopoli ...
  • March 25, 2022
    The debate around the use of private military and security companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency i ...
  • Authors
    March 22, 2022
    African states are in a vulnerable position. The invasion of Ukraine could affect food security and trigger a spike in oil prices, inflicting economic duress on African households. The Black Sea region is home to vast fertile farmlands, and war in the “breadbasket of the world” could threaten wheat and fertilizer supplies. Increased economic hardship and social discontent do not bode well for democratic governance in Africa, especially in light of the recent spate of military coups. ...
  • Authors
    March 16, 2022
    Of all the regions included in this report series, Tillabéri is the region that scores best when it comes to both general community resilience, as well as traditional and religious authorities’ functioning. The region is not as exposed to shocks as Est (Burkina Faso) and Ménaka (Mali), and its ability to recover from shocks is high compared to the other regions. Trust in traditional and religious authorities is comparatively high as is their equal treatment of different subgroups in ...
  • From

    15
    5:30 pm March 2022
    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكانية الاصطدام المسلّح بين روسيا وحلف شمال الاطلسي، والحرب النووية. الّا أن انعكاسات الحرب لا تقتصر على اوروبا والغرب، بل تأثّر سلباً على الاقتصاد الدولي ودول الجنوب، وتهدّد الامن الغذائي في دول كثيرة، خاصة في المنطقة العربية وفي افريقيا ولفهم هذه الازمة بمختلف أبعادها ووضعها في سياقاتها النظرية والتاريخية والأمنية ومناقشة تأثيراتها الحاليّة أو المتوقَّعة في المدى القريب، ينظّم مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصّة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء ستركّز على الأحداث الجارية في اوكرانيا وستطرح فرضي ...
  • March 15, 2022
    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكا...
  • Authors
    March 15, 2022
    The war in Ukraine is bringing substantial financial, commodity price, and supply chain shocks to the global economy. Sanctions on Russia are already having a significant impact on its financial system and its economy. Price shocks will have a global impact. Energy and commodity prices—including wheat and other grains—have risen, intensifying inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions and the recovery from the pandemic. The push toward relative deglobalization received fro ...
  • Authors
    March 11, 2022
    As of March 3, 2022, one week into the Russian invasion, over 1 million refugees (2.3% of the Ukrainian population) have fled Ukraine to neighboring European countries, notably Poland, as well as Hungary, Moldova, and Slovakia[1].  While the sheer flow of refugees is poised to generate the largest migration crisis in Europe since World War II, the response of European countries is substantially different from the one caused by the Syrian refugee crisis of 2015 - 1 million refugees i ...
  • March 11, 2022
    L'opération militaire lancée le 24 février 2022 par les forces armées russes à l'intérieur du territoire de l’Ukraine a pour objectif déclaré d'empêcher l’Organisation du Traité de l’Atlantique Nord (OTAN) de se rapprocher de l”étranger proche” russe et de changer le régime à Kiev. Cette guerre, déclenchée par un membre permanent du Conseil de sécurité, a été menée en violation des principes cardinaux de la Charte des Nations unies. Elle a mis le monde au bord d’ ...
  • Authors
    March 4, 2022
    The economic sanctions against Russia announced last week by the United States and Europe following the military invasion of Ukraine are having a profound impact on the Russian economy while also having repercussions at home. As in a boxing match, the expectation is that blows to the opponent can knock them out, despite the exposure on the punching side. The United States has applied some sectoral and limited economic sanctions against Russia since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 ...
  • Authors
    March 3, 2022
    A l’issue de la première semaine de l’invasion russe, soit au 03 mars 2022, plus de 1 million de réfugiés (2,3% de la population ukrainienne) ont quitté l’Ukraine à destination de pays européens limitrophes, notamment la Pologne, mais aussi des autres pays comme la Hongrie, la Moldavie ou la Slovaquie[1]. Alors que le flux des réfugiés est sur le point de devenir la plus grande crise migratoire en Europe depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale, la réaction des pays européens est très diff ...
  • March 2, 2022
    The purpose of this second paper is to highlight the involvement of mercenaries in decolonization processes in Africa on one hand, and the emergence of Private Military and Security Companies since the 1990s on another hand. The main argument is that despite the change in the structure of private contractors operating in Africa, their essence remains the same: security in exchange of mining concessions. Hence, the paper analyses to what extent mining companies have contributed to th ...
  • Authors
    Mathieu Pellerin
    March 2, 2022
    La situation sécuritaire dans le Sahel central est à ce point dégradée que la menace djihadiste déborde désormais sur la partie nord des pays côtiers d’Afrique de l’Ouest. Les régions de l’Est et des Cascades au Burkina Faso ou celles de Sikasso et de Kayes au Mali constituent des bases arrière permettant aux groupes djihadistes – et principalement à la Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM) pour l’instant – de s’étendre au Bénin, en Côte d’Ivoire, et dans une moindre mesure au T ...
  • Authors
    March 1, 2022
    Dag Hammarskjöld, ancien secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies (ONU) avait, mieux que quiconque, résumé le rôle et les limites de l’organisation onusienne en proclamant que « L'ONU n'a pas été créée pour emmener l'humanité au paradis, mais pour la sauver de l'enfer ». Cette vision minimaliste et, au demeurant, réaliste, de la capacité de l’ONU à réguler les rapports internationaux, cadre parfaitement avec la maturation inachevée du processus d’évolution du droit int ...
  • Authors
    March 1, 2022
    Dans un contexte de gouvernance complexe, où autorités traditionnelles et modernes se côtoient même si leur pouvoir décroît, le Mali connait depuis de nombreuses années une situation sécuritaire alarmante, notamment dans le centre du pays. La montée des tensions entre communautés agricoles et pastorales est aggravée par la présence de groupes extrémistes. La population du Cercle de Niono, dans la région de Ségou, a été victime de violences inouïes pendant plusieurs mois avant que de ...
  • Authors
    Jakana Thomas
    Lauren Van Metre
    February 28, 2022
    This article was initially published on usip.org   The presence of CBAGs raises issues that force a rethink of local implementation of peacebuilding processes. The RESOLVE Network’s multiyear research on Community-Based Armed Groups (CBAGs) has established critical findings for the international community on how to engage, manage and transform violent actors in conflict-affected states. While mitigation efforts tend to target anti-state extremist organizations, understanding the ...
  • Authors
    February 22, 2022
    “Once upon a time a classic first line in fairy tales, used by Charles Dickens, for example in his “A Christmas card” in 1843, or Charles Perrault, the French poet, writer of “Cinderella” and “Sleeping Beauty”, both published in 1697 in “histoires ou contes du temp passé” Once upon a time suggests a nostalgic touch, the good old, romantic days glamourized because negative memories are annihilated and deposed in the dustbin of the human mind. Once upon a time, Beirut, the capital ci ...
  • February 14, 2022
    “Hiring outsiders to fight your battles is as old as war itself”. Peter W. Singer (2011) Mercenaries, private contractors, soldiers of fortune, dogs of war, guns for hire, war lords ... These are some of the names given to individuals working for private companies that provide military and security services. The debate around the use of these companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency in modern conf ...
  • Authors
    Pierre Englebert
    February 11, 2022
    Almost ten years after the beginning of the security crisis in the Sahel, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger face a graver predicament than ever before. In the throes of multiple insurgencies, they and their foreign patrons, including France, have shown the limits of military containment. While these three countries are the victims of terrorist aggression, their crises also have deep domestic roots, including long-standing patterns of state abuses of their populations, even in the more d ...
  • Authors
    January 31, 2022
    It has been more than 100 years since Germany manifested colonial power, a dark period of history indeed. Political and military leaders, supported by its ruler, Wilhelm II, Emperor of Germany and King of Prussia, committed crimes against humanity on African land.  The first genocide of the 20th Century, mass killings of 65 000 Herero in Africa, today known as Namibia. Between 1904 and 1908, Germany suffocated humanity in concentration camps like Shark Island, forcing them into dead ...
  • Authors
    December 15, 2021
    How do you treat a brutal dictator who had lost power after 42 years, hiding in a drainpipe, after his convoy was attacked by fighter jets from the air? It was a bloody mess and not a pretty scene. The dictator had a few seconds to beg for his life, “what did I do to you», he gasped reported the London Guardian on October 22, 2011, and then his turbulent life came to an end, shot with a pistol. Triumphantly his assassin raised Gaddafi’s golden revolver -- a few minutes of global fam ...
  • December 10, 2021
    The Cabo insurgency constitutes one of the most significant threats to peace and security in Southern Africa subregion. This podcast explores the various challenges the insurgency in this ...
  • December 9, 2021
    A summit on the African vision of Sahel’s future with a focus on development around the 5 Sahelian Ministers of Economy and the report “Sahel: Moving Beyond Military Containment” ...
  • Authors
    November 29, 2021
    The proliferation of community-based armed groups (CBAGs) in Mali’s Mopti and Ségou Regions has contributed to transforming Central Mali into a regional epicenter of conflict since 2016. Due to the lack of adequate presence of the state, certain vulnerable, conflict-affected communities resorted to embracing non-state armed groups as security umbrellas in the context of inter-communal violence. These local conflicts are the result of long-standing issues over increasing pressure on ...
  • November 12, 2021
    Près de trois ans après l’éviction d’el-Béchir du pouvoir et la formation d’un gouvernement de transition, composé de civils et de militaires, la situation politique et économique du Soudan est loin d’être stable. Bien que des progrès aient été enregistrés depuis décembre 2018, la transition démocratique a été interrompue brutalement suite à la prise du pouvoir par le général al-Burhan et sa décision de dissoudre le gouvernement civil. Malgré le climat d’instabilité et d’incertitude ...
  • Authors
    November 9, 2021
    Events in the Sahel, and Mali especially, are taking an uncertain and worrying turn. Mali witnessed two coups d’état in less than a year, while the West African Sahel went through its most violent year yet and there are no signs that the violence is slowing down. In the midst of this unprecedented instability, recent developments involving Mali’s transitional government and the international community, France in particular, provide no assurances that things are likely to improve any ...
  • Authors
    November 2, 2021
    In the Sahel, and Central Mali in particular, the proliferation of armed groups over the past decade has resulted in formal and informal non-state governance structures. This paper assesses the various definitions and typologies associated with rebel and jihadist governance in order to better understand the mechanisms of governance provision used by key non-state governance providers in Central Mali.   ...
  • Authors
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Eugène Berg
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Jacques Gravereau
    Jérémy Ghez
    Olivier Tramond
    Niagalé Bagayoko
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Jérôme Evrard
    Coordination de l’ouvrage: Imane Lahrich
    Fatine Cherkaoui
    October 28, 2021
    Depuis l’accession au trône du Roi Mohammed VI, l’Afrique s’est transformée en priorité de la diplomatie marocaine. Sur le plan économique, l’Afrique est devenue le prolongement naturel du Maroc en termes d’investissements et d’implantations. Pascal Chaigneau s’attarde sur les relations affaiblies Europe-Afrique, l’ambitieuse relation Chine-Afrique ainsi que les relations entre la Russie, les Etats-Unis, la Turquie ou encore les pays du Golf et l’Afrique. Ce chapitre traite égalemen ...
  • October 21, 2021
    Le décès du président tchadien Idriss Deby, lors d’affrontements entre l’armée et les rebelles du FACT, a donné lieu à une prise de pouvoir par la junte militaire dirigée par Mahamat Deby, fils de l’ancien président. Le FACT, créé en 2016 dans le but de renverser le régime de Deby-père, à la tête du pays pendant près de trente ans, se trouve confronté au fils du président défunt. Ce Papier revient sur les origines du groupe rebelle, les affrontements fatals pour Idriss Deby, et sur ...
  • Authors
    October 18, 2021
    If any proof was needed that change was in the air and repression on the horizon, it was in the center of Kabul: a simple sign was changed, the Ministry of Women’s Affairs was turned into the Ministry for the Promotion of Virtues and Prevention of Vice. This was nothing less than the return of the Taliban’s moral police, well remembered by the older population, ready to enforce a harsh interpretation of the religious law, the Sharia, including stoning, amputation, lashing, and publi ...
  • October 18, 2021
    In the last few months, the global order has been going through some fundamental changes which are affecting the competition between the great powers and have a direct impact on their relations with regional partners. Emerging challenges such as the climate change, cyberwarfare and artificial intelligence, hybrid warfare and non-state actors are shaping a new world that is profoundly different compared to the post-9/11 era, where the war on terrorism opened the gates to what have be ...
  • October 5, 2021
    Seconde nation la plus peuplée d’Afrique après le Nigeria, l’Éthiopie se distingue par un essor économique continu depuis trente ans. Des progrès notables sévèrement remis en question par le conflit avec la province du Tigré, qui dure depuis près d’un an. Pays phare de la Corne de l’Afrique, l’Éthiopie s’est distinguée par une croissance moyenne à deux chiffres (10 %) sur la période 2010-2019. Tombée à 6 % en 2020, celle-ci ne devrait pas dépasser 2 % en 2021 selon la Banque mondia ...
  • Authors
    Johannes Claes
    Kars de Bruijne
    Sophie Mertens
    Eman Ragab
    Clara-Auguste Süß
    September 20, 2021
    The COVID-19 pandemic has had a cataclysmic impact on all aspects of the functioning of our world. The relevance of the possibility of the spread of a global virus with the spread of terrorism is not immediately obvious as it is difficult for a direct causal link to be scientifically established. However, taking into consideration how state responses and pre-existing socioeconomic grievances can be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic can lead to innovative findings on how terrorist gr ...
  • September 13, 2021
    The fifth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held from June 21-23, 2021, under the theme ‘Women, Peace, and Security in Africa’. The three- day event, hosted and organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of four panels and three workshops: • Panel 1: Bolstering Women’s Role in Conflict Prevention and Resolution • Panel 2: Integrating & Reinforcing The Gender Dimension in Security and Defense • Panel 3: Understanding to Act Bett ...
  • August 24, 2021
    The Taliban movement took control of Afghanistan’s capital, Kabul, without confrontation or resistance, as soon as the president, Ashraf Ghani, fled the country. Afghan forces were not able to face the Taliban, despite of the fact that Taliban was technically outnumbered and outgunned by Afghan government forces. The New American administration first priority is to make US military mission in Afghanistan conclude by August 31st. Biden believes that the mission US army in Afghanistan ...
  • Authors
    August 11, 2021
    The ongoing war in the Tigray region of Ethiopia has resulted in the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in a decade. The escalating conflict has led to the death and displacement of thousands of civilians, raised ethnic tensions in Ethiopia, and caused a food crisis that could lead to widespread famine. Much can be said about this conflict—how it revolves around models of governance and conflicting visions of self-determination, and how its impact will be felt across the region. Here ...
  • July 26, 2021
    La région nord-est du Mozambique, Cabo Delgado, est, depuis 2017, le théâtre d’une insurrection meurtrière, menée par un groupe, connu sous le nom de Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa et que la population locale dénomme « Al Shabab ». Considérée comme la plus pauvre du pays, cette région abrite une population à majorité musulmane et qui reste marginalisée dans les politiques publiques de développement du Gouvernement, malgré l’exploitation intensive des importantes ressources naturelles de son s ...
  • July 02, 2021
    With the intensification of globalization dynamics, risks to the stability of the international system have grown to the extent that formerly localized threats are no longer locally conta ...
  • May 20, 2021
    The fourth edition of the African Peace & Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on September 23-25, 2020 under the theme ‘COVID-19 & Security in Africa.’ The three-day event, organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of two panels and two workshops: - Panel 1: The Security Sector in Africa During and After the COVID-19 Health Crisis - Panel 2: The Privatization of Violence in Africa: Non-State Armed Groups and Private Security - Workshop ...
  • May 4, 2021
    The Sahelian states of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso continue to face unprecedented violence arising from multidimensional conflicts. According to the Africa Center for Strategic Studies (2019), “the Sahel has experienced the most rapid increase in activity by militant groups of any region in Africa in recent years. Violent events involving extremist groups in the region have doubled every year since 2015”. In addition to the presence of multiple violent extremist organizations (VEO ...
  • April 29, 2021
    Le Général Azem Bermandoa, porte-parole de l’armée tchadienne, a annoncé, le 20 avril 2021, à 11h00, sur les ondes de la télévision, le décès du président Idriss Déby. Le défunt, touché lors de combats dans le nord du pays, entre l’armée tchadienne et la rébellion du Front pour l’alternance et la concorde au Tchad (FACT), est décédé des suites de ses blessures. Selon certains observateurs, une réunion de négociations avec des membres du FACT se serait terminée par une fusillade qui ...
  • April 20, 2021
    سيخصص برنامج حديث الثلاثاء حلقته لهذا الأسبوع إلى تحليل ومناقشة تمدد التنظيمات الإرهابية بإفريقيا وتداعياتها على الأمن القاري باستضافة عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. إن توالي الأزمات تؤثر على الأمن بالقارة الإفريقية بالإضافة إلى تنامي نشاط الجماعات الإرهاب...
  • Authors
    March 24, 2021
    Tillabéri region of Niger is witnessing unprecedented level of ethnic-based violence. The January 2 massacre caught the national and international actors’ attention, however; the event was preventable. Accessing communities through ethnically charged and other exploitative language has proved to be a game changer for the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) expansion since 2012. The failure of national and international actors to recognize the seriousness of the situa ...
  • Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    January 4, 2021
    Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso… L’insécurité fait tache d’huile au Sahel, menaçant de s’étendre aux pays du Golfe de Guinée. Le terrorisme a entraîné la formation de milices d’auto-défense communautaires, et ainsi créé des « friches » sécuritaires dans tout le Sahel, du Bassin du lac Tchad à la région du Liptako-Gourma. Les budgets consacrés à la défense augmentent, contrairement à ceux qui soutiennent le capital humain, santé et éducation. Dans un contexte de croissance démographique so ...
  • Authors
    December 22, 2020
    “When I got home late that night, the house was dark and Michelle was already asleep. After taking a shower and going through a stack of mail, I slipped under the covers and began drifting off. In that luminal space between wakefulness and sleep, I imagined myself stepping toward a portal of some sort, a bright and cold and airless place, uninhabited and severed from the world. And behind me, out of the darkness, I heard a voice, sharp and clear, as if someone were right next to me, ...
  • December 16, 2020
    President Trump may not enact his threatened US drawdown of troops from the Sahel, but President Biden will still face pressure to end America’s “forever wars” and reduce the number of American lives and treasure lost to fighting terrorism in Africa. If the United States pulls back from...
  • Authors
    Dania Koleilat Khatib
    December 11, 2020
    The Arab Spring led to the collapse of dictatorships that ruled the region for decades, creating a void that triggered increased rivalry between three axes seeking to expand influence and control in the region. Using the theoretical framework of ‘offensive realism’ developed by Mearsheimer, this paper analyzes the build-up and circumstances surrounding the intensification of the rivalry between Qatar/Turkey, Saudi Arabia/the UAE and Iran and how this rivalry has become a major drive ...
  • Authors
    Hanae Bezad
    Maximo Plo Seco
    Roger Hilton
    December 10, 2020
    The Atlantic basin faces considerable challenges on multiple fronts. Financial and economic struggles, coupled with political shifts and social turmoil, are reshaping the region’s geopolitical landscape. Unemployment, poverty, violence, migration, extremism, climate change and other problems are on the rise and the need to tackle them effectively is pressing. To find adequate solutions to these challenges, it is crucial to create inclusive discussions between the North and the Sout ...
  • Authors
    November 19, 2020
    In October 2014, Burkina Faso entered a new era when a social uprising resulted in the overthrow after 27 years of President Blaise Compaoré. The uprising was triggered by Compaoré’s attempt to amend the constitution so he could run for another term. In late 2015, Roch Marc Christian Kaboré was elected and sworn as a new president with high hopes for a new Burkina Faso. Corruption, democratic reforms, poverty, and economic development dominated President Kaboré’s inauguration speech ...
  • Authors
    November 19, 2020
    Le mandat du président Trump qui, sauf miracle, s’achève en janvier 2021, avait soumis à rude épreuve les alliances des Etats-Unis d’Amérique avec plusieurs pays et entités européens et asiatiques. Plusieurs de ces alliés stratégiques des Etats-Unis avaient, alors, perdu confiance en l’esprit de solidarité qui a toujours empreint l’action étasunienne à leur égard, et amorcé des réflexions sur la construction de leurs propres systèmes de défense. L’arrivée à la Maison Blanche d’un no ...
  • September 24, 2020
    With regards to human security in Africa, this panel will highlight the evolution of organized crimes in Africa while exploring the privatization of security under international Law: • Exploitation of the COVID-19 health crisis by extremist groups • Evolution of organized crime in Afric...
  • September 24, 2020
    S'agissant de la sécurité humaine en Afrique, ce panel s'intéressera à l'évolution de la criminalité organisée en Afrique tout en se penchant sur la privatisation de la sécurité au regard du droit international : • Exploitation de la crise sanitaire due à la COVID-19 par des groupes ext...
  • Authors
    Noureddine Jallal
    September 16, 2020
    Il semble pertinent, avant d’exposer un sujet aussi important qu’actuel, d’apporter deux remarques nécessaires. Elles auront la finalité, à la fois, de préciser les contours du sujet et de prendre en considération la réalité du droit international. La première remarque consiste à faire la distinction entre le droit international de l’eau et le droit international à l’eau. Ce dernier constitue un avatar du corpus du premier et une étape nouvelle dans sa « juridicisation » et son évol ...
  • August 18, 2020
    Fragile, poor, and conflict-affected Sahelian countries of Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso were expected to witness catastrophic health and security situations following the emergence of COVID-19. However, the number of cases and deaths remained relatively low in all three countries compared to other parts of the world. Violent extremist organizations (VEOs) attempted to exploit the pandemic in their narratives, while continuing to conduct attacks in the region. Violence and attacks b ...
  • Authors
    August 6, 2020
    Il y a, d’abord, les premières images. Celles d’une gigantesque déflagration. Même les dizaines de déflagrations, dont nous parviennent régulièrement les clichés ou les films, et qui ont embrasé, ces dernières années, le Moyen-Orient, ne nous ont pas habitués à des images de cette violence. Puis, dans tous les esprits, en écho, viennent les théories sur l’origine de l’incident. Nous sommes au Liban. Les hypothèses d’attentat, de nouveau règlement de comptes sanglant entre puissance ...
  • Authors
    June 26, 2020
    Peace was near, most of the 5000 Taliban fighters were released—one condition for serious peace negotiations—and a city was selected for the negotiations between the Taliban and the Afghan government: Doha, Qatar. But an invisible enemy committed sabotage. COVID-19 brought down members of both sides. Worse: the Taliban’s supreme leader, Mullah Hibatullah Akhundzada was rumored to be on the threshold of death. NATO’s new senior civilian representative in Afghanistan, Stefano Pontecor ...
  • Authors
    June 15, 2020
    La Covid-19, menace conjoncturelle en dépit des impacts néfastes attendus, ne doit pas nous détourner complètement de menaces en phase de devenir structurelles et menacer toute une région dans son existence. Le terrorisme au Sahel et dans la région du Lac Tchad s’est avéré résilient face aux efforts jusqu’à présent déployés. Non seulement il n’a pas été vaincu au Sahel mais il avance vers son objectif final : atteindre l’Atlantique à travers les pays côtiers de l’Afrique de l’Ouest. ...
  • May 21, 2020
    The COVID-19 pandemic, while primarily a public health matter, has brought about a number of concerns related to its economic, social and political impact. The deadly virus is increasingly imposing itself as a threat to international peace and security, and the stability of countries, e...
  • Authors
    April 14, 2020
    Parallèlement à l’apparition du Covid-19 au début de l’année en cours, les différents foyers de tensions et de guerres ont vu se développer, entre les belligérants, des escalades dangereuses qui menacent la paix et la sécurité dans le monde. Du Yémen au Sahel, en passant par la Syrie et la Libye, le monde voyait les chances de retrouver la sérénité et la quiétude s’évaporer avec les tirs de mortiers, les raids aériens, les attaques de drones et le renforcement des lignes de fronts e ...
  • Authors
    January 15, 2020
    “The Nightmare we feared has arrived” Death was late because the departure time of the plane was delayed. But death arrived- six minutes after takeoff from Tehran’s “Imam Khomeini International Airport. It was still dark, 6.12 hours’ local time, when flight 752 of “Ukraine International Airlines” took course toward Kyiv, the Ukraine capital three hours and fourty two minutes away. The Boeing 737 800 NG had reached 2400 meters, when the American military’s “Space Based Infrared Syst ...
  • Authors
    January 15, 2020
    La récente déclaration du Secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies 1 et les relais dans les différents médias qui avancent que la situation au Mali qui se détériore de plus en plus serait presque un euphémisme, tant l’Etat malien souffre depuis 2013 d’un manque de stabilité patent. La perspective d’organisation d’élections législatives en 2020 demeure très incertaine au vu des attaques répétées des groupes terroristes qui, en plus de menacer la vie des Maliens, remette ...
  • Authors
    January 3, 2020
    La Libye entame l’année 2020 dans une atmosphère d’escalade. Le conflit s’internationalise et menace la stabilité d’au moins trois régions imbriquées par le fait géographique, les intérêts géopolitiques et par la continuité historique: - Toute la région méditerranéenne est concernée par la conjoncture libyenne. Qu’il s’agisse de sa partie orientale (Egypte, Turquie, Liban, Syrie, Israël, Chypre et Grèce) ou de son flanc occidental (Maroc, Algérie, Tunisie, France, Italie et Espagne ...
  • Authors
    December 25, 2019
    It is reported in 2017 that the world’s most active armed conflict zones involved disputes related to selfdetermination, with an estimated civilian death-toll of over 20 million, and there were over 60 ongoing selfdetermination conflicts in the world. While Brexit, Barcelona and Crimea’s separation from Ukraine have received worldwide attention today in respect to separatism, “Africa is home to a number of separatist movements”. In fact, separatism in Africa has been discussed compr ...
  • Authors
    December 11, 2019
    The Atlantic Current’s 6th edition provides overview, fresh insights, latest data, and broader analysis on the Atlantic space’s current challenges, as well as their implications for the South. Different chapters explore emerging trends and critical issues, such as the World Trade Organization reform, Brexit and the future of EU, the expansion of militancy in the Sahel and Coastal Africa, the role of cultural diplomacy and the deepening of Sino-African relations within a shifting an ...
  • Authors
    December 7, 2019
    La présence de la France au Sahel n’est pas un sujet facile à discuter, à commenter ou à traiter. D’une part, l’intervention française, en 2013, (Opération Serval), avait permis de prolonger l’existence de l’Etat malien qui, sans l’opération française, n’aurait pas pu résister aux menées terroristes qui visaient Bamako. D’autre part, la présence française semble ne rien pouvoir changer à l’avancée du terrorisme dans la région, le phénomène semble même gagner du terrain devant l’imp ...
  • December 02, 2019
    Alain Antil, Chercheur et Directeur du Centre Afrique Subsaharienne de l’IFRI, analyse la dégradation de la sécurité au Sahel à travers une cartographie des zones touchées par le terroris ...
  • Authors
    November 5, 2019
    Since 2013, armed conflict has raged in the Central African Republic, between the largely Muslim Seleka rebels and the predominantly Christian militias (known as the anti-Balaka). Rebel groups are controlling broad swathes of the country, exploiting mineral wealth, and levying taxes on cattle migration. Non-state actors such as the Popular Front for the Governance of the Central African Republic (FPRC), which claims to “govern” the country’s northeast, have severely tested the autho ...
  • Authors
    November 1, 2019
    Dans la nuit du samedi 26, Donald Trump, comme à son habitude, lance un tweet quelque peu énigmatique :  ‘’Quelque chose d’énorme vient de se passer’’. Le porte-parole de la Maison Blanche renforce la devinette, en déclarant que le président ‘’fera, le dimanche 27 octobre à 9h, une annonce très importante’’, sans donner d’indices. Le suspens ne dura cependant que quelques minutes. Bien avant le rendez-vous fixé par Washington, des médias et des journalistes avancent l’éventuelle éli ...
  • Authors
    October 18, 2019
    The third edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on June 18-19th 2019 under the theme “Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World”. The two-day event, organized by Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was launched with the publication of the Annual Report on Africa’s Geopolitics, Followed by five panels : - Panel 1: Africa and the world or How to balance Mutual perceptions; - Panel 2: Africa and the production of strategic and normati ...
  • Authors
    October 9, 2019
    This paper suggests that tribal dynamics of power structure are key in reestablishing peace and development in the region. The Sahel region’s security challenges are directly influenced by tribalism and ethnic dynamics. In recent decades mistreatment, favoritism, and corruption allowed criminality and multidimensional conflicts to flourish. This is evident in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, Libya, and Chad. Lightly governed and poorly secured regions in these countries became more strate ...
  • Authors
    May 23, 2019
    Un enlèvement au Bénin Le 1er de ce mois de mai, alors qu’éclatent au Bénin des violences au sujet des résultats des élections, deux touristes français sont enlevés au parc de Pendjari, au Nord-ouest du pays, à proximité des frontières avec le Burkina Faso. Trois jours, plus tard, les autorités béninoises confirment l’enlèvement et soulignent la découverte, dans le cadre de l’enquête, du corps d’un homme qui s’avérera, par la suite, être celui du guide béninois des touristes enlev ...
  • Authors
    March 26, 2019
    The opening of the border between Ethiopia and Eritrea symbolized an important phase in the newfound relations between the two. Since their rapprochement in June 2018, events have occurred at a frenzied pace, yet much was still in the political arena and removed from demonstrating tangible benefits to average citizens. By opening the border, the leaders of Ethiopia and Eritrea changed that. Yet the border opening also reveals an insight into a previously isolated and largely closed ...
  • Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    November 12, 2018
    C’est l’opération de maintien de la paix la plus meurtrière de l’histoire. Installée en juin 2013, la Mission multidimensionnelle intégrée des Nations unies pour la stabilisation au Mali (Minusma) a déjà perdu près de 200 personnes. L’application des dispositions de l’accord de paix signé en 2015 entre le gouvernement malien et les groupes rebelles du Nord marque un grand retard. Pendant ce temps, l’insécurité, longtemps contenue à la seule partie septentrionale du pays, se répand a ...
  • Authors
    October 31, 2018
    There has been a flurry of activity in the Horn of Africa recently, where decades-old political disputes have suddenly been put to rest. The resulting changes have shattered the status quo in the region, putting the Horn on a new path where state-to-state relations are no longer marked by regional competition and frozen borders. While this has undoubtedly been a positive development for the region, one big piece of the puzzle has been the role of external actors in the process, and ...
  • Authors
    October 28, 2018
    Depuis l’annonce, par le Président Muhammad Buhari, de sa candidature à l’élection présidentielle de février 2019, le Nigéria vit une fièvre de campagne électorale prématurée. Du côté de la majorité, le temps est à assurer un deuxième mandat au Président en exercice et, dans les rangs de l’opposition, l’effort est consacré à la quête de la personne qui portera son fanion et au choix de la manière de contrer le All Progressive Congress (APC), aux affaires. Si la bataille pour l’acqui ...
  • Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    September 24, 2018
    La conférence « A Brave New World, Adapting to a changing security landscape », organisée par Friends of Europe, le 20 septembre 2018 à Bruxelles, a consisté en des tables rondes auxquelles ont participé Bouchra Rahmouni Benhida, Senior Research Fellow d'OCP Policy Center et Amal El Ouassif, Research Assistant, notamment sur les plus grands défis de la politique extérieure européenne. « C’était très gratifiant de voir distribuées, aujourd’hui, les conclusions sur la migration d’un b ...
  • September 7, 2018
    Alors que le dialogue était totalement rompu entre l’Ethiopie et l’Erythrée, le nouveau premier ministre Ethiopien a pris le pays et la région complètement au dépourvu en annonçant, dès sa prise de fonction en avril 2018, son intention de tourner la page aux « années d'incompréhension » et de renouer le dialogue en mettant en œuvre les termes de l’Accord d’Alger signé en 2000, suite à une guerre fratricide (1998-2000) qui avait fait plus de 80000 morts.  Le réchauffement entre les ...
  • Authors
    September 3, 2018
    Bedrohung durch Iran “NEVER EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN” The President should have known better and reflected longer before firing verbal ballistic missiles towards the White House. No, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani got lost in some delusions other authoritarian leaders suffer from as well. “Iran’s power is deterrence,” the President of Iran insisted. “We have no fight or war with anyone but the enemies must understand well that war with Iran is the mother of all wars ...
  • Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    July 5, 2018
    Cinq ans et demi après l’intervention militaire internationale conduite par la France pour chasser les jihadistes du nord du Mali, l’ancien Soudan français s’apprête à organiser une élection présidentielle censée accélérer le processus de paix issu des accords inter-maliens négociés à Alger et signés à Bamako en juin 2015. « Un scrutin décisif”, soutient en marge de l’African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organisé les 18 et 19 juin 2018 à Rabat au Maroc par l’OCP P ...
  • Authors
    June 29, 2018
    Not far from highway 95, near a town named Lathrop Wells, only one establishment, besides the petrol station, was known to the rough cowboys and joyless soldiers of the nearby nuclear testing site, and that was “Mabel’s whore house”, advertised as such without shame and ready to accept credit cards. Luigi Raugi, a legal immigrant (from Sicily), as it is wise to insist these repressing days of  American immigrant bashing, was running the local drugstore and really excited, as were t ...
  • Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    June 19, 2018
    The second edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organized in Rabat by OCP Policy Center, has started on June 18th with a broad debate on the political and strategic aspects of peacekeeping operations in Africa. Their financial cost was discussed right from the start of the Conference, as well as the ongoing reform processes engaged by the United Nations in addition to the African Union. “This cost is somewhat exaggerated,” said Rachid El Houdaigui, ...
  • June 19, 2018
    Speakers: - General Birame Diop, Chief of Staff, Senegal Air Force - Colonel Raul Rivas, Chief of Plans and Strategy Division, US Africa Command - General Dominique Trinquand, Former Head, French Military Mission to the UN and NATO Chair: Kristin De Peyron, Head of Division, Pan-African...
  • Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    June 13, 2018
    On 29 May 2018, at the Summit organized by French President Emmanuel Macron at the Palais de l'Elysée in Paris, the four main players in the Libyan crisis approved a "Political Declaration on Libya" calling for the organization of both legislative and presidential elections on 10 December next. This "historic" text, as described by the French Head of State, is nevertheless in jeopardy given the complexity of the current situation in Libya. There have been countless initiatives to b ...
  • Authors
    الأمين ولد سالم
    June 13, 2018
    خلال القمة التي عقدها الرئيس الفرنسي إيمانويل ماكرون في قصر الإليزيه بباريس في 29 مايو 2018، صادق الفاعلون الرئيسيون الأربعة في الأزمة الليبية على "الإعلان السياسي بشأن ليبيا" الذي ينص على إجراء انتخابات برلمانية ورئاسية في 10 ديسمبر القادم. هذه الوثيقة "التاريخية"، كما جاء على لسان الرئيس الفرنسي، تظل مهددة بالتعقيدات التي تطبع الأوضاع على أرض الواقع في ليبيا. كثيرة هي المبادرات التي هدفت إلى إخراج ليبيا من الفوضى التي تتخبط فيها منذ انهيار نظام العقيد معمر القذافي في 2011. لكن حت ...
  • Authors
    June 11, 2018
    Donald Trump, a golf addict with a self-declared handicap of 3, is not noted for any chess enthusiasm, although the game is a simulation of a battle, and filled with military terminology such as double attack, demolition, breakthrough, decoying, interception, blockade, and x-ray attack among others. The historic game is intellectual, structured, and logic. The object is to maneuver the antagonist’s king into a position from which escape is impossible. The two contenders - at times - ...
  • Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    June 6, 2018
    Les quatre acteurs majeurs de la crise libyenne ont approuvé, le 29 mai 2018, lors du Sommet organisé par le Président français Emmanuel Macron au Palais de l’Elysée à Paris, une “Déclaration politique sur la Libye” qui prévoit l’organisation le 10 décembre prochain d’un double scrutin, législatif et présidentiel. Ce texte “historique”, selon le Chef de l’Etat français, reste cependant menacé par la complexité de la réalité sur le terrain libyen. On ne compte plus les initiatives v ...
  • Authors
    May 3, 2018
    “Russia vows to shoot down any and all missiles fired at Syria. Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and smart” (Donald Trump on Twitter). A menace in 223 characters - an imaginary video game moving slowly towards the reality of Hiroshima. History on collision course with our future. No thought about victims, no word of destruction, just “you should not be partner with a gas killing animal, who kills his people and enjoys it.” The Commander in Chief of the Un ...
  • Authors
    April 23, 2018
    The 132nd day in the Gregorian calendar, anno 2018, will be part of history, a day future generations will most likely not forget, the 12th of May. Only history buffs will remember that on the 12th day of May, Napoleon conquered Venice, once known as the “Most Serene Republic”. On May 12th and the following days in the year of 1940, the Nazis crossed the Meuse and defeated France in a Blitzkrieg. England’s King George VI celebrated his coronation in 1937, on this same fateful day, w ...
  • Authors
    April 6, 2018
    The young women sitting in the Olympic ice hockey stadium of Kwandong, South Korea, were dressed like a group of gorgeous stewardesses on an outing after graduating from flight school, or as if they were celebrating the survival of an emergency landing. They applauded in a very methodical fashion, a well-studied rhythm that their eternal Supreme leader Kim Jong-Un certainly did not learn at his Swiss boarding school “Liebefeld Steinhoelzi” near Bern, Switzerland. Who dares to confir ...
  • Authors
    March 29, 2018
    The Soviet crew faced death in the depth of the Caribbean. Their submarine of the diesel powered “Foxtrott” class, registered as “B -52”, had been transformed into a gigantic metal coffin. It was in October 1962, the month when the world stopped breathing. The end, nuclear war, seemed near. Human civilization has never faced such an APOCALYPSE in history. The unthinkable was likely to happen. Washington and Moscow, here the leaders of the free capitalistic world, and there the repre ...
  • Authors
    December 20, 2017
    La troisième et dernière journée de la conférence de haut niveau Atlantique Dialogues, organisée du 13 au 15 décembre à Marrakech par l’OCP Policy Center, a porté pour l’essentiel sur des questions de géopolitique africaine, ainsi que sur la “croissance sans emploi”, “les partenariats Sud-Sud” et les témoignages apportés par trois anciens présidents d’Argentine et du Costa-Rica sur les trajectoires de développement latino-américaines. “Sécurité dans le Sahel et implications transat ...
  • December 15, 2017
    14:00 – 15:15 Plenary IX: Lessons from Foreign Military Interventions in Africa Location: Ballroom Moderator: Zeinab Badawi, Director, Kush Communications - Michel Duclos, French Diplomat and Senior Fellow, Institut Montaigne - Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President, Nato Defense College Fo...
  • December 15, 2017
    14:00 – 15:15 Plenary IX: Lessons from Foreign Military Interventions in Africa Location: Ballroom Moderator: Zeinab Badawi, Director, 2 - Michel Duclos, French Diplomat and Senior Fellow, Institut Montaigne - Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President, Nato Defense College Foundation - Michell...
  • December 15, 2017
    Moderator: Kimberly Dozier, Executive Editor, The Cipher Brief, CNN Global Affairs Analyst - Youssef Amrani, Head of Mission, Royal Cabinet, Kingdom of Morocco - Tewolde Gebremeskel, Director, Peace and Security Division, The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (tbc) - General (R...
  • December 12, 2017
    Africa has a history of foreign military interventions, dating back to the colonial era. The 21st century has seen an intensification of foreign and intra-African military intervention. The reasons include competition and the desire to maintain spheres of influence, the war on terrorism...
  • December 12, 2017
    Countries in the Sahel are facing political changes that affect the rest of the continent and the world. The Sahel region has had a long history of vulnerability owing to dry land conditions, climate change as well as movements of people. These factors have resulted in porous frontiers ...
  • Authors
    October 6, 2017
    Le message essentiel de ce Policy Brief porte sur les profondeurs dans la crise du Sahel. Certains aspects de la crise tels que la violence extrémiste, les migrations, le crime transnational ou encore la précarité ne sont que les symptômes d’une maladie qui ne fera qu’empirer si les causes réelles et profondes ne sont pas traitées. En prenant le cas du G5 Sahel, comme cadre pour des commodités de l’étude et de l’analyse, nous n’insinuons en aucun cas que la crise est limitée aux cin ...
  • June 14, 2017
    Le débat sur la défense est plus que jamais d’actualité dans un contexte mondial évolutif animé par la reconfiguration continue des équilibres géostratégiques et par le poids des conséquences de la crise économique et financière sur le budget des Etats : les politiques de défense seront-elles adaptées à leurs taches de demain ? Les stratèges des Etatsmajors auront-ils les moyens suffisants pour négocier efficacement le processus d’adaptation ? Outre la modernisation des systèmes d’a ...
  • May 13, 2016
    Ce podcast est délivré par Aline Leboeuf. Si la situation sécuritaire en Côte d’Ivoire s’est grandement améliorée depuis 2011, des incidents ont toujours lieu ponctuellement et conservent ...
  • April 07, 2016
    This podcast is performed by Daniel Twining. U.S. Security Policy in the East Asian Context For the United States, some of the main challenges facing the U.S. security policies in East As ...
  • March 31, 2016
    In the context of the strategic partnership between OCP Policy Center and the German Marshall Fund of the United States, the Policy Center is a key partner for the Brussels Forum organized by GMF. - The Hon. Youssef Amrani, Head of Mission, Royal Cabinet, Kingdom of Morocco - General ...
  • Authors
    March 16, 2016
    L'expansion du phénomène terroriste en Afrique met la Chine devant un dilemme : rester fidèle à sa politique de noningérence dans les affaires intérieures des autres États, même si les citoyens et les intérêts chinois sont menacés ou; adopter une politique plus interventionniste pour sauvegarder ses investissements en Afrique même au prix de certaines corrections à apporter aux principes qui ont, jusqu'à aujourd'hui, sous-tendu sa politique extérieure. ...
  • Authors
    February 23, 2016
    Deux des plus grands producteurs d'hydrocarbures en Afrique, le Nigeria sur l'Atlantique et la Libye sur la Méditerranée font face aux deux groupes terroristes les plus violents sur le continent. Daech version libyenne et Boko Haram semblent avancer pour se rejoindre dans un espace constitué par trois Etats qui présentent des vulnérabilités favorables à l'extension du terrorisme. Au Cameroun, le chao est à craindre dans l'après Biya. La battle fatigue peut atteindre l'Etat tchadien ...
  • December 7, 2015
    The Euro-Mediterranean Partnership was initiated with the aim to build a space of shared prosperity and security among all the countries in the region. The achievement of this objective, however, continues to be challenged by several geopolitical, economic and social factors. In such a context, there is now a greater urgency to adapt the approach and the instruments, thus allowing Euro-Mediterranean partners to seize opportunities towards an effective area of shared stability and pr ...
  • From

    16
    5:30 pm February 2022
    Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South, will be speaking at the webinar “security and governence in africa: sahel and libya” organized by frica Study Group in partnership with The Middle East Institute. The security dynamics of the Maghreb and the Sahel are intertwined and the consequences of the Libyan conflict on the Sahel have been serious. Since its beginning in 2011, this conflict has triggered global concern about the economic, security, and geostrategic impacts on the Sahel. Current threats are posed by the illicit transfer, destabilizing accumulation, and misuse of arms, as well as the flow of armed groups and mercenaries. Despite considerable international efforts, especially by African countries, the Sahel is still experiencing one of the ...