Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Download PDF
English version
Le rebond des prix pétroliers : le « fine tuning » de l'OPEP en question
Authors
Yves Jégourel
November 21, 2016
Related topics: 

En actant, fin septembre 2016, qu'il était nécessaire de réduire l'offre de brut, l'Organisation des pays producteurs de pétrole (OPEP) a de toute évidence marqué les esprits. Conjugué à l'amélioration de certains fondamentaux, l'accord de principe ainsi obtenu a créé les conditions d'un rebond des prix pétroliers. Des dynamiques spéculatives visant à tirer profit de cette embellie sont néanmoins à l'œuvre, dans un contexte de marché où les surcapacités de production demeurent présentes. La remontée des cours demeure fragile et ce n'est que si l'OPEP parvient à donner à cet accord une portée opérationnelle sur le moyen terme qu'un changement de paradigme pourra s'effectuer. Outre les contraintes (géo) politiques fortes que cela implique, force est de constater que la tâche sera rude. L'OPEP devra en effet composer avec la réalité de l'offre mondiale et s'engager dans une politique de « fine tuning » visant à maintenir les cours dans une bande de fluctuation permettant d'améliorer la situation financière de ses membres, sans néanmoins (trop) relancer la production des autres pays producteurs.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Turning Promises into Reality – The Business Case for Gender Equality in Achieving the SDGs
    Authors
    Paula Tavares
    Otaviano Canuto
    October 25, 2019
    As world leaders gathered this month for high-level talks at the 74th United Nations General Assembly, pressing global issues were at the forefront of discussions, including progress toward the 2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). While taking stock of how far we have come in realizing commitments in key areas, including to end poverty and hunger, expand access to health, education, justice and jobs, promote inclusive and sustained economic growth, and protect o ...
  • ADEL Portrait : Congolese youth in search of an alternative
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    October 25, 2019
    Eric Ntumba, a young Congolese banker, came from Kinshasa in December 2017 to participate in the Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders Programme of the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) in Marrakech. At that time, when asked what his dream was, he immediately said he would like : « to become President of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and bring about inclusive development, so that the country’s enormous potential can be finally transformed into power. My dream is that eac ...
  • Download PDF
    Humanitarian Assistance as Peace-Keeping - Beyond Charity -
    Authors
    Matsumoto Shoji
    October 24, 2019
    Due to the prevailing nationalism, the prospect of increase in voluntary donation for humanitarian assistance by States and citizens in charity is depressing, though humanitarian crises are increasing and becoming complicated. Thus, MINUSMA, MINUSCA and G5 Sahel Joint Force lack funds. For starting discussions on the donation by citizens not in charity, Japan’s experience of Furusato Nozei, or ‘Hometown Donation Program’, will be briefly referred. ...
  • China’s Belt and Road Initiative: How has China’s energy security changed over the past decade?
    Authors
    Mehmet Öğütçü
    October 21, 2019
    Decades of rapid economic growth have dramatically expanded China’s energy needs. The magnitudes are impressive. China is now the world’s largest consumer of energy, the largest producer and consumer of coal, and the largest emitter of carbon dioxide. It is increasingly looking toward securing its future energy needs with sustainable alternatives. China has also become the world’s largest producer, exporter and installer of solar panels, wind turbines, batteries, electric vehicles, ...
  • Download PDF
    Synthesis Report: 3rd Edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO)
    Authors
    October 18, 2019
    The third edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on June 18-19th 2019 under the theme “Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World”. The two-day event, organized by Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was launched with the publication of the Annual Report on Africa’s Geopolitics, Followed by five panels : - Panel 1: Africa and the world or How to balance Mutual perceptions; - Panel 2: Africa and the production of strategic and normati ...
  • Une place dans le ‘’Marché mondial des idées’’
    Authors
    Mokhtar Ghailani
    October 18, 2019
    D’édition en édition, African Peace and Security annual Conference (APSACO), l’un des rendez-vous annuels phares du Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), confirme son envergure de plate-forme d’échange et de partage en vue de permettre à l’Afrique de s’adjuger une place dans le marché mondial des idées.  Dans son intervention lors de la 3ème édition, organisée les 18 et 19 juin 2019, avec pour thème ‘’ Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World’’, Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior ...