Publications /
Paper in Academic Journals

Back
The vulnerable workforce: COVID-19 and the fate of atypical workers
Authors
Zakaria Elouaourti
December 8, 2024

This paper was originally published on accscience.com

The Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) pandemic has significantly affected the global workforce, with certain occupational groups facing greater challenges than others. Atypical part-time, temporary, and gig job workers are among the most vulnerable. This paper first examines the impact of the COVID-19 health crisis on atypical/ contingent workers by firm size, industry, and region. Second, we explore the factors determining the increase/decrease of the temporary labor force at the firm level. Third, we aim to verify the empirical validity of the Schumpeterian “destruction creative” hypothesis since any crisis is associated with destroying old jobs and creating new job needs. We mobilized a firm-level database of 12,193 firms from 19 countries and a dynamic logit model methodology. Our empirical results show that atypical workers were among those most impacted by COVID-19. Results by firm size show that small firms raised the probability of increasing the level of the temporary labor force, as opposed to medium- and large-sized firms. Results by sector of activity revealed that firms operating in sectors other than construction (hotels and restaurants, retail trade, IT, transport, machinery, and equipment) were less likely to increase their temporary labor force. Geographic location is a key driver of the increase or decrease in a firm’s temporary workforce. Furthermore, insufficiently educated labor and regulations drive temporary labor variations. Finally, the Schumpeterian “creative destruction” hypothesis was empirically confirmed.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Ana Maria Bonomi Barufi
    December 21, 2017
    The spatial mismatch hypothesis states that a lack of connection to job opportunities may affect an individual’s prospects in the labour market, especially for low-skilled workers. This phenomenon is especially observed in large urban areas, in which low-skilled minorities tend to live far away from jobs and face geographical barriers to finding and keeping jobs. This paper aims to investigate whether this negative relationship between spatial mismatch and labour market outcomes is ...
  • Authors
    Zidong An
    Gonzalez Prieto
    December 20, 2017
    This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and job creation in developing economies with a focus on low and lower middle-income countries along two dimensions: growth patterns and short-run correlations. Analysis on growth patterns shows that regime changes are quite common in both economic growth and employment growth, yet they are not synchronized with each other. Okun’s Law—the short-run relationship between output and labor market—holds in half of the count ...
  • December 15, 2017
    Moderator: Adama Gaye, CEO, Newforce Africa - Philippe Chalmin, Professor, Economic History, Paris Dauphine University - Uri Dadush, Senior Fellow, OCP Policy Center - Jean Hervé Lorenzi, President, Cercle des Economistes - Paulo Portas, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Portugal - Is...
  • Authors
    November 30, 2017
    إن أسواق العمل في منطقة الشرق األوسط وشمال إفريقيا تتباين فيما بينها بشكل كبير، فهناك بعض الدول النفطية اليت تقوم باستيراد العمالة فيما تقوم بلدان أخرى، ومن ضمنها المغرب، بتوفير اليد العاملة والكفاءات المهاجرة. هذا وتظهر على المغرب معالم وجود بطالة مقنعة على المستوى الهيكلي بالرغم من وتيرة النمو السريعة اليت سارت عليها البالد. وهناك عدد من األسباب المتشعبة اليت تقف وراء هذا النمو العاجز عن خلق فرص عمل ِّ ها في َّ بعة قد تتمكن من التخفيف من حدة اإلشكالية ولكن دون أن تنجح في حل مكتملة ...
  • Authors
    November 30, 2017
    The jobs markets across the Middle East North Africa region vary greatly, with some oil-rich countries importers of labor while others, including Morocco, are the source of emigrants. Morocco exhibits structural underemployment despite having grown quite rapidly. The reasons for Morocco’s job-poor growth run deep. Policies can mitigate the problem but are unlikely to solve it in the foreseeable future. ...
  • Authors
    November 28, 2017
    After many decades of expansion, incomes and standards of living have never been better in many parts of the world. Yet, global trade and the prospects of growth still seem uncertain, and protectionism seems to be on the rise. In developed countries, there is anxiety over the loss of the manufacturing jobs that once absorbed a large share of the labor force and created a middle class that formed the core of democracy. Most middle-income countries have not yet been able to make the t ...
  • Authors
    November 24, 2017
    لقد حققت معدلات الدخل ومستويات العيش تحسناً غير مسبوق في العديد من مناطق العالم، وذلك بعد أن عرفت ارتفاعاً مطرداً على مدى عقود متتالية. بيد أن آفاق التجارة العالمية والنمو الاقتصادي ما تزال محفوفة بالغموض، كما يبدو أن النزعة الحمئية سائرة في تزايد مستمر. ففي الدول المتقدمة، هناك قلق ناجم عن فقدان الوظائف التصنيعية التي شغَّلت فيما مضى فئة كبيرة من العمالة، وخلقت طبقة متوسطة شكلت نواة الديمقراطية في هذه الدول. هذا ولم تنجح معظم الدول ذات الدخل المتوسط في اللَّحاق بنظيرتها العالية الد ...
  • Authors
    Thomas Awazu Pereira da Silva
    November 9, 2017
    This paper sheds light on the increasing and persistent skilled unemployment in Morocco over the past decade – oscillating around 20% of total unemployment. It identifies and estimates the role and significance of a skill mismatch between Morocco’s education system and its labor market, illustrated by the ratio between technical and general university degrees produced by the education system. The paper finds supporting evidence that a skill mismatch does play a significant role in e ...