Otaviano Canuto on Bloated Central Bank Balance Sheets

April 14, 2021

When the global financial crisis hit the international economy in 2008, central banks in major advanced economies widened their range of monetary policy instruments, increasingly resorting to unconventional tools. Initially to avoid a deepening of the financial destabilization and bankruptcy of solvent-but-illiquid private sector balance sheets, as it happened during the Great Depression of the 30s in the last century. Subsequently to fight economic stagnation and deflation risks as private agents deleveraged. While the “liability-driven” initial phase can be seen as “quantitative stabilizing”, the later “asset-driven” balance sheet expansion is the true “quantitative easing”. There are good reasons to believe that there will be no return to the pre-QE configuration of balance sheets. First, the increasing global financial integration in the last few decades has imposed increasing challenges in terms of making liquidity management effective as cross-border volumes of capital flows have expanded significantly. Second, changes to financial regulation have induced private agents to alter their behavior and strategies. Finally, a new task has come under the purview of central banks: monitoring relationships between various benchmark curves—i.e., operating as quasi-market makers. As a spill-over from abroad, central bank balance sheets in some emerging market economies also bloated. The era of bloated central bank balance sheets seems to be a component of the “new normal”, even if they undergo some diet in the future.

Speakers
Otaviano Canuto
Senior Fellow
Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, principal at Center for Macroeconomics and Development and non-resident fellow at Brookings Institute. Former Vice President and Executive Director at the World Bank, Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Vice President at the Inter-American Development Bank. He was also Deputy Minister for international affairs at Brazil’s Ministry of Finance, as well as professor of economics at University of São Paulo (USP) and University of Campinas (UNICAMP). ...

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Rafael Feltran-Barbieri
    Fernando S. Perobelli
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina S. Sass
    Carlos A. Nobre
    June 27, 2024
    This paper was originally published in nature.com   Deforestation in the Brazilian Legal Amazon remains a challenge due to its detrimental effects on ecosystems and the associated increase in greenhouse gas emissions. Such deforestation can be driven by foreign demand in terms of international exports, as well as domestic demand. However, most efforts to quantify the associations between consumer markets and deforestation mainly consider international exports rather than domestic ...
  • Authors
    June 27, 2024
    The earth’s average surface temperature in May 2024 was higher than any other May on record, marking the twelfth consecutive such record-breaking month. According to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service, May’s temperature was 1.52 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average, while temperatures over the past twelve months have averaged 1.63°C above (Figure 1). Global sea surface temperatures have also set records over the past fourteen months.   Consider the e ...
  • June 27, 2024
    Ce document explore les dynamiques de l'intermédiation sur le marché du travail marocain, en mettant en lumière les frictions, l'efficience et la distance transactionnelle. L'intermédiation, essentielle pour réduire les obstacles et améliorer l'efficacité du marché, est analysée à travers plusieurs perspectives théoriques et pratiques, y compris la courbe de Beveridge et les modèles d'appariement. Le document détaille le rôle des services publics de l'emploi, notamment ...
  • June 24, 2024
    - The earthquake’s overall impact on growth is estimated to be around -0.24% of GDP in 2023. - Due to the spatial concentration of the earthquake, Al-Haouz province and the Marrakesh region experienced Gross Regional Product (GRP) losses of -10.2% and -1.3%, respectively. - The 120 billion Moroccan dirhams (MAD) recovery program will have only mild positive impacts on overall macroeconomic growth from 2023 to 2028 but will significantly benefit the High Atlas region due to the rea ...
  • June 19, 2024
    What is the economic impact of the September 8, 2023, Al-Haouz Earthquake? Economist Mahmoud Arbouch, co-author of the research paper, explains how the study quantifies economic loss and evaluates a five-year reconstruction plan, representing 8.5% of GDP. The study predicts a 0.24% GDP ...
  • June 19, 2024
    Le marché du travail marocain, marqué par un dynamisme démographique et économique, est confronté à des défis majeurs : un chômage persistant, une inadéquation entre les compétences et les besoins du marché, et une faible participation des jeunes et des femmes. Pour y répondre, l'État a mis en place des Politiques Actives du Marché du Travail (PAMT) à travers l'ANAPEC (Agence Nationale pour la Promotion de l'Emploi et des Compétences). Ce document analyse l'efficacité des programme ...
  • June 19, 2024
    Our Senior Fellow, Mr. Dominique Bocquet, presents his report, "Assessing Biden’s Presidency: A Method," offering a thorough analysis of President Joe Biden's administration. The report evaluates Biden's domestic and international policies, highlights key challenges and opportunities, a...
  • Authors
    Hung Tran
    June 19, 2024
    The Global South features prominently in the context of geopolitical rivalry and efforts by developing countries to change the current international economic and financial architecture. While there are questions about whether some countries—such as China or Russia—should be considered parts of the Global South (GS), it is obvious that Africa is at the center of the group. Different aspects of Africa—its potential, its reality, and its efforts to realize its potential—embody the chal ...
  • June 14, 2024
    Explore the evolution, impact, and future trends of digital currencies with our Senior Fellow, Mr. Otaviano Canuto. In this insightful video, he sheds light on how digital currencies are transforming global markets and what to expect in the coming years. ...
  • Authors
    June 13, 2024
    La généralisation de la protection sociale est une réforme sociétale très louable et constitue un pilier fondamental de l'État social au Maroc, ainsi qu'un levier essentiel pour améliorer le fonctionnement de l'État providence. Une des grandes forces de cette initiative réside dans la prise de conscience collective et l'engagement ferme des autorités publiques que nous observons aujourd'hui, en vue d'étendre la protection sociale à tous les citoyens pour promouvoir une i ...