DAY 1 - The 18th Annual Conference of the Arab Society for Economic Research

Le Rapport sur l’économie de l’Afrique s’inscrit dans une série de documents annuels publiés par le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS). Les grandes évolutions économiques du continent y sont traitées, avec une large place faite à l’analyse prospective. Ce rapport s’ajoute ainsi au Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique et l'Annual Report on Commodity Analytics and Dynamics in Africa (Arcadia), écrits par des chercheurs issus du Nord comme du Sud. Le Rapport sur l’écono ...

Cet article analyse les retombées des transferts de fonds des migrants sur la croissance économique et sur l’investissement domestique des pays africains. A cette fin, nous avons utilisé la Méthode des Moments Généralisés en Système en panels dynamiques pour un échantillon de 34 pays sur la période 1980-2016. Les principaux résultats des estimations effectuées montrent que les transferts de fonds des migrants exercent un effet significatif et positif sur la croissance économique et ...

Some of the papers in this special issue were initially presented at a September 2016 conference on Global Labor Markets organized by the IMF, Policy Center for the New South and Brunel University, while others were commissioned through a call for papers. Funding for this initiative was provided in part through the IF-DFID program on Macroeconomic Research in Low Income Countries. Views expressed in this introduction and in the papers are those of the authors and should not be ascri ...

This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and job creation in developing economies with a focus on low and lower middleincome countries along two dimensions: growth patterns and short-run correlations. Analysis on growth patterns shows that regime changes are quite common in both economic growth and employment growth, yet they are not synchronized with each other. Okun’s Law—the short-run relationship between output and labor market—holds in half of the countr ...

Despite some short-term benefits, trade deviation to the region shouldn’t be expected to last. Has the U.S. trade war with China been good for Latin America? An increase in Chinese demand for primary products from the region, as well as recent news of production transfers from China to Mexico, might give the impression that it has. But any positive short-term effects of the confrontation should also take into account its negative medium- and long-term impacts on the region and on gl ...

The concept of ‘developing country’ is now a source of controversy, asking “Is China a developing country?”, for example. The normative implications of such question will be considered, after a grief survey of its use in international organizations. Then, the transformation of the relations between States from asymmetric solidarity to symmetric complementarity is suggested. As an example of complementary relations, those between Morocco and Japan is surveyed. ...

En pleine transition ordonnée de son régime de change, sous l'autorité bienveillante du Fonds monétaire international (FMI), le Royaume du Maroc est un exemple très concret des avantages et des inconvénients des deux régimes de change dominants ces dernières décennies/change fixe et change flottant /. L’objet de cette note est de rappeler, tout d'abord, les fondamentaux économiques des deux systèmes et leur environnement historique (I). Ensuite, à la lumière de ces fondamentaux, pré ...