AES 2023 - Opening Remarks / Session 1: Challenges of Monetary Policy

September 22, 2023

 Opening Remarks Karim El Aynaoui, Executive President, Policy Center for the New South

Session 1: Challenges of Monetary Policy: Navigating Inflation Dynamics in the Face of Supply Shocks

The confluence of COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has resulted in a surge of inflation not seen for decades. Developing countries, especially in Africa, are bearing the brunt of this complex economic landscape, characterized by a sluggish recovery, rising unemployment and poverty rates, tight international financing conditions, soaring public debt, and persistent inflationary pressures. Central banks in Africa are facing the challenge of balancing the need to support economic growth with the need to prevent inflation from spiraling out of control. This session will explore the complex and interrelated issues surrounding monetary policy in Africa and the strategies that central banks can employ to navigate inflation dynamics in the face of supply shocks. As such, this session will address the following questions: - How can African central banks adapt their monetary policy frameworks and tools to effectively address supply shocks? - How can African central banks effectively manage the tradeoff between inflation and growth in the current environment? - What are the potential long-term effects of the current wave of monetary policy tightening in Africa? - What policy mix frameworks could be used to address macroeconomic imbalances in African economies, and how can they be tailored to the unique characteristics of these countries?

Chair: Mehdi Bartal, Professor, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (Morocco)

Speakers: - Abla Abdel Latif, Executive Director & Director of Research, The Egyptian Center for Economic Studies (Egypt) - Ibrahim Elbadawi, Managing Director, Economic Research Forum (Sudan) - Abebe Aemro Selassie, Director of the African Department, International Monetary Fund (Ethiopia). Online

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Inácio F. Araújo
    December 18, 2020
    We estimate the contents of services value-added incorporated in goods exports in different countries in Latin America, exploring the local dimension of the results. We use inter-regional input–output analysis to trace and map domestic value-added embedded in those countries' exports. We add to the discussion of global value chains the internal, within-country geography of trade in value-added, since the set of locational preferences that help understanding the spatial patterns of n ...
  • Authors
    December 18, 2020
    Avec du suspense jusqu’à la dernière minute, comme l’Union européenne (UE) aime le faire, le 10 décembre 2020 le Conseil européen a finalement donné son accord pour le budget de l’Union 2021-2027 (1,8 milliards d’euros[1]) et du Fonds de récupération et de relance pour faire face aux conséquences économiques et sociales de la Covid-19 dans les pays de l’UE. Le Fonds répartira entre les États membres 750 milliards d’euros entre 2021 et 2023 (sous le nom de « EU Next Generation »), 36 ...
  • Authors
    December 14, 2020
    L’économie marocaine fait face à une année 2020 extrêmement difficile et complexe. La crise provoquée par le choc de la Covid-19 est singulière, multicanale et fondamentalement différente des crises précédentes. Elle altère le système productif par un double choc d’offre et de demande, amplifié, de passage, par une crise de confiance. Alors que l’année 2020 touche à sa fin, il est crucial de dresser une première évaluation circonstanciée des ramifications de cette crise, qui permett ...
  • Authors
    Fernando S. Perobelli
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Karina S. S. Bugarin
    December 14, 2020
    This paper explores the use of simulations in policy decision-making in the Brazilian State of São Paulo in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. We propose a methodology for assessing the daily economic costs of control strategies for mitigating the effects of coronavirus. The method is based on the partial hypothetical extraction approach to input–output systems. Simulated daily scenarios based on different levels of compliance to the control measures are used to help guide the design o ...
  • December 10, 2020
    The purposeful dissemination of misleading or outright false information by news media and foreign state actors constitutes an increasingly important factor in both the growing erosion of trust in national institutions and political polarization in many countries around the world. The d...
  • Authors
    November 26, 2020
    The insurance sector is rapidly expanding in Africa as firms, households, and governments are increasingly becoming customers in life insurance, non-life insurance, and reinsurance markets. In 2019, Africa’s insurance premiums were valued at $68.15 billion 1 . The largest insurance markets can be found in South Africa, Kenya, Egypt, Nigeria, Algeria, Angola, and Tunisia, which together comprised 83% of all African premiums in 2019 2 . Africa’s insurance sector is often overlooked wi ...
  • November 16, 2020
    Africa is experiencing economic growth deceleration that reached 2.9% on average between 2010 and 2018, against 5.4% between 2000 and 2010. The sectoral performance of African economies depends critically on the stock and quality of infrastructure, directly as an essential input (for example, energy and transport) and indirectly by increasing total factor productivity. African economic integration, and the hoped-for emergence, can never be fully achieved with poor infrastructure, bo ...
  • Authors
    Sergio Gusmão Suchodolski
    Cinthia Helena de Oliveira Bechelaine
    Adauto Modesto Junior
    November 13, 2020
    The effective implementation of the 2030 Agenda requires a greater level of capital mobilization and new institutional arrangements that guarantee the better allocation of these funds. Based on concrete results from the experience of the Development Bank of Minas Gerais, in Brazil, this paper argues that Subnational Development Banks (SDBs) can be powerful players within development finance institutions’ networks, as their local expertise can bring efficiency and effectiveness to th ...
  • November 13, 2020
    Avec la venue de Renault à Melloussa, près de Tanger, puis de PSA à Kenitra et, demain, du Chinois BYD, à Casablanca, la filière automobile marocaine aura atteint une capacité annuelle de production de 700 000 à 1000 000 de véhicules, sous différentes marques. Ce qui fait que le Maroc est aujourd’hui le leader des modèles de Tourisme en Afrique. Cette étude rappelle les grandes étapes de cette marche de la maturité et de l'excellence, qui commence en 1959, avec la Somaca (la Société ...
  • Authors
    Inácio F. Araújo
    October 27, 2020
    We estimate the contents of services value-added incorporated in goods exports in different countries in Latin America, exploring the local dimension of the results. We use inter-regional input-output analysis to trace and map domestic value-added embedded in those countries’ exports. We add to the discussion of global value chains the internal, withincountry geography of trade in value-added, since the set of locational preferences that help understanding the spatial patterns of na ...