AES 2023 - Opening Remarks / Session 1: Challenges of Monetary Policy

September 22, 2023

 Opening Remarks Karim El Aynaoui, Executive President, Policy Center for the New South

Session 1: Challenges of Monetary Policy: Navigating Inflation Dynamics in the Face of Supply Shocks

The confluence of COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has resulted in a surge of inflation not seen for decades. Developing countries, especially in Africa, are bearing the brunt of this complex economic landscape, characterized by a sluggish recovery, rising unemployment and poverty rates, tight international financing conditions, soaring public debt, and persistent inflationary pressures. Central banks in Africa are facing the challenge of balancing the need to support economic growth with the need to prevent inflation from spiraling out of control. This session will explore the complex and interrelated issues surrounding monetary policy in Africa and the strategies that central banks can employ to navigate inflation dynamics in the face of supply shocks. As such, this session will address the following questions: - How can African central banks adapt their monetary policy frameworks and tools to effectively address supply shocks? - How can African central banks effectively manage the tradeoff between inflation and growth in the current environment? - What are the potential long-term effects of the current wave of monetary policy tightening in Africa? - What policy mix frameworks could be used to address macroeconomic imbalances in African economies, and how can they be tailored to the unique characteristics of these countries?

Chair: Mehdi Bartal, Professor, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (Morocco)

Speakers: - Abla Abdel Latif, Executive Director & Director of Research, The Egyptian Center for Economic Studies (Egypt) - Ibrahim Elbadawi, Managing Director, Economic Research Forum (Sudan) - Abebe Aemro Selassie, Director of the African Department, International Monetary Fund (Ethiopia). Online

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Fernando S. Perobelli
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Tomaz P. Dentinho
    March 16, 2021
    Angola’s prospects for reconstruction and development of its poor connectivity infrastructure are heavily dependent upon the export performance of its oil sector. Using an interregional inputoutput table for Angola, we estimate comprehensive measures of trade in value added revealing different hierarchies of interregional and international trade integration, with implications for regional inequality in the country. By encompassing the subnational perspective in the case study of an ...
  • March 3, 2021
    Brazil, an oil-exporting nation, was still struggling to recover from the depression which started around 2014/15 when it was hit by a quick succession of shocks: the COVID-19 pandemic and the oil price collapse. The global pandemic triggered major economic dislocations and contractions in foreign and domestic markets, which further exacerbated the fall in demand for oil, sending world prices tumbling further. Poverty was already widespread in Brazil pre-pandemic. And despite recen ...
  • March 02, 2021
    The Covid-19 pandemic has severely damaged the global economy. Confinement policies, global value chains disruption and risk aversion in the financial systems markets have brought the glo ...
  • Authors
    February 26, 2021
    Economic development analysis must inevitably rely on a double methodological standpoint. On the one hand, it needs to search for common features, those general attributes that might be present in all national experiences of wealth accumulation, poverty reduction, and moving up the income ladder. On the other, in order to be meaningful, it must reckon with time and space. It must consider that those universal development traits will play out in specific historical and geographical c ...
  • February 24, 2021
    L'intégration régionale en Afrique est considérée comme une priorité par de nombreux responsables politiques et acteurs économiques du continent. Avec la signature de l'accord portant création de la ZLECAf par l'ensemble des pays africains, le défi consiste désormais à mettre en place un marché continental pour les biens et les services et à jeter les bases d'une union douanière continentale. Nombreux sont ceux qui, sur le continent, considèrent la ZLECAf comme un plan d'investissem ...
  • Authors
    February 17, 2021
    La vanille est un produit d’exportation phare de Madagascar qui dispose, pour cette matière première unique, d’un quasi-monopole mondial. Si les recettes d’exportation qui en découlent sont essentielles pour l’île Rouge, leur variabilité, conjuguée à celle d’autres produits, tels que le nickel, n’est pas sans poser d’importants problèmes macroéconomiques en raison de la faible diversification de sa balance commerciale. Conséquence de la chute des cours depuis les sommets atteints en ...
  • Authors
    Paola Maniga
    Yassine Moustanjidi
    February 15, 2021
    The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed new vulnerabilities in social, infrastructure, and governance systems. In the first months of the pandemic, there was a genuine concern about the capacity of the Global South to contain the spread of the virus. African cities were particularly vulnerable, with some experts1, including the head of WHO2, predicting a catastrophe for the continent. Despite the structural and chronic challenges that African cities face, including informality, poverty, a ...
  • Authors
    February 12, 2021
    This paper provides a preliminary assessment of COVID-19’s impact on Africa, focusing on the sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries, based on information available as of October 2020. We first identify the two key long-term issues of the SSA countries before the crisis: resource dependency and slow productivity growth. COVID-19 has hit SSA countries hard, causing human and economic destruction and wiping out economic progress from the last decade. Instead of growing at 2.9% in 2020, as ...