Publications /
Paper in Academic Journals

Back
Read more
Risk caused by the propagation of earthquake losses through the economy
Authors
Eduardo Amaral Haddad
J. A. León
M. Ordaz
I. F. Araújo
May 30, 2022
Related topics: 
Economy

This Paper was originally published on nature.com

 

The economy of a country is exposed to disruptions caused by natural and man-made disasters. Here we present a set of probabilistic risk indicators, the Average Annual Loss (AAL) and the Loss Exceedance Curve (LEC), regarding to production, employment, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Gross Regional Product (GRP), export volume, inflation, tariff revenue, among others, due to earthquakes. All indicators are computed using a systematic probabilistic approach, which integrates the seismic risk assessment with spatial computable general equilibrium models, both robust and well-known frameworks used worldwide in their respective fields. Our approach considers the induced damage and frequency of occurrence of a vast collection of events that collectively describe the entire seismic hazard of a country, giving us a better and more complete understanding of the full consequence of earthquakes. We illustrate this approach with an example developed for Chile.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Agricultural Cooperatives’ Sustainability and the Relevance of Start-Up Support Programs: Evidence from Cooperatives’ Level in Morocco
    Authors
    Aomar Ibourk
    Karim El Aynaoui
    February 16, 2023
    This publication was originally published in https://www.mdpi.com/   The Moroccan agricultural cooperative sector is a key player in self-employment and income generation through territorial anchoring. The government’s “MOURAFAKA” program offers support for newly created cooperatives, including strategic diagnosis and training. This paper analyzes the impact of the MOURAFAKA program on the sustainability of agricultural cooperatives in Morocco. Using original data from a survey of ...
  • The Impacts of China’s Economic Reopening on Latin America
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    February 15, 2023
    China’s rate of economic growth has slowed. Chinese GDP ended 2022 up 3%, but this was the lowest growth rate in the last 40 years, except for 2020, the first year of the pandemic. In addition to problems in its real-estate sector, China’s severe ‘COVID zero’ confinement policy is one of the causes. The post-‘COVID zero’ reopening of the Chinese economy has improved its growth outlook. In the International Monetary Fund’s annual report on China, published in early February 2023, 5. ...
  • AfCFTA and the Creeping Power Play: Africa, the European Union, and China
    Authors
    Selassie Tay
    February 15, 2023
    Background The African Union in 2018 agreed to implement the world’s second-largest free-trade area measured by number of countries, people, and geographical size, with the signing of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA). This agreement will ultimately lead to a continent-wide free trade area consisting of 54 countries with 1.3 billion people and a combined GDP of $3.4 trillion[1]. This equates to about 19%-20% of the GDP of the European Union and China, which are ...
  • Download PDF
    Energy Trends and Outlook Through 2023: Surviving the Energy Crisis While Building a Greener Future
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    February 13, 2023
    The volatility in energy markets since the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2019/2020 has continued, with unprecedented uncertainty about global energy supply developing over the course of 2022 in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, against a backdrop of weakening macroeconomic conditions and high inflation. While some perceived this as a potential setback for the energy transition, others saw it as an opportunity to move away from fossil fuels and accelerate the developme ...
  • Download PDF
    State Capacity and Decolonial Critique
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    February 10, 2023
    Considering the current situation in Burkina Faso, the international media is speaking of institutional weakness and state failure in Africa and the role of international institutions and local non-state actors in providing security and public goods in the Sahel. The discourse of state failure and counter-state sovereignty has a decades-old genealogy, but recent work by African scholars has sought to contest top-down Western labels and categories. African attempts to decolonize soci ...
  • The parrot says that commodity prices will rise
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    February 3, 2023
    As the introductory textbook to economics by Nobel Prize Paul Samuelson, who served several generations of students, including mine, said: “It is easy to teach economics to a parrot. Two words are enough: supply and demand”. These two factors suggest 2023 will be a year of upward trend for most commodity prices. Last year was marked by shocks and volatility in commodity prices, with two distinct moments. After the sharp rise in the first half, due to the invasion of Ukraine by Russ ...
  • Download PDF
    Chaînes globales de valeur tourmentées : Risques et opportunités pour l’agriculture et l’alimentation
    Authors
    Abdelmonim Amcharaa
    Hassnae Maad
    February 1, 2023
    La double crise actuelle de l’énergie et du conflit militaire en Ukraine freine énormément les processus qui se développaient dans l’ère post-Covid 19. Dans ce contexte fragile et tourmenté, la vulnérabilité touche également les chaînes globales de valeur et les systèmes agroalimentaires. La vulnérabilité de la Chaîne Globale de Valeur (GVC) est une fonction de la capacité d’adaptation (CA) face aux chocs et aux impacts potentiels que présentent la fragmentation du ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: انعكاسات التضخم على الاقتصاد الكلي المغربي
    January 31, 2023
    كثيرا ما ركّزت التعليقات والتحليلات على الأسباب المباشرة وشبه المباشرة والظرفية والدولية ألتي أدت الى موجة التضخم التي يشهدها العالم. في هذه الحلقة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء، نقترح رؤية اكاديمية وعلمية للمفهوم، مقسّمين الظاهرة الى أجزاء ومكوّنات مختلفة. كما ستركّز هذه الحلقة على المغرب با...
  • How to Measure the Digital Economy in 5G Technologies and Digital Silk Road Era
    Authors
    Davit Gondauri
    Nino Enukidze
    Otaviano Canuto
    Mikheil Batiashvili
    January 31, 2023
    This publication was originally published in https://ijisrt.com/assets/upload/files/IJISRT23JAN789.pdf   The current transformation of the society under the influence of digital technologies has no historical analogue in terms of its spread and the pace of development. The future will heavily depend on digital technologies. The role of the digital economy and 5G technologies is increasing day by day and for Georgia, - as a developing country, it is important not to fall behind the ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: انعكاسات التضخم على الاقتصاد الكلي المغربي
    Akram Zaoui & Mahmoud Arbouch
    January 31, 2023
    كثيرا ما ركّزت التعليقات والتحليلات على الأسباب المباشرة وشبه المباشرة والظرفية والدولية ألتي أدت الى موجة التضخم التي يشهدها العالم. في هذه الحلقة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء، نقترح رؤية اكا ...