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March 2, 2016Discrepancies in output fluctuations between emerging and developed economies are well documented in the literature. Differences however within developing economies have not been sufficiently scrutinised. This paper argues that global and regional shocks primarily drive the business cycle in emerging economies, and provides estimated results for cycle variance decomposition. The paper also offers a theoretical framework to check on the set of stylized facts common and specific to em ... -
March 01, 2016Ce podcast est délivré par Carole Mathieu. A sa clôture le 12 décembre 2015, la COP21 a été saluée comme un grand succès diplomatique. En adoptant l’accord de Paris, les 196 Parties à la ... -
February 25, 2016... -
February 23, 2016Deux des plus grands producteurs d'hydrocarbures en Afrique, le Nigeria sur l'Atlantique et la Libye sur la Méditerranée font face aux deux groupes terroristes les plus violents sur le continent. Daech version libyenne et Boko Haram semblent avancer pour se rejoindre dans un espace constitué par trois Etats qui présentent des vulnérabilités favorables à l'extension du terrorisme. Au Cameroun, le chao est à craindre dans l'après Biya. La battle fatigue peut atteindre l'Etat tchadien ... -
February 23, 2016This podcast is performed by Eduard Soler. This webinar will analyze the results of the 20D elections, drawing scenarios of potential impacts for Spanish foreign policy in terms of priori ...
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February 23, 2016Two of the largest oil producers in Africa, Nigeria on the Atlantic and Libya on the Mediterranean are facing the two most violent terrorist groups on the continent. The Libyan version of Daesh and Boko Haram seem to be gaining ground to join in an area formed by three states that are vulnerable to the spread of terrorism. In Cameroon, the chaos is a concern post-Biya. Battle fatigue may reach the Chadian state that has been involved in an all-out battle. Niger, which is limited by ... -
February 22, 2016If one opens the newspapers nowadays, Brazil will come out as a melting opportunity. The country is currently facing its largest economic crisis, mostly resulting from a negative political environment where the current Administration has been deeply swollen by Brazil´s largest corruption scandal, the so-called Lava Jato (Car Wash) Operations, whose investigations have brought to light the fact that billions of US$ dollars were being used for campaign financing, illicit enrichment an ... -
February 18, 2016Bien que les États-Unis soient moins présents en Afrique que la France, leurs politiques de sécurité sur le continent ont des objectifs souvent partagés et parfois poursuivis en commun. Si l’urgence des crises humanitaires a longtemps été au coeur des interventions étrangères, elle tend désormais à s’effacer au profit de la menace terroriste. L’émergence et l’expansion des groupes terroristes à caractère complexe, parfois rivaux les uns des autres, et se réclamant de l’islam radical ... -
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February 18, 2016Although the United States is less active in Africa than France, their security policies on the continent often have shared objectives and are sometimes pursued jointly. While the urgency of humanitarian crises has been at the centre of foreign interventions for a long time, now it tends to give way to the terrorist threat. The emergence and expansion of terrorist groups with a complex character, which are sometimes rivals of each other and claiming to follow radical Islam, has incr ...
