Diplomacy

ربما شكّلت نتائج الانتخابات الأمريكية مفاجأةً للعديد من المراقبين، حيث أظهرت العديد من الدروس المهمة حول التحولات الجديدة المرتبطة بإدارة الرأي العام وقدرة هذا الأخير على التعبير عن توجهاته بطرق قد تكون مدهشة، خاصة للمتخصصين في مجال ما يُطلَق عليه "علم اتجاهات الرأي العام" "، الذي يتسم بأساليب معقدة من الحيل والخدع والتضليل . وقد شكّل دونالد ترامب تحديًا كبيرًا أمام وسائل الإعلام، خصوصًا تلك التي تُحسب على التيار الديمقراطي والتي سعت جاهدة شيطنته وإقصاءه من المشهد الإعلامي. لكن، رغم ...

إذا تبنينا نهج التحليل الديمقراطي لتفسير أسباب الهزيمة ودرسنا أسباب صعود ترامب مقابل تراجع الديمقراطيين، نجد أن السردية المطروحة غالبًا ما تفترض أن  الرأي العام يجب أن يتبنى تلقائيًا الخيار الديمقراطي ، وأن أي انحراف عن ذلك يعكس وجود خلل ما . غير أن هذا التحليل ، يكشف  أن الخلل الأول يكمن في  طبيعة الحزب الديمقراطي الأمريكي نفسه، الذي انزلق نحو النمطية المطلقة وفقد بذلك الكثير من جاذبيته وصورته التي كانت تسوقه كحزب "تقدمي" أو "مستنير". إلى جانب ذلك، ساهم الحزب الديمقراطي في إضعاف م ...

Developments in Venezuela since the presidential election of July 28, 2024, epitomize the fault lines of contemporary world politics. The elections failed to clarify the political situation in Venezuela. Instead, they complicated it. The official electoral authority declared Mr. Nicolás Maduro the official winner of the elections, with a narrow but comfortable margin, while the opposition also declared its candidate, Mr. Edmundo González Urrutia, the legitimate winner of the elect ...

This brief presents an analysis of key trends and observations from the 2024 U.S. presidential election, in which I participated through the American Council of Young Political Leaders (ACYPL) Election Exchange Program, organized in collaboration with the U.S. Department of State. The program offered a comprehensive exploration of contemporary U.S. electoral dynamics, focusing on party strategies, demographic shifts, media influence, and campaign finance. The insights presented here ...

La résolution 2756 (2024), adoptée le 31 octobre par le Conseil de sécurité des Nations-Unies a réaffirmé les paramètres des précédentes résolutions en « se félicitant de la dynamique récemment créée et demandant instamment qu’elle soit mise à profit. Malgré des tentatives de l’Algérie d'altérer cette solution en y introduisant un appel au ‘’monitoring’’ des droits de l'homme, le Conseil a maintenu l'intégrité de la résolution. Deux membres permanents se sont distingués lors de l’ad ...

Beyond partisan rhetoric, November's election in the United States can determine America's approach to a rapidly shifting world order. Donald Trump's first term, from 2016 to 2020, marked a historic departure from the post-Second World War bipartisan consensus. His ‘America First’ approach introduced a transactional view of international relations that continues to shape the current political landscape. This approach was seen in actions such as Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris Clim ...

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the role and impact of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), formed in April 2022, in navigating the complexities of Yemen's ongoing civil conflict. The PLC was created to unite various anti-Houthi factions under a single governance framework, with the support of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and to steer Yemen toward peace and stability. However, the PLC has faced numerous obstacles, including internal divisions, resistance from ...

This paper examines the implications of the U.S.-China trade war for developing countries, particularly in light of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The study traces the origins and escalation of the trade conflict, analyzing its multiple impacts on global trade patterns and economic growth. While some developing countries have benefited from trade diversion and supply-chain shifts, others, especially resource-exporting nations and the least-developed countries, have faced signi ...

The 2024 Presidential election in the United States will be historic and consequential. Both candidates are history-making in different ways. Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, is the first woman of African and Asian descent to become the Democratic Party’s nominee, while President Trump won his party’s nomination without participating in any Republic Primary debates. Even more strikingly different are their parties’ platforms—what they would do if elected. However, i ...

Le minilatéralisme, approche flexible et rapide de la coopération internationale, s'avère efficace pour relever des défis communs entre un petit nombre d'États. Inspiré du « Dialogue 5+5 » méditerranéen, ce concept est proposé pour renforcer la coopération euro-africaine dans l'espace atlantique, en créant un forum « 3+3 » réunissant l'Espagne, la France, le Portugal, le Maroc, la Mauritanie et le Sénégal. Ce cadre permettrait de répondre aux enjeux sécuritaires, économiques et migr ...

Les élections présidentielles américaines de 2024 se déroulent dans un contexte de polarisation politique marquée, qui reflète les divisions idéologiques et sociales au sein de la société américaine. Ce phénomène résulte de diverses dynamiques structurelles, telles que le ‘’gerrymandering’’, l'évolution des médias, l'essor des réseaux sociaux, et un système de financement des campagnes électorales dominé par de grands donateurs. Ces facteurs ont contribué à redéfinir le paysage poli ...

In November, U.S. voters will decide who will take control of the White House, the Senate, and the House of Representatives. Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and their political parties differ significantly on key economic policy proposals that will heavily impact the economy of the country and, therefore, the world. Here, we examine examples in the fields of trade, tax, energy, and immigration. On trade, although the Democrat administration of President Joe Biden has not been a bastio ...

In today’s world, sports have taken on a role traditionally held by religion, offering a deep sense of community, purpose, and identity to people. Its impact has been magnified by globalisation, digital technology, social media, and the rise of streaming platforms. These elements create a sense of immediacy and connection that transcends geographical boundaries. Consequently, sports have attained an unparalleled level of relevance and influence, capturing the hearts and minds of peo ...

Venezuela holds crucial presidential elections on July 28. The results might substantially alter the political system in that country, since, for the first time since 1998, the opposition candidate has a clear chance of winning the vote. Why has the opposition been unable to win elections in that country for almost three decades now? And why is it on the verge of winning elections this time? What is the international dimension of this electoral process? How might it impact Morocco? ...

In January 2024, gunmen invaded a TV studio in Ecuador, seized journalists and staff as hostages, and interrupted the regular programs. That episode highlighted the rise of violence in Ecuador, a country that was until very recently calm and peaceful. In this paper, I place the rise of violence in Ecuador within the context of what some refer to as the endemic violence in Latin America. I explore its risks, consequences, and the ways it could be tackled. I also emphasize some of the ...

The European Elections of 2024 were marked by a significant surge in sovereigntist parties at the expense of liberals and greens, while moderate right and left-wing parties also made notable gains. Despite the substantial wins and losses during this election, no single bloc emerged with the overall majority of 361 seats in the European Parliament. The impression from the new political balances emerging from the 2024 elections is that the European People's Party, which won the electo ...

India’s general elections led to a political reconfiguration of unprecedented magnitude, for the first time since the 2014 elections that brought the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to power. Prime Minister Narendra Modi will preside over a rare, third consecutive term in power, making him only the second Indian prime minister to do so after Congress leader Jawaharlal Nehru in 1962. However, although Modi has secured a third term, the BJP failed to achieve an outright parliamentary maj ...

L'investiture de Mohamed Deby à la présidence de la République pourrait représenter un changement stratégique décisif pour l'avenir du Tchad. Cette étape ouvre la voie à la diversification des alliances internationales, avec la renégociation des accords militaires et l’émergence de nouveaux alliés. Le Tchad explore de nouvelles voies de coopération pour renforcer sa stabilité et son développement, cherchant ainsi à améliorer ses intérêts nationaux dans une région ...

On June 2, 2024, Mexico held the biggest election in its history. Over 97 million eligible voters elected 20,375 federal officers, including the president, all 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies (the lower legislative chamber), and the 128 members of the Senate (the higher legislative chamber). Moreover, for the first time in Mexico’s history, the top candidates were two women, meaning that from December, Mexico will be governed by a woman for the first time. This paper sets out ...

تمكنت التشاد من إنجاح المرحلة الانتقالية بمحطتيها الأولى (81 شهراً) والثانية (19 شهراً)، بما في ذلك اعتماد دستور جديد في سبتمبر 2023، وتنظيم انتخابات رئاسية كآخر حلقة في سلسلة مرحلةٍ انتقالية دامت ثلاث سنوات، تكللت بفوز محمد ديبي، الذي شغل منصب رئيس المجلس العسكري الانتقالي (من أبريل 2021 إلى أكتوبر 2022) والرئيس الانتقالي (من أكتوبر 2022 إلى ماي 2024). بعد اعلان النتائج النهائية، حسم السباق الانتخابي متفوقاً على منافسَيْه الرئيسيين: باداكي، وماسرا، ولم يكن فوز محمد ديبي مفاجئاً نظر ...