Publications /
Paper in Academic Journals

Back
Read more
Regional differences in the economic impact of lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19: A case study for Colombia
Authors
Eduardo Amaral Haddad
Gerson Javier Pérez Valbuena
Diana Ricciulli
Jaime Bonet
Inácio Araújo
Fernando Perobelli
December 28, 2021
Related topics: 
Economy
Sectorial policies and structural transformation
Society
Health
Americas and Carribean
South America

This paper analyses the regional economic differences in the impact of lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 ordered by Colombia’s national gov­ernment. Using an input-output model, we estimate regional economic losses by extracting a group of formal and informal workers from different sectors of the economy. Results show regional differences in the impact of lockdown measures on their labour markets, local economies, and productive sectors. We also find that peripheral regions consolidate a higher number of informal workers in isolation than the interior regions. Regarding the economic impact, regional losses range between 5,4% of the GDP (Amazonia) and 6,3% (the Coffee Area and Antioquia).

RELATED CONTENT

  • Download PDF
    Tax Reform in Brazil
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    João Gabriel Sacco
    January 23, 2024
    - Brazil’s latest tax reform will replace five taxes on consumption with one single VAT to promote greater efficiency and sectoral isonomy. - Forecasts produced by a detailed ICGE model point to sizeable gains in GDP exceeding 4% in the long run, even if spatially unequal. - Exceptions to the rules reduce potential benefits in efficiency terms. - Policies meant to promote regional development and close the gap deepened by the reform partially achieve their goal at the expense of ...
  • Urban agglomeration, city size, and spatial density effects on wage flexibility: New evidence on the wage curve in Brazil
    Authors
    Ana Maria Bonomi Barufi
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Peter Nijkamp
    December 29, 2023
    This Paper was originally published on onlinelibrary.wiley.com   This study aims to shed new empirical light on the importance of the wage curve in a developing economy. The main contribution to the empirical literature is related to the analysis being conducted at different regional levels of a developing economy. This indicates that municipal-level data seems to be more adequate for wage curve evaluation, and that spatial dependency should be considered to adequately control for ...
  • Download PDF
    The Dollar-Renminbi Tango: The Impacts of Argentina’s Potential Dollarization on its Relations with China
    Authors
    Xiaofeng Wang
    Otaviano Canuto
    October 13, 2023
    The surprising victory of Javier Milei, the unconventional ‘anarcho-capitalist’ candidate, in the August primaries ahead of Argentina’s October 2023 general election, can be largely credited to his commitment to dollarize the Argentine economy, a move perceived as the ultimate solution to bring an end to the nation's economic turmoil. The potential shift from the local currency to the dollar has sparked concerns about Argentina's bilateral currency swap line with China. This swap l ...
  • The Colombian Economy and Its Regional Structural Challenges
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Jaime Bonet
    Geoffrey J. D. Hewings
    August 30, 2023
    This Book was originally published on springer.com   This book examines regional structural challenges on Colombia’s path to sustainable social cohesion and regionally inclusive growth. These challenges can be divided into three main groups: (i) those that focus on competitiveness and the supply side, (ii) those that arise from critical business cycle issues on the demand side, and (iii) those concerning environmental sustainability, employment and social inclusion.  The contribu ...
  • Will Latin America Return to Mediocre Growth After Shocks?
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    October 24, 2022
    The pandemic has hit Latin America hard, and its economic recovery has been slower than in other regions. In addition to the legacy of higher public indebtedness, the pandemic left scars on the labor market and the human capital formation of future workers. The COVID-19 crisis has receded in Latin America but has left a significant toll. Reported deaths from the pandemic are currently low and converging to global levels. The average excess mortality during the pandemic was among t ...
  • Regional differences in the economic impact of lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19: A case study for Colombia
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Gerson Javier Pérez Valbuena
    Diana Ricciulli
    Jaime Bonet
    Inácio Araújo
    Fernando Perobelli
    December 28, 2021
    This paper analyses the regional economic differences in the impact of lockdown measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 ordered by Colombia’s national gov­ernment. Using an input-output model, we estimate regional economic losses by extracting a group of formal and informal workers from different sectors of the economy. Results show regional differences in the impact of lockdown measures on their labour markets, local economies, and productive sectors. We also find that periphera ...
  • Climate change in Brazil: dealing with uncertainty in agricultural productivity models and the implications for economy-wide impacts
    Authors
    Bruno Souza
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    June 18, 2021
    This paper estimates the economic impacts of climate change over the Brazilian regions until the end of the century. We estimate the direct and indirect impact of the projected changes in climate on the yield of the country’s main crops. The results point to a broad spatial heterogeneity of impacts across the country. Using the extreme scenarios created by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (RCP 2.6 and 8.5), our predictions indicate that the average annual losses ...
  • Download PDF
    Brazil Agriculture—Response and resilience of food security under dual shocks in 2020: Oil price collapse and the COVID-19 pandemic
    Authors
    Isabelle Tsakok
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    March 3, 2021
    Brazil, an oil-exporting nation, was still struggling to recover from the depression which started around 2014/15 when it was hit by a quick succession of shocks: the COVID-19 pandemic and the oil price collapse. The global pandemic triggered major economic dislocations and contractions in foreign and domestic markets, which further exacerbated the fall in demand for oil, sending world prices tumbling further. Poverty was already widespread in Brazil pre-pandemic. And despite recen ...
  • The internal geography of services value-added in exports: A Latin American perspective
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    December 18, 2020
    We estimate the contents of services value-added incorporated in goods exports in different countries in Latin America, exploring the local dimension of the results. We use inter-regional input–output analysis to trace and map domestic value-added embedded in those countries' exports. We add to the discussion of global value chains the internal, within-country geography of trade in value-added, since the set of locational preferences that help understanding the spatial patterns of n ...