Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Gold: a safe haven in difficult times
September 30, 2020

In recent months, the price of gold has rebounded, taking it to new heights. The analysis of the prices of this precious metal over the last two centuries has shown great stability until 1971, when the United States abandoned gold/dollar convertibility, but also its erratic movement since then. Subject to the laws of the market, the price of this raw material depends essentially on demand. This trend confirms that this asset is a safe haven in difficult times, without however contemplating its re-monetization. This rebound, which is cyclical in nature and occurs in the short and medium term, is a godsend for gold-producing countries, at the forefront of which are China, Russia and Australia, but also some African producers, such as Ghana.

Gold is shining bright, while its prices are at their highest level in history, with an ounce exceeding $2,000. The purpose of this Policy Brief is to examine and look into the reasons behind this recent price surge, which will enable us to know whether this surge is cyclical or structural, and who are the beneficiaries and victims.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Aleksandra Chmielewska
    April 17, 2020
    Covid-19 has already put severe pressure on the global economy. Within four months since the first cases of coronavirus were confirmed in China in December of 2019, millions of people have lost their jobs worldwide due to the crisis and the imposed lockdown to prevent the spread of the virus. The forecasts are gloomy. According to the International Monetary Fund, the pandemic will trigger negative growth in over 170 countries and might therefore bring a worse economic recession than ...
  • April 17, 2020
     “Never forget that a political, economic or religious crisis will be enough to cast doubt on women's rights. These rights will never be vested. You'll have to stay vigilant your whole life.” Simone de Beauvoir Disease outbreaks impact men and women differently, and in times of crisis gender inequalities are exacerbated. As the United Nations has observed, COVID-19 “is deepening pre-existing inequalities, exposing vulnerabilities in social, political and economic systems, which are ...
  • Authors
    April 17, 2020
    COVID-19 is neither the end of civilization nor the beginning of enlightenment. The virus is revealing something though: the ignorance of some people, who are convinced by ideas of conspiracies and plots—for example that the virus emerged from secret laboratories in Wuhan, China, or Washington D.C. Or that Bill Gates, the billionaire Microsoft and internet pioneer, planted the coronavirus to earn money by selling vaccines. Or that 5G wireless networks are responsible for the deadly ...
  • Authors
    April 17, 2020
    Mondialisation oblige, les frontières se trouveront en tête des préoccupations mondiales en temps de pandémie. Un dilemme se pose entre : - D’une part, le souci, pour chaque pays, de se protéger contre la dissémination du virus provenant des pays les plus touchés ; - d’autre part, le souci de préserver l’ouverture aux autres Etats du monde, nécessaire à la survie de l’économie en raison de l’interdépendance accentuée par la mondialisation. La circulation des personnes, fonction p ...
  • Authors
    Meriem Oudmane
    April 16, 2020
    La crise sanitaire du Covid-19 a montré plusieurs fragilités et limites du système économique mondial. En plus de son impact très négatif sur l’économie, cette crise a des impacts sociaux très inégaux et qui varient d’une couche sociale à une autre. Elle a un impact dévastateur sur les ménages pauvres qui n’ont pas suffisamment d’épargne et de ressources financières et ceux ayant des emplois vulnérables[1]. Si le télétravail est une option pour certains, ce n’est pas le cas pour plu ...
  • Authors
    الموساوي العجلاوي
    April 16, 2020
    الهزات التي تطرأ بين الحين والآخر في أي مجتمع، تقاس بها متانة مؤسسات الدولة والمجتمع على السواء في مواجهة الأزمات. وإذا عرفت مؤسسات الدولة استمرارية في تاريخ المغرب، فإن تفاعل المجتمع المغربي مع ظاهرة الأوبئة قد اختلف بمقدار اختلاف الظروف السياسية، من حيث تقاطع الوباء مع ضعف السلطة المركزية أو قوتها، وبارتباط الأوبئة والأمراض بالقحوط والمجاعات. وتحتضن الخزانة المغربية متونا عديدة ومتنوعة، سواء من حيث تعرضها للأمراض والأوبئة بطريقة مباشرة، أو بطريقة غير مباشرة. وبحكم موقع المغرب من ا ...
  • Authors
    Sahil S.R. Shah
    April 15, 2020
    As with the rest of the World, the impact of COVID-19 in Kenya has stretched beyond the sphere of healthcare and the spread of the actual virus, as economic development outcomes are expected to be seriously affected by the disruption caused both globally and locally. In fact, one of the working hypotheses of the impact of COVID-19 on African nations is that the substantive impact of the virus on livelihoods will occur less from health-related issues than the economic shock, disrupt ...