Publications /
Opinion

Back
Revolution Leading to Victory
Authors
July 3, 2020

The unshaven man, who did not let go of his Kalashnikoff while we talked, had been wounded in battles with Israeli troops, and was now hiding in the land that those troops had occupied—the Jordan Valley. Yasser Arafat, whom I met for the first time in the spring of 1968 at his secret base, was then still known as Abu Ammar, willing to sacrifice his life for the liberation of his people dispersed by around the world, particularly in neighboring Arab nations. The 1968 interview, Arafat’s first extensive one-to-one with a foreign publication, documented an optimistic leader of El-Fatah, 38 years old and certain of triumph. “I believe in our revolution and victory, and I am certain that we will recover our stolen land”, said Arafat, later honored with a Nobel Peace Prize for his struggles to achieve peace with Israel. “History is on our side”.

The unshaven man, who did not let go of his Kalashnikoff while we talked, had been wounded in battles with Israeli troops, and was now hiding in the land that those troops had occupied—the Jordan Valley. Yasser Arafat, whom I met for the first time in the spring of 1968 at his secret base, was then still known as Abu Ammar, willing to sacrifice his life for the liberation of his people dispersed by around the world, particularly in neighboring Arab nations. The 1968 interview, Arafat’s first extensive one-to-one with a foreign publication, documented an optimistic leader of El-Fatah, 38 years old and certain of triumph. “I believe in our revolution and victory, and I am certain that we will recover our stolen land”, said Arafat, later honored with a Nobel Peace Prize for his struggles to achieve peace with Israel. “History is on our side”.

More than half a century later history is betraying the Palestinians. The dream of a sovereign state of Palestine is fading away, challenged by Washington and the powers in Jerusalem, which have conspired for years to reduce Palestine to an autonomous entity, unarmed, controlled by Israeli military power and, if needed, through economic strangulation. Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, supported by Donald Trump, is set to annex up to 30% of Palestinian territory, unlawfully occupied by more than 500 000, mostly orthodox, Jewish settlers. But time could be running out to implement the “opportunity of the century”, as the Israeli leader declared in January at the White House, referring to the integration of Palestinian territory forever into Eretz Yisrael Hashlema or Greater Israel, stretching “from the wadi of Egypt to the Euphrates”. If Donald Trump, the struggling U.S. President, is voted out of office, Joe Biden, the democratic challenger, will reject any annexation of Palestinian territory.

‘Largely Fictitious’

If the plan supported by Trump does proceed “the State of Palestine that would be created would be largely fictitious, with no control over its borders, its security and its population with a completely fragmented and shrinking territory”, according to law professor Francois Dubuisson. He continued: “Losing East Jerusalem and the Jordan Valley, taking the 1967 lines as a reference[.] the West Bank would become landlocked with Israeli territory, losing its border with Jordan, making it particularly dependent on the good will of the State of Israel, both for the movement of people and goods. The logic of the ‘Plan’ is reminiscent of the Bantustan policy implemented by the South African apartheid regime from the end of the 1970s”. What Mr Netanyahu sees as an historic opportunity the United Nations Middle East envoy, Nickolay Mladenov called a “most serious violation of international law”. The amputation of Palestine would be a travesty of justice, as was the unilateral decision by the United States to declare unified Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, the handing of the occupied (Syrian) Golan Heights to Jerusalem, and the 180-page, so-called Peace to Prosperity plan, “a vision to improve the lives of the Palestinian and Israeli People”, without including the Palestinian authorities in any discussion. In this project Palestine, entrusted by Trump to his son-in-law Jared Kushner, it was decided to ignore the about 800 UN-supported resolutions, supporting the demands of Palestine, and the fact that 138 nations (which have recognized the State of Palestine) support the two-nation solution, a peaceful coexistence of Israel and Palestine, which is now endangered. The imminent annexation, declared Christiane Amanpour, the legendary CNN anchor, is “the final nail in the coffin”, in which the Palestinian dream will be buried. Israel’s former foreign secretary, Tzipi Livni agreed, stating that if Israel annexed Palestinian territory, it would be making “a huge historical mistake”. The Palestinians will not accept the destruction of their dreams, refusing any compromise on their statehood. Ultimately, Israel may decide to opt for one nation with two people: a Palestinian minority, without rights to participate in national elections, reduced to powerless second-class citizens, challenging in a quasi-permanent intifada the oppressive Israeli authorities.

Amputated Palestine

Should the Palestinians ever accept the American/Israeli offer, it is stated in the plan that the State of Israel will maintain overriding security responsibility for the State of Palestine, with the aspiration that the Palestinians will be responsible for as much of their internal security as possible. To implement this prerogative Israel will have the right to use “blimps, drones and similar aerial equipment for security purposes”, according to Kushner’s plan. The use of such equipment is intended to “reduce the Israeli security footprint within the state of Palestine”, which “implies that ground military intervention will also be possible”, according to Dubuisson. The question is what would remain of Palestine, once 30% of its territory has been integrated into Greater Israel? The capital of the diminished Palestine would be moved beyond the walls of Jerusalem into areas now covered by a refugee camp known as Shuafat, and neighborhoods such as Kafr Aqab or Abu Dis. Palestinian settlements, as Professor Dubuisson wrote, would be “linked together by a very complex road system, totally subjected to Israel’s security responsibility. The West Bank itself would also be enclaved in Israeli territory, with no contiguity with the Jordan border and no access to the waters of the Jordan River or the Dead Sea. The Plan thus has the effect of validating all the Israeli settlements, ignoring their illegal character under international law, and would attribute the Jordan Valley to Israel on the grounds that this region is ‘essential or Israel’s security’ without taking into account the status as ‘occupied Palestinian territory’ or the principle of non-acquisition of territory by force. It is therefore in complete disregard of international law that the borders have been drawn in the plan devised by the U.S. administration”.

How many Arab nations recalled their ambassadors from Israel, and canceled discreet business deals established between Israel, Gulf rulers or Saudi Arabia, when the U.S. handed Jerusalem as a gift to Israel? Will Egypt call off diplomatic relations with the Jewish state once the annexation of Palestinian land turns from plans into reality? Will Jordan, a nation with hundreds of thousands of Palestinian refugees, dare to rupture its diplomatic relations with Israel, fearing that Trump will cancel billions in funds? Or will Iran, supporter of the violent Hamas movement in Gaza, ultimately be the only loyal supporter of Palestine, launching another intifada? No, the European Union is preparing sanctions against the Jewish state, if its government advances its annexation of occupied land.

The opinions expressed in this article belong to the author.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Haizam Amirah Fernández
    Ignacio Cembrero
    Irene Fernández Molina
    December 4, 2018
    “What are the sources of tension in the Spain-Morocco relationship?” "¿Cuáles son los focos de tensión en la relación España-Marruecos?” ("What are the sources of tension in the Spain-Morocco relationship?”) is a Spanish-written article featured in the independent international-news analysis group Estudios de Política Exterior, providing an examination of Spanish-Moroccan relations written by four authors, namely OCP Policy Center's Senior Fellow, Rachid El Houdaigui. ...
  • Authors
    Anabel Gonzalez
    August 30, 2018
    The agreement establishing the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is a framework to create a free trade area across the region, bringing together the 55 members of the African Union into a continental market with a cumulative Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exceeding US$2.2 trillion and a total population of over one billion people. When concluded and successfully implemented, it will become the largest free trade area in the world in terms of membership, opening up significa ...
  • Authors
    Malik Abaddi
    August 8, 2018
    The African Union goes to Mauritania Under the theme “Winning the Fight Against Corruption”, the 31st Summit of the African Union was held in early July in the desert capital Nouakchott. In a bitter prelude in late June, the AU’s commitment to this central theme was dealt a blow with the sudden – and public – resignation of Ghana’s Daniel Batidam from the AU Advisory Board on Corruption. Off to a rocky start, the summit had an even rougher road ahead of it.  A month before the lau ...
  • Authors
    August 1, 2018
    Dans cette minutieuse analyse des relations entre les pays du Maghreb et l’Inde, pays/continent, désormais classé au rang de 7ème puissance économique mondiale, appel est fait à plusieurs disciplines. De la politique, aux relations internationales, à l’économie et au commerce, en passant par l’histoire. Le résultat est ce tableau de bord/panorama qui renseigne à la fois sur les atouts dont dispose chacun des partenaires mais, aussi, sur les désaccords qui se font jour entre ces dern ...
  • Authors
    May 31, 2018
    Salutations Thank you for the invitation to address the 2018 Africa Think Tank Summit  in this memorable city of Rabat. I thank in particular, the OCP Policy Center and the Think Tank and Civil Societies Program of the University of Pennsylvania for hosting the Summit with the theme “Deepening Expertise and Enhancing Sustainability: Insight into Contemporary Challenges Facing African Think Tanks”. Rabat, Morocco has been the sprouting ground of numerous agenda-setting instruments ...
  • Authors
    May 31, 2018
    بعد التنظيم الجديد للعالقات بين اإلتحاد األوروبي و دول إفريقيا، الكاريبي، و المحيط الهادئ المتوقع في شهر فبراير 2020 ،يصبح من الضروري إعادة النظر إلى إطار الشراكة بين الدول األوروبية و اإلفريقية مع طرح اقتراحات تضم عناصر جديدة من أجل تحقيق تعايش جماعي. من بين اإلجراءات الممكنة لتحقيق هذا التعايش: إعطاء األولوية للتعليم، خلق فرص الشغل للشباب عبر .التنمية اإلقليمية ، و تعزيز الشراكة بين القطاع العام و الخاص بمجال البنية التحتية. من جهة أخرى، في بلدان إفريقيا السائرة في طور النمو و الط ...
  • Authors
    May 31, 2018
    OCP Policy Center and the Think Tank and Civil Societies Program of the University of Pennsylvania, with the support of the Moroccan International Cooperation Agency (AMCI), the Asian Development Bank hosted the 2018 Africa Think Tank Summit under the theme “Deepening Expertise and Enhancing Sustainability: Insight into Contemporary Challenges Facing African Think Tanks.” The summit was held May 9-11th, 2018 at The View Hotel, Rabat, Morocco. The most influential and innovative thi ...
  • Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    May 9, 2018
    Think tanks are blooming in Africa, as they have been in the USA, Europe and China… Some are already mature, like the Codesria, launched in 1973 in Dakar (Senegal) or the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), first established in 1991 in Pretoria, with regional offices opened in Cape Town, Addis Abeba and Nairobi.  Some are still young and spreading their wings, like AfriHeritage in Nigeria, founded in 2000 or the Groupe de recherche et d’analyse appliquées pour le développement (G ...