Voices from the South: A Discussion on the Dynamics and Future of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

March 27, 2024

As it enters its third year, the conflict in Ukraine appears to have reached an impasse. Developments in the Middle East and Indo-Pacific regions, as well as the apparent stalemate on the military front and the parties' unwillingness to discuss a cessation of hostilities under the current conditions, have raised questions about the prospects of a conflict with continuing global implications.

In this context, an apparent rift has begun to emerge between countries of the Global North and the Global South over the prioritization of the crisis on the international agenda and the lack of willingness to work together to address the secondary effects of the conflict on a range of issues including food security and energy.

The idea of this webinar is to discuss these dynamics, as well as key developments in the conflict and their impact and perception in different regions of the world (Middle East, Africa, LAC, etc).

Speakers
Oussama Tayebi
International Relations Specialist
Oussama Tayebi is an international relations specialist in the International Relations Research Department at the Policy Center for the New South. His work focuses primarily on governance, peace, and security challenges in the Central Africa sub-region. Previously, he contributed to the activities of the UN Women Multi-Country Office for the Maghreb and the NGO The ONE Campaign, supporting advocacy initiatives on the Africa-EU partnership and official development assistance. Oussama holds a bachelor’s degree in political science from the School of Governance and Economics in Rabat and a master’s degree in international relations from Sciences Po Aix. ...
Len Ishmael
Senior Fellow
Ambassador Dr. Len Ishmael is an affiliate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University teaching the MSc course New South Dynamics, as well as Geopolitics and Geo-economics in the Joint HEC Paris/Public Policy School Executive Program. She is a Senior Fellow of the Policy Center for the New South, Distinguished Visiting Scholar of the German Marshall Fund of the United States of America and a Senior Fellow of the European Centre for Development Policy Management. Dr. Ishmael is the Global Affairs Advisor and Head of the Expert Groups of the Brussels Diplomatic Academy of the Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB). She is the former Ambassador of the Eastern Caribbean States to the Kingdom of Belgium and European Union, past President of the 79-member African, Caribbean & Paci ...
Gustavo de Carvalho
Senior Researcher, South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)
...

RELATED CONTENT

  • March 29, 2022
    Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Black Sea granary, severely impacts global wheat markets, and especially hits the two warring parties' primary importing countries/clients. This study examines impacts of this war on Africa, where bread is a basic staple. This brings us to start with a review of broad market data, with Russia and Ukraine respectively ranking first and fifth among global wheat exporters, and the European Union (EU) gaining an edge as an alternative to the U.S./Canada ...
  • Authors
    March 22, 2022
    African states are in a vulnerable position. The invasion of Ukraine could affect food security and trigger a spike in oil prices, inflicting economic duress on African households. The Black Sea region is home to vast fertile farmlands, and war in the “breadbasket of the world” could threaten wheat and fertilizer supplies. Increased economic hardship and social discontent do not bode well for democratic governance in Africa, especially in light of the recent spate of military coups. ...
  • From

    15
    5:30 pm March 2022
    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكانية الاصطدام المسلّح بين روسيا وحلف شمال الاطلسي، والحرب النووية. الّا أن انعكاسات الحرب لا تقتصر على اوروبا والغرب، بل تأثّر سلباً على الاقتصاد الدولي ودول الجنوب، وتهدّد الامن الغذائي في دول كثيرة، خاصة في المنطقة العربية وفي افريقيا ولفهم هذه الازمة بمختلف أبعادها ووضعها في سياقاتها النظرية والتاريخية والأمنية ومناقشة تأثيراتها الحاليّة أو المتوقَّعة في المدى القريب، ينظّم مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصّة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء ستركّز على الأحداث الجارية في اوكرانيا وستطرح فرضي ...
  • March 15, 2022
    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكا...
  • Authors
    March 15, 2022
    The war in Ukraine is bringing substantial financial, commodity price, and supply chain shocks to the global economy. Sanctions on Russia are already having a significant impact on its financial system and its economy. Price shocks will have a global impact. Energy and commodity prices—including wheat and other grains—have risen, intensifying inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions and the recovery from the pandemic. The push toward relative deglobalization received fro ...
  • Authors
    March 11, 2022
    As of March 3, 2022, one week into the Russian invasion, over 1 million refugees (2.3% of the Ukrainian population) have fled Ukraine to neighboring European countries, notably Poland, as well as Hungary, Moldova, and Slovakia[1].  While the sheer flow of refugees is poised to generate the largest migration crisis in Europe since World War II, the response of European countries is substantially different from the one caused by the Syrian refugee crisis of 2015 - 1 million refugees i ...
  • March 11, 2022
    L'opération militaire lancée le 24 février 2022 par les forces armées russes à l'intérieur du territoire de l’Ukraine a pour objectif déclaré d'empêcher l’Organisation du Traité de l’Atlantique Nord (OTAN) de se rapprocher de l”étranger proche” russe et de changer le régime à Kiev. Cette guerre, déclenchée par un membre permanent du Conseil de sécurité, a été menée en violation des principes cardinaux de la Charte des Nations unies. Elle a mis le monde au bord d’ ...
  • Authors
    March 4, 2022
    The economic sanctions against Russia announced last week by the United States and Europe following the military invasion of Ukraine are having a profound impact on the Russian economy while also having repercussions at home. As in a boxing match, the expectation is that blows to the opponent can knock them out, despite the exposure on the punching side. The United States has applied some sectoral and limited economic sanctions against Russia since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 ...