Publications /
Policy Paper

Back
Download PDF
De la COP21 à la COP24 : bilan d’étape
Authors
Maha Skah
December 7, 2018
Related topics: 

L’action collective de lutte contre le changement climatique a longtemps été freinée par de puissants clivages, à la fois géopolitiques et économiques ; Nord/Sud, pays industrialisés/pays en voie de développement, énergies fossiles/renouvelables, multilatéralisme solidaire/souveraineté nationale.

Les négociations internationales sur le changement climatique sont également confrontées à la difficulté de réguler ce bien public mondial qu’est l’environnement. Après trois années de stagnation, les émissions mondiales de gaz à effet de serre (GES) sont reparties à la hausse, alors que le dernier rapport du Groupe d’experts intergouvernemental sur l’évolution du climat (GIEC) prédit une hausse des températures atteignant déjà 1,5°C entre 2030 et 2052 si nous continuons à émettre au rythme actuel.  A l’heure du premier grand rendez-vous climatique depuis l’adoption de l’Accord de Paris sur le climat, ce papier tente de mieux saisir la portée des dernières évolutions intervenues dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il revient sur l’apport scientifique de ces dernières années et offre une piste d’analyse pour mieux appréhender les avancées réalisées depuis la COP21, ainsi que les défis restant à surmonter lors de la COP24 afin de combler l’écart entre le niveau d’ambition affiché dans les Contributions Déterminées au niveau Nationales (CDN), les objectifs nationaux, et les transformations requises pour répondre à l’urgence climatique.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Middle-Income Countries Should not be Rushed to Graduate
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    December 14, 2020
    This article has originally been published on OECD Development matter platform Many donor countries seem eager to see middle-income countries (MICs) “master out” and graduate to a non-client status in multilateral development institutions before fully achieving their development potential. We argue that such institutions can still significantly contribute to the sustainable development of MICs, while also seizing many benefits from this relationship (Middle income countries and mul ...
  • Fighting for Africa: External Power competition in the Red Sea
    December 14, 2020
    Foreign powers are grappling for influence across the African continent, but competition has been particularly fierce in the Red Sea. With Ethiopia, long viewed as a bulwark against instability in the Horn of Africa, emerging from conflict, there is a new opportunity to cement the peace...
  • Structural propagation of pandemic shocks: an input–output analysis of the economic costs of COVID-19
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Fernando S. Perobelli
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Karina S. S. Bugarin
    December 14, 2020
    This paper explores the use of simulations in policy decision-making in the Brazilian State of São Paulo in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. We propose a methodology for assessing the daily economic costs of control strategies for mitigating the effects of coronavirus. The method is based on the partial hypothetical extraction approach to input–output systems. Simulated daily scenarios based on different levels of compliance to the control measures are used to help guide the design o ...
  • Download PDF
    Impacts de la Covid-19 sur l’économie marocaine : Un premier bilan
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Fayçal El Hossaini
    Badr Mandri
    December 14, 2020
    L’économie marocaine fait face à une année 2020 extrêmement difficile et complexe. La crise provoquée par le choc de la Covid-19 est singulière, multicanale et fondamentalement différente des crises précédentes. Elle altère le système productif par un double choc d’offre et de demande, amplifié, de passage, par une crise de confiance. Alors que l’année 2020 touche à sa fin, il est crucial de dresser une première évaluation circonstanciée des ramifications de cette crise, qui permett ...
  • Download PDF
    Security Implications of Axes Rivalry in the Middle East
    Authors
    Dania Koleilat Khatib
    December 11, 2020
    The Arab Spring led to the collapse of dictatorships that ruled the region for decades, creating a void that triggered increased rivalry between three axes seeking to expand influence and control in the region. Using the theoretical framework of ‘offensive realism’ developed by Mearsheimer, this paper analyzes the build-up and circumstances surrounding the intensification of the rivalry between Qatar/Turkey, Saudi Arabia/the UAE and Iran and how this rivalry has become a major drive ...
  • AD Talks 2020: Covid-19 and International Trade
    December 11, 2020
    Covid-19 triggered the worst and most synchronized global recession in recorded history, albeit - on current evidence - a short-lived one. The global recession was reflected in a precipitous fall in world trade, which is now recovering. The backlash against trade and globalization long ...
  • Download PDF
    Atlantic vision 2025: building an Atlantic community - 2nd edition
    Authors
    Hanae Bezad
    Maximo Plo Seco
    Roger Hilton
    December 10, 2020
    The Atlantic basin faces considerable challenges on multiple fronts. Financial and economic struggles, coupled with political shifts and social turmoil, are reshaping the region’s geopolitical landscape. Unemployment, poverty, violence, migration, extremism, climate change and other problems are on the rise and the need to tackle them effectively is pressing. To find adequate solutions to these challenges, it is crucial to create inclusive discussions between the North and the Sout ...
  • AD Talks 2020: The Age of (Dis)Information
    December 10, 2020
    The purposeful dissemination of misleading or outright false information by news media and foreign state actors constitutes an increasingly important factor in both the growing erosion of trust in national institutions and political polarization in many countries around the world. The d...
  • AD Talks 2020: What the US Election Means for the Wider Atlantic?
    December 9, 2020
    The 2020 US elections have taken place amidst a highly polarized context, compounded by a devastating global health crisis, a far-reaching economic recession, and the mounting threat of populism worldwide, calling into question the limits of multilateral cooperation. The Presidential El...