Otaviano Canuto on Bloated Central Bank Balance Sheets

April 14, 2021

When the global financial crisis hit the international economy in 2008, central banks in major advanced economies widened their range of monetary policy instruments, increasingly resorting to unconventional tools. Initially to avoid a deepening of the financial destabilization and bankruptcy of solvent-but-illiquid private sector balance sheets, as it happened during the Great Depression of the 30s in the last century. Subsequently to fight economic stagnation and deflation risks as private agents deleveraged. While the “liability-driven” initial phase can be seen as “quantitative stabilizing”, the later “asset-driven” balance sheet expansion is the true “quantitative easing”. There are good reasons to believe that there will be no return to the pre-QE configuration of balance sheets. First, the increasing global financial integration in the last few decades has imposed increasing challenges in terms of making liquidity management effective as cross-border volumes of capital flows have expanded significantly. Second, changes to financial regulation have induced private agents to alter their behavior and strategies. Finally, a new task has come under the purview of central banks: monitoring relationships between various benchmark curves—i.e., operating as quasi-market makers. As a spill-over from abroad, central bank balance sheets in some emerging market economies also bloated. The era of bloated central bank balance sheets seems to be a component of the “new normal”, even if they undergo some diet in the future.

Speakers
Otaviano Canuto
Senior Fellow
Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, Affiliate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University and Non-Resident Senior Fellow at Brookings Institute. Former Vice President and Executive Director at the World Bank, Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Vice President at the Inter-American Development Bank. ...

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Hajar Kabbach
    May 11, 2026
    Closing Morocco's gender employment gap could increase GDP per capita by 40-50 percent; yet female labor force participation stands at just 19 percent—among the lowest in the world and still declining. This policy paper argues that investing in the care economy is not merely a social expenditure, but a productive economic strategy with measurable returns. Drawing on international evidence from Uruguay, Mexico, Colombia, and India, the brief demonstrates that well-designed care syste ...
  • May 7, 2026
    Le rapport de diagnostic du secteur privé au Maroc met en lumière les principaux défis qui freinent encore l’investissement privé et la création d’emplois, malgré les avancées réalisées en matière de stabilité macroéconomique, d’infrastructures et de réformes. Il identifie notamment la ...
  • May 6, 2026
    Dans cette interview, l’évolution de la politique industrielle marocaine est analysée : planification étatique (1960–1980), libéralisation (1980–1990), puis intégration dans les chaînes de valeur mondiales (à partir des années 2000). Aujourd’hui, face au protectionnisme et au nearshorin...
  • May 5, 2026
    Présentation du rapport « Croissance et emploi au Maroc » par Javier Diaz Cassou, Économiste Senior à la Banque mondiale, qui analyse les dynamiques de croissance de l’économie marocaine et leur impact sur la création d’emplois. Le rapport met en évidence les principaux moteurs de la cr...
  • April 30, 2026
    يشهد المغرب تحولًا سريعًا في صناعة السيارات الكهربائية، مدفوعًا باستثمارات كبيرة وطموح للانتقال من مجرد منصة تركيب إلى فاعل صناعي متكامل. وبين فرص بناء صناعة بطاريات محلية وخلق وظائف جديدة، تبرز أيضًا تحديات مرتبطة بنقل التكنولوجيا، والتشغيل، والاستدامة. في هذه الحلقة، نفكك هذا التحول و...
  • Authors
    April 30, 2026
    This paper is the second in a series examining services-led development and global value chain (GVC) integration in the Global South. It applies a three-category analytical framework covering knowledge services (ICT and professional business services), enabling services (transport, logistics, and finance), and local services (retail, hospitality, health, and personal services), to OECD Trade in Value Added indicators. The paper thus  ...
  • April 29, 2026
    Cet épisode revient sur la politique monétaire au Maroc, en soulignant sa capacité à maintenir une inflation faible et stable sur le long terme grâce à un cadre macroéconomique solide. Il met en avant le rôle central des réformes institutionnelles et de la Banque centrale dans le renfor...
  • April 29, 2026
    Cette chronique a été initialement publiée sur le site lesechos.fr Les économies en développement font face à un double défi : créer des emplois à grande échelle tout en soutenant la productivité. Quels types de services permettent cette convergence ? Les économistes Hinh T. Dinh et Karim El Aynaoui répondent dans la chronique du « Cercle des économistes ».Les services peuvent-ils se substituer à l'industrie manufacturière comme moteur du développement ...
  • Authors
    April 28, 2026
    Climate policy is increasingly reshaping the conditions under which firms participate in international markets. As some jurisdictions introduce carbon border adjustments, lifecycle emissions standards, and supply-chain traceability requirements, market access is starting to be made conditional on verifiable characteristics of production processes, such as carbon intensity, embedded emissions, and input sourcing, rather than solely on product characteristics or prices. This paper exa ...