RELATED CONTENT : Security & Defense

  • From

    15
    5:30 pm March 2022

    حديث الثلاثاء : الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية : من وإلى أين؟

    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكانية الاصطدام المسلّح بين روسيا وحلف شمال الاطلسي، والحرب النووية. الّا أن انعكاسات الحرب لا تقتصر على اوروبا والغرب، بل تأثّر سلباً على الاقتصاد الدولي ودول الجنوب، وتهدّد الامن الغذائي في دول كثيرة، خاصة في المنطقة العربية وفي افريقيا ولفهم هذه الازمة بمختلف أبعادها ووضعها في سياقاتها النظرية والتاريخية والأمنية ومناقشة تأثيراتها الحاليّة أو المتوقَّعة في المدى القريب، ينظّم مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصّة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء ستركّز على الأحداث الجارية في اوكرانيا وستطرح فرضي ...

  • From

    09
    4:00 pm March 2022

    Presentation: The Global Terrorism Index (GTI)

    The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 9th edition, the GTI provides a comprehensive summary of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism. It analyses a number of vital aspects of terrorism such as the socio-economic conditions under which it occurs, how terrorism changes over time, the geopolitical drivers and ideological aims of terrorist groups and the strategies used by terrorists. In the previous edition, the GTI 2020 reported a decrease in deaths from terrorism for a fifth consecutive year. The drop of deaths by 15.5% was due to a reduction on the impact of terrorism in 103 countries. The decrease in deaths from terrorism was perceived in the MENA region, Russia, Eurasia, South Ame ...

  • From

    16
    5:30 pm February 2022

    SECURITY AND GOVERNENCE IN AFRICA: SAHEL AND LIBYA

    Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South, will be speaking at the webinar “security and governence in africa: sahel and libya” organized by frica Study Group in partnership with The Middle East Institute. The security dynamics of the Maghreb and the Sahel are intertwined and the consequences of the Libyan conflict on the Sahel have been serious. Since its beginning in 2011, this conflict has triggered global concern about the economic, security, and geostrategic impacts on the Sahel. Current threats are posed by the illicit transfer, destabilizing accumulation, and misuse of arms, as well as the flow of armed groups and mercenaries. Despite considerable international efforts, especially by African countries, the Sahel is still experiencing one of the ...
  • Lake Chad Basin Conflicts: Insights by Dr. Norman Sempijja
    June 24, 2024
    Dr. Norman Sempijja, an Associate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, explores the conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin region, which includes Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, and Chad. These countries experience some of Africa's most severe conflicts, significantly impacting the regi...
  • Africafé: Mediation dynamics in internal conflicts in Africa
    June 13, 2024
    In the complex landscape of African conflicts, the role of mediators remains pivotal, holding the promise of peace amidst turbulent times. Mediators, whether they come from regional organizations, international bodies, or local communities, act as crucial agents of change. They navigate...
  • Guerre à Gaza : Les gagnants d’un cessez-le-feu sans paix
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 3, 2024
    La dynamique qui anime aujourd’hui le conflit israélo-palestinien, notamment la guerre que mènent à Gaza les troupes du Tsahal et les combattants du Hamas, appuyés par le Jihad islamique et les autres factions armées palestiniennes, laisse espérer un accord entre les parties prenantes pour mettre fin à une guerre qui a généré des dizaines de milliers de morts et de blessés. Espoirs nourris par le dernier discours (31 mai) du président américain qui détaille, on ne peut plus clair, l ...
  • Download PDF
    South Africa’s May 2024 Elections: Will the African National Congress continue to govern alone?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    May 3, 2024
    The African National Congress (ANC), which has dominated the political scene in South Africa since 1994, began a downward trend in terms of votes won during the 2009 elections. However, this decline has never cast doubt on the ANC’s dominant position in the South African political landscape. Even at the lowest point in its popularity, during the “State Capture” scandal of 2019, a corruption scandal involving former President Jacob Zuma, the ANC won 57.5% of the vote, which largely a ...
  • Download PDF
    Élections sud-africaines de mai 2024 : l’ANC continuera-t-il à gouverner seul ?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 26, 2024
    L’African National Congres (ANC), qui domine la vie politique en Afrique du Sud depuis 1994, a entamé, lors des élections de 2009, une pente descendante, en termes de voix remportées lors des élections générales. Cependant, ce recul n’a jamais mis en doute la prédominance de l’ANC dans le panorama politique sud-africain. Au plus bas de sa popularité en 2019, en raison de l’affaire de « Capture de l’État », un scandale de corruption dans lequel a été impliqué l’ancien pre ...
  • Download PDF
    From the Alliance of Sahel States to the Confederation of Sahel States: The Road is Clear, But Full of Traps
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 24, 2024
    The Alliance of Sahel States (AES), created on September 16, 2023, brings together Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso under a mutual defense agreement. The signing of the charter relating to this alliance, which bears the name Liptako-Gourma, was followed by meetings and plans for initiatives that will push the new structure further towards statutes for the alliance, transforming it into a confederation. As an intermediate measure, the three states have already envisaged the creation of ...
  • Red Sea Risks: Security Challenges and the Global Trade Equation
    Authors
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Helmut Sorge
    March 29, 2024
    Interview with Sara Mokaddem, Manager of the Monitoring and Strategic Analysis Unit at the Policy Center for the New South, conducted by our columnist Helmut Sorge.   Oil tankers, mega cruise ships, and giant container vessels that once moved through secure waterways—the lifelines of global trade—are now menaced by missile and drone attacks, carried out by Houthi forces in Yemen. Meanwhile, pirates are active off the shores of Somalia, and Singapore or Hong Kong flagged vessels, a ...
  • Download PDF
    De l’Alliance des États du Sahel à la Confédération des États du Sahel : le chemin est carrossable, mais semé d’embûches
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    March 22, 2024
    L’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES), créée le 16 septembre 2023, rassemble dans un accord de défense mutuelle le Mali, le Niger et le Burkina Faso. La signature de la charte afférente à cette alliance qui porte le nom du Liptako-Gourma a été suivie de rencontre et de projets d’initiatives qui poussent plus loin la nouvelle structure vers des statuts de l’alliance pour la transformer en confédération. Comme mesure intermédiaire, les trois États ont d’ores et déjà envisa ...
  • Value Chains Under stress
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    March 15, 2024
    A Series of Disruptions The freighter, on its way from the United Arab Emirates to Bulgaria, loaded with 21000 metric tons of fertilizer, was hit by two Houthi missiles on February 18, 2024, at a point 93 miles east of Aden. The Houthi—not an army but rebels—are firing on ships in solidarity with the tortured people in Gaza, and their leaders, Hamas. Like Hamas, the Houthi are armed by Tehran. The European Union has started a mission to send frigates into the Red Sea, providing pr ...
  • Reimagining International Security: Multilateralism vs Multi-Stakeholderism
    Authors
    Nusrat Farooq
    March 6, 2024
    Nusrat Farooq is an international security and policy expert whose research is at the intersection of emerging technology, international relations, and trust and safety. She is a 2022 alumna of the Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program. Learn more about her here.   With the advent of social media more than a decade ago, and now with the emergence of generative artificial intelligence, international security has become increasingly complex in terms of its cross-sectoral and t ...
  • AI in Counterterrorism: Roles & Risks
    February 19, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Josh Martin, UNOCT Expert in Violent Extremism, USA,we examine the factors leading individuals to adopt violent beliefs and terrorist affiliations, we also explore current initiatives for monitoring susceptible individuals as we analyze the role of AI in count...
  • Terrorist Recruitment Dynamics : Strategies for Counteraction
    February 19, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Aynabat Atayeva, Chief, International Hub on Behavioral Insights to Counter Terrorism, UNOCT, Qatar. We explore the dynamics of terrorist recruitment as we examine how terrorist organizations exploit a sense of belonging to lure vulnerable individuals. Moreove...
  • The Conflict is Bleeding Across Borders
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 16, 2024
    The destruction of a vibrant and historic nation, sprinkled with color and culture, turned into a footnote of geopolitics. The more than 377,000 war victims disappeared from global headlines. The official fighting ended in Yemen on March 29, 2022. A ceasefire was declared by the Saudi Arabia-led coalition and the rebellious Houthis. China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, praised “the wave of reconciliation” that swept across the region. The main foreign supporter of Yemen’s Houthi—Iran— ...
  • Deciphering Terrorist Recruitment: Strategies and Countermeasures
    February 14, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Jeffrey Kaplan, Senior Researcher, Danube Institute, Hungary, we explore the understanding of counterterrorism, focusing on terrorist recruitment processes and effective countermeasures. We examine the mechanisms of recruitment, strategies in counterterrorism ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: الوضع الحالي ومستقبل جهود منع التطرف العنيف
    February 13, 2024
    يفتقر التطرف العنيف إلى تعريف محدد، ولا يقتصر على منطقة أو جنسية أو نظام عقائدي معين، ولو أن بعض الجماعات الإرهابية قد شكلت، في السنوات الأخيرة، ملامح تصورنا للتطرف العنيف. فكيف تعرف الأدبيات الأكاديمية مفهوم "الإرهاب"؟ ما هي العناصر الأساسية التي تميز "التطرف العنيف" عن غيره من أشكال ا...
  • Download PDF
    الجبهة الداخلية الإسرائيلية في زمن الحرب: وحدةٌٌ معلنة وتصدُُّعاتٌٌ مكشوفةٌٌ
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 30, 2024
    الحرب بطبيعتها ليست عملية حسابية. فمن حيث الاستراتيجية العسكرية، لا تعتبر عملية الجمع دائما إضافة، ولا عملية الطرح تنقيصا. فعملية الضرب لا ُتضخِّم كما أن القسمة لا ُتقلل. وإذا كانت الوسائل هي بالتأكيد ميزة في الحرب، فإن نتيجة الصراعات (النصر أو الهزيمة) لا تعتمد فقط على هذه الوسائل، ذلك ان الحرب تكشف عن صمود المجتمع وليس عن قوة الجيش فقط. فالحرب ُتظهر ارتباط القوة العسكرية بصلابة الجبهة الداخلية المرتبطة بدورها إلى حد كبير بالتماسك الاجتماعي. و ليس لهذا الأخير وحدة قياس، ف ...
  • Enough is Enough
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 23, 2024
    On November 13, 1974 (YouTube, Nov 14), Yassir Arafat appeared in front of the United Nations General Assembly. He reminded his audience and the world that, “today I have come bearing an olive branch and a freedom fighter’s gun. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand.” Almost half a century has passed since then, and Arafat as well, and there is still no olive branch for the Palestinians, only the gun. Before the current Israel-Gaza war, noted the respected Foreign Affairs ...
  • Download PDF
    Le front intérieur d’Israël en temps de guerre : l’unité affichée et les fractures dévoilées
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 5, 2024
    La guerre n’est, par sa nature, pas arithmétique. En matière de stratégie militaire, ni l’addition est toujours un ajout ni la soustraction une diminution. La multiplication n’amplifie pas comme la division ne réduit pas. Les moyens sont certes un avantage dans la guerre, mais l’issue des conflits (victoire ou défaite) n’en dépendent pas exclusivement. La guerre révèle la résilience d’une société et pas seulement la puissance d’une armée. Mieux, elle montre la dépendance de la puiss ...
  • Download PDF
    Le conflit israélo-palestinien : l’histoire d’une injustice
    Authors
    Fathallah Oualalou
    December 21, 2023
    Le « Déluge d’Al-Aqsa » -nom de code de l’attaque surprise menée en Israël par le Hamas et les Brigades Izz Al-Din Al-Qassam, le 7 octobre 2023 -, et la riposte israélienne dévastatrice pour les populations civiles et les infrastructures de l’enclave de Gaza qui en a été la conséquence, ont ramené au premier plan la cause du peuple palestinien. Cause qui continue d’habiter les esprits, les coeurs et les consciences. Plus que jamais, un « nouveau Moyen- Orient » ne pourra émerger et ...
  • Establishing a Palestinian State
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 13, 2023
    The title of the Policy Brief seems alarming. ‘Israel-Palestine The Last Chance for a Just Solution’, an assessment by Abdelhak Bassou, Senior Fellow of the Policy Center for the New South, affiliated professor at Mohammed VI University in Rabat, and one of the leading security experts of Morocco. His paper, published in November 2023, could not have more timely, dramatic, urgent, and constructive. Scenes of the apocalypse for an estimated twelve million people in a region, consider ...