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AFRICAFE: Bamako Under Blockade: Understanding Mali’s Growing Jihadi Threat

From

05
4:17 am December 2025

The episode examines the escalating instability in Mali as JNIM’s blockade on vital supplies tightens pressure on Bamako and exposes the Malian state’s vulnerabilities. Senior Fellow Rida Lyammouri explains why a full assault on the capital is unlikely, highlighting instead JNIM’s strategic use of asymmetrical warfare and adaptive local governance. He discusses the group’s regional expansion, the limits of foreign intervention, and outlines possible future scenarios ranging from negotiated settlements to rising civilian unrest.