Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Gold: a safe haven in difficult times
September 30, 2020

In recent months, the price of gold has rebounded, taking it to new heights. The analysis of the prices of this precious metal over the last two centuries has shown great stability until 1971, when the United States abandoned gold/dollar convertibility, but also its erratic movement since then. Subject to the laws of the market, the price of this raw material depends essentially on demand. This trend confirms that this asset is a safe haven in difficult times, without however contemplating its re-monetization. This rebound, which is cyclical in nature and occurs in the short and medium term, is a godsend for gold-producing countries, at the forefront of which are China, Russia and Australia, but also some African producers, such as Ghana.

Gold is shining bright, while its prices are at their highest level in history, with an ounce exceeding $2,000. The purpose of this Policy Brief is to examine and look into the reasons behind this recent price surge, which will enable us to know whether this surge is cyclical or structural, and who are the beneficiaries and victims.

RELATED CONTENT

  • June 27, 2019
    Intégration Régionale et Investissements Directs Etrangers: Retour sur les Expériences Brésilienne et Africaines - Pedro da Motta Veiga, Président, CINDES -- www.policycenter.ma ...
  • Authors
    June 27, 2019
    After a long spell of slow growth in the wake of the global financial crisis, the global economy was gaining speed over 2016-2018, but this recovery is now in some danger. The likelihood of imminent recession is low but growth will be slow over 2019-2020, and growth next year presents many uncertainties. Growth is supported by the consumer for the time being, but business has become very nervous and something will have to give. There are significant and specific risks in the large e ...
  • June 27, 2019
    Présentation du Livre Ouverture, productivité et croissance Ouiem Ouahhabi, doctorante en sciences économiques attachée au Laboratoire d’économie appliquée- Faculté des Sciences juridiques, économiques et sociales-Agdal-Rabat www.policycenter.ma ...
  • June 27, 2019
    Présentation du Livre Ouverture, productivité et croissance Sara Zouiri, doctorante au Laboratoire d’économie appliquée- Faculté des Sciences juridiques, économiques et sociales-Agdal-Rabat www.policycenter.ma ...
  • Authors
    June 27, 2019
    Caribbean and African ties run deep. They are based on a shared history, culture, and sense of a common identity forged by the slave trade which forcibly relocated more than 10 million Africans to the New World, in the process, creating large centres of African Diaspora in the Caribbean and elsewhere. The common historical experiences of slavery and colonialism inspired formation of the Pan-African Movement in the first half of the 1900’s led by the African Diaspora outside of Afric ...
  • Authors
    Raphael Camargo
    June 26, 2019
    The author is an alumnus of the 2016 Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program Five brief bullet points: this was the entire contents of President Jair Bolsonaro’s political plan presented during the 2018 Brazilian Presidential race detailing his foreign policy ambitions. Besides the pro-Trump rhetoric, little was known regarding Mr. Bolsonaro’s international relations plan. Elected with 55.13% of the valid votes in a second-round turn, the victory of the Social Liberal Party (PS ...
  • Authors
    Pedro da Motta Veiga
    Sandra Polónia Rios
    June 25, 2019
    From 2010 onwards, China has become a relevant foreign investor in Brazil, mainly through State-owned companies investing in infrastructure – particularly in the energy sector. In the first years of the current decade, Chinese investment has been widely welcomed in an environment characterized by declining investment rates and low economic growth. However, more recently, some concerns have been raised of an “excessive” dependence of China state companies in sectors perceived as stra ...