Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Gold: a safe haven in difficult times
September 30, 2020

In recent months, the price of gold has rebounded, taking it to new heights. The analysis of the prices of this precious metal over the last two centuries has shown great stability until 1971, when the United States abandoned gold/dollar convertibility, but also its erratic movement since then. Subject to the laws of the market, the price of this raw material depends essentially on demand. This trend confirms that this asset is a safe haven in difficult times, without however contemplating its re-monetization. This rebound, which is cyclical in nature and occurs in the short and medium term, is a godsend for gold-producing countries, at the forefront of which are China, Russia and Australia, but also some African producers, such as Ghana.

Gold is shining bright, while its prices are at their highest level in history, with an ounce exceeding $2,000. The purpose of this Policy Brief is to examine and look into the reasons behind this recent price surge, which will enable us to know whether this surge is cyclical or structural, and who are the beneficiaries and victims.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    Moubarack Lo
    Amaye Sy
    El Hadj Tine
    August 9, 2021
    L’objet de ce document est d’effectuer le diagnostic stratégique de l’émergence de l’Afrique du Sud. Ce diagnostic de l’économie sud-africaine a été effectué en s’appuyant sur la théorie de l’émergence économique de Moubarack Lô (2017). Trois indices sont associés à cette théorie, correspondant, chacun, aux dimensions de l’émergence globale. L’Indice synthétique de l’Emergence économique (ISEME) mesure le niveau d’émergence économique atteint par un pays. L’indice composite des Levi ...
  • August 9, 2021
    The International Monetary Fund’s tenth annual External Sector Report (ESR, August 2021) shows how current account deficits in the global economy widened in 2020 during the pandemic. On the other hand, the ESR also argues that overall, the misalignment between fundamentals and current account balances has not been exacerbated. The pandemic widened current account imbalances… The sum of absolute values of current account deficits and surpluses went from 2.8% of global GDP in 2019 t ...
  • August 3, 2021
    يشكل المشروع الخاص بتعميم التغطية الاجتماعية ثورة اجتماعية حقيقية ونقطة تحول في مسار الإصلاح الشامل للحماية الاجتماعية في المملكة المغربية كمشروع مجتمعي غير مسبوق داخل أجل أقصاه خمس سنوات لتجاوز عوائق نظام الحماية الاجتماعية الحالي الذي يتسم بتعدد البرامج وتنوع الفاعلين وعدم وجود نظام ا...
  • August 3, 2021
    Pan-Africanism is a dream that never dies. A project of African politicians, united in a vision, as old as the settled Africa, which liberated itself from the shackles of colonialism: Africa for Africans, Afro Americans, or the dark skinned people of Cuba, or Haiti, African immigrants in Paris, or Rome, in step to rekindle hope, freedom, equality, cultural revival, to build a future, construct the foundations of a borderless continent, an Africa without tribal struggles, wars, or po ...
  • August 3, 2021
    Cette étude concerne l'économie de la Turquie entre 1960 et 2020. Sur cette longue période, deux indicateurs ont été privilégiés : le taux de croissance et le taux d'inflation, analysant leur évolution, mettant en évidence un « avant Erdogan » et un « après Erdogan ». Un « avant Erdogan », entre 1960 et 2003 tout d'abord. Entre 1960 et 2003, les taux de croissance et les taux d'inflation sont très irréguliers, parfois négatifs pour le taux de croissance, mais pouvant aussi dépasser ...
  • August 3, 2021
    De toutes les régions africaines, le Maghreb est de loin la région la moins intégrée, tant sur le plan politique qu’économique. Pourtant, elle réunit les éléments nécessaires pour créer un ensemble régional ; la proximité géographique, l’interdépendance économique et sociale et l’homogénéité cognitive, plus spécifiquement les similitudes des valeurs. Cette étude traite de la dynamique maghrébine durant l’année 2020, à travers l’analyse des enjeux et de leurs conséquences sur les per ...
  • August 02, 2021
    This podcast with Mr Marcus de Freitas, a Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South, discusses elements revolving around Brazil’s current strategy in Africa. It engages with histor ...
  • Authors
    Chami Abdelilah
    Derj Atar
    Hammi Ibtissem
    Morazzo Mariano
    Naciri Yassine
    with the technical support of AFRY
    July 29, 2021
    As decarbonization is a long-term process and requires significant investments, specific financial and non- financial measures will need to be implemented, both in the short and long term, to facilitate this transition. In Part II of Morocco’s decarbonization pathway Policy Brief series, an update of the decarbonization scenarios was presented. It revealed that the Increased Ambition and Green Development scenarios achieve higher decarbonization targets than current policy. It showe ...
  • July 28, 2021
    La nouvelle politique européenne de voisinage post-COVID-19 : Quel appui de l’UE au Maroc dans la généralisation de la couverture maladie ? Depuis le lancement de la Politique Européenne de Voisinage en 2004, le Maroc s'est révélé être un partenaire privilégié tant dans le domaine écono...
  • July 28, 2021
    On July 21, the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) published its eighth annual report on Global Public Investors (GPI). It included a survey the asset allocation plans of reserve managers of central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and public pension funds. Together, the 102 investors who responded to the survey manage $42.7 trillion in assets (Figure 1). Source: OMFIF analysis (GPI 2021).   The survey highlighted notable changes in the composition of portfol ...