Events
Atlantic Strategy Group 8 Trouble at Home, Trouble Abroad: Consequences for the Atlantic North and South
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The Policy Center for the New South and the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) are jointly organizing the 8th edition of the Atlantic Strategy Group meetings in Washington DC on June 27-28, 2024.
This edition will focus on the topic “Trouble at Home, Trouble Abroad: Consequences for North and South in the Atlantic” and will explore various themes including Northern and Southern conflicts, troubled democracies, Atlantic prosperity and Global Governance.
The Atlantic Strategy Group is an annual meeting bringing together participants from North America, Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Africa. The ASG focuses on issues of shared interest for Atlantic actors while offering an informal forum for leading stakeholders from all sides of the Atlantic basin to explore areas for greater collaboration.
Agenda
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Thursday, June 27 |
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09:30-09:45 |
Opening remarks Ian Lesser, Distinguished Fellow and Advisor to the President, German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) Mohammed Loulichki, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) |
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09:45-11:15 |
Session 1 – Northern Conflict, Southern Consequences: the many shadows of war in Ukraine The ongoing high-intensity conflict in Ukraine and the deepening confrontation between Russia and the “West” have had significant consequences around the Atlantic basin. These range from heightened regional competition in Africa and Latin America to food insecurity and effects on development finance. Major differences persist over the application of economic sanctions. How are societies in the Atlantic south being affected by conflict in the North? How will they respond? How will they hedge? Moderator Ian Lesser, Distinguished Fellow and Advisor to the President, German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) Speakers Charles Kupchan, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Isabelle Tsakok, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) Len Ishmael, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) and German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) |
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11:15 -11:30 |
Coffee break |
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11:30 -13:00 |
Session 2 – Southern Conflict, Northern Consequences: from cliché to reality? For decades, the assumption of northern exposure to crises and insecurity in the south has been a staple of strategic debates. Today, the balance of insecurity may be less clear-cut, but the Atlantic North remains exposed to a range of challenges emanating from the south. Economic and security-driven migration is a volatile political issue on both sides of the Atlantic – and a source of stress in north-south relations. Policies over access to raw materials are emerging as another irritant, alongside the shared challenge of cross-border trafficking and criminal activity. What is the outlook in a wider Atlantic frame? Moderator Kristina Kausch, Deputy Managing Director, German Marshall Fund of the United States – South (GMF South) Speakers Chris O. Ògúnmọ́dẹdé, Editor, The Republic Molly O’Toole, Journalist, Wilson Center Scholar Mohammed Loulichki, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) |
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13:00 -14:15 |
Lunch and Conversation on Transatlantic Cooperation Jessica Lapenn, Senior Coordinator, Atlantic Cooperation Ian Lesser, Distinguished Fellow and Advisor to the President, German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) |
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14:15 -15:45 |
Session 3 – Democracies at Stake – Polarization, Paralysis and Instability Atlantic democracies are under stress. Polarized politics, dysfunctional governance and the risk of political violence and civil unrest are affecting societies at many levels of development. North and south have seen the rise of populist political movements on the right and the left, with international as well as domestic consequences. Under these conditions, disinformation and malign finance pose special challenges for governments, civil society and the private sector. What is driving this turbulence in Atlantic democracies? What are the implications of alternative political outcomes for north and south? Moderator Bret Schafer, Senior Fellow, Media and Digital Disinformation, Alliance for Securing Democracy Speakers Amandine Gnanguênon, Head of Geopolitics Program, Africa Policy Research Institute Jacob Ware, Research Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Sergio Fausto, Director, Fundação Fernando Henrique Cardoso (FFHC), virtual |
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Friday, June 28 |
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10:00 – 11:30 |
Session 4 - Economic Nationalism and Atlantic Stakes Assumptions about an open and interdependent global economy are being challenged by new demands for economic security and a growing focus on national sovereignty. These forces take different forms around the Atlantic north and south, but taken together, they are likely to have a significant systemic effect. Economic nationalism in various forms, alongside the phenomena of re-shoring, near-shoring and de-risking – even decoupling – are creating new expectations and new challenges for Atlantic societies. Is this the “end of globalization?” How are these developments seen from north and south? Moderator Dan Hamilton, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Institute Johns Hopkins University SAIS Speakers Erika Mouynes, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Panama Hinh Dinh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Elisabeth Braw, Senior Fellow, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council, virtual |
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11:30 – 11:45 |
Coffee break |
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11:45 -13:15 |
Session 5 - The North-South Balance: Between Ideology and Geopolitics Geopolitical dynamics are reshaping north-south relations in an Atlantic setting. But the notion of a defining confrontation between democracy and autocracy is not received with uniform enthusiasm everywhere around the Atlantic basin. At the same time, institutions of global governance are being challenged by calls for reform and the rise of new arrangements like the BRICS. Can north and south be on the same page with regard to key issues affecting the global order? What is the scope for convergence? Can new Atlantic initiatives help? Moderator Aude Darnal, Research Analyst and Project Manager, Stimson Center’s Reimagining U.S. Grand Strategy Program Speakers Arturo Sarukhán, Former Ambassador of Mexico to the United States of America El-Ghassim Wane, Former Special Representative of the Secretary-General and Head of the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in Mali (MINUSMA) Otaviano Canuto, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South |
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13:15 – 14:45 |
Closing Lunch and Conversation on Transatlantic Energy Transformation Geoffrey Pyatt, Assistant Secretary of State for Energy Resources, US Department of State Ian Lesser, Distinguished Fellow and Advisor to the President, German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) |
