Podcasts

Back

Les répercussions de la guerre commerciale entre les Etats-Unis et la Chine

17
May 2019
Uri Dadush 
Related topics: 
Economy
Trade

Dans le présent Podcast, notre Senior Fellow Uri Dadush apporte des éclairages nécessaires pour la compréhension des impacts que pourrait générer la guerre commerciale entre les Etats-Unis et la Chine.
Dans son analyse, l’économiste Dadush décline les trois dimensions que pourraient revêtir les effets de ce conflit commercial, en considérant que l’une d’elles aura un impact très négatif, en ce sens que c’est l’économie mondiale qui sera affectée.
Uri Dadush fait remarquer que ce conflit commercial, de même que les négociations bilatérales qui le ponctuent, se déroulent en dehors du cadre de l’Organisation Mondiale du Commerce (OMC). De ce fait, souligne-t-il, les Américains, tout autant que les Chinois, agissent dans l’illégalité, donnant un mauvais exemple pour le reste du monde.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Download PDF
    The Internal Geography of Services Value-Added in Exports: A Latin American Perspective
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    October 27, 2020
    We estimate the contents of services value-added incorporated in goods exports in different countries in Latin America, exploring the local dimension of the results. We use inter-regional input-output analysis to trace and map domestic value-added embedded in those countries’ exports. We add to the discussion of global value chains the internal, withincountry geography of trade in value-added, since the set of locational preferences that help understanding the spatial patterns of na ...
  • Download PDF
    Intégration monétaire en Afrique de l'Ouest : histoire, théorie, politique
    Authors
    Youssef El Jai
    September 15, 2020
    Avant l'ère coloniale, l'émission d'argent en Afrique de l'Ouest dépendait de la traite des esclaves. Avec l'avènement du régime colonial, les pièces d'argent ont été importées puis progressivement imposées comme outil de coercition. La trajectoire postcoloniale a été différente pour les anciennes colonies britanniques et françaises. Alors que les premières ont retrouvé leur souveraineté monétaire, les secondes ont conservé une union monétaire sous l’égide de la France. La propositi ...
  • Download PDF
    Diversification and the World Trading System
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Mohammed Al Doghan
    Muhammad Bhatti
    Carlos Braga
    Abdulelah Darandary
    Anabel González
    Niclas Poitiers
    September 15, 2020
    Diversification is important because it is associated with economic growth and reduced volatility. Diversification of exports, which provide foreign exchange and enable imports of critical goods, services, and know-how, is crucial for developing countries. The question we address in this brief is how export diversification is affected by trade policies, including multilateral rules, regional trade agreements, and national measures. The record on diversification is poor across a larg ...
  • Download PDF
    Brazil, South Korea: Two Tales of Climbing an Income Ladder
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    September 3, 2020
    The “middle income trap” may well characterize the experience of Brazil and most of Latin America since the 1980s. Conversely, South Korea maintained its pace of evolution, reaching a high-income status. Such divergence of economic growth can be related to their distinctive performances of domestic accumulation of technological and organizational capabilities. Their different approaches to global value chains and trade globalization reinforced such discrepancy in domestic accumulati ...
  • Download PDF
    The national automotive industry faced with the Covid-19: Should we be worried about the impact on the current account?
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    September 2, 2020
    The year 2020 is one of the most difficult years for the global automotive industry. The pandemic first appeared in a region of China known for its developed automotive sector. Initially, it was the South Asian manufacturers who first felt the impact of the shutdown in China before the pandemic shifted to Europe and the United States and before the disruption of value chains took on a global dimension. In Morocco, the sector has not remained immune to this turbulent context and its ...
  • Download PDF
    What Can Trade Tell Us About Economic Transformation? Composition of Trade and Structural Transformation in African Countries
    Authors
    Mina Baliamoune
    Abdoul‘ Ganiou Mijiyawa
    July 15, 2020
    We explore the effects of exporting manufactures, primary commodities, and food and agricultural products, and we examine the impact of importing capital and semi-capital goods, on structural transformation in a group of 21 sub-Saharan African countries that were covered by the inaugural African Transformation Report (ACET, 2014). The empirical results suggest that the import of capital and semi-capital goods can be a good predictor of structural transformation, while concentration ...
  • Global Protectionism is Hurting Emerging Economies the Most
    Authors
    Datu Sadja Matthew Pajares Yngson
    June 30, 2020
    Unless trade wars end around the globe, the world is headed for the biggest recession in living memory. The crisis arising from the coronavirus will hit fragile economies in Africa, the Pacific, and the Caribbean the hardest. At such a time, the world should be dropping barriers but, instead, new barriers are being built. In the past month, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened retaliation against India unless it released supplies of hydroxychloroquine. Worse still, he got his way ...
  • Is the United States Reopening Safely?
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    June 12, 2020
    The United States has suffered more COVID-19 casualties than any other country and continues to report large numbers of new cases and deaths, and – as evident recently in stock markets – investors remain extremely sensitive to the epidemic’s shifting trends. As every state reopens, including most recently the New York epicenter, the fates of the American economy and of the global economy depend on whether the United States has put the worst of the epidemic behind it, or whether it w ...
  • Download PDF
    A Cautious Look at Economic Prospects Beyond the Covid-19 Disaster
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    May 27, 2020
    COVID-19 has delivered a powerful double punch to the chin of the global economy, combining a terrifying pandemic with a collapse in production because of the withdrawal into their homes of half the world’s workers. The uncertainty generated by the medical and economic shock is paralyzing consumers and investors, and the dispersion of short-term economic forecasts is far wider than at any time in modern history, about six times greater than during the Great Financial Crisis. The GD ...
  • Webinar : Political Economy in the North-South relations amid COVID-19
    May 22, 2020
    The COVID-19 pandemic poses unprecedented challenges to the international community and is due to heavily impact the global economy in the short and long run. The virus has infected over 4 million people and caused almost 300.000 casualties globally. During its spreading, mass productio...