Back

AD 2021: Economic Recovery and the Great Reset

November 15, 2021
Related topics: 
Economy

The Covid-19 pandemic has plunged the world into a health, social and economic crisis of exceptional magnitude. In economic terms, the restrictions established to contain the spread of the virus have resulted in a sudden stop to entire sectors of activity and major disruptions to supply chains. Consequently, the global economy experienced its worst recession since World War II in 2020, with a 3.3% contraction in real GDP, a sharp decline in trade and direct investment flows, in addition to massive job losses. As a result, the downward trend in poverty that began in the 1980s has been reversed and more than 100 million additional people have fallen back into extreme poverty. In this context, a number of questions seem relevant: What are the levers to act on for a quick and strong recovery for the world economy? What place for human development in the post-Covid development strategies? How to conciliate between ambitious development objectives and budget sustainability? Moderator: Otaviano Canuto, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South Speakers: - Maria Eugenia Brizuela de Avila, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs, El Salvador - Harinder Kohli, President and CEO, Centennial Group, USA - Frannie Leautier, Chairperson, Co-Founding Partner, Mkoba Private Equity Fund, Tanzania

Speakers
Otaviano Canuto
Senior Fellow
Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, Affiliate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University and Non-Resident Senior Fellow at Brookings Institute. Former Vice President and Executive Director at the World Bank, Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Vice President at the Inter-American Development Bank. ...
Harinder Kohli
Founding Director and Chief Executive, Emerging Markets Forum (EMF)
...

RELATED CONTENT

  • Download PDF
    The Securitization Technique: a Relevant Tool for Financing the Mining Sector?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    March 25, 2015
    The strategy to vertically integrate mining producers requires the identification of the right conditions for its financing. Many approaches are possible and the technique of securitization, although widely stigmatized since the financial crisis of 2008, must be considered. Several conditions are however necessary. It is unlikely that the off-balance sheet securitization is currently positioned as an important means to finance this sector’s production capacity. Whatever the scope of ...
  • Successfully Transforming African Agribusiness through Private Equity Capital - Part I - Solving the Capital Formation Issue
    Authors
    Ezana Bocresion
    March 16, 2015
    Over the next couple of months, we want to explore the investing climate in Sub Saharan Africa (“SSA”) and try to understand where it is and what elements/variables are required to increase the continent’s attractiveness to institutional investors and thereby speed up the continent’s development. We will discuss the Private Equity industry in Africa and delve into the challenges faces. We will then work through how best to address them, and in particular, in the Agribusiness sector. ...
  • Download PDF
    Brazil after the 2014 Elections: A Bumpy Road Ahead
    Authors
    Sergio Fausto
    February 27, 2015
    Brazil’s future prospects, and ability to harness its advantages, will hinge on its own policy choices over the next few years. Yet the outlook for meaningful change is unclear. At present, Brazil is in a weaker position than four years ago, from both an economic and a foreign policy standpoint. Even in a scenario where Brazil’s economy gradually returns to the course it was on until 2008, no major strategic changes are likely to happen in Rousseff’s four-year term. ...
  • Download PDF
    L’intégration financière internationale : Théories, évidences, et leçons des expériences récentes
    Authors
    Pierre-Richard Agénor
    February 18, 2015
    Cet article propose, dans un premier temps, une revue de la littérature analytique et empirique récente sur les gains et coûts potentiels associés à l’intégration financière internationale, ainsi que les enjeux de politique économique créés ou exacerbés par cette intégration. En particulier, l’analyse fait ressortir le fait que, pour un pays en développement, les gains associés à cette intégration se matérialisent surtout sur le long terme, tandis que les coûts (liés notamment aux r ...
  • Download PDF
    Is Manufacturing Still a Key to Growth ?
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    February 10, 2015
    Manufacturing is declining as a share of GDP not only in advanced countries, but in developing countries as well. This new trend, a result of complex forces, should be seen on balance as a reason for development-optimism, not pessimism. In the 21st century economy, manufacturing remains important, but poor countries can attract investment, grow rapidly and diversify away from agriculture on the basis of many possible sources of comparative advantage, without artificially promoting m ...
  • The Global Economy and China: the view from a mountain top
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    January 30, 2015
    “In my view, China’s very high rates of saving and of investment in infrastructure, plant and equipment, Rand D, and human capital should be seen more as a source of strength, than of weakness. There has, of course, been overinvestment in some sectors, such as heavy industry and housing in some regions, but China’s GDP and infrastructure stock per capita is still just a fraction of that of the most advanced countries, and the country’s potential to catch-up remains largely unexploit ...
  • La chute des prix de l’énergie: Causes, conséquences et implications pour le Maroc
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    January 26, 2015
    OCP Policy Center vient de rendre public le 10 janvier son premier Policy Brief de l’année 2015, qui traite de la question de la baisse significative des prix des produits pétroliers, ses causes, et ses conséquences macroéconomiques pour les producteurs et les consommateurs de ce produit.  Yves Jégourel, Senior Fellow à OCP Policy Center et auteur du Policy Brief en question, a accumulé une expertise dans le domaine de l’analyse des marchés des matières premières. Il apporte égalem ...
  • Download PDF
    Morocco: Growth strategy for 2025 in an evolving international environment
    Authors
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Pierre-Richard Agénor
    January 24, 2015
    The Moroccan economy is currently facing the risk of becoming caught between the rapid-growing low-income countries with abundant and cheap labor, and middle-income countries that are able to innovate quickly. In addition, China’s massive investments in Sub-Saharan Africa have accelerated the participation of some countries in the region in a new international division of labor, especially in low-skill-intensive light manufacturing. In parallel, through the structure of its trade a ...
  • Battling Global Unemployment: Too Soon to Declare Victory
    Authors
    Prakash Loungani
    January 24, 2015
    Seven years after the onset of the Great Recession, the global unemployment rate has returned to its pre-crisis level: the jobless rate fell to 5.6% in 2014; essentially the same as in 2007, the year before the recession. Chart 1: Global Unemployment Back to Pre-Crisis Level but Remains High in OECD (Average of unemployment rates for 105 countries, percent) Sources: IMF, and Economist intelligence Unit Calculations.   Note: Based on data for 105 countries that publish reliable lab ...